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		<title>Брайтонские Частушки: Вот такие вот дела:  Всё Контора замела!</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/blog-post-html-18/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=blog-post-html-18</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Dec 2025 19:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The News and Times Blogs]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/blog-post-html-18/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Брайтонские Частушки:  СССР специализировался на массовом производстве МОРАЛЬНЫХ УРОДОВ,  под радостный визг КГБэшной Жидовни.   Брайтонские Частушки   &#160; Fuck the Facebook!     Брайтонские Частушки       Инна Гржонко И Говнёнко, Рыло поросёнка: Чушка ты кондовая, Сучка местечковая, Стукачка участковая! Мерзопакостная тварь!   А её сынок Димуня, КГБешная пиздюня Перевёлся в FBI: Там [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/blog-post-html-18/">Брайтонские Частушки: Вот такие вот дела:  Всё Контора замела!</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Брайтонские Частушки: </b></span></div>
<div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>СССР специализировался на массовом производстве МОРАЛЬНЫХ УРОДОВ, </b></span></div>
<div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>под радостный визг КГБэшной Жидовни.</b></span></div>
<div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"> </span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=%D0%91%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B9%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B5+%D0%A7%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%82%D1%83%D1%88%D0%BA%D0%B8" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Брайтонские Частушки</a></b></span></div>
<div><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"> </span></div>
<p><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><iframe title="YouTube video player" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/GB4ifm-XxxQ?si=czngr5NkC3Jx6E-M" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="xdj266r x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #080809; margin: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto">
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Fuck the Facebook!</b></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"> </span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgQ9bEAKyg3pXY18vaMwccjiz-5Iavn866LbYeyRTfJyM95d6OWOyKrteZ-OYWGgk0pCtiQuIhyf5OtE2JGz44gmgX6_HrygaGT8iI3q8bL4BZh665AasmoOk3aelax6d26sXihBNZDu30jKqSQ5YbgsOROzhTIDNVSj7zeww81cKfoSjNtd6kA80VMuwc"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgQ9bEAKyg3pXY18vaMwccjiz-5Iavn866LbYeyRTfJyM95d6OWOyKrteZ-OYWGgk0pCtiQuIhyf5OtE2JGz44gmgX6_HrygaGT8iI3q8bL4BZh665AasmoOk3aelax6d26sXihBNZDu30jKqSQ5YbgsOROzhTIDNVSj7zeww81cKfoSjNtd6kA80VMuwc=w640-h640" alt="" width="640" height="640" data-original-height="512" data-original-width="512" /></span></a></div>
<p><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"> </span></p>
</div>
<div dir="auto" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;">Брайтонские Частушки </span></b></div>
<div dir="auto" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"> </span></b></div>
<div dir="auto" style="text-align: center;">
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;" href="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/GB4ifm-XxxQ/maxresdefault.jpg?sqp=-oaymwEmCIAKENAF8quKqQMa8AEB-AH-CYAC0AWKAgwIABABGHIgRSgrMA8=&amp;rs=AOn4CLAtvwvrUy6l31IwrG_6CgGzeY8f-w"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><img decoding="async" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/GB4ifm-XxxQ/maxresdefault.jpg?sqp=-oaymwEmCIAKENAF8quKqQMa8AEB-AH-CYAC0AWKAgwIABABGHIgRSgrMA8=&amp;rs=AOn4CLAtvwvrUy6l31IwrG_6CgGzeY8f-w" width="640" height="360" border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1280" /></span></a></div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"> </span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"> </span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="https://www.google.com/search?q=%D0%98%D1%82%D1%82%D0%B0+%D0%9D%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0&amp;num=10&amp;newwindow=1&amp;sca_esv=2f23fe11cc54bb86&amp;rlz=1C1ONGR_enUS1133US1133&amp;sxsrf=AHTn8zpLhpWoXYjNIeuSkIIRLI7MU6uf7g%3A1737653291983&amp;ei=K3ySZ8XhO_D_ptQP2parKQ&amp;ved=0ahUKEwiFo9j5royLAxXwv4kEHVrLKgUQ4dUDCBI&amp;oq=%D0%98%D1%82%D1%82%D0%B0+%D0%9D%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0&amp;gs_lp=Egxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAiGdCY0YLRgtCwINCd0L7QstCw0YXQvtCy0LAyCBAhGKABGMMESJt3UOxWWJlZcAF4AJABAJgBXqABowGqAQEyuAEMyAEA-AEBmAIDoAKoAcICCxAAGIAEGLADGKIEmAMAiAYBkAYCkgcBM6AHggU&amp;sclient=gws-wiz-serp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Инна Гржонко И Говнёнко,</a></b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Рыло поросёнка:</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Чушка ты кондовая,</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Сучка местечковая,</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Стукачка участковая!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Мерзопакостная тварь!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>А её сынок Димуня, </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>КГБешная пиздюня</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Перевёлся в FBI: </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Там купи, а здесь &#8211; продай! </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Пусть Алик-Тупарик </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Кувыркается в гробу: </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>&#8220;КГБешный Пёс&#8221; клеймо </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>На его жидовском лбу. </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Оппа, Оппа, </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Америка Европа!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Вот такие вот дела: </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Всё Контора замела!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
</div>
<div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;">
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Стелла Пердюкова</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>(А не Новахова)</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Срать уселась снова.</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Московская тупая блядь</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Ей бы только срать и срать!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Жирная, вонючая,</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Мерзавка злоебучая!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Воровка и злодейка,</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Как и вся её семейка!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="color: #080809; font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><b>А Алёша Новахов<br />
Важней всех ваших индюков<br />
Всё кричит, что он &#8211; дантист,<br />
А на деле &#8211; аферист.<br />
Уроду дали по башке,<br />
И мозги его &#8211; в горшке.<br />
Теперь рубли он отмывает,<br />
Капитал свой собирает.</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>И всё пьёт Тестостерон,</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Чтоб всех сильней казался он! </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
</div>
<div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;">
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>А Мери Говнюкова </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>(Но не Новахова) &#8211; </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Сумасшедшая корова!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>КГБешная зараза,</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Вылезла из унитаза!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="https://www.google.com/search?q=%D0%A5%D0%B0%D1%8F%D1%81%D1%8B%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0&amp;rlz=1C1ONGR_enUS1133US1133&amp;oq=%D0%A5%D0%B0%D1%8F%D1%81%D1%8B%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0&amp;gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyCQgAEEUYORjvBTIKCAEQABiABBiiBDIKCAIQABiABBiiBDIHCAMQABjvBTIKCAQQABiABBiiBNIBCDE1MzVqMGo3qAIIsAIB8QUYLL6qmJEGK_EFGCy-qpiRBis&amp;sourceid=chrome&amp;ie=UTF-8" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Хаясыска</a> и говно,</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Сдохнуть ей пора давно! </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Сдохни, сучка; сдохни блядь, </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>В рот и в хвост тебя ебать! </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="color: #080809; font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><b>У Ашира &#8220;Цукер&#8221; было погоняло:<br />
Сладко от него всегда воняло.<br />
Трусливый, подлый и тупой,<br />
Остался на всю жизнь такой! </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div dir="auto"><b>Оппа, Оппа, </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Америка Европа!</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Вот такие вот дела: </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Всё Контора замела!</b></div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
</div>
<div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;">
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Проклятие вам всем и смерть,</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Чтоб на свете не смердеть!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>И то же самое &#8211; всем вашим выродкам, </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>И выродкам всех ваших выродков!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Аминь.</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="https://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/2025/04/blog-post.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Post Link</a></b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;">&#8211;</span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; text-align: center; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="https://x.com/mikenov" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Recent Tweets</a> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; text-align: center; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="text-align: left;">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto">Post Link:</div>
<div dir="auto"><span class="html-span xdj266r x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak xexx8yu xyri2b x18d9i69 x1c1uobl x1hl2dhg x16tdsg8 x1vvkbs" style="margin: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit;"><a class="x1i10hfl xjbqb8w x1ejq31n x18oe1m7 x1sy0etr xstzfhl x972fbf x10w94by x1qhh985 x14e42zd x9f619 x1ypdohk xt0psk2 xe8uvvx xdj266r x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak xexx8yu xyri2b x18d9i69 x1c1uobl x16tdsg8 x1hl2dhg xggy1nq x1a2a7pz xkrqix3 x1sur9pj x1fey0fg x1s688f" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; background-color: transparent; border-style: none; border-width: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0064d1; cursor: pointer; display: inline; font-weight: 600; list-style: none; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration-line: none; touch-action: manipulation;" tabindex="0" role="link" href="https://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/2025/04/blog-post.html?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAYnJpZBExZlhTSENHTllKUlJreDl2YwEewth5SLRAHn4bjt31YsiPZYeOEQVoKlhDWYc_PLhapvo3hfJ64IddxD0-M_Q_aem_5fle49rHFR4RlUhqVBWvbQ" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer">https://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/2025/04/blog-post.html</a></span></div>
</div>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto">&#8211;</div>
</div>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto"><b>Московские Частушки</b></div>
<div dir="auto"></div>
</div>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto"><b>А Лена Яровая</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Жидовка но тупая.</b><b> </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Не баба а кисель,</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>К-Г-Б и ка-ни-тель. </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b> </b></div>
</div>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto"><b><span class="html-span xdj266r x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak xexx8yu xyri2b x18d9i69 x1c1uobl x1hl2dhg x16tdsg8 x1vvkbs" style="margin: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit;"><a class="x1i10hfl xjbqb8w x1ejq31n x18oe1m7 x1sy0etr xstzfhl x972fbf x10w94by x1qhh985 x14e42zd x9f619 x1ypdohk xt0psk2 xe8uvvx xdj266r x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak xexx8yu xyri2b x18d9i69 x1c1uobl x16tdsg8 x1hl2dhg xggy1nq x1a2a7pz xkrqix3 x1sur9pj x1fey0fg x1s688f" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; background-color: transparent; border-style: none; border-width: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0064d1; cursor: pointer; display: inline; list-style: none; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration-line: none; touch-action: manipulation;" tabindex="0" role="link" href="https://www.facebook.com/hashtag/%D0%B3%D1%83%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BD%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9?__eep__=6&amp;__cft__%5B0%5D=AZVzhOFZCpHIxgzMGC31RTTmkiuqggMjpadtqM0SRJQTKxvnvrXPPnQx-kYaA_oQD-zX-QHa18ceJyF6Z_FwnlPfII1o6EOn3QPibn6A7f1SPg&amp;__tn__=*NK-R">#Гусинский</a></span> &#8211; пидор и говно,</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Это знают все давно.</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Но к тому же он и SPY:</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Его ищет FBI!</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>ЗВОНИТЕ FBI-TIPS: </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>БОЛЬШОЕ ВОЗНАГРАЖДЕНИЕ!</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b> </b></div>
</div>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto"><b>Дейтройтские Частушки</b></div>
<div dir="auto"></div>
</div>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto"><b>Была такая тётя,</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Тётя Мотя Обормотя,</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>И звали её не Хава а ЗАВИСТЬ.</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>От кончиков волос до кончиков ногтей</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>ЗАВИСТЬ лишь горела в ней. </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Ида, пойди в sex shop</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>И купи себе DILDO</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>И на нём и женись.</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Будет прекрасная пара </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Для тебя и твоей разноцветной жопы. </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Шепелявая Ирина </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Будет вам стелить перины, </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Она у нас не любит &#8220;stucco&#8221;</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Но любит лезть в чужую драку.</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Знай своё место, дура!</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b> </b></div>
</div>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto"><b>Петербургские Частушки</b></div>
<div dir="auto"></div>
</div>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: #080809; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div dir="auto"><b>Новакова Марианна</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Сама призналась, без обмана (!):</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>&#8220;Да, БЭШКА Я&#8221;, она сказала,</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>И что бы это означало? </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Здесь даже нечего гадать: </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>КГ-БЭШ-ница и б</b><b>лядь! </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b> </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Вот вам и частушки, </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Намотать на ушки: </b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Пляшет Брайтонский народ</b></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>Свой жидовский хоровод!</b></div>
<div dir="auto"></div>
<div dir="auto"><b>&#8211;</b></div>
</div>
<div class="x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;">
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<div style="color: black; white-space-collapse: collapse;"><b>Брайтонские Частушки: </b></div>
<div style="color: black; white-space-collapse: collapse;"><b>СССР специализировался на массовом производстве МОРАЛЬНЫХ УРОДОВ, </b></div>
<div style="color: black; white-space-collapse: collapse;"><b>под радостный визг КГБэшной Жидовни.</b></div>
</div>
<div dir="auto"><span style="color: #080809;"><span style="white-space-collapse: preserve;"><b> </b></span></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;" href="https://www.solovki.ca/gulag_solovki/images/solovki_st58_520x326_2010_001.jpg"><img decoding="async" src="https://www.solovki.ca/gulag_solovki/images/solovki_st58_520x326_2010_001.jpg" border="0" data-original-height="768" data-original-width="520" /></a></div>
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</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; text-align: center; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><b style="font-family: inherit; text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Оппа, Оппа, </span></b></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Америка Европа!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Вот такие вот дела: </b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b>Всё Контора замела!</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"> </span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b>&#8211;</b></span></div>
<div dir="auto" style="color: #080809; white-space-collapse: preserve;">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<div class="blogger-post-footer">The News And Times Information Network &#8211; Blogs By Michael Novakhov &#8211; thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com</div>
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		<item>
		<title>A Symbol of Public Fury Ramming cars into the #FBI (or #CIA) gates: the emotions of the Vox Populi</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/a-symbol-of-public-fury-ramming-cars-html/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=a-symbol-of-public-fury-ramming-cars-html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sep 2025 13:15:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The News and Times Blogs]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/a-symbol-of-public-fury-ramming-cars-html/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>A Symbol of Public Fury Ramming cars into the #FBI (or #CIA) gates: symbolism and emotions of the voice populi &#8211; Google Search https://t.co/OGQtkieXR2 AI Overview The emotion from those who support or are drawn to such attacks is typically anger, driven by a perception of… https://t.co/CmNoLaTMJ6 pic.twitter.com/LFLhgxjNjl — Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) September 17, 2025 [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/a-symbol-of-public-fury-ramming-cars-html/">A Symbol of Public Fury Ramming cars into the #FBI (or #CIA) gates: the emotions of the Vox Populi</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">A Symbol of Public Fury<br />
Ramming cars into the <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/FBI?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#FBI</a> (or <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/CIA?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#CIA</a>) gates: symbolism and emotions of the voice populi &#8211; Google Search <a href="https://t.co/OGQtkieXR2">https://t.co/OGQtkieXR2</a><br />
AI Overview<br />
The emotion from those who support or are drawn to such attacks is typically anger, driven by a perception of… <a href="https://t.co/CmNoLaTMJ6">https://t.co/CmNoLaTMJ6</a> <a href="https://t.co/LFLhgxjNjl">pic.twitter.com/LFLhgxjNjl</a></p>
<p>— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) <a href="https://twitter.com/mikenov/status/1968296636695601664?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 17, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
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<div style="text-align: left;"><b><a href="https://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/2025/09/a-symbol-of-public-fury-ramming-cars.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-size: large;">Post Link</span></a></b></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><a style="font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; white-space-collapse: preserve;" href="https://x.com/mikenov/status/1968296636695601664" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b>A Symbol of Public Fury</b></span></a></div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div style="font-size: 17px;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--color-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; background-color: white; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0f1419; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-size: 17px; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-emoji: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-position: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"> </span></div>
<p><b><span style="font-size: large;">Ramming cars into the </span></b><b><span style="font-size: large;"><span class="r-18u37iz" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--color-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0f1419; flex-direction: row; white-space-collapse: preserve; border: 0px solid #0f1419;"><a class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1loqt21" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--color-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #1d9bf0; cursor: pointer; display: inline; font-family: inherit; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-decoration-line: none; white-space: inherit;" role="link" href="https://x.com/hashtag/FBI?src=hashtag_click">#FBI</a></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--color-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; background-color: white; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0f1419; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-emoji: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-position: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"> (or </span><span class="r-18u37iz" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--color-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0f1419; flex-direction: row; white-space-collapse: preserve; border: 0px solid #0f1419;"><a class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1loqt21" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--color-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #1d9bf0; cursor: pointer; display: inline; font-family: inherit; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-decoration-line: none; white-space: inherit;" role="link" href="https://x.com/hashtag/CIA?src=hashtag_click">#CIA</a></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--color-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; background-color: white; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0f1419; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-variant-alternates: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-variant-emoji: inherit; font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-position: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;">) gates: symbolism and emotions of the voice populi &#8211; Google Search </span><a class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1loqt21" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; 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list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-decoration-line: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;" role="link" href="https://t.co/nm6DIVuGxV" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-qlhcfr r-19qo34d r-qvk6io r-orgf3d r-u8s1d" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--color-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-family: inherit; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; 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AI Overview<br />
The emotion from those who support or are drawn to such attacks is typically anger, driven by a perception of injustice, rather than fear. Ramming a vehicle into the gates of the FBI or CIA is a symbolically powerful act intended to express intense anti-government sentiment.<br />
Symbolism of the attack:<br />
Attacking the state&#8217;s authority: These attacks target federal law enforcement and intelligence agencies, which represent the power, security, and integrity of the United States government. Breaching their physical defenses, such as a security gate, symbolizes an assault on the government&#8217;s authority and a rejection of its legitimacy.<br />
Emblematic target: An attack against the FBI or CIA is symbolic precisely because of the agencies&#8217; powerful public image. For those who view the government as an overreaching and corrupt entity, these agencies are seen as prime instruments of state oppression. Striking at them is a direct assault on the perceived source of that power.<br />
Act of defiance: A car ramming can be an act of defiant resistance for an individual who feels powerless against a monolithic government system. It is a way to make a bold, public statement with an easily acquired, everyday object turned into a weapon.<br />
Targeting an &#8220;out-group&#8221;: For extremists, the act is a form of political violence against what they perceive as an &#8220;out-group&#8221; of corrupt officials, elites, or an unjust system.<br />
Voice of the people (vox populi) emotionsFor those who may empathize with the motive of such an attack, the underlying emotion is often outrage, not terror. The symbolism is not meant to instill fear in a general audience but to express anger and contempt for the targeted institutions.Rage against injustice: For those driven by a &#8220;rage narrative,&#8221; these attacks are viewed as retaliation for perceived government overreach or abuses of power. This is in contrast to the &#8220;fear narrative&#8221; that typically follows attacks on civilian targets.<br />
Perceived persecution: In many cases, the attacker or their sympathizers feel that they have been personally wronged or persecuted by the government or its agents. The act is seen as justified retribution for a perceived injustice.<br />
Polarized anger: Responses to such attacks are often filtered through strong political biases. An individual&#8217;s emotional reaction may be driven by partisan anger, with views shaped by a deep-seated distrust of government institutions. Some recent research has shown that anger, rather than fear, has become a more prominent response among certain groups following political violence.<br />
Motivated by repression: Studies show that political repression, or the perception of it, can motivate anti-government violence. For individuals who feel their voice is being repressed, a violent act may seem like the only option left for expressing their grievance.<br />
The lone actor as a symbolHistorically, attacks on FBI and CIA gates are often carried out by &#8220;lone wolf&#8221; or &#8220;stray dog&#8221; perpetrators who are ideologically motivated but not part of a larger, coordinated group. This makes the individual attacker a symbolic figure representing the frustration of marginalized or disillusioned citizens who feel they have no other recourse. Their actions are often influenced and amplified by online extremist propaganda.<br />
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AI Mode<br />
Ramming cars into the FBI (or CIA) gates: symbolism and emotions of the voice populi<br />
. While the specific emotions of the general public (vox populi) can vary greatly, the act is often interpreted by supporters as a powerful, anti-authoritarian statement.When an individual rams a car into the gates of a federal agency like the FBI or CIA, the act carries significant symbolic weight related to anti-government sentiment, distrust of authority, and perceived violations of individual rights<br />
Symbolism of the act<br />
Targeting authority: The FBI and CIA are iconic symbols of U.S. federal law enforcement and intelligence. They represent the might and authority of the government, including surveillance and control. A physical assault on these institutions&#8217; gates is a direct, tangible expression of defiance against that authority.<br />
A &#8220;poor man&#8217;s&#8221; weapon: The use of a car as a weapon is symbolic of the perpetrator&#8217;s perspective. It requires minimal resources or specialized training, allowing a &#8220;marginal actor&#8221; to use a mundane, everyday object to inflict damage and sow fear. This method is especially appealing to lone actors who feel powerless against a perceived tyrannical state.<br />
&#8220;Come and take it&#8221;: In some cases, the act echoes historical anti-authoritarian symbols. For example, the Gadsden flag, with its &#8220;Don&#8217;t Tread on Me&#8221; slogan, has been co-opted by some anti-government advocates as a sign of resistance to perceived tyranny. Some perpetrators may view their actions as a contemporary version of this defiance.<br />
Messaging and provocation: Many attacks on government buildings and personnel are not spontaneous. They are performed to &#8220;demonstrate an ideological goal&#8221; or communicate a message. The perpetrator&#8217;s actions, and any accompanying items like notes or flags, are specifically chosen to provoke a response and garner attention for their cause. In the recent Pittsburgh FBI case, the suspect wrote vulgarities on the car and left an American flag, explicitly framing it as an attack.<br />
Emotions of the vox populi<br />
While there is no single public response, and emotions range across the political spectrum, the general reactions often include:<br />
For supporters of the attacker: For those who share the anti-government ideology, the act may elicit feelings of validation, empowerment, or even inspiration. The perpetrator is viewed not as a criminal, but as a righteous revolutionary fighting against oppression.<br />
For concerned citizens: Many in the general public may feel fear, anger, and anxiety. The attack on a high-profile target is designed to create a sense of insecurity and demonstrate that even powerful institutions are vulnerable. It may lead to increased calls for stronger security measures.<br />
For opponents of the attacker&#8217;s ideology: Those on the other side of the political spectrum may express outrage, condemnation, and disgust. They may dismiss the attacker as mentally ill or a &#8220;lone wolf&#8221; to avoid validating the political message behind the violence. There may also be concern about the rise of political violence and domestic terrorism.<br />
For law enforcement: Law enforcement and federal officials will feel that the act is a targeted threat against their personnel and institutions, requiring an immediate and decisive response. This can result in increased vigilance and security protocols.<br />
&#8211;</span></span></b></p>
<p>Gemini<br />
The Act of Defiance: Ramming Cars into FBI and CIA Gates as a Symbol of Public Fury</p>
<p>Washington D.C. &#8211; The act of an individual ramming a vehicle into the fortified gates of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) or the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) is a potent and visceral display of defiance that transcends a simple criminal act. It is a symbolic clash between the individual and the immense, often opaque, power of the state, resonating with a segment of the public that harbors deep-seated distrust and anger towards these institutions. While overwhelmingly condemned, these desperate acts tap into a complex well of emotions and symbolism within the American psyche, reflecting a potent undercurrent of anti-government sentiment.</p>
<p>Recent incidents, such as the ramming of vehicles into the gates of FBI field offices in Pittsburgh and Atlanta, highlight the raw and often desperate nature of these acts.1 Investigations into the motives frequently point to individuals grappling with significant mental health challenges, yet their choice of target is rarely arbitrary. The FBI and CIA, for many, are not merely federal buildings but potent symbols of a government perceived as overreaching, secretive, and at times, oppressive.</p>
<p>For some, these agencies represent the &#8220;deep state,&#8221; an unaccountable shadow government pulling the strings of power. This narrative, fueled by political rhetoric and online conspiracy theories, paints the FBI and CIA as antagonists in a struggle for American freedom. From this perspective, an attack on their physical infrastructure is seen as a blow against tyranny, a desperate attempt to strike at an otherwise untouchable entity. The vehicle, in this context, becomes a makeshift battering ram against the fortress of perceived injustice.</p>
<p>The emotional response from the vox populi to such events is deeply fractured. A significant majority of the public unequivocally condemns these acts as senseless violence and domestic terrorism. They view the perpetrators as criminals who endanger lives and undermine the rule of law. For this segment, the FBI and CIA are essential institutions staffed by dedicated public servants working to protect national security. The attack is seen as an assault on the very fabric of American society and the dedicated individuals who serve within these agencies.</p>
<p>However, a vocal and often digitally amplified minority expresses a different sentiment. In online forums and social media echo chambers, these acts can be met with a degree of tacit approval or even outright celebration. The perpetrators are sometimes lauded as &#8220;patriots&#8221; or &#8220;martyrs&#8221; who dared to confront a corrupt system. The emotions expressed in these corners of the internet range from righteous anger and frustration to a sense of vicarious empowerment. The act of ramming the gate, in their eyes, is a physical manifestation of their own feelings of helplessness and rage against a system they believe has abandoned them.</p>
<p>The symbolism of the act is multifaceted. The gate itself represents a barrier, both literal and metaphorical, between the citizen and the inner workings of power. To breach that gate, even partially and ineffectually, is to symbolically penetrate the veil of secrecy and challenge the authority of the state. It is a desperate, public performance of dissent, intended to shock and draw attention to a grievance, however incoherent or misguided it may be.</p>
<p>Historically, attacks on federal buildings have served as potent symbols of anti-government sentiment.2 The choice of the FBI and CIA as targets is particularly significant given their complex and often controversial portrayal in popular culture. From heroic &#8220;G-Men&#8221; fighting organized crime to rogue agencies engaging in covert and morally ambiguous operations, their public image is a tapestry of conflicting narratives. This ambiguity allows individuals to project their own fears and frustrations onto these institutions, making them convenient and powerful symbols of a government that is either a protector or a persecutor, depending on one&#8217;s worldview.</p>
<p>In conclusion, while the act of ramming a car into the gates of the FBI or CIA is a criminal act with potentially tragic consequences, its significance extends beyond the immediate legal ramifications. It is a potent symbol of a deep and growing chasm in American society, a physical manifestation of the anger, distrust, and alienation felt by a segment of the population. The varied and often polarized emotional responses to these events serve as a stark reminder of the contested nature of truth, authority, and patriotism in the contemporary United States.<br />
&#8211;</p>
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<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://x.com/_MegaPolitics/status/1968186571217310064" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">RT by @mikenov: Breaking: Norway says it will recognize Palestine as state in this month. pic.</a></h3>
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<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
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<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_cMrnaq7WiU" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">NBC Nightly News Full Episode</a></h3>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qyPFQhapiiA" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Watters: They killed my friend</a></h3>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/qyPFQhapiiA/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
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</div>
</div>
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<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lmzEh_cpo4g" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">College grads struggle to find jobs</a></h3>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/lmzEh_cpo4g/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
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<div class="RssGrid-col" style="align-items: center; display: flex; flex-direction: column; width: 276px;">
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
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<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 300px;">
<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://x.com/mikenov/status/1968292599573123410" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">#FBI Driver crashes car into FBI building security gate in Pittsburgh &#8230; | AP News &#8230; early Wednesday, then removed an American flag from the back seat and threw it over the gate before leaving, authorities said. The car crashed into the gate at about 2:40 a.m., the FBI said, and authorities were searching for the man. Investigators, including a bomb squad, were at the scene. “This incident is considered a targeted attack against the FBI,” the agency said in a statement that was posted online. “No FBI personnel were injured.” Christopher Giordano, assistant special agent in charge at the FBI</a></h3>
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<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">x.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">29m</span></div>
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<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
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<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 300px;">
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<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://x.com/OSINTtechniques/status/1968260390925775266" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">RT by @mikenov: Built for solo investigators, researchers, and small teams. Meet the Essential Plan! #OSINT</a></h3>
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<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://x.com/mikenov/status/1968211009199571061" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Texts, plans and a confession: prosecutor lays out startling details in Charlie Kirk shooting | Charlie Kirk shooting</a></h3>
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</div>
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</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
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<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yL3HpL0efpE" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">11-year-old dead killed in Milwaukee shooting</a></h3>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/yL3HpL0efpE/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">youtube.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">10h</span></div>
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<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
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<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hiQrR1zmKB8" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Top Story with Tom Llamas</a></h3>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/hiQrR1zmKB8/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
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</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/pGQPIlOziZY/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">youtube.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">12h</span></div>
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</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z0zO_357rWo" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Suspect in Charlie Kirk assassination to face death penalty</a></h3>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/z0zO_357rWo/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">youtube.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">13h</span></div>
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<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic rssapp-card-container-twitter" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; min-width: 300px; width: 300px;">
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<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://x.com/omnesvidente/status/1968290877375422490" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">RT by @mikenov: The Fed’s a Red!!@LFC @FBI @FBIDirectorKash #LFC #FBI #kashpatel pic.</a></h3>
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<div class="twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered" style="display: flex; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 10px; max-width: 550px; width: 268.4px;"><iframe id="twitter-widget-6" class="" style="display: block; flex-grow: 1; height: 496px; position: static; visibility: visible; width: 270px;" title="X Post" src="https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-6&amp;features=eyJ0ZndfdGltZWxpbmVfbGlzdCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOltdLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2ZvbGxvd2VyX2NvdW50X3N1bnNldCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOnRydWUsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdHdlZXRfZWRpdF9iYWNrZW5kIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6Im9uIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd19yZWZzcmNfc2Vzc2lvbiI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfZm9zbnJfc29mdF9pbnRlcnZlbnRpb25zX2VuYWJsZWQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib24iLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X21peGVkX21lZGlhXzE1ODk3Ijp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6InRyZWF0bWVudCIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3Nob3dfYmlyZHdhdGNoX3Bpdm90c19lbmFibGVkIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6Im9uIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd19kdXBsaWNhdGVfc2NyaWJlc190b19zZXR0aW5ncyI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdXNlX3Byb2ZpbGVfaW1hZ2Vfc2hhcGVfZW5hYmxlZCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdmlkZW9faGxzX2R5bmFtaWNfbWFuaWZlc3RzXzE1MDgyIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6InRydWVfYml0cmF0ZSIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfbGVnYWN5X3RpbWVsaW5lX3N1bnNldCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOnRydWUsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdHdlZXRfZWRpdF9mcm9udGVuZCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9fQ%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1968290877375422490&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Frss.app%2Fbundle%2F_4kgC7OjY0IZpHHzS%2Fembed%3Ftab%3Dwall&amp;sessionId=9dca18c454d3988fa17062c7e3720522dbd53ae3&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" data-tweet-id="1968290877375422490"></iframe></div>
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</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=STLUn5bAGgU" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">WATCH LIVE: Trump, First Lady participate in viewing of the Royal Collection</a></h3>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/STLUn5bAGgU/maxresdefault.jpg?v=68caa379" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">youtube.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">1h</span></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic rssapp-card-container-twitter" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; min-width: 300px; width: 300px;">
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<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://x.com/mikenov/status/1968217506335818037" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Kash Patel says others under investigation in Charlie Kirk shooting probe &#8211; ABC News</a></h3>
</div>
<div class="twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered" style="display: flex; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 10px; max-width: 550px; width: 268.4px;"><iframe id="twitter-widget-18" class="" style="display: block; flex-grow: 1; height: 465px; position: static; visibility: visible; width: 270px;" title="X Post" src="https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-18&amp;features=eyJ0ZndfdGltZWxpbmVfbGlzdCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOltdLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X2ZvbGxvd2VyX2NvdW50X3N1bnNldCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOnRydWUsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdHdlZXRfZWRpdF9iYWNrZW5kIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6Im9uIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd19yZWZzcmNfc2Vzc2lvbiI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfZm9zbnJfc29mdF9pbnRlcnZlbnRpb25zX2VuYWJsZWQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib24iLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X21peGVkX21lZGlhXzE1ODk3Ijp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6InRyZWF0bWVudCIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3Nob3dfYmlyZHdhdGNoX3Bpdm90c19lbmFibGVkIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6Im9uIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH0sInRmd19kdXBsaWNhdGVfc2NyaWJlc190b19zZXR0aW5ncyI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdXNlX3Byb2ZpbGVfaW1hZ2Vfc2hhcGVfZW5hYmxlZCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdmlkZW9faGxzX2R5bmFtaWNfbWFuaWZlc3RzXzE1MDgyIjp7ImJ1Y2tldCI6InRydWVfYml0cmF0ZSIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfbGVnYWN5X3RpbWVsaW5lX3N1bnNldCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOnRydWUsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9LCJ0ZndfdHdlZXRfZWRpdF9mcm9udGVuZCI6eyJidWNrZXQiOiJvbiIsInZlcnNpb24iOm51bGx9fQ%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1968217506335818037&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Frss.app%2Fbundle%2F_4kgC7OjY0IZpHHzS%2Fembed%3Ftab%3Dwall&amp;sessionId=9dca18c454d3988fa17062c7e3720522dbd53ae3&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" data-tweet-id="1968217506335818037"></iframe></div>
<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">x.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">5h</span></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBwv0L_6uZQ" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">ABC News Live Prime: September 16, 2025</a></h3>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/yBwv0L_6uZQ/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">youtube.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">7h</span></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2aWq0D1Ekjk" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">ABC World News Tonight with David Muir Full Broadcast</a></h3>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/2aWq0D1Ekjk/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">youtube.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">11h</span></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card" style="background-clip: border-box; background-color: white; border-radius: 4px; border: 1px solid #e0e0e0; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: auto; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; position: relative; width: 266px;">
<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpoZdXGpEPU" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Hallie Jackson NOW</a></h3>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/EpoZdXGpEPU/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">youtube.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">12h</span></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
<div class="rss-app-hover-card rssapp-card-container rssapp-card-container_classic" style="color: inherit; max-width: 600px; width: 266px;">
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<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 15px;">
<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fD57zSyo51E" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Bondi retreats! Trump&#8217;s DOJ backtracks attack on free speech amid MAGA crackdown on liberal orgs</a></h3>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="rss-widget-play-arrow-box" style="align-items: center; background: rgba(66, 66, 66, 0.8); border-radius: 50%; display: flex; height: 60px; justify-content: center; left: 117.2px; position: absolute; top: 65.925px; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); width: 60px; z-index: 2;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="rss-widget-video-image" style="border-radius: 0px; display: block; height: 131.85px; object-fit: cover; width: 234.4px;" src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/fD57zSyo51E/maxresdefault.jpg" alt="Video thumbnail" /></p>
<div class="rssapp-card-footer" style="align-items: center; color: #8899a6; cursor: default; display: flex; font-size: 12px; line-height: 26.4px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-top: 16px;"><span class="rssapp-hostname" style="display: block; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: inherit; overflow: hidden; text-overflow: ellipsis; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">youtube.com</span><span class="card-time" style="line-height: inherit; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;">12h</span></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="RssGrid-item" style="max-width: 100%; width: 276px;">
<div style="margin-bottom: 10px; padding-left: 5px; padding-right: 5px;">
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<div class="rssapp-card-body" style="flex: 1 1 auto; padding: 15px 15px 0px;">
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<h3 class="rssapp-card-title" style="color: #333333; font-size: 20px; line-height: 26px; margin: 0px;"><a style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 4; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #333333; display: -webkit-box; font-style: initial; line-height: 26px; overflow: hidden; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: ellipsis;" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C27QanXjwRA" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Charlie Kirk murder suspect appears in court</a></h3>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Predictive analysis of the Russia &#8211; Ukraine conflict &#8211; AI Assessment</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/predictive-analysis-of-russia-ukraine-html/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=predictive-analysis-of-russia-ukraine-html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 Apr 2025 23:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>&#160; Search inside image AI-enabled warfare: The conflict highlights the increasing role of AI in military operations, including intelligence analysis, drone control, and electronic warfare. Post Link Predictive analysis of the Russia &#8211; Ukraine conflict &#124; B &#124; G Russia &#8211; Ukraine War Predictive analysis of the RussiaUkraine conflict focuses on using data and models to [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/predictive-analysis-of-russia-ukraine-html/">Predictive analysis of the Russia – Ukraine conflict – AI Assessment</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<h3 style="text-align: center;"><strong>AI-enabled warfare: The conflict highlights the increasing role of AI in military operations, including intelligence analysis, drone control, and electronic warfare.</strong></h3>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/2025/04/predictive-analysis-of-russia-ukraine.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Post Link</a></span></strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://www.google.com/search?q=Predictive+analysis+of+the+Russia+-+Ukraine+conflict&amp;num=10&amp;newwindow=1&amp;sca_esv=32f83a970e48c785&amp;rlz=1C1ONGR_enUS1133US1133&amp;sxsrf=AHTn8zqvWC90Qgj0iWUbE0apWYBzJ_kXkg%3A1745793301923&amp;ei=FbEOaNWIONSX5OMPq5uZyQE&amp;ved=0ahUKEwiV5_LsovmMAxXUC3kGHatNJhkQ4dUDCBA&amp;oq=Predictive+analysis+of+the+Russia+-+Ukraine+conflict&amp;gs_lp=Egxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAiNFByZWRpY3RpdmUgYW5hbHlzaXMgb2YgdGhlIFJ1c3NpYSAtIFVrcmFpbmUgY29uZmxpY3QyBBAAGEcyBBAAGEcyBBAAGEcyBBAAGEcyBBAAGEcyBBAAGEcyBBAAGEcyBBAAGEdIkFRQ-gtY-gtwAXgCkAEAmAEAoAEAqgEAuAEMyAEA-AEBmAICoAIYwgIKEAAYsAMY1gQYR5gDAOIDBRIBMSBAiAYBkAYIkgcBMqAHALIHATG4BwY&amp;sclient=gws-wiz-serp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Predictive analysis of the Russia &#8211; Ukraine conflict</a> | <a href="https://www.bing.com/search?q=Predictive+analysis+of+the+Russia+-+Ukraine+conflict" target="_blank" rel="noopener">B</a> | <a href="https://x.com/i/grok/share/hAzYsSDmxornhzsunXslhMRbp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">G</a></span></strong></p>
<h1 class="iJmm5" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; align-self: center; background-color: white; color: #1f1f1f; font-family: 'Google Sans', Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 28px; line-height: 36px; margin: 0px; max-width: 524px; padding: 0px; word-break: break-word; text-align: center;"><strong><a href="https://www.google.com/collections/s/list/pB1LdV54Rna8swYJeNR6RA/xk-GSqMTwSk" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Russia &#8211; Ukraine War</a></strong></h1>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Predictive analysis of the RussiaUkraine conflict focuses on using data and models to anticipate potential outcomes, including the likelihood of escalation, the impact on global grain security, and even the future of military logistics. This analysis helps understand the complex dynamics of the conflict and potentially guide decision-making for conflict prevention and response. [<a href="https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/02/future-military-logistics-predictive/402939/" data-ic="">1</a>, <a href="https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10341088/" data-ic="">2</a>, <a href="https://gesda.global/the-future-of-conflict-prevention-is-predictive-peacebuilding/#:~:text=Predictive%20peacebuilding%20uses%20data%20science%20to%20better,help%20develop%20mitigation%2C%20preventive%20and%20rebuilding%20strategies." data-ic="">3</a>, <a href="https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Early%20Warning%20tools%20for,to%20escalate%2C%20sometimes%20compounded%20by%20climate%20hazards." data-ic="">4</a>]</span></strong></p>
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<p><strong><span style="font-size: large;"> </span></strong></p>
<div><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Here&#8217;s a more detailed breakdown of predictive analysis in the context of the conflict: </span></strong></div>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: large;"> </span></strong></p>
<div style="font-weight: bold; margin-bottom: 11pt;"><strong><span style="font-size: large;">1. Conflict Prediction: [<a href="https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Early%20Warning%20tools%20for,to%20escalate%2C%20sometimes%20compounded%20by%20climate%20hazards." data-ic="">4</a>, <a href="https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Early%20Warning%20tools%20for,to%20escalate%2C%20sometimes%20compounded%20by%20climate%20hazards." data-ic="">4</a>, <a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>, <a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>] </span></strong></div>
<ul>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">AI and machine learning models: These models can analyze various data points, such as social media trends, news articles, and military deployments, to identify patterns and predict potential escalations or shifts in the conflict. [<a href="https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Early%20Warning%20tools%20for,to%20escalate%2C%20sometimes%20compounded%20by%20climate%20hazards." data-ic="">4</a>, <a href="https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Early%20Warning%20tools%20for,to%20escalate%2C%20sometimes%20compounded%20by%20climate%20hazards." data-ic="">4</a>, <a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>, <a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>, <a href="https://www.magnanimitas.cz/ADALTA/140141/papers/A_03.pdf#:~:text=Politicians%20and%20armed%20forces%20create%20their%20own,on%20its%20frontline%20progress%20via%20social%20media." data-ic="">6</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/html/2411.14625v1#:~:text=In%20this%20study%2C%20we%20considered%20exploratory%20data,the%20target%20variable%20of%20a%20specified%20region." data-ic="">7</a>] </span></strong></li>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Early warning tools: These tools, ranging from qualitative data analysis to advanced AI, are used to anticipate the impacts of conflict and violence, including the potential for escalation. [<a href="https://gesda.global/the-future-of-conflict-prevention-is-predictive-peacebuilding/#:~:text=Predictive%20peacebuilding%20uses%20data%20science%20to%20better,help%20develop%20mitigation%2C%20preventive%20and%20rebuilding%20strategies." data-ic="">3</a>, <a href="https://gesda.global/the-future-of-conflict-prevention-is-predictive-peacebuilding/#:~:text=Predictive%20peacebuilding%20uses%20data%20science%20to%20better,help%20develop%20mitigation%2C%20preventive%20and%20rebuilding%20strategies." data-ic="">3</a>, <a href="https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Early%20Warning%20tools%20for,to%20escalate%2C%20sometimes%20compounded%20by%20climate%20hazards." data-ic="">4</a>, <a href="https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Early%20Warning%20tools%20for,to%20escalate%2C%20sometimes%20compounded%20by%20climate%20hazards." data-ic="">4</a>] </span></strong></li>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Geospatial analysis: Analyzing the spatial distribution of events, such as air alerts, can help predict where and when conflicts might occur. [<a href="https://arxiv.org/html/2411.14625v1#:~:text=In%20this%20study%2C%20we%20considered%20exploratory%20data,the%20target%20variable%20of%20a%20specified%20region." data-ic="">7</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/html/2411.14625v1#:~:text=In%20this%20study%2C%20we%20considered%20exploratory%20data,the%20target%20variable%20of%20a%20specified%20region." data-ic="">7</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.14625" data-ic="">8</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.14625" data-ic="">8</a>] </span></strong></li>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Predictive peacebuilding: This approach uses data science to understand the roots and warning signs of conflict, aiming to develop strategies for preventing and mitigating conflict. [<a href="https://gesda.global/the-future-of-conflict-prevention-is-predictive-peacebuilding/#:~:text=Predictive%20peacebuilding%20uses%20data%20science%20to%20better,help%20develop%20mitigation%2C%20preventive%20and%20rebuilding%20strategies." data-ic="">3</a>, <a href="https://gesda.global/the-future-of-conflict-prevention-is-predictive-peacebuilding/#:~:text=Predictive%20peacebuilding%20uses%20data%20science%20to%20better,help%20develop%20mitigation%2C%20preventive%20and%20rebuilding%20strategies." data-ic="">3</a>] </span></strong></li>
</ul>
<div style="font-weight: bold; margin-bottom: 11pt;"><strong><span style="font-size: large;">2. Impact Assessment: [<a href="https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10341088/" data-ic="">2</a>, <a href="https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10341088/" data-ic="">2</a>] </span></strong></div>
<ul>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Global grain security: Predictive models can assess the impact of the conflict on global food prices and grain security, helping to anticipate potential shortages and resource allocation. [<a href="https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10341088/" data-ic="">2</a>, <a href="https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10341088/" data-ic="">2</a>, <a href="https://cjc.utppublishing.com/doi/10.22230/cjc.2020v45n1a3479#:~:text=To%20offset%20this%20loss%2C%20some%20councils%20have,of%20the%20issues%2C%20and%20facilitate%20resource%20allocation." data-ic="">9</a>] </span></strong></li>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Economic impacts: Analysis can predict the economic consequences of the conflict, including impacts on trade, investment, and energy markets. [<a href="https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10341088/" data-ic="">2</a>, <a href="https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/1/53#:~:text=The%20LNG%20import%20capacity%20is%20mostly%20increasing,traditional%20pipeline%20transportation%20less%20reliable%20and%20secure%2C" data-ic="">10</a>, <a href="https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/1/53#:~:text=The%20LNG%20import%20capacity%20is%20mostly%20increasing,traditional%20pipeline%20transportation%20less%20reliable%20and%20secure%2C" data-ic="">10</a>, <a href="https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-63333-1_8#:~:text=The%20ongoing%20conflict%20between%20Russia%20and%20Ukraine,(Mhlanga%2C%202022a%2C%202023a;%20Liu%20&amp;%20Su%2C%202024)." data-ic="">11</a>, <a href="https://www.afjbs.com/uploads/paper/863d1b40471b52f607f9092e2bfe28e2.pdf" data-ic="">12</a>] </span></strong></li>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Military logistics: Predictive analytics can help optimize supply chains and resource allocation for military operations, potentially reducing vulnerabilities and improving efficiency. [<a href="https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/02/future-military-logistics-predictive/402939/" data-ic="">1</a>, <a href="https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/02/future-military-logistics-predictive/402939/" data-ic="">1</a>, <a href="https://www.zealousys.com/blog/predictive-analytics-transforming-military-logistics/#:~:text=By%20fixing%20problems%20in%20supply%20chains%20with,are%20ready%20for%20whatever%20comes%20their%20way." data-ic="">13</a>] </span></strong></li>
</ul>
<div style="font-weight: bold; margin-bottom: 11pt;"><strong><span style="font-size: large;">3. Future Trends: [<a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>, <a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>, <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/roles-and-implications-of-ai-in-the-russian-ukrainian-conflict#:~:text=According%20to%20public%20sources%2C%20neural%20networks%20are,to%20produce%20strategic%20and%20tactical%20intelligence%20advantages." data-ic="">14</a>, <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/roles-and-implications-of-ai-in-the-russian-ukrainian-conflict#:~:text=According%20to%20public%20sources%2C%20neural%20networks%20are,to%20produce%20strategic%20and%20tactical%20intelligence%20advantages." data-ic="">14</a>, <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/ukraines-future-vision-and-current-capabilities-waging-ai-enabled-autonomous-warfare" data-ic="">15</a>, <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/ukraines-future-vision-and-current-capabilities-waging-ai-enabled-autonomous-warfare" data-ic="">15</a>] </span></strong></div>
<ul>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">AI-enabled warfare: The conflict highlights the increasing role of AI in military operations, including intelligence analysis, drone control, and electronic warfare. [<a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>, <a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>, <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/roles-and-implications-of-ai-in-the-russian-ukrainian-conflict#:~:text=According%20to%20public%20sources%2C%20neural%20networks%20are,to%20produce%20strategic%20and%20tactical%20intelligence%20advantages." data-ic="">14</a>, <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/roles-and-implications-of-ai-in-the-russian-ukrainian-conflict#:~:text=According%20to%20public%20sources%2C%20neural%20networks%20are,to%20produce%20strategic%20and%20tactical%20intelligence%20advantages." data-ic="">14</a>, <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/ukraines-future-vision-and-current-capabilities-waging-ai-enabled-autonomous-warfare" data-ic="">15</a>, <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/ukraines-future-vision-and-current-capabilities-waging-ai-enabled-autonomous-warfare" data-ic="">15</a>] </span></strong></li>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Cybersecurity implications: The conflict has raised concerns about the use of AI for cybersecurity and the need to strengthen data encryption and exchange networks. [<a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>, <a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">5</a>] </span></strong></li>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Digital transformation: The conflict has accelerated the shift towards cloud computing and digital infrastructure in both military and civilian sectors. [<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1874548223000501" data-ic="">16</a>, <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1874548223000501" data-ic="">16</a>, <a href="https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/why-no-one-winning-ukraine#:~:text=The%20conflict%20between%20Russia%20and%20Ukraine%20(,component%20of%20armies%2C%20navies%2C%20and%20air%20forces." data-ic="">17</a>] </span></strong></li>
</ul>
<div style="font-weight: bold; margin-bottom: 11pt;"><strong><span style="font-size: large;">4. Limitations and Challenges: [<a href="https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Why-the-Ukraine-Crisis-Is.pdf" data-ic="">18</a>, <a href="https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Why-the-Ukraine-Crisis-Is.pdf" data-ic="">18</a>] </span></strong></div>
<ul>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Unpredictability of human behavior: Predicting the actions and intentions of actors in a conflict is inherently complex and can be challenging for models to capture. [<a href="https://arxiv.org/html/2411.14625v1#:~:text=In%20this%20study%2C%20we%20considered%20exploratory%20data,the%20target%20variable%20of%20a%20specified%20region." data-ic="">7</a>, <a href="https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Why-the-Ukraine-Crisis-Is.pdf" data-ic="">18</a>] </span></strong></li>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Data limitations: The availability and quality of data can affect the accuracy and reliability of predictive models. [<a href="https://data.humdata.org/dataset/2048a947-5714-4220-905b-e662cbcd14c8/resource/926e652a-d161-4b16-8598-936f706ee454/download/conflict-prediction-october-2022.pdf#:~:text=In%20our%20research%2C%20we%20evaluated%20three%20types,drive%20anticipatory%20action%20due%20to%20several%20factors:" data-ic="">19</a>, <a href="https://data.humdata.org/dataset/2048a947-5714-4220-905b-e662cbcd14c8/resource/926e652a-d161-4b16-8598-936f706ee454/download/conflict-prediction-october-2022.pdf#:~:text=In%20our%20research%2C%20we%20evaluated%20three%20types,drive%20anticipatory%20action%20due%20to%20several%20factors:" data-ic="">19</a>, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/predictive-analytics-proactive-issue-resolution-sap-stefan-holitschke-qsdpe#:~:text=Data%20availability%20and%20quality:%20The%20availability%20and,for%20building%20accurate%20and%20reliable%20predictive%20models." data-ic="">20</a>] </span></strong></li>
<li><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Evolving nature of conflict: The conflict is constantly evolving, and models may need to be updated and recalibrated to stay relevant. [<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.14625" data-ic="">8</a>, <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.14625" data-ic="">8</a>, <a href="https://www.britannica.com/event/2022-Russian-invasion-of-Ukraine" data-ic="">21</a>, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/opinion-reassessing-situation-ukraine-new-factors-changing-le%C3%B3n-iosge#:~:text=This%20reassessment%20might%20be%20a%20good%20reminder,and%20the%20necessity%20for%20ongoing%2C%20updated%20analysis." data-ic="">22</a>, <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-83875-6#:~:text=Lastly%2C%20it%20is%20crucial%20to%20regularly%20update,to%20maintain%20their%20accuracy%20and%20relevance%20164." data-ic="">23</a>] </span></strong></li>
</ul>
<div><strong><span style="font-size: large;">In conclusion, predictive analysis plays a crucial role in understanding the complex dynamics of the RussiaUkraine conflict and in guiding decision-making for conflict prevention and response. While challenges exist, the use of AI and data science is expected to become increasingly important in addressing the global implications of the conflict. [<a href="https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/02/future-military-logistics-predictive/402939/" data-ic="">1</a>, <a href="https://gesda.global/the-future-of-conflict-prevention-is-predictive-peacebuilding/#:~:text=Predictive%20peacebuilding%20uses%20data%20science%20to%20better,help%20develop%20mitigation%2C%20preventive%20and%20rebuilding%20strategies." data-ic="">3</a>, <a href="https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Early%20Warning%20tools%20for,to%20escalate%2C%20sometimes%20compounded%20by%20climate%20hazards." data-ic="">4</a>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v536H_zG-hk" data-ic="">24</a>, <a href="https://www.csis.org/executive-education/courses/beyond-battlefield-global-implications-russias-war-ukraine#:~:text=Overview.%20Russia's%20invasion%20of%20Ukraine%20has%20altered,States%2C%20as%20well%20as%20across%20developing%20economies." data-ic="">25</a>] </span></strong></div>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: large;"><br style="line-height: 11pt;" /><br style="line-height: 11pt;" /></span></strong></p>
<div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 11pt;"><strong><i><span style="font-size: large;">Generative AI is experimental.</span></i></strong></div>
</div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[1] <a href="https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/02/future-military-logistics-predictive/402939/" data-ic="">https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2025/02/future-military-logistics-predictive/402939/</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[2] <a href="https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10341088/" data-ic="">https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10341088/</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[3] <a href="https://gesda.global/the-future-of-conflict-prevention-is-predictive-peacebuilding/#:~:text=Predictive%20peacebuilding%20uses%20data%20science%20to%20better,help%20develop%20mitigation%2C%20preventive%20and%20rebuilding%20strategies." data-ic="">https://gesda.global/the-future-of-conflict-prevention-is-predictive-peacebuilding/</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[4] <a href="https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20Early%20Warning%20tools%20for,to%20escalate%2C%20sometimes%20compounded%20by%20climate%20hazards." data-ic="">https://www.anticipation-hub.org/learn/emerging-topics/conflict/catalogue-of-early-warning-tools-for-anticipating-the-impact-of-conflict</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[5] <a href="https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/#:~:text=A%20further%20priority%20is%20AI%20for%20cybersecurity,threats%2C%20enabling%20swifter%20and%20more%20effective%20responses." data-ic="">https://icds.ee/en/russias-war-in-ukraine-artificial-intelligence-in-defence-of-ukraine/</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[6] <a href="https://www.magnanimitas.cz/ADALTA/140141/papers/A_03.pdf#:~:text=Politicians%20and%20armed%20forces%20create%20their%20own,on%20its%20frontline%20progress%20via%20social%20media." data-ic="">https://www.magnanimitas.cz/ADALTA/140141/papers/A_03.pdf</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[7] <a href="https://arxiv.org/html/2411.14625v1#:~:text=In%20this%20study%2C%20we%20considered%20exploratory%20data,the%20target%20variable%20of%20a%20specified%20region." data-ic="">https://arxiv.org/html/2411.14625v1</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[8] <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.14625" data-ic="">https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.14625</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[9] <a href="https://cjc.utppublishing.com/doi/10.22230/cjc.2020v45n1a3479#:~:text=To%20offset%20this%20loss%2C%20some%20councils%20have,of%20the%20issues%2C%20and%20facilitate%20resource%20allocation." data-ic="">https://cjc.utppublishing.com/doi/10.22230/cjc.2020v45n1a3479</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[10] <a href="https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/1/53#:~:text=The%20LNG%20import%20capacity%20is%20mostly%20increasing,traditional%20pipeline%20transportation%20less%20reliable%20and%20secure%2C" data-ic="">https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/1/53</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[11] <a href="https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-63333-1_8#:~:text=The%20ongoing%20conflict%20between%20Russia%20and%20Ukraine,(Mhlanga%2C%202022a%2C%202023a;%20Liu%20&amp;%20Su%2C%202024)." data-ic="">https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-63333-1_8</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[12] <a href="https://www.afjbs.com/uploads/paper/863d1b40471b52f607f9092e2bfe28e2.pdf" data-ic="">https://www.afjbs.com/uploads/paper/863d1b40471b52f607f9092e2bfe28e2.pdf</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[13] <a href="https://www.zealousys.com/blog/predictive-analytics-transforming-military-logistics/#:~:text=By%20fixing%20problems%20in%20supply%20chains%20with,are%20ready%20for%20whatever%20comes%20their%20way." data-ic="">https://www.zealousys.com/blog/predictive-analytics-transforming-military-logistics/</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[14] <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/roles-and-implications-of-ai-in-the-russian-ukrainian-conflict#:~:text=According%20to%20public%20sources%2C%20neural%20networks%20are,to%20produce%20strategic%20and%20tactical%20intelligence%20advantages." data-ic="">https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/roles-and-implications-of-ai-in-the-russian-ukrainian-conflict</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[15] <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/ukraines-future-vision-and-current-capabilities-waging-ai-enabled-autonomous-warfare" data-ic="">https://www.csis.org/analysis/ukraines-future-vision-and-current-capabilities-waging-ai-enabled-autonomous-warfare</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[16] <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1874548223000501" data-ic="">https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1874548223000501</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[17] <a href="https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/why-no-one-winning-ukraine#:~:text=The%20conflict%20between%20Russia%20and%20Ukraine%20(,component%20of%20armies%2C%20navies%2C%20and%20air%20forces." data-ic="">https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/why-no-one-winning-ukraine</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[18] <a href="https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Why-the-Ukraine-Crisis-Is.pdf" data-ic="">https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Why-the-Ukraine-Crisis-Is.pdf</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[19] <a href="https://data.humdata.org/dataset/2048a947-5714-4220-905b-e662cbcd14c8/resource/926e652a-d161-4b16-8598-936f706ee454/download/conflict-prediction-october-2022.pdf#:~:text=In%20our%20research%2C%20we%20evaluated%20three%20types,drive%20anticipatory%20action%20due%20to%20several%20factors:" data-ic="">https://data.humdata.org/dataset/2048a947-5714-4220-905b-e662cbcd14c8/resource/926e652a-d161-4b16-8598-936f706ee454/download/conflict-prediction-october-2022.pdf</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[20] <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/predictive-analytics-proactive-issue-resolution-sap-stefan-holitschke-qsdpe#:~:text=Data%20availability%20and%20quality:%20The%20availability%20and,for%20building%20accurate%20and%20reliable%20predictive%20models." data-ic="">https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/predictive-analytics-proactive-issue-resolution-sap-stefan-holitschke-qsdpe</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[21] <a href="https://www.britannica.com/event/2022-Russian-invasion-of-Ukraine" data-ic="">https://www.britannica.com/event/2022-Russian-invasion-of-Ukraine</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[22] <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/opinion-reassessing-situation-ukraine-new-factors-changing-le%C3%B3n-iosge#:~:text=This%20reassessment%20might%20be%20a%20good%20reminder,and%20the%20necessity%20for%20ongoing%2C%20updated%20analysis." data-ic="">https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/opinion-reassessing-situation-ukraine-new-factors-changing-le%C3%B3n-iosge</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[23] <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-83875-6#:~:text=Lastly%2C%20it%20is%20crucial%20to%20regularly%20update,to%20maintain%20their%20accuracy%20and%20relevance%20164." data-ic="">https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-83875-6</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[24] <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v536H_zG-hk" data-ic="">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v536H_zG-hk</a></span></strong></div>
<div data-sf=""><strong><span style="font-size: large;">[25] <a href="https://www.csis.org/executive-education/courses/beyond-battlefield-global-implications-russias-war-ukraine#:~:text=Overview.%20Russia's%20invasion%20of%20Ukraine%20has%20altered,States%2C%20as%20well%20as%20across%20developing%20economies." data-ic="">https://www.csis.org/executive-education/courses/beyond-battlefield-global-implications-russias-war-ukraine</a></span></strong></div>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: large;">&#8211;</span></strong></p>
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<div data-di="0"><strong><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="https://copilot.microsoft.com/chats/wYzNDBAZMhKarHqnjLWT5" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> </a></span></strong></div>
<div data-di="0"><strong><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="https://copilot.microsoft.com/chats/wYzNDBAZMhKarHqnjLWT5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Copilot: </a></span><span style="font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://copilot.microsoft.com/chats/wYzNDBAZMhKarHqnjLWT5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Russia-Ukraine conflict</a>, now in its fourth year as of April 2025, remains a defining geopolitical crisis with significant implications for global security, economic stability, and humanitarian welfare. Analysts suggest that Russia currently holds the strategic advantage, maintaining control over key territories such as Donbas, Crimea, and the land bridge connecting them. Ukraine faces challenges in generating sufficient land forces to reclaim these areas, despite ongoing military efforts.</span></strong></div>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div data-di="0"></div>
<div data-di="0"><strong>Recent assessments indicate that Russia continues to advance incrementally across multiple fronts, including Donetsk, Kharkiv, and Kursk, with daily territorial gains. Ukraine&#8217;s military, constrained by manpower shortages and demographic shifts, struggles to sustain its defensive operations. Meanwhile, diplomatic efforts remain stalled, with Russia reiterating its long-standing demands that preclude a stable peace agreement.</strong></div>
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<div data-di="0"><strong>The trajectory of the conflict depends on several factors, including international support for Ukraine, Russia&#8217;s military strategy, and potential shifts in diplomatic negotiations. If Ukraine can secure increased military aid and bolster its forces, it may be able to push back Russian advances. Conversely, if Russia consolidates its territorial gains and maintains its operational momentum, the conflict could extend indefinitely.</strong></div>
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<div data-di="0"><strong>Would you like insights on potential diplomatic resolutions or economic impacts?</strong></div>
<div data-di="0"><strong>&#8211;</strong></div>
<div data-di="0"></div>
<div data-di="0"><strong><a href="https://x.com/i/grok/share/hAzYsSDmxornhzsunXslhMRbp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Grok</a></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-16dba41 r-1adg3ll r-1b5gpbm r-a8ghvy" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px 0px 1.25em; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Predictive analysis of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2025 is complex, as it hinges on multiple variables—military, economic, political, and geopolitical—that are dynamic and interdependent. Below, I outline key factors influencing the conflict&#8217;s trajectory, potential scenarios, and their likelihood, drawing on available data and trends while avoiding speculative overreach. The analysis focuses on the near term (2025) and acknowledges the inherent uncertainty of war outcomes.</span></strong></div>
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-adyw6z r-135wba7 r-b88u0q" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; font-weight: bold; line-height: 24px; list-style: none; margin: 1.3em 0px 0.6em; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Key Factors Shaping the Conflict in 2025</span></span></strong></div>
<ol dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; list-style: disc; margin-block: 0px 1.25em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;" start="1">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Military Dynamics</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">:</span></span></strong></div>
<ul style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: disc; margin-block: 0.75em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Russia&#8217;s Strategy and Resources</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Russia has adopted a strategy of attritional warfare, aiming to exhaust Ukraine through sustained pressure and incremental territorial gains. In 2024, Russian forces gained approximately 4,168 km², primarily in Donetsk, but at a high cost, with reported casualties exceeding 420,000 for the year. Russia&#8217;s tank reserves are dwindling, with estimates suggesting stocks of restorable tanks may be exhausted by mid-2025, and restoration rates have dropped significantly. Artillery and rocket launcher shortages could emerge by 2025-2026. Manpower remains a challenge, with recruitment struggling to keep pace with losses (40,000 recruits vs. 40,000 losses monthly in early 2025).</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Ukraine&#8217;s Capabilities</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Ukraine has demonstrated resilience, inflicting unsustainable losses on Russian forces while holding key defensive lines. Ukrainian drone warfare has improved, with FPV drones destroying 85% of Russian targets in the Pokrovsk direction by early 2025, up from 50% in mid-2024. However, Ukraine faces manpower shortages, exacerbated by reluctance to mobilize 18- to 25-year-olds, and relies heavily on Western aid for artillery, air defense (e.g., Patriot systems), and long-range systems (HIMARS, ATACMS).</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Western Support</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: The suspension of U.S. military aid and intelligence sharing in March 2025 has strained Ukraine’s capabilities, with Patriot missile stocks potentially depleting by mid-2025. Europe has increased support, with Germany, France, the Netherlands, and the UK committing billions in aid and drone production, but it may not fully offset U.S. reductions. European defense production is ramping up, potentially meeting more of Ukraine’s needs by late 2025.</span></span></strong></div>
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</ul>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.8em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Economic and Domestic Factors</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">:</span></span></strong></div>
<ul style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: disc; margin-block: 0.75em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Russia</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Russia’s economy faces stagflation risks, with inflation at 10.2% in early 2025 and projected to fall to 7-8% by year-end. Military spending (6% of GDP) sustains the war effort, but sanctions and equipment losses limit long-term capacity. Public support for negotiations is around 60%, but Putin’s insistence on maximalist goals (regime change, territorial concessions) limits diplomatic flexibility.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.4em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Ukraine</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Ukraine’s economy shows resilience, with projected GDP growth of 2.5-3.5% in 2025, supported by domestic defense production (up from 1.3 billion to 20 billion hryvnia, 2014-2024) and EU investments. However, energy infrastructure attacks and population displacement (7 million refugees) strain recovery. The IMF’s baseline scenario assumes the war ends by late 2025, but a prolonged conflict could deepen fiscal deficits.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.8em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Geopolitical and Diplomatic Context</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">:</span></span></strong></div>
<ul style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: disc; margin-block: 0.75em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">U.S. Policy under Trump</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: The Trump administration’s push for a ceasefire, coupled with aid pauses, pressures Ukraine to negotiate. Trump’s unpredictability complicates predictions, but his focus on forcing negotiations may lead to concessions that favor Russia unless Putin overplays his hand.</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Russia’s Stance</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Putin has rejected ceasefire proposals unless they include Ukrainian capitulation, demilitarization, and territorial losses. Kremlin narratives portray Ukraine as an illegitimate negotiating partner, aiming to undermine Western support.</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Allied Support</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: NATO and EU countries remain committed, with increased defense budgets and production (e.g., Rheinmetall’s nitrocellulose expansion for artillery shells). However, political fatigue in the West and competing global crises (e.g., Middle East, Taiwan) could dilute focus on Ukraine.</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Third-Party Actors</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Russia relies on North Korean troops (withdrawn in February 2025 after high casualties) and Iranian drones, while China provides indirect support via sanctions evasion. These partnerships bolster Russia but are insufficient to decisively shift the balance.</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Technological and Tactical Innovations</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">:</span></span></strong></div>
<ul style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: disc; margin-block: 0.75em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Drones and Motorcycles</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Both sides are adapting. Russia is developing motorcycle-based tactics for speed and maneuverability to evade drones, while Ukraine’s drone production and integration with ground operations are advancing.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.4em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Energy Infrastructure Attacks</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Russia’s targeting of Ukraine’s energy grid aims to cripple its economy and morale, while Ukraine’s drone strikes on Russian oil facilities (6,500+ in 2024) disrupt Moscow’s revenue.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.4em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">AI and Electronic Warfare</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: AI-guided munitions and electronic warfare are increasingly critical, with Ukraine testing new prototypes to counter Russian advances.</span></span></strong></div>
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</li>
</ol>
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-adyw6z r-135wba7 r-b88u0q" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; font-weight: bold; line-height: 24px; list-style: none; margin: 1.3em 0px 0.6em; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Potential Scenarios for 2025</span></span></strong></div>
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-16dba41 r-1adg3ll r-1b5gpbm r-a8ghvy" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px 0px 1.25em; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Based on these factors, I outline three primary scenarios for the conflict’s trajectory in 2025, with estimated likelihoods and key drivers. These align with analyses from sources like MAX Security and Chatham House.</span></strong></div>
<ol dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; list-style: disc; margin-block: 0px 1.25em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;" start="1">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Ceasefire Agreement (60% Likelihood)</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">:</span></span></strong></div>
<ul style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: disc; margin-block: 0.75em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Description</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: A fragile ceasefire is negotiated, likely under U.S. pressure, freezing the front line without resolving territorial disputes. Both sides maximize territorial gains before talks, with Russia holding ~20% of Ukraine and Ukraine retaining parts of Kursk. Terms may include prisoner swaps (as seen in April 2025), bans on energy infrastructure strikes, and Black Sea truces.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.4em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Drivers</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Trump’s threat to cut aid forces Zelensky to negotiate, while Putin faces domestic pressure (60% of Russians support talks) and equipment shortages. European aid sustains Ukraine’s leverage, preventing total capitulation.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.4em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Implications</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: A ceasefire allows Ukraine to lift martial law, hold elections, and begin reconstruction, but violations are likely, as seen post-Minsk Agreements. Russia may use the pause to rebuild forces, while Ukraine strengthens its defense industry. Global energy markets stabilize, but geopolitical tensions persist.</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Protracted Attritional Conflict (35% Likelihood)</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">:</span></span></strong></div>
<ul style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: disc; margin-block: 0.75em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Description</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: The war continues as a stalemate, with neither side achieving a breakthrough. Russia makes marginal gains (e.g., in Donetsk, Luhansk) but lacks resources for decisive victories. Ukraine holds defensive lines but struggles with manpower and U.S. aid cuts. Trench warfare and drone-heavy tactics dominate, with high casualties on both sides.</span></span></strong></div>
</li>
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.4em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Drivers</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Putin rejects ceasefire terms if Russia captures key logistical hubs (e.g., Pokrovsk), believing military victory is achievable. Ukraine’s resilience, bolstered by European aid and domestic production, prevents collapse. Western fatigue and U.S. isolationism limit support, prolonging the stalemate.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.4em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Implications</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Ukraine’s economy faces deeper shocks, with inflation rising and reconstruction delayed. Russia’s economy stagnates further, risking social unrest. Global attention shifts to other conflicts, reducing diplomatic pressure for resolution.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.8em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Decisive Shift (5% Likelihood)</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">:</span></span></strong></div>
<ul style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; list-style: disc; margin-block: 0.75em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Description</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Either side achieves a significant breakthrough, leading to a Ukrainian victory (retaking pre-2022 borders) or Russian victory (major territorial gains, regime change). A Ukrainian collapse is less likely due to European support, while a Russian collapse could stem from economic implosion or internal dissent.</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Drivers</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: For Ukraine, a surge in Western aid (e.g., lifted restrictions on long-range strikes) or Russian overextension could enable a counteroffensive. For Russia, a complete U.S. aid cutoff and Ukrainian manpower shortages could tip the balance. A sudden leadership change (e.g., Putin’s removal) could also disrupt Russia’s war effort.</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Implications</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: A Ukrainian victory would bolster NATO and European security but strain Russia’s global influence. A Russian victory would embolden authoritarian regimes and destabilize Europe, impacting global trade and security.</span></span></strong></div>
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</ol>
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-adyw6z r-135wba7 r-b88u0q" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; font-weight: bold; line-height: 24px; list-style: none; margin: 1.3em 0px 0.6em; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Critical Uncertainties</span></span></strong></div>
<ul dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; list-style-image: initial; list-style-position: initial; margin-block: 0px 1.25em; margin: 0px; padding-inline-start: 2em; padding: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0px; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">U.S. Policy Consistency</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Trump’s unpredictability could lead to renewed aid or further cuts, dramatically affecting Ukraine’s resilience.</span></span></strong></div>
</li>
<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.8em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Russian Domestic Stability</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Economic strain and casualty backlash could force Putin to negotiate or escalate, depending on internal pressures.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.8em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">European Commitment</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: If Europe fully compensates for U.S. aid reductions, Ukraine’s defensive capacity strengthens; otherwise, vulnerabilities grow.</span></span></strong></div>
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<li style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 0.8em; border: 0px solid #000000;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-b88u0q r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Technological Edge</span></span></span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">: Advances in drones, AI, or electronic warfare could shift tactical advantages, though neither side currently holds a decisive edge.</span></span></strong></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-adyw6z r-135wba7 r-b88u0q" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; font-weight: bold; line-height: 24px; list-style: none; margin: 1.3em 0px 0.6em; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-a8ghvy" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Conclusion</span></span></strong></div>
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-16dba41 r-1adg3ll r-1b5gpbm r-a8ghvy" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px 0px 1.25em; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">The most likely outcome in 2025 is a fragile ceasefire (60%), driven by U.S. pressure and mutual exhaustion, though it risks violations without addressing core issues like territorial sovereignty. A protracted stalemate (35%) is the next most likely, perpetuating attrition and economic strain. A decisive victory for either side (5%) remains improbable absent major shifts in aid, leadership, or resources. Ukraine’s resilience and European support mitigate the risk of collapse, but Russia’s resource constraints and domestic pressures could limit its ability to sustain indefinite warfare. Monitoring U.S. policy, Russian equipment stocks, and European aid delivery will be critical to refining this outlook.</span></strong></div>
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-16dba41 r-1adg3ll r-a8ghvy r-p1pxzi" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">For further details on specific aid packages or military developments, refer to sources like the Institute for the Study of War (understandingwar.org) or MAX Security (max-security.com).</span></strong></div>
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-16dba41 r-1adg3ll r-a8ghvy r-p1pxzi" dir="ltr" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-emoji: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 1.5; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><strong><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="--tw-border-spacing-x: 0; --tw-border-spacing-y: 0; --tw-ring-color: hsl(var(--colors-blue-500) / 0.5); --tw-ring-offset-color: #fff; --tw-ring-offset-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-ring-offset-width: 0px; --tw-ring-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-rotate: 0; --tw-scale-x: 1; --tw-scale-y: 1; --tw-scroll-snap-strictness: proximity; --tw-shadow-colored: 0 0 #0000; --tw-shadow: 0 0 #0000; --tw-skew-x: 0; --tw-skew-y: 0; --tw-translate-x: 0; --tw-translate-y: 0; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">&#8211;</span></strong></div>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Selected Articles</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jan 2025 16:48:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Selected Articles &#8211; The News And Times Information Network &#8211; Blogs By Michael Novakhov &#8211; thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/selected-articles-html-2/">Selected Articles</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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		<title>Starred posts</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/mobile-starred-posts-html/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=mobile-starred-posts-html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jan 2025 14:16:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The News And Times Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Mobile &#8211; Starred posts &#8211; The News And Times Information Network &#8211; Blogs By Michael Novakhov &#8211; thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/mobile-starred-posts-html/">Starred posts</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><span style="background-color: white; color: #424242; font-family: __Open_Sans_e3fff1, __Open_Sans_Fallback_e3fff1, Helvetica; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.15px; text-wrap-mode: nowrap;"><b><a href="https://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/2025/01/mobile-starred-posts.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Mobile &#8211; Starred posts</a></b></span></p>
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		<title>Starred posts</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/starred-posts_12-html/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=starred-posts_12-html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jan 2025 14:02:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The News And Times Blog]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>The News And Times &#8211; thenewsandtimes.com The News And Times &#8211; thenewsandtimes.com &#8211; Blogs and Sites by Michael Novakhov The News And Times Information Network &#8211; Blogs By Michael Novakhov &#8211; thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/starred-posts_12-html/">Starred posts</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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		<title>Diddy and October Surprise 2024 &#8211; Web Review</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/diddy-and-october-surprise-2024-web-html/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=diddy-and-october-surprise-2024-web-html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Oct 2024 12:24:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The News And Times Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/diddy-and-october-surprise-2024-web-html/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>&#160; This photo provided by the Office of the New York Mayor, shows Mayor Eric Adams, left, presenting the Key to the City to hip-hop artist Sean “Diddy” Combs in New York’s Times Square, Friday, Sept. 15, 2023. (Office of the New York Mayor/Caroline Rubinstein-Willis via AP) Post Link &#160; &#8211; Diddy and October Surprise [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/diddy-and-october-surprise-2024-web-html/">Diddy and October Surprise 2024 – Web Review</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<div class="Figure-content" style="background-color: white; background-repeat: no-repeat; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; font-family: AP, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: calc(1em + 4px); margin-top: 10px;">
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p style="background-repeat: no-repeat; box-sizing: border-box; font-size: var(--caption-1); line-height: calc(1em + 4px); margin-top: 0px;">This photo provided by the Office of the New York Mayor, shows Mayor Eric Adams, left, presenting the Key to the City to hip-hop artist Sean “Diddy” Combs in New York’s Times Square, Friday, Sept. 15, 2023. (Office of the New York Mayor/Caroline Rubinstein-Willis via AP)</p>
<p style="background-repeat: no-repeat; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: calc(1em + 4px); margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="https://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/2024/10/diddy-and-october-surprise-2024-web.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Post Link</a></b></span></p>
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<p><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://rss.app/embed/v1/feed/x5XToIlqBXhy9h4a" width="600" height="700" frameborder="0"></iframe><br />
&#8211;</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">Diddy and October Surprise 2024 &#8211; Google Search <a href="https://t.co/wngzMoGOvO">https://t.co/wngzMoGOvO</a> <a href="https://t.co/oBK14vyQdr">pic.twitter.com/oBK14vyQdr</a></p>
<p>— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) <a href="https://twitter.com/mikenov/status/1849784578489098592?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 25, 2024</a></p></blockquote>
<p><script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script><br />
&#8211;</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">Diddy and October Surprise 2024 &#8211; Search <a href="https://t.co/l5AwvoHxU8">https://t.co/l5AwvoHxU8</a> <a href="https://t.co/PaTq6hGfv5">pic.twitter.com/PaTq6hGfv5</a></p>
<p>— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) <a href="https://twitter.com/mikenov/status/1849786001192808566?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 25, 2024</a></p></blockquote>
<p><script async="" charset="utf-8" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script><br />
&#8211;</p>
<div class="blogger-post-footer">The News And Times Information Network &#8211; Blogs By Michael Novakhov &#8211; thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com</div>
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<div class='heateor_sss_sharing_container heateor_sss_vertical_sharing heateor_sss_bottom_sharing' style='width:44px;left: -10px;top: 300px;-webkit-box-shadow:none;box-shadow:none;' data-heateor-sss-href='https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/'><div class="heateor_sss_sharing_ul"><a aria-label="Facebook" class="heateor_sss_facebook" href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fcategory%2Ffeatured-posts%2Ffeed%2F" title="Facebook" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#0765FE;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg style="display:block;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="100%" height="100%" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M28 16c0-6.627-5.373-12-12-12S4 9.373 4 16c0 5.628 3.875 10.35 9.101 11.647v-7.98h-2.474V16H13.1v-1.58c0-4.085 1.849-5.978 5.859-5.978.76 0 2.072.15 2.608.298v3.325c-.283-.03-.775-.045-1.386-.045-1.967 0-2.728.745-2.728 2.683V16h3.92l-.673 3.667h-3.247v8.245C23.395 27.195 28 22.135 28 16Z"></path></svg></span></a><a aria-label="X" class="heateor_sss_button_x" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Featured%20Posts&url=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fcategory%2Ffeatured-posts%2Ffeed%2F" title="X" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg heateor_sss_s__default heateor_sss_s_x" style="background-color:#2a2a2a;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M21.751 7h3.067l-6.7 7.658L26 25.078h-6.172l-4.833-6.32-5.531 6.32h-3.07l7.167-8.19L6 7h6.328l4.37 5.777L21.75 7Zm-1.076 16.242h1.7L11.404 8.74H9.58l11.094 14.503Z"></path></svg></span></a><a class="heateor_sss_more" aria-label="More" title="More" rel="nofollow noopener" style="font-size: 32px!important;border:0;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block!important;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align: middle;display:inline;" href="https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/" onclick="event.preventDefault()"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#ee8e2d;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block!important;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;display:inline;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box;" onclick="heateorSssMoreSharingPopup(this, 'https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/', 'Featured%20Posts', '' )"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" viewBox="-.3 0 32 32" version="1.1" width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;" xml:space="preserve"><g><path fill="#fff" d="M18 14V8h-4v6H8v4h6v6h4v-6h6v-4h-6z" fill-rule="evenodd"></path></g></svg></span></a></div><div class="heateorSssClear"></div></div><p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/diddy-and-october-surprise-2024-web-html/">Diddy and October Surprise 2024 – Web Review</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>Here are five potential October surprises that could emerge this year. &#8211; The Hill</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/4907731-5-october-surprises-trump-harris-race/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=4907731-5-october-surprises-trump-harris-race</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Oct 2024 16:11:44 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Novakhov - SharedNewsLinks℠]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/4907731-5-october-surprises-trump-harris-race/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Michael_Novakhov shared this story from The Hill News. Here are five potential October surprises that could emerge this year. – The Hill The 2024 presidential race has seen enough shocking events transpire in a few short months to fill an entire calendar year, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be a much-talked about October surprise [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/4907731-5-october-surprises-trump-harris-race/">Here are five potential October surprises that could emerge this year. – The Hill</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<a href="https://michael_novakhov.newsblur.com/story/the-hill/9061507:657028">shared this story</a><br />
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<p class="entry-title"><a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4907731-5-october-surprises-trump-harris-race/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Here are five potential October surprises that could emerge this year. – The Hill</strong></a></p>
<p><strong>The 2024 presidential race has seen enough shocking events transpire in a few short months to fill an entire calendar year, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be a much-talked about October surprise looming in the final weeks of the campaign.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Each of the past two presidential cycles have been marked by an October surprise, including the “Access Hollywood” tape along with the Comey letter in 2016 and then questions around a laptop belonging to <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/people/hunter-biden/" rel="nofollow">Hunter Biden </a>in 2020.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Here are five potential October surprises that could emerge this year.</strong></p>
<h2><strong>The emergence of new video or audio</strong></h2>
<p><strong>Each of the last two presidential elections have been marked by the emergence of new audio or video footage through news reports. </strong></p>
<p><strong>In 2016, it was the “Access Hollywood” tape in which Trump was heard bragging about groping women, which nearly ended his White House bid that year. In 2020, it was the Hunter Biden laptop that featured controversial images of President Biden’s son.</strong></p>
<p><strong>For Harris, the risk of new audio or video coming to light centers around her <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801186-kamala-harris-policy-pivots-gop-attacks/" rel="nofollow">past policy positions</a>. </strong></p>
<p><strong>News outlets have been focused on some of the policies Harris backed during her 2020 presidential bid, when she said she <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/4856362-vice-president-kamala-harris-fracking/" rel="nofollow">supported a ban on fracking</a> and <a class="external" href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-shifts-key-positions-border-illegal-immigration-campaign-promises-pragmatic-approach" rel="nofollow">backed decriminalizing</a> illegally crossing the border. Additional audio or video of her as a presidential candidate, prosecutor or senator could cause new headaches for her campaign. She has distanced herself from those views during the 2024 campaign.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Trump’s ability to shock the general electorate has waned over the near decade he’s spent in the political spotlight with each incendiary comment he makes at rallies and on social media.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Even in 2016, Trump managed to quickly recover from the “Access Hollywood” scandal in a matter of days.</strong></p>
<p><strong>But video and audio of closed-door remarks by Trump to donors, for example, could create a firestorm or provide fodder for the Harris campaign, such as when the former president <a class="external" href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/10/politics/trump-2017-tax-cuts-rich/index.html" rel="nofollow">promised wealthy donors</a> tax cuts in a potential second term.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The significance of a damaging news report was on display last month when <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4897839-mark-robinson-hires-law-firm-cnn-report/" rel="nofollow">CNN reported</a> on posts North Carolina GOP gubernatorial candidate <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/people/mark-robinson/" rel="nofollow">Mark Robinson,</a> whom Trump endorsed, made on an online pornography forum between 2008 and 2012, including that he supported slavery and called himself a “Black Nazi.”</strong></p>
<h2><strong>A major weather event</strong></h2>
<p><strong>The devastation of Hurricane Helene in recent days was a prime example of how a significant weather event could upend the campaign in the coming weeks.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Helene ravaged swaths of Florida, Georgia and North Carolina, taking out critical infrastructure and cutting off power for millions of people in those states. White House homeland security adviser Liz Sherwood-Randall told reporters Monday as many as 600 people were still unaccounted for.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The political impacts were immediate: Harris <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4906743-hurricane-helene-vice-president-kamala-harris/" rel="nofollow">cut short</a> a West Coast campaign swing to return to Washington, D.C., for a storm briefing. She is expected to tour storm damage in the coming days, while Trump <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4906753-trump-visits-georgia-hurricane-helene/" rel="nofollow">visited Georgia</a> to see the aftermath Monday.</strong></p>
<p><strong>There is also the possibility that the storm damage could hinder early voting, particularly in North Carolina and Georgia, where early in-person voting is set to begin in the coming weeks. Both of those states are closely contested and are expected to help determine the winner of November’s election.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Hurricane season lasts into November, leaving open the possibility of another major storm along the Gulf Coast. And White House officials in particular have warned that climate change has led to more damaging, more intense storms that could wreak havoc on the campaign.</strong></p>
<h2><strong>More political violence</strong></h2>
<p><strong>One of the gravest potential October surprises would be violence targeting candidates, election workers, staff or other officials.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Trump has been at the center of two attempted assassinations in recent months, ratcheting up fears of political divisions turning to violence. He was grazed by a bullet at a July rally, and an alleged gunman camped out along the perimeter of one of his golf club’s in September before a Secret Service agent fired at him.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A Virginia man was <a class="external" href="https://www.npr.org/2024/08/06/nx-s1-5065392/man-arrested-threats-kamala-harris" rel="nofollow">arrested in late July</a> for allegedly making death threats against Harris.</strong></p>
<p><strong>NBC News <a class="external" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/fbi-investigating-threatening-letters-sent-elections-officials-several-rcna171464" rel="nofollow">reported in September</a> that the FBI was investigating after election officials in at least six states received suspicious packages.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“I’m most concerned about vote-counting and election judges and violence. There’s been a pretty clear pattern of threats about who gets to count votes,” John Murphy, a professor at the University of Illinois who studies political rhetoric, said in a recent interview.</strong></p>
<p><strong>But calls to lower the political temperature after each of those assassination attempts have mostly been futile, with Trump in particular ramping up the <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4906401-larry-hogan-donald-trump-kamala-harris/" rel="nofollow">personal attacks</a> on his opponents. </strong></p>
<p><strong>On Monday, the former president <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4907242-trump-blames-democrats-secret-service/" rel="nofollow">blamed Democrats</a> for Secret Service staffing issues that forced him to relocate a Saturday rally in Wisconsin.</strong></p>
<h2><strong>Another Trump-Harris debate</strong></h2>
<p><strong>Perhaps one of the likeliest events that could shake up the presidential race would be a second debate between Trump and Harris.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The two candidates squared off on stage Sept. 10, but Trump has thus far declined to agree to a second debate, claiming he won their first clash and later suggesting it was too late for another one because early voting had already started.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Harris has repeatedly <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4906554-harris-baits-trump-second-debate/" rel="nofollow">pushed for another debate</a> with Trump in October. She has accepted an invite for a CNN-hosted debate Oct. 23.</strong></p>
<p><strong>But some Trump allies have urged him to reconsider, and there is a lingering sense that the former president could still change his mind if he feels his poll numbers could use a boost or he needs to change the news cycle in the weeks before Election Day.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“As of right now this is the only debate that is left on the calendar. <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/people/donald-trump/" rel="nofollow">President Trump </a>has made it pretty clear where he is,” senior Trump adviser Jason Miller said Monday, referring to this week’s vice presidential clash. “There were other opportunities that <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/people/kamala-harris/" rel="nofollow">Kamala Harris </a>could have joined President Trump for previous debates.”</strong></p>
<h2><strong>Broader war breaks out</strong></h2>
<p><strong>While domestic events are most likely to have the most impact on the election, the risk of war breaking out abroad could also have serious ramifications on the campaign.</strong></p>
<p><strong>There are significant concerns about tensions in the Middle East, where Israel’s war with Hamas is approaching its one-year mark. </strong></p>
<p><strong>Separately, Israel decimated Hezbollah’s leadership with strikes over the past week, while also killing hundreds of civilians and forcing nearly 1 million people from their homes in Lebanon.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Israel reportedly told the White House on Monday it could launch a limited ground operation in Lebanon in the coming days, <a class="external" href="https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4907600-israel-hezbollah-conflict/" rel="nofollow">escalating fears</a> of an all-out war between Israeli forces and Hezbollah, designated by the U.S. as a terrorist organization.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Such a war could further inflame tensions among Democrats in particular, as the party has been divided over the Biden administration’s support for Israel over the past year despite its forces killing tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians in Gaza in its war against Hamas.</strong></p>
<p><strong>It would also create a potential opening for Trump to go on offense on foreign policy. While Harris has argued Trump can’t be trusted to maintain alliances and that he has cozied up to dictators, the former president has pointed to conflicts in Ukraine and in the Middle East to argue the world is less safe than it was when he was in office.</strong></p>
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		<title>Bibi, Putin, Trump!</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/search-inside-image-will-vladimir-putin-html/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=search-inside-image-will-vladimir-putin-html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Sep 2024 14:37:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>&#160; Search inside image &#160; &#160; Will Vladimir Putin and Benjamin Netanyahu Bless Donald Trump With an October Surprise? &#124; The Nation &#160; Visit &#160; &#160; Images may be subject to copyright. Learn More &#160; Bibi, Putin, Trump! Bing: Israel and the October Surprise 2024 It would be a mistake for Israel to invade Lebanon – [&#8230;]</p>
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<ul style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;">
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1wnp0vln19o"><span style="font-size: large;">Who was Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah? &#8211; BBC</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 29, 2024</span></span></li>
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 2rem 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/lebanon-live-updates-rcna173122"><span style="font-size: large;">Netanyahu says killing Nasrallah is key to restoring power &#8230; &#8211; NBC News</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 29, 2024</span></span></li>
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 2rem 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hassan-nasrallah-killed-beirut-strike/"><span style="font-size: large;">Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah killed by Israeli &#8230; &#8211; CBS News</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 28, 2024</span></span></li>
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 2rem 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-09-28/ty-article/.premium/hassan-nasrallah-longtime-hezbollah-leader-killed-in-israeli-strike-in-beirut/00000192-3799-d2b7-a1bb-bfbd02c80000"><span style="font-size: large;">Hassan Nasrallah, Longtime Hezbollah Leader, Killed in Israeli Strike &#8230;</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 28, 2024</span></span></li>
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 2rem 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/hezbollah-chief-sayyed-hassan-nasrallah-airstrikes-lebanon-israel-1.7337217"><span style="font-size: large;">Hezbollah confirms leader Hassan Nasrallah killed in Israeli airstrike</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 28, 2024</span></span></li>
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 2rem 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/28/world/middleeast/hassan-nasrallah-hezbollah-dead.html"><span style="font-size: large;">Hezbollah Leader, Hassan Nasrallah, Killed by Israeli Strike at 64 &#8230;</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 28, 2024</span></span></li>
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 2rem 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/28/middleeast/nasrallah-killed-israel-next-steps-analysis-intl/index.html"><span style="font-size: large;">Hezbollah mulls response after leader’s killing – but Israel’s next &#8230;</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 28, 2024</span></span></li>
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 2rem 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://apnews.com/article/obituary-nasrallah-lebanon-israel-2da3789a02fd4e2e88511a7f59174d19"><span style="font-size: large;">Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah transformed &#8230; &#8211; Associated Press News</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 28, 2024</span></span></li>
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 2rem 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/world/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas"><span style="font-size: large;">Israel Strikes Lebanon Again After Killing Hezbollah Leader</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 28, 2024</span></span></li>
<li style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; border: none; box-sizing: inherit; line-height: 1.5; margin: 2rem 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; word-break: break-word;"><a class="rsswidget" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #cd2653; font-weight: bold; overflow-wrap: break-word; text-decoration-line: none; transition: 0.15s linear; word-break: break-word;" href="https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-28-24/index.html"><span style="font-size: large;">Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah killed in Israeli strike</span></a><span class="rss-date" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: inherit; color: #6d6d6d; display: block; margin-top: 0.2rem; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><span style="font-size: large;">September 28, 2024</span></span></li>
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		<title>The Jewish Orthodox movement is not a religion. It is the global espionage and money laundering operation. They are the &#8220;PUTIN&#8217;S JEWS&#8221;. Dismantle this criminal &#8220;Orthodox Jewish&#8221; sect!</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/the-jewish-orthodox-movement-is-not-html/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=the-jewish-orthodox-movement-is-not-html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Sep 2024 08:10:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The News And Times Blog]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/the-jewish-orthodox-movement-is-not-html/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Putin Has Unleashed a Twisted New Wave of Antisemitism Michael Novakhov @mikenov &#8211; https://x.com/mikenov/status/1834557975580586263 &#160; ttps://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/1824939552441778293… &#160; And not only &#8220;Christian extremists&#8221;. The Jewish Orthodox movement is not a religion, which serves them just as the convenient cover. It is the global espionage and money laundering operation and outfit, the remnant of the half-Jewish Abwehr. They [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/the-jewish-orthodox-movement-is-not-html/">The Jewish Orthodox movement is not a religion. It is the global espionage and money laundering operation. They are the “PUTIN’S JEWS”. Dismantle this criminal “Orthodox Jewish” sect!</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p class="indIKd q23Yce fA1vYb cS4Vcb-pGL6qe-fwJd0c" style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thedailybeast.com%2Fputin-has-unleashed-a-twisted-new-wave-of-antisemitism&amp;psig=AOvVaw1YmPMnbJm1HzeviYS8ZNHp&amp;ust=1727698610896000&amp;source=images&amp;cd=vfe&amp;opi=89978449&amp;ved=0CBcQjhxqFwoTCOD6s4aR6IgDFQAAAAAdAAAAABAE" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Putin Has Unleashed a Twisted New Wave of Antisemitism</strong></a></p>
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<p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-weight: inherit; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">Michael Novakhov </span><span style="color: inherit; font-family: inherit; font-size: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-variant-ligatures: inherit; font-weight: inherit; text-align: inherit; white-space: inherit;">@mikenov &#8211; </span><a href="https://x.com/mikenov/status/1834557975580586263" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://x.com/mikenov/status/1834557975580586263</a></p>
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<div id="id__cd3x8qegdwj" class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-1inkyih r-16dba41 r-bnwqim r-135wba7" dir="auto" lang="en" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0f1419; display: inline; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-size: 17px; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 24px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space-collapse: preserve;" data-testid="tweetText"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;"><span class="r-b88u0q" style="font-weight: bold;">And not only &#8220;Christian extremists&#8221;. </span><br />
<span class="r-b88u0q" style="font-weight: bold;">The Jewish Orthodox movement is not a religion, which serves them just as the convenient cover. It is the global espionage and money laundering operation and outfit, the remnant of the half-Jewish Abwehr. They are the &#8220;<a href="https://www.google.com/search?newwindow=1&amp;sca_esv=3005c82b4bca0edd&amp;sca_upv=1&amp;rlz=1C1ONGR_enUS949US949&amp;sxsrf=ADLYWILlwE2kaDlQvMDN9Ggk941juHNRog:1727612209609&amp;q=PUTIN%E2%80%99S+JEWS&amp;source=lnms&amp;fbs=AEQNm0DrkyAsj3-ytZzdGYQ--Lq3KOQ6qRe-iTIsxjFmTwoAsAwJv_kF8GzDKdU9NoHW7ISPfooIAu0cv-Rri157tfKEdhWsirGqvZAt7IRMTf5hOJN4tGAhQr3bEbe0f_UOmZK50XXQXvT6jfLrHUfnyjHSz-uvJlCVFa9cUBRMYkTNyxVlkQmBrysrSgKsmtv3owkojEFOwbIbcizuzz-pJIAha0hggA&amp;sa=X&amp;ved=2ahUKEwjLvMCAkeiIAxXbrYkEHZTHJlEQ0pQJegQIDxAB&amp;biw=1536&amp;bih=695&amp;dpr=1.25" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PUTIN&#8217;S JEWS</a>&#8220;, promoting his views openly, brazenly, and dangerously. </span><br />
<span class="r-b88u0q" style="font-weight: bold;">They might have been in kahootz and behind the October 7 Anti-Gay Attack on Israel. This complicity has to be investigated very carefully. </span><br />
<span class="r-b88u0q" style="font-weight: bold;">They are the vital part of the Russian Jewish Mob, which now dominates the Organized Crime. The FBI looks at them with their eyes wide shut and stubbornly refuses to see the truth. </span><br />
<span class="r-b88u0q" style="font-weight: bold;">Investigate this issue! </span><br />
<span class="r-b88u0q" style="font-weight: bold;">Disband the criminal Orthodox Jewish sect!</span></span></div>
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<div class="css-175oi2r" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1ets6dv r-1phboty r-rs99b7 r-1867qdf r-1udh08x r-o7ynqc r-6416eg r-1ny4l3l" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border-radius: 16px; border: 1px solid #cfd9de; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; outline-style: none; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1adg3ll r-1udh08x" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="r-1adg3ll r-13qz1uu" style="padding-bottom: 317.7px; width: 564.8px;"></div>
<div class="r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu" style="bottom: 0px; height: 317.7px; left: 0px; position: absolute; top: 0px; width: 564.8px;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1pi2tsx r-13qz1uu r-eqz5dr" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 317.7px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; width: 564.8px; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-zl2h9q r-1iusvr4 r-16y2uox r-18u37iz" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex: 1 0 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px 0px 2px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1iusvr4 r-16y2uox r-bnwqim r-x1x4zq" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px 2px 0px 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-16y2uox r-1pi2tsx r-13qz1uu" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 auto; height: 157.85px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; width: 281.4px; z-index: 0;">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-1udh08x r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1mlwlqe r-1udh08x r-417010 r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;" aria-label="Image" data-testid="tweetPhoto">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1niwhzg r-vvn4in r-u6sd8q r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu r-1wyyakw r-4gszlv" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background-image: url('https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXWm-WnWIAE0CEc?format=png&amp;name=360x360'); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 157.85px; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="css-9pa8cd" style="height: 157.85px; inset: 0px; opacity: 0; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;" draggable="true" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXWm-WnWIAE0CEc?format=png&amp;name=360x360" alt="Image" /></p>
</div>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1iusvr4 r-16y2uox r-bnwqim" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-16y2uox r-1pi2tsx r-13qz1uu" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 auto; height: 157.85px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; width: 281.4px; z-index: 0;">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-1udh08x r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1mlwlqe r-1udh08x r-417010 r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;" aria-label="Image" data-testid="tweetPhoto">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1niwhzg r-vvn4in r-u6sd8q r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu r-1wyyakw r-4gszlv" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background-image: url('https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXWnK6eWUAAB9Zz?format=jpg&amp;name=360x360'); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 157.85px; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="css-9pa8cd" style="height: 157.85px; inset: 0px; opacity: 0; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;" draggable="true" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXWnK6eWUAAB9Zz?format=jpg&amp;name=360x360" alt="Image" /></p>
</div>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1iusvr4 r-16y2uox r-18u37iz" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: row; flex: 1 0 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1iusvr4 r-16y2uox r-bnwqim r-x1x4zq" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px 2px 0px 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-16y2uox r-1pi2tsx r-13qz1uu" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 auto; height: 157.85px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; width: 281.4px; z-index: 0;">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-1udh08x r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1mlwlqe r-1udh08x r-417010 r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;" aria-label="Image" data-testid="tweetPhoto">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1niwhzg r-vvn4in r-u6sd8q r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu r-1wyyakw r-4gszlv" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background-image: url('https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXWoXZNXEAEuBJj?format=png&amp;name=360x360'); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 157.85px; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="css-9pa8cd" style="height: 157.85px; inset: 0px; opacity: 0; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;" draggable="true" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXWoXZNXEAEuBJj?format=png&amp;name=360x360" alt="Image" /></p>
</div>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1iusvr4 r-16y2uox r-bnwqim" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-16y2uox r-1pi2tsx r-13qz1uu" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 auto; height: 157.85px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; width: 281.4px; z-index: 0;">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-1udh08x r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1mlwlqe r-1udh08x r-417010 r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;" aria-label="Image" data-testid="tweetPhoto">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1niwhzg r-vvn4in r-u6sd8q r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu r-1wyyakw r-4gszlv" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background-image: url('https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXWoefuWEAAZ6ec?format=jpg&amp;name=360x360'); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 157.85px; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="css-9pa8cd" style="height: 157.85px; inset: 0px; opacity: 0; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;" draggable="true" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXWoefuWEAAZ6ec?format=jpg&amp;name=360x360" alt="Image" /></p>
</div>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div id="id__e3h0mtib8vs" class="css-175oi2r" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41 r-4iw3lz r-1xk2f4g r-109y4c4 r-1udh08x r-wwvuq4 r-u8s1d r-92ng3h" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px); color: #0f1419; display: inline; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; height: 1px; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space-collapse: preserve; width: 1px;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">Quote</span></div>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-adacv r-1udh08x r-1ets6dv r-1867qdf r-rs99b7 r-o7ynqc r-6416eg r-1ny4l3l r-1loqt21" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border-radius: 16px; border: 1px solid #cfd9de; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 64px; min-width: 0px; outline-style: none; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; z-index: 0;" tabindex="0" role="link">
<div class="css-175oi2r" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-eqz5dr r-jusfrs r-1s2bzr4" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 12px 12px 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1awozwy r-18u37iz r-1wbh5a2" style="align-items: center; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1wbh5a2 r-1udh08x" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1awozwy r-18u37iz r-dnmrzs" style="align-items: center; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1gs4q39" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px 4px 0px 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;" data-testid="Tweet-User-Avatar">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1wbh5a2 r-dnmrzs" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1adg3ll r-bztko3" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 24px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: visible; padding: 0px; position: relative; width: 24px; z-index: 0;" data-testid="UserAvatar-Container-BabakTaghvaee1">
<div class="r-1adg3ll r-13qz1uu" style="padding-bottom: 24px; width: 24px;"></div>
<div class="r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu" style="bottom: 0px; height: 24px; left: 0px; position: absolute; top: 0px; width: 24px;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1adg3ll r-1pi2tsx r-13qz1uu r-45ll9u r-u8s1d r-1v2oles r-176fswd r-bztko3" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 24px; left: 12px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: visible; padding: 0px; position: absolute; top: 12px; transform: translateX(-50%) translateY(-50%); width: 24px; z-index: 0;">
<div class="r-1adg3ll r-13qz1uu" style="padding-bottom: 24px; width: 24px;"></div>
<div class="r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu" style="bottom: 0px; height: 24px; left: 0px; position: absolute; top: 0px; width: 24px;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-sdzlij r-1udh08x r-5f1w11 r-u8s1d r-8jfcpp" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border-radius: 9999px; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: calc(100% + 4px); left: -2px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; top: -2px; width: calc(100% + 4px); z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1pi2tsx r-13qz1uu r-1ny4l3l" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 28px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; outline-style: none; padding: 0px; position: relative; width: 28px; z-index: 0;" tabindex="-1" role="presentation" aria-hidden="true">
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<div class="r-1adg3ll r-13qz1uu" style="padding-bottom: 24px; width: 24px;"></div>
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<p><img decoding="async" class="css-9pa8cd" style="height: 24px; inset: 0px; opacity: 0; position: absolute; width: 24px; z-index: -1;" draggable="true" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1188788638483734534/ug0e0Mml_normal.jpg" alt="" /></p>
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<div class="css-175oi2r r-1wbh5a2 r-dnmrzs r-1ny4l3l" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; outline-style: none; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-b88u0q r-1awozwy r-6koalj r-1udh08x r-3s2u2q" dir="ltr" style="align-items: center; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0f1419; display: flex; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; font-weight: bold; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; text-wrap: nowrap;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-dnmrzs r-1udh08x r-3s2u2q r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">Babak Taghvaee &#8211; The Crisis Watch</span></span></div>
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41 r-xoduu5 r-18u37iz r-1q142lx" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0f1419; display: inline-flex; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 0; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space-collapse: preserve;"></div>
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<div class="css-175oi2r r-1d09ksm r-18u37iz r-1wbh5a2" style="align-items: baseline; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1wbh5a2 r-dnmrzs" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1wbh5a2 r-dnmrzs r-1ny4l3l" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; outline-style: none; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;" tabindex="-1">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-dnmrzs r-1udh08x r-3s2u2q r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41 r-18u37iz r-1wvb978" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #536471; display: inline; flex-direction: row; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: 'ss01'; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; text-wrap: nowrap;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">@BabakTaghvaee1</span></div>
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41 r-1q142lx r-n7gxbd" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #536471; display: inline; flex-shrink: 0; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 4px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space-collapse: preserve;" aria-hidden="true"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">·</span></div>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-18u37iz r-1q142lx" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1d09ksm r-18u37iz r-1wbh5a2" style="align-items: baseline; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41 r-xoduu5 r-1q142lx r-1w6e6rj r-9aw3ui r-3s2u2q" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #536471; display: inline-flex; flex-shrink: 0; flex-wrap: wrap; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; gap: 4px; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; text-wrap: nowrap;" aria-label="Aug 17"><time datetime="2024-08-17T22:41:09.000Z">Aug 17</time></div>
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<div class="css-175oi2r r-6gpygo r-jusfrs" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px 12px 12px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-8akbws r-krxsd3 r-dnmrzs r-1udh08x r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41 r-bnwqim r-14gqq1x" dir="auto" lang="en" style="-webkit-box-orient: vertical; -webkit-line-clamp: 5; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #0f1419; display: -webkit-box; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 4px 0px 0px; max-width: 100%; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space-collapse: preserve;" data-testid="tweetText"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">Unfortunately, the Christian extremists of the </span><span class="r-18u37iz" style="flex-direction: row;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">#US</span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;"> have high tendency of becoming supporters of </span><span class="r-18u37iz" style="flex-direction: row;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">#Russia</span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">&#8216;s </span><span class="r-18u37iz" style="flex-direction: row;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">#Putin</span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">. In the past several months, I have noticed that the influence operations of the </span><span class="r-18u37iz" style="flex-direction: row;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">#FSB</span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;"> have targeted these religious groups in the US. Hey </span><span class="r-18u37iz" style="flex-direction: row;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">#FBI</span></span><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">, keep an eye on your</span></div>
<p><a class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41 r-1loqt21" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #1d9bf0; cursor: pointer; display: inline; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-decoration-line: none; text-overflow: unset; white-space-collapse: preserve;" role="link" href="https://x.com/BabakTaghvaee1/status/1824939552441778293" data-testid="tweet-text-show-more-link"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">Show more</span></a></p>
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<div class="css-175oi2r" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-o7ynqc r-6416eg r-1ny4l3l" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; outline-style: none; padding: 0px; position: relative; transition-duration: 0.2s; transition-property: background-color, box-shadow; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1adg3ll r-1udh08x" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="r-1adg3ll r-13qz1uu" style="padding-bottom: 317.7px; width: 564.8px;"></div>
<div class="r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu" style="bottom: 0px; height: 317.7px; left: 0px; position: absolute; top: 0px; width: 564.8px;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1pi2tsx r-13qz1uu r-18u37iz" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 0; height: 317.7px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; width: 564.8px; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1iusvr4 r-16y2uox r-bnwqim r-x1x4zq" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px 2px 0px 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1pi2tsx" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 317.7px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;" data-testid="tweetPhoto">
<div class="css-175oi2r" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1adg3ll r-1udh08x r-pm9dpa" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; max-height: 100%; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="r-1adg3ll r-13qz1uu" style="padding-bottom: 318.45px; width: 281.4px;"></div>
<div class="r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu" style="bottom: 0px; height: 318.45px; left: 0px; position: absolute; top: 0px; width: 281.4px;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1awozwy r-1p0dtai r-1777fci r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: center; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; justify-content: center; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;" aria-label="Embedded video" data-testid="previewInterstitial">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-1udh08x r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1mlwlqe r-1udh08x r-417010 r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;" aria-label="Embedded video">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1niwhzg r-vvn4in r-u6sd8q r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu r-1wyyakw r-4gszlv" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background-image: url('https://pbs.twimg.com/ext_tw_video_thumb/1824939137335545856/pu/img/kJpv6SnHRvICRDbH?format=jpg&amp;name=small'); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 318.45px; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="css-9pa8cd" style="height: 318.45px; inset: 0px; opacity: 0; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;" draggable="true" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/ext_tw_video_thumb/1824939137335545856/pu/img/kJpv6SnHRvICRDbH?format=jpg&amp;name=small" alt="Embedded video" /></p>
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<div class="css-175oi2r r-18u37iz r-vampta r-u8s1d r-rki7wi r-14fd9ze r-633pao" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; bottom: 12px; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 0; left: 12px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; max-width: 95%; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; pointer-events: none !important; position: absolute; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1awozwy r-k200y r-z2wwpe r-z80fyv r-1777fci r-is05cd r-loe9s5 r-hv4q04 r-1nna3df r-1h6o5vw r-ne48ov r-633pao" style="align-items: center; align-self: flex-start; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.77); border-radius: 4px; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 20px; justify-content: center; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px 8px; pointer-events: none !important; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-q4m81j r-n6v787 r-1cwl3u0 r-16dba41 r-lrvibr" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: white; display: inline; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-size: 13px; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 16px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: center; text-overflow: unset; user-select: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">0:49</span></div>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<div class="css-175oi2r r-1iusvr4 r-16y2uox r-bnwqim" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-16y2uox r-1pi2tsx r-13qz1uu" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex: 1 0 auto; height: 317.7px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; width: 281.4px; z-index: 0;">
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-1udh08x r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1mlwlqe r-1udh08x r-417010 r-1p0dtai r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; z-index: 0;" aria-label="Image" data-testid="tweetPhoto">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1niwhzg r-vvn4in r-u6sd8q r-1p0dtai r-1pi2tsx r-1d2f490 r-u8s1d r-zchlnj r-ipm5af r-13qz1uu r-1wyyakw r-4gszlv" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background-image: url('https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GVN8gfYXYAE7QKK?format=png&amp;name=small'); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; height: 317.7px; inset: 0px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;"></div>
<p><img decoding="async" class="css-9pa8cd" style="height: 317.7px; inset: 0px; opacity: 0; position: absolute; width: 281.4px; z-index: -1;" draggable="true" src="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GVN8gfYXYAE7QKK?format=png&amp;name=small" alt="Image" /></p>
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<p>&nbsp;</p>
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<div class="css-175oi2r" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;"></div>
<div class="css-175oi2r r-12kyg2d" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 0; list-style: none; margin: 16px 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-k4xj1c r-18u37iz r-1wtj0ep" style="align-items: start; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 0; justify-content: space-between; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1wbh5a2 r-1a11zyx" style="align-items: stretch; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: column; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px 12px 0px 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
<div class="css-175oi2r r-1d09ksm r-18u37iz r-1wbh5a2 r-1471scf" style="align-items: baseline; background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline; flex-basis: auto; flex-direction: row; flex-shrink: 1; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-height: 0px; min-width: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 0;">
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<div class="css-146c3p1 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-37j5jr r-a023e6 r-rjixqe r-16dba41 r-1q142lx r-n7gxbd" dir="ltr" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #536471; display: inline; flex-shrink: 0; font-family: TwitterChirp, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variant-position: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: 20px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 4px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space-collapse: preserve;" aria-hidden="true"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">·</span></div>
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<p><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3 r-1b43r93 r-1cwl3u0" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: #536471; display: inline; font-family: inherit; font-feature-settings: inherit; font-kerning: inherit; font-optical-sizing: inherit; font-size-adjust: inherit; font-size: 14px; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-variation-settings: inherit; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 16px; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;"><span class="css-1jxf684 r-bcqeeo r-1ttztb7 r-qvutc0 r-poiln3" style="background-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); border: 0px solid black; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; display: inline; font: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; text-overflow: unset; white-space: inherit;">Views</span></span></p>
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<div class="blogger-post-footer" style="text-align: center;">The News And Times Information Network &#8211; Blogs By Michael Novakhov &#8211; thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com</div>
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<h5 class="widget-title subheading heading-size-3"><a class="rsswidget rss-widget-title" href="http://www.bing.com/search?q=PUTIN%E2%80%99S+JEWS">Bing: PUTIN’S JEWS</a></h5>
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<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://www.haaretz.com/jewish/2022-07-29/ty-article/.highlight/jews-are-never-safe-under-dictators-and-putins-no-exception/00000182-4588-d2c2-aba7-f79a14d60000">Jews are never safe under dictators – and Putin’s no exception</a><span class="rss-date">September 27, 2024</span></strong></li>
<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/07/putin-russia-jewish-agency-emigration-israel/670948/">What Putin’s Treatment of Jews Reveals About Russia</a><span class="rss-date">September 26, 2024</span></strong></li>
<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/11/10/putin-antisemitism-gaza-israel-ukraine-zelensky/">Putin has decided it’s okay to be antisemitic &#8211; The Washington Post</a><span class="rss-date">September 26, 2024</span></strong></li>
<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/how-putin-entangled-himself-contradictory-politics-toward-jewish-and-muslim-worlds">How Putin Entangled Himself in Contradictory Politics Toward the Jewish &#8230;</a><span class="rss-date">September 25, 2024</span></strong></li>
<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://www.ft.com/content/3da1eb7b-318c-41f2-8ec3-07e19bdcbb59">What antisemitic attacks in Dagestan say about Vladimir Putin’s Russia</a><span class="rss-date">September 25, 2024</span></strong></li>
<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/09/putin-russia-anti-semitism-stalin/675424/">Putin Is Worried, So He Turned to Anti-Semitism &#8211; The Atlantic</a><span class="rss-date">September 24, 2024</span></strong></li>
<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://www.haaretz.com/jewish/2014-03-12/ty-article/putins-jewish-embrace/0000017f-f66c-d47e-a37f-ff7c741c0000">Putin&#8217;s Jewish embrace: Is it love or politics? &#8211; Haaretz</a><span class="rss-date">September 24, 2024</span></strong></li>
<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://www.clevelandjewishnews.com/columnists/ben_cohen/on-putin-the-jews-the-future-of-the-world/article_15054ab8-9974-11ec-ab03-272763eb5c55.html">On Putin, the Jews, the future of the world | Ben Cohen &#8230;</a><span class="rss-date">September 22, 2024</span></strong></li>
<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2014/11/vladimir-putin-chabad-whats-behind-the-russian-presidents-close-relationship-with-an-orthodox-jewish-sect.html">Vladimir Putin, Chabad: What’s behind the Russian president’s close &#8230;</a><span class="rss-date">September 21, 2024</span></strong></li>
<li><strong><a class="rsswidget" href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/putin-first-soviet-government-was-mostly-jewish/">Putin: First Soviet government was mostly Jewish</a><span class="rss-date">September 20, 2024</span></strong></li>
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		<title>Inside the IC’s New Counterintelligence Strategy</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/inside-the-ics-new-counterintelligence-strategy/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=inside-the-ics-new-counterintelligence-strategy</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Sep 2024 12:05:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[FBI]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Michael Novakhov - SharedNewsLinks℠]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>The 2024 National Counterintelligence Strategy &#8211; GS https://t.co/0fTzGrIHgf The 2024 National Counterintelligence StrategyThis effort will be guided by three main objectives: Detect, understand and anticipate foreign intelligence threats. Counter, degrade and deter foreign… pic.twitter.com/TEQHtfTFmK — Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) September 3, 2024 Michael_Novakhov shared this story from GovCon Wire. In early August, the National Counterintelligence and [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/inside-the-ics-new-counterintelligence-strategy/">Inside the IC’s New Counterintelligence Strategy</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p dir="ltr" lang="en"><strong>The 2024 National Counterintelligence Strategy &#8211; GS <a href="https://t.co/0fTzGrIHgf">https://t.co/0fTzGrIHgf</a></strong><br />
<strong>The 2024 National Counterintelligence StrategyThis effort will be guided by three main objectives: Detect, understand and anticipate foreign intelligence threats. Counter, degrade and deter foreign… <a href="https://t.co/TEQHtfTFmK">pic.twitter.com/TEQHtfTFmK</a></strong></p>
<p><strong>— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) <a href="https://twitter.com/mikenov/status/1830944593950523446?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 3, 2024</a></strong></p></blockquote>
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Michael_Novakhov<br />
<a href="https://michael_novakhov.newsblur.com/story/inside-the-ics-new-c/6389800:bcb9d3">shared this story</a><br />
from <img decoding="async" style="vertical-align: middle; width: 16px; height: 16px;" src="https://s3.amazonaws.com/icons.newsblur.com/6389800.png" /> GovCon Wire.</strong></td>
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<p><strong>In early August, the National Counterintelligence and Security Center within the Office of the Director of National Intelligence published a new edition of the <a class="external" href="https://www.dni.gov/files/NCSC/documents/features/NCSC_CI_Strategy-pages-20240730.pdf" rel="nofollow"><u>National Counterintelligence Strategy</u></a>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The <a class="external" href="https://executivegov.com/2024/08/ncsc-releases-2024-national-counterintelligence-strategy/" rel="nofollow"><u>refreshed version</u></a> includes nine goals split across three pillars, which focus on addressing threats posed by foreign intelligence entities, or FIEs; defending U.S. strategic advantages; and laying a foundation for future counterintelligence, or CI, operations. It was developed by NCSC with input partners across the Intelligence Community and wider U.S. government to provide “a comprehensive vision and direction for the CI community to address increasingly complex foreign intelligence threats,” NCSC Director Michael Casey said in a <a class="external" href="https://www.dni.gov/files/NCSC/documents/features/FINAL-NCSC-National-CI-Strategy-Press-Release_2024.pdf" rel="nofollow"><u>statement</u></a>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Keep reading to learn more about the strategy and its place in the IC’s sweeping transformation efforts.</strong></p>
<h2><strong>The 2024 National Counterintelligence Strategy</strong></h2>
<h3><strong>Pillar 1</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Today’s CI landscape is shaped by operations by foreign adversaries in the “gray zone,” which the strategy defines as “a space between war and peace that encompasses intelligence activities that push the boundaries of accepted norms.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>The first pillar hopes to counter gray zone activities by using modern technologies and collection methods and collaboration with government and industry partners to efficiently detect and mitigate threats posed by FIEs. This effort will be guided by three main objectives:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Detect, understand and anticipate foreign intelligence threats</strong></li>
<li><strong>Counter, degrade and deter foreign intelligence activities and capabilities</strong></li>
<li><strong>Combat foreign intelligence cyber activities</strong></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Some key technologies NCSC hopes to leverage are open source intelligence, or OSINT, artificial intelligence, modern information technology systems and cybersecurity tools.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Pillar 2</strong></h3>
<p><strong>The second pillar aims to safeguard U.S. strengths. This portion of the strategy looks at counterintelligence from both the individual and institutional levels. One of its main goals is to protect American citizens who are targeted by adversaries looking to exploit personal data, such as health records, financial data and mobile device information, among others.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On a societal scale, this pillar seeks to defend democratic institutions, technology, economic security, critical infrastructure and supply chains.</strong></p>
<p><strong>To address threats to these areas, the NCSC seeks to better understand the intentions of FIEs by improving collection capabilities and enforcing response timelines. It also hopes to foster stronger partnerships with state, local and foreign governments; private sector organizations; and the public to inform decision making and increase risks for FIEs operating in the U.S.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Pillar 3</strong></h3>
<p><strong>The third pillar takes a forward-thinking approach, focusing on ways to lay a foundation for future success in CI operations. It lists four methods for accomplishing this goal:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Investing in advanced technologies and integrated capabilities while using current research platforms to address CI gaps</strong></li>
<li><strong>Expanding and upskilling the CI workforce</strong></li>
<li><strong>Streamlining and augmenting the CI authorities of the federal government and state, local, foreign and private sector partners</strong></li>
</ul>
<h2><strong>Counterintelligence and the Wider IC Modernization Journey</strong></h2>
<p><strong>The 2024 National Counterintelligence Strategy is one of many plans the IC has released as it works to adapt its priorities to the shifting intelligence landscape. Below are three recent strategies and updates that support its CI goals.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Vision for the IC Information Environment</strong></h3>
<p><strong>The IC has recognized the importance of modern IT capabilities in today’s intelligence environment, which is more digitally driven than ever before. To pave a pathway for IT transformation, the IC in May published its Vision for the IC Information Environment, a roadmap for achieving the level of IT mastery necessary for success in modern intelligence. Its five focus areas are:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Fortify the mission with a reliable and resilient digital foundation</strong></li>
<li><strong>Assure the mission with robust cybersecurity</strong></li>
<li><strong>Enable the mission with modern practices and partnerships</strong></li>
<li><strong>Enhance the mission with data-centricity</strong></li>
<li><strong>Accelerate the mission with advanced technologies and workforce readiness</strong></li>
</ul>
<h3><strong>IC OSINT Strategy 2024-2026</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Embracing OSINT, which includes any information that is publicly available, such as news articles and social media content, is one way the IC plans to achieve the goals laid out in the first pillar of the National Intelligence Strategy.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In March, ODNI released the <a class="external" href="https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/IC_OSINT_Strategy.pdf" rel="nofollow"><u>IC OSINT Strategy 2024-2026</u></a>, which aims to create a “professionalized, integrated and agile IC OSINT enterprise providing decision advantage for U.S. policymakers and warfighters and driving innovation with partners.” The strategy provides a detailed plan for elevating OSINT capabilities across the entire IC and breaking down information sharing barriers across agencies. Its four strategic focus areas include:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Coordinating open source data acquisition and expanding data sharing</strong></li>
<li><strong>Establishing integrated open source collection management</strong></li>
<li><strong>Driving OSINT innovation to deliver new capabilities</strong></li>
<li><strong>Developing the next generation OSINT workforce and tradecraft</strong></li>
</ul>
<h3><strong>Election Security Update</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Elections are a vital element of American democracy, and the 2024 National Intelligence Strategy emphasizes the importance of preserving democratic institutions. The IC is laser focused on election security threats, and a July <a class="external" href="https://www.dni.gov/files/FMIC/documents/ODNI-Election-Security-Update-20240709.pdf" rel="nofollow"><u>election security update</u></a> lists three nations — Russia, China and Iran — that are trying to sway U.S. public opinion. The document notes social media and AI as major factors in their efforts.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Want to learn more about current U.S. intelligence goals? The Potomac Officers Club’s <a class="external" href="https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-2024-10th-annual-intel-summit/?src=CIstrategy_ID" rel="nofollow"><u>2024 Intel Summit</u></a> on Sept. 19 will offer you the opportunity to hear from IC leaders and industry experts who will gather to share their thoughts on today’s intelligence priorities. To unlock the insights the 2024 Intel Summit has to offer, <a class="external" href="https://potomacofficersclub.com/register/?event=7018X000001ar7wQAA&amp;src=CIstrategy_ID" rel="nofollow"><u>register to attend the event on the Potomac Officers Club website</u></a>.</strong></p>
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		<title>Rep. Waltz suggests Crooks didn&#8217;t act alone in assassination attempt</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/rep-mike-waltz-says-isnt-convinced-donald-trump-shooter-thomas-crooks-acted-assassination-attempt-html/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=rep-mike-waltz-says-isnt-convinced-donald-trump-shooter-thomas-crooks-acted-assassination-attempt-html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Aug 2024 13:12:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump Shooting Investigations]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/rep-mike-waltz-says-isnt-convinced-donald-trump-shooter-thomas-crooks-acted-assassination-attempt-html/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Rep. Waltz suggests Crooks didn&#8217;t act alone in assassination attempt &#8211; Post Link Thomas Matthew Crooks&#8217; motivation for attempting to assassinate Donald Trump is still unknown and Rep. Mike Waltz says he is worried a foreign entity or other third-party was involved in the attack. Rep. Waltz suggests Crooks didn&#8217;t act alone in assassination attempt &#8211; dailymail.co.uk [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/rep-mike-waltz-says-isnt-convinced-donald-trump-shooter-thomas-crooks-acted-assassination-attempt-html/">Rep. Waltz suggests Crooks didn’t act alone in assassination attempt</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<h3><a href="https://newsandtimes.org/rep-mike-waltz-says-isnt-convinced-donald-trump-shooter-thomas-crooks-acted-assassination-attempt-html/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Rep. Waltz suggests Crooks didn&#8217;t act alone in assassination attempt &#8211; Post Link</a></h3>
<p><img decoding="async" class="aligncenter" style="width: 1133px;" src="https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2024/08/22/14/88814943-0-image-a-32_1724332449707.jpg" height="680" /></p>
<div><strong>Thomas Matthew Crooks&#8217; motivation for attempting to assassinate Donald Trump is still unknown and Rep. Mike Waltz says he is worried a foreign entity or other third-party was involved in the attack.</strong></div>
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<h2 class="article_title" dir="ltr"><strong><a id="article_title_link_42317685108" class="article_title_link" tabindex="-1" href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13767237/Rep-Mike-Waltz-says-isnt-convinced-Donald-Trump-shooter-Thomas-Crooks-acted-assassination-attempt.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Rep.<wbr /> Waltz suggests Crooks didn&#8217;t act alone in assassination attempt</a> &#8211; <span class="article_subtitle_author_wrapper"><span class="article_author graylink_darker flex "><span class="feed_name_menu flex"><a id="article_feed_info_link_42317685108" class=" ajaxed" dir="ltr" tabindex="-1" title="Go to feed" href="https://www.inoreader.com/feed/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailymail.co.uk%2Fnews%2Farticle-13767237%2FRep-Mike-Waltz-says-isnt-convinced-Donald-Trump-shooter-Thomas-Crooks-acted-assassination-attempt.html">dailymail.co.uk</a></span></span></span></strong></h2>
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<p><strong>Published: 14:12 BST, 22 August 2024 | Updated: 15:53 BST, 22 August 2024</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Thomas Matthew Crooks may not have been acting alone when he tried to assassinate <a class="underlink bluelink" tabindex="-1" href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/donald_trump/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Donald Trump</a>, one of the members of <a class="underlink bluelink" tabindex="-1" href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/us-congress/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Congress</a> investigating the shooting told Dailymail.com.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Republican Rep. Mike Waltz said the gunman&#8217;s motivation is still unknown and he is worried a foreign entity or other third-party could have been involved in the attack.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Waltz questioned how federal law enforcement can confidently say Crooks was a lone wolf if they can&#8217;t answer other questions like why he had multiple foreign encrypted messaging accounts. </strong></p>
<p><strong>His comments came after it was revealed that <a class="underlink bluelink" tabindex="-1" href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/iran/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Iran</a> was also plotting an attempt on the former president&#8217;s life around the same time that Crooks carried out his attack.  </strong></p>
<p><strong>The 20-year-old was also able to create multiple explosives with remote detonators, another thing that raised Waltz&#8217;s eyebrows and makes him question whether Crooks had help.</strong></p>
<p><strong>As the <a class="underlink bluelink" tabindex="-1" href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/fbi/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">FBI</a>, U.S. Secret Service (USSS) and Department of Homeland Security conduct their investigations into the massive security failure, Waltz and 12 other lawmakers on a House task force are also looking into the attempted assassination of Trump.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Rep. Mike Waltz is on the House Task Force on the Attempted Assassination of Donald J. Trump and told DailyMail.com on Wednesday that he isn&#8217;t convinced shooter Matthew Thomas Crooks was acting alone</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Thomas Matthew Crooks pictured at the Trump rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13 before he opened fire on the crowd and former president</strong></p>
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<p><strong>&#8216;I don&#8217;t understand, and I don&#8217;t have any answers yet to help me understand how the [Secret] Service and DHS came out so quickly and said – and I think the FBI as well, but I&#8217;ll have to check that – and said, he operated alone,&#8217; Waltz said when speaking with DailyMail.com at Trump Tower in <a class="underlink bluelink" tabindex="-1" href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/chicago/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Chicago</a> on Wednesday. &#8216;How do you know that mere days into your investigation?&#8217;</strong></p>
<p><strong>The Florida congressman added: &#8216;You can&#8217;t tell us his motive, but you could tell us he operated alone? You can&#8217;t get into these encrypted overseas accounts, but you can tell us he acted alone? So, I don&#8217;t buy that yet.&#8217;</strong></p>
<p><strong>Crooks was shot and killed by the Secret Service after he launched an attack at Trump&#8217;s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A bullet fired from his AR-style weapon, bought legally by his father, grazed the former president&#8217;s right ear.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Crooks killed one rally-goer and critically injured two others before he was taken out.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The FBI also found explosives in Crooks&#8217; car, which was parked near the rally site. And upon raiding his parents&#8217; house, where he lived, they found more bombs.</strong></p>
<p><strong>&#8216;I don&#8217;t know of many 19-year-old kids who could make multiple IEDs with a remote detonator on their own,&#8217; Waltz told DailyMail.com. &#8216;Why didn&#8217;t that get picked up if he&#8217;s searching that online or buying literature on how to do that?&#8217;</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Crooks, 20, was shot dead on site by U.S. Secret Service after he killed a rally goer, critical injured two other supporters and was able to barely graze the side of Trump&#8217;s ear at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Trump took a bullet to his ear during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13. With blood streaked across his face, Secret Service agents corralled the former president off the stage</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Waltz said &#8216;the more we get into it, the more questions I have.&#8217;</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="underlink bluelink" tabindex="-1" href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13761931/video-thomas-matthew-crooks-trump-shooter-assassination-attempt.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Read More</a></strong></p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="article_block_image aligncenter" src="https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2024/08/20/16/88730661-0-image-a-47_1724168655706.jpg" alt="article image" width="866" height="647" /></p>
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<p><strong>He also said that he was joining later on Wednesday a briefing by the FBI, where he was hoping more questions would be answered – but he didn&#8217;t seem optimistic.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Rep. Waltz says while federal agencies and congressional committees are scrutinizing the USSS over the attempted assassination, there are more concerning details emerging that make the attack even more ominous.</strong></p>
<p><strong>That includes the revelation of an Iranian plot to assassinate Trump around the same time as the Crooks attempt.</strong></p>
<p><strong>&#8216;It&#8217;s really what&#8217;s coming out around it that is so disturbing,&#8217; Waltz said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>&#8216;And for me, the thing that&#8217;s most disturbing is that we have ongoing plots from Iran to take out a former president, leading candidate, and that a Pakistani national was just arrested after making a down payment for hitmen, and it&#8217;s barely even being covered in the news.&#8217;</strong></p>
<p><strong>Crooks had encrypted messaging accounts on platforms based in Germany, Belgium, and New Zealand.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Waltz said: &#8216;We still haven’t learned a lot, we haven’t learned that much about those overseas accounts.</strong></p>
<p><strong>&#8216;Why does a 19-year-old kid who is a healthcare aide need encrypted platforms not even based in the United States, but based abroad where most terrorist organizations know it is harder for our law enforcement to get into? That’s a question I’ve had since day one.&#8217;</strong></p>
<p><strong>He added: &#8216;They need to be releasing information as they come across it because this wasn’t an isolated incident. The threats are continually Iran’s threats.&#8217;</strong></p>
</div>
</div>
<div></div>
<div><a href="https://www.google.com/search?q=Rep.+Waltz+suggests+Crooks+didn%27t+act+alone+in+assassination+attempt&amp;newwindow=1&amp;sca_esv=b42ea388290e63af&amp;sca_upv=1&amp;rlz=1C1ONGR_enUS949US949&amp;biw=1536&amp;bih=695&amp;sxsrf=ADLYWIKFB0k85d5WNKy4rdTIVffRFbTBng%3A1724339898484&amp;ei=ulbHZuGjHdn-ptQP_7n1iQU&amp;ved=0ahUKEwjh6PvY8oiIAxVZv4kEHf9cPVEQ4dUDCBA&amp;oq=Rep.+Waltz+suggests+Crooks+didn%27t+act+alone+in+assassination+attempt&amp;gs_lp=Egxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAiRFJlcC4gV2FsdHogc3VnZ2VzdHMgQ3Jvb2tzIGRpZG4ndCBhY3QgYWxvbmUgaW4gYXNzYXNzaW5hdGlvbiBhdHRlbXB0SKUfULIHWIsOcAF4AJABAJgBkgGgAZ4CqgEDMC4yuAEMyAEA-AEBmAIAoAIAmAMAiAYBkgcAoAf5AQ&amp;sclient=gws-wiz-serp" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong>Rep. Waltz suggests Crooks didn&#8217;t act alone in assassination attempt &#8211; GS</strong></a></div>
<div>
<p><strong><a class="rsswidget rss-widget-title" href="https://michaelnovakhov-sharednewslinks.com/">Selected Articles – Audio Posts</a>: </strong><strong style="font-size: 24px; letter-spacing: -0.0415625em; font-family: 'Inter var', -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-serif;"><a class="rsswidget" href="https://michaelnovakhov-sharednewslinks.com/photos-donald-trump-ear-before-after-rally-shooting-arent-we-expected/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Photos Of Trump’s Ear After His Rally Shooting Aren’t What We Expected</a> &#8211; <span class="rss-date">August 20, 2024 </span></strong><br />
&#8211;</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en"><a href="https://t.co/t7MkYYgvwJ">https://t.co/t7MkYYgvwJ</a><br />
Waltz pointed to open questions <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NewsAndTimes?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#NewsAndTimes</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NT?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#NT</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/TNT?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#TNT</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/News?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#News</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Times?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Times</a><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/World?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#World</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/USA?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#USA</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/POTUS?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#POTUS</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/DOJ?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#DOJ</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/FBI?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#FBI</a> FBI <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/CIA?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#CIA</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/DIA?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#DIA</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/ODNI?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#ODNI</a><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Trump?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Trump</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/TrumpNews?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#TrumpNews</a><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Israel?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Israel</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Mossad?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Mossad</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Netanyahu?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Netanyahu</a><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Ukraine?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Ukraine</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NewAbwehr?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#NewAbwehr</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/OSINT?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#OSINT</a><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Putin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Putin</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Russia?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Russia</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/GRU?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#GRU</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/%D0%9F%D1%83%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%BD?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Путин</a>, <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/%D0%A0%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%81%D0%B8%D1%8F?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Россия</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/SouthCaucasus?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#SouthCaucasus</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bloggers?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Bloggers</a>… <a href="https://t.co/0ril75CrSV">https://t.co/0ril75CrSV</a></p>
<p>— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) <a href="https://twitter.com/mikenov/status/1826661094468858285?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 22, 2024</a></p></blockquote>
<p><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script><br />
&#8211;</p>
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<div class='heateor_sss_sharing_container heateor_sss_vertical_sharing heateor_sss_bottom_sharing' style='width:44px;left: -10px;top: 300px;-webkit-box-shadow:none;box-shadow:none;' data-heateor-sss-href='https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/'><div class="heateor_sss_sharing_ul"><a aria-label="Facebook" class="heateor_sss_facebook" href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fcategory%2Ffeatured-posts%2Ffeed%2F" title="Facebook" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#0765FE;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg style="display:block;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="100%" height="100%" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M28 16c0-6.627-5.373-12-12-12S4 9.373 4 16c0 5.628 3.875 10.35 9.101 11.647v-7.98h-2.474V16H13.1v-1.58c0-4.085 1.849-5.978 5.859-5.978.76 0 2.072.15 2.608.298v3.325c-.283-.03-.775-.045-1.386-.045-1.967 0-2.728.745-2.728 2.683V16h3.92l-.673 3.667h-3.247v8.245C23.395 27.195 28 22.135 28 16Z"></path></svg></span></a><a aria-label="X" class="heateor_sss_button_x" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Featured%20Posts&url=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fcategory%2Ffeatured-posts%2Ffeed%2F" title="X" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg heateor_sss_s__default heateor_sss_s_x" style="background-color:#2a2a2a;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M21.751 7h3.067l-6.7 7.658L26 25.078h-6.172l-4.833-6.32-5.531 6.32h-3.07l7.167-8.19L6 7h6.328l4.37 5.777L21.75 7Zm-1.076 16.242h1.7L11.404 8.74H9.58l11.094 14.503Z"></path></svg></span></a><a class="heateor_sss_more" aria-label="More" title="More" rel="nofollow noopener" style="font-size: 32px!important;border:0;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block!important;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align: middle;display:inline;" href="https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/" onclick="event.preventDefault()"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#ee8e2d;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block!important;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;display:inline;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box;" onclick="heateorSssMoreSharingPopup(this, 'https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/', 'Featured%20Posts', '' )"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" viewBox="-.3 0 32 32" version="1.1" width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;" xml:space="preserve"><g><path fill="#fff" d="M18 14V8h-4v6H8v4h6v6h4v-6h6v-4h-6z" fill-rule="evenodd"></path></g></svg></span></a></div><div class="heateorSssClear"></div></div><p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/rep-mike-waltz-says-isnt-convinced-donald-trump-shooter-thomas-crooks-acted-assassination-attempt-html/">Rep. Waltz suggests Crooks didn’t act alone in assassination attempt</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Selected Links</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/selected-links/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=selected-links</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Aug 2024 09:35:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/?p=20624</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The News And Times Review &#8211; NewsAndTimes.org &#124; Links &#124; Blog &#124; Tweets  &#124; Selected Articles </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/selected-links/">Selected Links</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='heateorSssClear'></div><div  class='heateor_sss_sharing_container heateor_sss_horizontal_sharing' data-heateor-sss-href='https://newsandtimes.org/selected-links/'><div class='heateor_sss_sharing_title' style="font-weight:bold" ></div><div class="heateor_sss_sharing_ul"><a aria-label="Facebook" class="heateor_sss_facebook" href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fselected-links%2F" title="Facebook" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#0765FE;width:35px;height:35px;border-radius:999px;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg style="display:block;border-radius:999px;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="100%" height="100%" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M28 16c0-6.627-5.373-12-12-12S4 9.373 4 16c0 5.628 3.875 10.35 9.101 11.647v-7.98h-2.474V16H13.1v-1.58c0-4.085 1.849-5.978 5.859-5.978.76 0 2.072.15 2.608.298v3.325c-.283-.03-.775-.045-1.386-.045-1.967 0-2.728.745-2.728 2.683V16h3.92l-.673 3.667h-3.247v8.245C23.395 27.195 28 22.135 28 16Z"></path></svg></span></a><a aria-label="X" class="heateor_sss_button_x" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Selected%20Links&url=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fselected-links%2F" title="X" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg heateor_sss_s__default heateor_sss_s_x" style="background-color:#2a2a2a;width:35px;height:35px;border-radius:999px;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;border-radius:999px;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M21.751 7h3.067l-6.7 7.658L26 25.078h-6.172l-4.833-6.32-5.531 6.32h-3.07l7.167-8.19L6 7h6.328l4.37 5.777L21.75 7Zm-1.076 16.242h1.7L11.404 8.74H9.58l11.094 14.503Z"></path></svg></span></a><a class="heateor_sss_more" aria-label="More" title="More" rel="nofollow noopener" style="font-size: 32px!important;border:0;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block!important;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align: middle;display:inline;" href="https://newsandtimes.org/selected-links/" onclick="event.preventDefault()"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#ee8e2d;width:35px;height:35px;border-radius:999px;display:inline-block!important;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;display:inline;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box;" onclick="heateorSssMoreSharingPopup(this, 'https://newsandtimes.org/selected-links/', 'Selected%20Links', '' )"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" viewBox="-.3 0 32 32" version="1.1" width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;border-radius:999px;" xml:space="preserve"><g><path fill="#fff" d="M18 14V8h-4v6H8v4h6v6h4v-6h6v-4h-6z" fill-rule="evenodd"></path></g></svg></span></a></div><div class="heateorSssClear"></div></div><div class='heateorSssClear'></div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong><a href="https://newsandtimes.org/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The News And Times Review &#8211; NewsAndTimes.org</a> | <a href="https://links-newsandtimes.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Links</a> | <a href="https://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Blog</a> | <a href="https://x.com/mikenov" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tweets</a>  | <a href="https://michael_novakhov.newsblur.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Selected Articles</a> </strong></p>
<div class='heateor_sss_sharing_container heateor_sss_vertical_sharing heateor_sss_bottom_sharing' style='width:44px;left: -10px;top: 300px;-webkit-box-shadow:none;box-shadow:none;' data-heateor-sss-href='https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/'><div class="heateor_sss_sharing_ul"><a aria-label="Facebook" class="heateor_sss_facebook" href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fcategory%2Ffeatured-posts%2Ffeed%2F" title="Facebook" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#0765FE;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg style="display:block;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="100%" height="100%" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M28 16c0-6.627-5.373-12-12-12S4 9.373 4 16c0 5.628 3.875 10.35 9.101 11.647v-7.98h-2.474V16H13.1v-1.58c0-4.085 1.849-5.978 5.859-5.978.76 0 2.072.15 2.608.298v3.325c-.283-.03-.775-.045-1.386-.045-1.967 0-2.728.745-2.728 2.683V16h3.92l-.673 3.667h-3.247v8.245C23.395 27.195 28 22.135 28 16Z"></path></svg></span></a><a aria-label="X" class="heateor_sss_button_x" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Featured%20Posts&url=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fcategory%2Ffeatured-posts%2Ffeed%2F" title="X" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg heateor_sss_s__default heateor_sss_s_x" style="background-color:#2a2a2a;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M21.751 7h3.067l-6.7 7.658L26 25.078h-6.172l-4.833-6.32-5.531 6.32h-3.07l7.167-8.19L6 7h6.328l4.37 5.777L21.75 7Zm-1.076 16.242h1.7L11.404 8.74H9.58l11.094 14.503Z"></path></svg></span></a><a class="heateor_sss_more" aria-label="More" title="More" rel="nofollow noopener" style="font-size: 32px!important;border:0;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block!important;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align: middle;display:inline;" href="https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/" onclick="event.preventDefault()"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#ee8e2d;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block!important;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;display:inline;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box;" onclick="heateorSssMoreSharingPopup(this, 'https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/', 'Featured%20Posts', '' )"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" viewBox="-.3 0 32 32" version="1.1" width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;" xml:space="preserve"><g><path fill="#fff" d="M18 14V8h-4v6H8v4h6v6h4v-6h6v-4h-6z" fill-rule="evenodd"></path></g></svg></span></a></div><div class="heateorSssClear"></div></div><p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/selected-links/">Selected Links</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<item>
		<title>Conspiracy Theorists Think Biden Was Hit With Directed-Energy Weapons During Debate</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/biden-trump-debate-havana-syndrome-energy-weapons-1851570506/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=biden-trump-debate-havana-syndrome-energy-weapons-1851570506</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Jul 2024 12:52:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Saved Web Pages - Audio Posts]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/biden-trump-debate-havana-syndrome-energy-weapons-1851570506/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>President Joe Biden delivered a stunningly bad performance last week during his debate with Donald Trump, causing many Democrats to worry about the future of American democracy. But some folks on social media think they’ve figured out why Biden looked so puzzled and frequently spoke haltingly with a blank stare in his eyes. Maybe the [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/biden-trump-debate-havana-syndrome-energy-weapons-1851570506/">Conspiracy Theorists Think Biden Was Hit With Directed-Energy Weapons During Debate</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter" src="https://gizmodo.com/app/uploads/2024/07/23964593642c4f8b8e6e0d2ab62d8059.jpg" alt="23964593642c4f8b8e6e0d2ab62d8059.jpg" width="847" height="476" /></strong></p>
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<p><strong>President Joe Biden delivered a stunningly bad performance last week during his <a href="https://gizmodo.com/trump-media-stock-price-surges-following-disastrous-bid-1851566521">debate with Donald Trump</a>, causing many Democrats to worry about the future of American democracy. But some folks on social media think they’ve figured out why Biden looked so puzzled and frequently spoke haltingly with a blank stare in his eyes. Maybe the president was hit with a directed energy weapon that’s giving him <a href="https://gizmodo.com/havana-syndrome-cia-sonic-weapon-conspiracy-theory-1850174293">Havana Syndrome</a>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Havana Syndrome is the name for a group of mysterious illnesses that have cropped up among U.S. spies <a href="https://gizmodo.com/havana-syndrome-energy-weapon-cia-intelligence-1850281273">over the past decade</a>. The working theory has been that adversarial countries like Russia or China are intentionally targeting Americans with invisible rayguns to give them brain damage. And while <a href="https://gizmodo.com/havana-syndrome-brain-scans-injury-symptoms-nih-1851345092">the science is still very much in question</a>, some people seem convinced that’s what happened at Thursday’s debate.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“URGENT: Scientist whose previous work included directed energy beam research for the US intelligence community said Biden’s symptoms during the CNN debate made him think of the Havana Syndrome. This is according to former KGB spy Yuri Shvets who defected to the US in 1993,” social media influencer Igor Sushko wrote on X <a href="https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1807603930601578971">late Sunday</a>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Sushko even <a href="https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1807603930601578971">included a video</a> that was supposed to show the contrast between Biden on the day of the debate on June 27th and a rally the president held the next day in North Carolina. The suggestion is that Biden’s stumbles can only be explained by a targeted attack.</strong></p>
<blockquote><p><strong>🚨 URGENT: Scientist whose previous work included directed energy beam research for the US intelligence community said Biden&#8217;s symptoms during the CNN debate made him think of the Havana Syndrome.</strong><br />
<strong>This is according to former KGB spy Yuri Shvets who defected to the US in 1993. <a href="https://t.co/h53u0NoIHt">pic.twitter.com/h53u0NoIHt</a></strong></p>
<p><strong>— Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) <a href="https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1807603930601578971?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">July 1, 2024</a></strong></p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Biden’s visible confusion and inability to sometimes even make complete sentences has caused panic among the Democratic Party, where <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/06/30/nervous-democratic-donors-polls-biden-election-2024">donors and political leaders alike</a> fear he could lose the presidential election. And defenses of Biden run the gamut, from people insisting he just had a bad night, to those who point out Biden has suffered his entire life from a stutter.</strong></p>
<p><strong>But the most dramatic explanation percolating on social media is that Biden is actually being interfered with by invisible weapons. Sushko even floated another conspiracy theory, that there was a Russian government plane that may have been involved in delivering the energy weapons.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“Shvets, a former KGB spy who was based in Washington DC during the 80s, does not believe in coincidences, and the fact that Russia’s IL-76 government plane landed in the US on June 27 before the debate and then left after the fact on June 29 could further suggest foul play,” Sushko tweeted.</strong></p>
<p><strong>It’s not entirely clear where the claim about the plane comes from. And Sushko’s source for quoting Shvets isn’t even clear, though it could be suggestions made during a Russian-language YouTube video <a href="https://youtu.be/TzVra2iIVcQ">posted Sunday</a>. But it wasn’t just Sushko who was insisting Biden may have been the victim of nefarious forces at the debate.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“Biden was being assaulted with a directed energy weapon to diminish his performance. In spite of this he held on for 90 minutes. He’s a CHAMPION! This was to give TFG unfair advantage. #HavanaAct,” an account called Citizens That Know wrote in one of several tweets about the topic over the weekend.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Citizens That Know has accounts on platforms like X and <a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/1377053785667351/about">Facebook</a> dedicated to the concept of “<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electronic_harassment">targeted individuals</a>,” a delusional belief many people have that they’re being stalked and harassed for no reason by largely unseen yet coordinated forces—often by criminal gangs or government agents.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“Note to @CNN and @CIA. This should be checked,” another account tweeted pointing to the directed energy <a href="https://x.com/Boomersaurus/status/1807709477363225026">claims</a>. “The US hasn’t been taking Russia’s use of directed energy weapons against US Officials and Biden may be the latest victim.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Whatever you think caused Biden’s embarrassing performance—whether you believe it’s typical cognitive decline that comes with old age or just an imperfect public speaker having a “bad night”—there’s no evidence it can be blamed on directed energy weapons. This is not to say that the U.S. government doesn’t have some highly advanced weapons at its disposal. The military has admittedly been working on laser weapons <a href="https://paleofuture.com/blog/2023/1/3/watch-the-first-drone-ever-shot-down-with-a-laser-in-1973">since the 1970s</a> and we know the CIA developed a so-called <a href="https://www.military.com/video/guns/pistols/cias-secret-heart-attack-gun/2555371072001">heart attack gun</a> around the same era. But in this case, the simplest explanation is the most likely.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Biden is 81 years old and clearly not performing like he used to. Trump, who’s just three years younger, is also slipping cognitively with <a href="https://gizmodo.com/donald-trump-all-in-podcast-ai-artificial-intelligence-1851552204">repeated verbal stumbles</a> and rants where he’ll frequently <a href="https://www.npr.org/2024/06/16/g-s1-4673/trump-challenges-biden-to-cognitive-test-but-confuses-name-of-doctor-who-tested-him">use the wrong name</a>. Neither of these guys is at the top of their game, but it’s clear that Trump is the only one in this race with an agenda built on sadism and retribution.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Trump retweeted a call for Liz Cheney to be investigated for treason on Sunday, a crime he’s often pointed out includes the death penalty. Trump has even suggested his own top general, Mark Milley, should be <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/09/trump-milley-execution-incitement-violence/675435/">executed for treason</a>. If Trump gets back into office, things are going to get very bad very quickly.</strong></p>
<p><strong>No, Biden didn’t get hit with a directed energy weapon. But if the Democratic Party doesn’t get its act together and figure out how to convince voters that Biden or his potential replacement is fit for the job, the U.S. is going to be a very dark place to live come January.</strong></p>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Jun 2024 15:44:00 +0000</pubDate>
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<p style="background-color: white; color: #717171; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b>RSS and Review Channels &#8211; Essential News</b></span></p>
<p style="background-color: white; color: #717171; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b> </b></span></p>
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<dt><a style="background: transparent; color: #f31c1c; text-decoration-line: none;" href="https://www.inoreader.com/stream/user/1006407045/tag/all-articles/view/html?t=All%20Articles%20News%20Review%20-%20The%20News%20And%20Times%20-%20from%20Michael%20Novakhov&amp;l=https%3A%2F%2Fthenewsandtimes.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2023%2F01%2FNT-News-and-Times.png&amp;lw=300&amp;cs=m&amp;lh=150&amp;n=100&amp;sb=y" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>All Articles = 100 &#8211; News Review &#8211; The News And Times &#8211; from Michael Novakhov</b></span></a></dt>
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<dt><a style="background: transparent; color: #f31c1c; text-decoration-line: none;" href="https://www.inoreader.com/stream/user/1006407045/tag/web-pages/view/html?t=%20Saved%20Web%20Pages%20Review%20-%20The%20News%20And%20Times%20-%20TheNewsAndTimes.com&amp;l=https%3A%2F%2Fthenewsandtimes.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2023%2F01%2FNT-News-and-Times.png&amp;lw=300&amp;cs=m&amp;lh=100&amp;sb=y" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>Saved Web Pages Review &#8211; The News And Times &#8211; TheNewsAndTimes.com = 20</b></span></a></dt>
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<dt><a style="background: transparent; color: #f31c1c; text-decoration-line: none;" href="https://www.inoreader.com/stream/user/1006407045/tag/Israel%20and%20Middle%20East/view/html?t=Israel%20and%20Middle%20East%20News%20Review%20from%20Michael%20Novakhov&amp;l=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic01.nyt.com%2Fimages%2F2023%2F10%2F08%2Fmultimedia%2F08israel-gaza-saturday-timeline-bvhm%2F08israel-gaza-saturday-timeline-bvhm-facebookJumbo.jpg&amp;lw=400&amp;cs=m&amp;lh=200&amp;n=100&amp;sb=y" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>Israel and Middle East News Review = 100</b></span></a></dt>
<dt></dt>
<dt style="text-align: center;">________________________________________________</dt>
</dl>
<div class="blogger-post-footer">Links and Pages &#8211; The News and Times &#8211; Blogs by Michael Novakhov &#8211; linkspagesnt.blogspot.com</div>
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		<title>Russian Intelligence and Western Counterintelligence</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/russian-intelligence-and-western-counterintelligence/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=russian-intelligence-and-western-counterintelligence</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 May 2024 09:12:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Saved Web Pages - Audio Posts]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/russian-intelligence-and-western-counterintelligence/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>“It is a disaster”, says Bruno Kahl, Head of the German Intelligence Service (BND), about one of these cases, where a much-trusted BND officer now stands accused of having handed information to the Russians. The conflict between Russia and the west, gaining in intensity after Russia’s aggression against Ukraine in 2014 and even more so [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/russian-intelligence-and-western-counterintelligence/">Russian Intelligence and Western Counterintelligence</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong>“It is a disaster”, says Bruno Kahl, Head of the German Intelligence Service (BND), about one of these cases, where a much-trusted BND officer now stands accused of having handed information to the Russians.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The conflict between Russia and the west, gaining in intensity after Russia’s aggression against Ukraine in 2014 and even more so after Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, has only increased the Russian demand for everything intelligence. The appetite in Moscow for insights into the political thinking and decision-making in the west as this relates, for instance, to sanctions against Russia and military support for Ukraine, is now much greater than before 2014. The same is true for the need to mobilise and recruit various assets. And it is also true for the need to think creatively and cynically about how to achieve a rapidly increasing catalogue of desired effects.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The term “intelligence” is traditionally viewed as a type of knowledge, organisation, and activity. At its core, the Russian intelligence community produces knowledge, through cyber espionage targeting the communications systems of state institutions or the recruitment of individuals to supply classified information on military affairs or advanced technologies. The purpose is to reduce the level of uncertainty relating to the future, thereby preparing decision-makers to respond or to allow Russian industries to achieve breakthroughs by illegally copying the work of others.</strong></p>
<p><strong>However, it is usually not so much the knowledge production as the character of the wider Russian intelligence organisation and the activities pursued by it that demands our attention. To counteract, we need to understand the unconventional nature of both, which inevitably entails confronting dilemmas relating to our interests and the set-up of our free and open societies.</strong></p>
<h2><strong>A Seamless Intelligence Web</strong></h2>
<p><strong>The Russian intelligence community is usually associated with its main organisations such as the Federal Security Service (FSB), the Military Intelligence Service (GU, previously the GRU), and the Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) — listed here in order of importance. However, the approach of the Russian intelligence community is very comprehensive, meaning that it is much wider than institutional designations and organigrams would otherwise suggest. The approach may, in fact, be so comprehensive and the contours of the Russian intelligence organisations, therefore, so blurred as to make it highly problematic to focus too one-sidedly on the main organisations. Centres of gravity do exist within the wider intelligence community, exercising both formal and real leadership and setting directions with little or no consultation and external involvement, but it is instructive to view it as a seamless web of actors. These actors, found at the levels of both organisations and individuals, are all employed in support of the overall goals identified in the Kremlin.</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>Rossotrudnichestvo</em> provides an example at the level of organisations. Self-defined as an agency with the mission “to strengthen Russia’s humanitarian influence in the world,” its internationally deployed staff act simultaneously as organisers of literature readings and piano concerts and recruiters and influence agents. “Never let an intelligence opportunity go to waste” seems to be the undeclared motto behind the comprehensive thinking, which has led <em>Rossotrudnichestvo</em> staff to reach out to attendees, when hosting events at a local Russia House, and to students, when visiting universities. The European Union in 2022 placed <em>Rossotrudnichestvo</em> on the sanctions list for doing exactly that — intelligence work under the much more innocuous cover of promoting culture. It operates under the instruction of and in close liaison with intelligence officers posing as diplomatic staff at the local Russian embassies.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The level of individuals is represented by Russian citizens, current or former, living in the west. Hugely controversial, the issue is very real and needs to be addressed. One should understand just how problematic it is to cast such a large and diverse group as a monolith and that the overwhelming majority of these Russian citizens do not in any way represent nodes in a seamless intelligence web. However, many western states have had recent experiences of espionage conducted by Russian citizens, residing there on a (semi-) permanent basis, on behalf of the main Russian intelligence organisations.</strong></p>
<p><strong>An individual’s rationale for engaging in such illegal activities will vary, and it will be somewhere on a continuum ranging from the purely ideological to the purely material. Most of the cases known remain somewhat shrouded in mystery, making it difficult to assess what has really happened. To illustrate, in 2020, the Danish Security Service (PET) arrested a Russian citizen, Alexey Nikiforov, living and working in Denmark. He was later convicted of espionage, sentenced to a prison term, and deported. Nikiforov operated under the instructions of an intelligence officer and handler at the Russian embassy in Copenhagen. It was to this individual that Nikiforov handed over sensitive information from the Green Tech company, which had offered him a position after his doctoral studies at the Technical University of Denmark. For his efforts, Nikiforov was paid in cash by his handler, but he was also active at the Russia House, playing the balalaika in a small band with other Russians, and socialised with openly pro-Kremlin individuals in the Russian expat community in Denmark. It is unknown to which extent he was driven by ideology and/or by material interests.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A material interest includes avoiding harm, to oneself or to close ones. One of the most remarkable aspects of the community of Russian citizens living in the west is the near-total absence within this community of any kind of opposition to the war in Ukraine. This silence stands in stark contrast to the loud condemnation of the war — a genocidal war of aggression filled with atrocities — often expressed by the surrounding society as a whole and by other sub-segments across this society. The community of Russian citizens living in the west has generally remained passive. This fact, undoubtedly, is explained partly by the approval of the war (including its nature) and partly by fear of the consequences of expressing opposition to the war (for oneself or relatives in Russia). Both are reasons for concern from a counter-intelligence perspective as they may relatively easily lead to increased recruitment, either on a voluntary basis or through the use of threats. The continued radicalisation of the Putinist regime suggests that the authorities will be willing to go even further to force Russian citizens living in the west to support Russian intelligence interests.</strong></p>
<p><strong><a href="https://icds.ee/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/AFP_34NV7JA-scaled-1.jpg"><img decoding="async" src="https://icds.ee/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/AFP_34NV7JA-scaled-1-1024x716.jpg" alt="" width="1024" /></a>Pigeons walking in front of the Russian Foreign Ministry in April 2024. EPA/Scanpix</strong></p>
<h2><strong>Three Domains</strong></h2>
<p><strong>This wider Russian intelligence community conducts activities across three domains: physical, cyber, and cognitive. Starting with the latter, (dis-) information operations against western societies have become routine and are executed on a large scale every single day. All three main agencies engage in this, but so do supposedly “independent” organisations and individuals. It is an aggressive form of manipulation directed at various target populations. This is not new — Soviet intelligence also tried to manipulate public opinion in the west. Yet, the scale, speed, and, potentially, the level of penetration and effect have changed dramatically. Russian officials now brazenly announce that Russia interferes in elections in western states.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Next is the cyber domain where, again, all three main agencies are active. Their activities range from cyber espionage to highly destructive cyber operations designed to create data havoc and systems breakdowns. Russian cyber actors are routinely called out by western authorities — while individuals are put on sanctions lists and indicted — but their cyber activities continue unabated. The west has largely failed to deter the Russian agencies, which take full advantage of the attribution problem and outsource operations so that they are said to be unconnected to the Russian state.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Finally, the physical domain. The threat is well-known — as it explains why we have been guarding the perimeters of certain facilities for decades — but has gained a new urgency. From railway cables over to antennas and seabed pipelines, the list of critical infrastructure is almost endless in light of the increase in tensions between Russia and the west, as well as the Russian interest in causing disruptions. The new urgency stems from the fact that the cyber domain — a relatively new and rapidly growing one — also has a physical component. In April 2024, the German authorities arrested two Russian-German men, who have reportedly identified, in coordination with a Russian intelligence officer, military and industrial targets for sabotage. Our focus on the cognitive and cyber domains has probably led us to neglect, to some extent, the physical domain, where disruptions may be achieved at a relatively low cost and a catalogue of Russian intelligence’s targets is easy to compile.</strong></p>
<h2><strong>Dilemmas</strong></h2>
<p><strong>The development is fraught with dilemmas, which threaten to become more acute and of which I will just mention three. The first and very immediate dilemma relates to the expulsion of Russian spies disguised as diplomatic staff. A conservative estimate would hold that two-thirds of Russian embassy staff in western states are members of the Russian intelligence community. Given the comprehensive thinking within the Russian system, all diplomatic staff operating outside the gates of the embassy compounds may, in fact, be performing intelligence activities. The costs of their expulsion are felt at the western diplomatic missions in Russia. These states wish to maintain a presence there — at least to be able to support their own citizens. The relatively uncompromising expulsion of Russian intelligence staff from the west, following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, has led many western embassies in Moscow to reduce their work to a bare minimum as personnel have been forced to leave. This obviously harms their interests.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The second dilemma relates to the Russian citizens living in western states. The 2017 Intelligence Law of China famously required its citizens to support their country’s intelligence efforts — a stipulation that raised concerns about “everyday espionage” conducted by Chinese citizens both in China and abroad. The Russian authorities have not (yet) passed a similar law, but there is good reason to believe that they have moved quite close to it. The continued radicalisation of the regime — with its aggressive talk of “patriots” and “traitors” — will easily lead to a situation where Russian citizens in the west will find themselves under pressure from the authorities to support the state’s intelligence efforts. This is likely to encourage western governments to introduce a more scrupulous vetting of Russian nationals before allowing them into critical sectors in, for instance, academia or industry.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The final dilemma concerns prioritisation. What to prioritise given the scope and nature of Russian intelligence activities across the three domains? We are far beyond intelligence as a type of knowledge, produced by traditional spies, in our dealings with the wider Russian intelligence community. A keyword for a very diverse range of intelligence activities is “destruction” — in the cognitive, cyber, and physical domains. And it is carried out by a very diverse range of actors in a seamless web. It is a monumental challenge, which will require dedicated work and careful prioritisation on the part of western counterintelligence as long as the current conflict between Russia and the west continues.</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>This article was written for the Lennart Meri Conference special issue of <a href="https://diplomaatia.ee/">ICDS Diplomaatia magazine</a>. Views expressed in ICDS publications are those of the author(s).</em></strong></p>
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		<title>Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 May 2024 13:29:09 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry https://t.co/wzdrSwnitI — Guardian news (@guardiannews) May 28, 2024 &#8211; The former head of the Mossad, Israel’s foreign intelligence agency, allegedly threatened a chief prosecutor of the international criminal court in a series of secret meetings in which he tried to pressure her into abandoning [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/israeli-spy-chief-icc-prosecutor-war-crimes-inquiry/">Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p dir="ltr" lang="en">Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry <a href="https://t.co/wzdrSwnitI">https://t.co/wzdrSwnitI</a></p>
<p>— Guardian news (@guardiannews) <a href="https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1795343395147362362?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 28, 2024</a></p></blockquote>
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<strong>The former head of the Mossad, Israel’s foreign intelligence agency, allegedly threatened a chief prosecutor of the international criminal court in a series of secret meetings in which he tried to pressure her into abandoning a war crimes investigation, the Guardian can reveal.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Yossi Cohen’s covert contacts with the ICC’s then prosecutor, Fatou Bensouda, took place in the years leading up to her decision to <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/2021/mar/03/icc-open-formal-investigation-war-crimes-palestine#:~:text=Bensouda%20has%20said%20her%20probe,war%20crimes%20against%20our%20people.">open a formal investigation</a> into alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in occupied Palestinian territories.</strong></p>
<p><strong>That investigation, launched in 2021, culminated last week when <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/2021/feb/12/karim-khan-international-criminal-court-prosecutor">Bensouda’s successor</a>, Karim Khan, announced that he was seeking an arrest warrant for the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, over the country’s conduct in its war in Gaza.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The prosecutor’s decision to apply to the ICC’s pre-trial chamber <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/article/2024/may/20/icc-prosecutor-seeks-arrest-warrants-israeli-pm-netanyahu-hamas-officials-war-crimes">for arrest warrants</a> for Netanyahu and his defence minister, Yoav Gallant, alongside three Hamas leaders, is an outcome Israel’s military and political establishment has long feared.</strong></p>
<div><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/628c02b4c6e6e4529989c4df22a2a15faca0899a/0_113_4368_2621/master/4368.jpg?width=445&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none" alt="Netanyahu and Cohen" width="445" /></strong></div>
<p><strong>Cohen (right) was appointed as director of the Mossad by Netanyahu in 2016 after working for several years as his national security adviser. Photograph: Gali Tibbon/AFP/Getty Images</strong></p>
<p><strong>Cohen’s personal involvement in the operation against the ICC took place when he was the director of the Mossad. His activities were authorised at a high level and justified on the basis the court posed a threat of prosecutions against military personnel, according to a senior Israeli official.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Another Israeli source briefed on the operation against Bensouda said the Mossad’s objective was to compromise the prosecutor or enlist her as someone who would cooperate with Israel’s demands.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A third source familiar with the operation said Cohen was acting as Netanyahu’s “unofficial messenger”.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Cohen, who was one of Netanyahu’s closest allies at the time and is emerging as a political force in his own right in Israel, personally led the Mossad’s involvement in an almost decade-long campaign by the country to undermine the court.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Four sources confirmed that Bensouda had briefed a small group of senior ICC officials about Cohen’s attempts to sway her, amid concerns about the increasingly persistent and threatening nature of his behaviour.</strong></p>
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<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ac438d069d051ac4b4112e332ecbefd3e9400665/0_0_1920_1080/1920.jpg?width=465&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none" alt="ICC prosecutor requests arrest warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant and three Hamas leaders – video" width="460" /></strong></p>
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<p><strong>ICC prosecutor requests arrest warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant and three Hamas leaders – video</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Three of those sources were familiar with Bensouda’s formal disclosures to the ICC about the matter. They said she revealed Cohen had put pressure on her on several occasions not to proceed with a criminal investigation in the ICC’s Palestine case.</strong></p>
<p><strong>According to accounts shared with ICC officials, he is alleged to have told her: “You should help us and let us take care of you. You don’t want to be getting into things that could compromise your security or that of your family.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>One individual briefed on Cohen’s activities said he had used “despicable tactics” against Bensouda as part of an ultimately unsuccessful effort to intimidate and influence her. They likened his behaviour to “stalking”.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The Mossad also took a keen interest in Bensouda’s family members and obtained transcripts of secret recordings of her husband, according to two sources with direct knowledge of the situation. Israeli officials then attempted to use the material to discredit the prosecutor.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The revelations about Cohen’s operation form part of a forthcoming investigation by the Guardian, the Israeli-Palestinian publication +972 Magazine and the Hebrew-language outlet Local Call, revealing how multiple Israel intelligence agencies ran a covert “war” against the ICC for almost a decade.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Contacted by the Guardian, a spokesperson for Israel’s prime minister’s office said: “The questions forwarded to us are replete with many false and unfounded allegations meant to hurt the state of Israel.” Cohen did not respond to a request for comment. Bensouda declined to comment.</strong></p>
<div><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/d0713fe19645a6661f1146e1dfea05fb1c6c85c3/0_307_7940_4763/master/7940.jpg?width=445&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none" alt="Fatou Bensouda stands next to various national flags at a lectern that features the UN logo." width="445" /></strong></div>
<p><strong>The ICC case dates back to 2015, when Fatou Bensouda decided to open a preliminary examination into the situation in Palestine. Photograph: Pacific Press Media Production Corp/Alamy</strong></p>
<p><strong>In the Mossad’s efforts to influence Bensouda, Israel received support from an unlikely ally: Joseph Kabila, the former president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, who played a supporting role in the plot.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Revelations about the Mossad’s efforts to influence Bensouda come as the current chief prosecutor, Khan, warned in recent days that he would not hesitate to prosecute “attempts to impede, intimidate or improperly influence” ICC officials.</strong></p>
<p><strong>According to legal experts and former ICC officials, efforts by the Mossad to threaten or put pressure on Bensouda could amount to offences against the administration of justice under article 70 of the Rome statute, the treaty that established the court.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A spokesperson for the ICC would not say whether Khan had reviewed his predecessor’s disclosures about her contacts with Cohen, but said Khan had never met or spoken to the head of the Mossad.</strong></p>
<p><strong>While the spokesperson declined to comment on specific allegations, they said Khan’s office had been subjected to “several forms of threats and communications that could be viewed as attempts to unduly influence its activities”.</strong></p>
<h2><strong>Bensouda sparks ire of Israel</strong></h2>
<p><strong>Khan’s decision to seek arrest warrants against Netanyahu and Gallant last week marked the first time the court had taken action against leaders of a country closely allied with the US and Europe. Their alleged crimes – which include directing attacks on civilians and using starvation as a method of warfare – relate to the eight-month war in Gaza.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The ICC case, however, dates back to 2015, when Bensouda decided <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/2015/jan/16/icc-possible-war-crimes-palestinian-territories">to open a preliminary examination</a> into the situation in Palestine. Short of a full investigation, her inquiry was tasked with making an initial assessment of allegations of crimes by individuals in Gaza, the West Bank and East Jerusalem.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Bensouda’s decision sparked the ire of Israel, which feared its citizens could be prosecuted for their involvement in operations in <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/palestinian-territories">Palestinian territories</a>. Israel had long been open about its opposition to the ICC, refusing to recognise its authority. Israeli ministers intensified their attacks on the court and even vowed to try to dismantle it.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Soon after commencing the preliminary examination, Bensouda and her senior prosecutors began to receive warnings that Israeli intelligence was taking a close interest in their work.</strong></p>
<div><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ba7b0125f847238642bc08243d6d61c63166c76d/0_224_6720_4032/master/6720.jpg?width=445&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none" alt="Differential focus image that centres Yossi Cohen among a crowd of suited men" width="445" /></strong></div>
<p><strong>Yossi Cohen during a reception held at the Israeli foreign ministry in Jerusalem, in May 2018. Photograph: Amir Cohen/Reuters</strong></p>
<p><strong>According to two sources, there were even suspicions among senior ICC officials that Israel had cultivated sources within the court’s prosecution division, known as the office of the prosecutor. Another later recalled that although the Mossad “didn’t leave its signature”, it was an assumption the agency was behind some of the activity officials had been made aware of.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Only a small group of senior figures at the ICC, however, were informed that the director of the Mossad had personally approached the chief prosecutor.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A career spy, Cohen enjoys a reputation in Israel’s intelligence community as an effective recruiter of foreign agents. He was a loyal and powerful ally of the prime minister at the time, having been appointed as director of the Mossad by Netanyahu in 2016 after working for several years at his side as his national security adviser.</strong></p>
<p><strong>As the head of the national security council between 2013 and 2016, Cohen oversaw the body that, according to multiple sources, began to coordinate a multiagency effort against the ICC once Bensouda opened the preliminary inquiry in 2015.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Cohen’s first interaction with Bensouda appears to have taken place at the Munich security conference in 2017, when the Mossad director introduced himself to the prosecutor in a brief exchange. After this encounter, Cohen subsequently “ambushed” Bensouda in a bizarre episode in a Manhattan hotel suite, according to multiple sources familiar with the incident.</strong></p>
<div><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/31a3044ba4918b2f97002bf164fcb70dfc7710ff/0_21_640_384/master/640.jpg?width=445&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none" alt="Bensouda shaking hands with a bearded Joseph Kabila" width="445" /></strong></div>
<p><strong>Bensouda with Joseph Kabila in New York. Sources claim the then DRC leader played an important supporting role in the Mossad’s plot against the ICC’s chief prosecutor. Photograph: ICC</strong></p>
<p><strong>Bensouda was in New York in 2018 on an official visit, and was meeting Kabila, then the president of the DRC, at his hotel. The pair had met several times before in relation to the ICC’s ongoing investigation into alleged crimes committed in his country.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The meeting, however, appears to have been a setup. At a certain point, after Bensouda’s staff were asked to leave the room, Cohen entered, according to three sources familiar with the meeting. The surprise appearance, they said, caused alarm to Bensouda and a group of ICC officials travelling with her.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Why Kabila helped Cohen is unclear, but ties between the two men were revealed in 2022 by the Israeli publication TheMarker, which reported on a series of secretive trips the Mossad director made to the DRC throughout 2019.</strong></p>
<p><strong><a href="https://interactive.guim.co.uk/embed/from-tool/generic/index.html?vertical=News&amp;opinion-tint=false&amp;title=Get%20in%20touch&amp;description=Do%20you%20have%20information%20about%20this%20story%3F%20Email%20%3Ca%20style%3D%22color%3A%23ab0613%22%20href%3D%22mailto%3Aharry.davies%40theguardian.com%22%3Eharry.davies%40theguardian.com%3C%2Fa%3E%2C%20or%20(using%20a%20non-work%20phone)%20use%20%3Ca%20style%3D%22color%3A%23ab0613%22%20href%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fsignal.me%2F%23p%2F%2B447721857348%22%3ESignal%3C%2Fa%3E%20or%20%3Ca%20style%3D%22color%3A%23ab0613%22%20href%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fapi.whatsapp.com%2Fsend%3Fphone%3D447721857348%22%3EWhatsApp%3C%2Fa%3E%20to%20message%20%2B44%207721%20857348.%20For%20the%20most%20secure%20communications%2C%20use%20%3Ca%20style%3D%22color%3A%23ab0613%22%20href%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theguardian.com%2Fsecuredrop%22%3ESecureDrop%3C%2Fa%3E%20or%20see%20%3Ca%20style%3D%22color%3A%23ab0613%22%20href%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theguardian.com%2Fhelp%2Fng-interactive%2F2017%2Fmar%2F17%2Fcontact-the-guardian-securely%22%3Eour%20guide%3C%2Fa%3E.&amp;link=false">Do you have information about this story? Email harry.davies@theguardian.com, or (using a non-work phone) use Signal or WhatsApp to message +44 7721 857348.</a></strong></p>
<p><strong>According to the publication, Cohen’s trips, during which he sought Kabila’s advice “on an issue of interest to Israel”, and which were almost certainly approved by Netanyahu, were highly unusual and had astonished senior figures within the intelligence community.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Reporting on the DRC meetings in 2022, the Israeli broadcaster Kan 11 said Cohen’s trips related to an “extremely controversial plan” and cited official sources who described it as “one of Israel’s most sensitive secrets”.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Multiple sources have confirmed to the Guardian the trips were partly related to the ICC operation, and Kabila, who left office in January 2019, played an important supporting role in the Mossad’s plot against Bensouda. Kabila did not respond to a request for comment.</strong></p>
<h2><strong>‘Threats and manipulation’</strong></h2>
<p><strong>After the surprise meeting with Kabila and Bensouda in New York, Cohen repeatedly phoned the chief prosecutor and sought meetings with her, three sources recalled. According to two people familiar with the situation, at one stage Bensouda asked Cohen how he had obtained her phone number, to which he replied: “Did you forget what I do for a living?”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Initially, the sources explained, the intelligence chief “tried to build a relationship” with the prosecutor and played “good cop” in an attempt to charm her. The initial objective, they said, appeared to have been to enlist Bensouda into cooperating with Israel.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Over time, however, the tone of Cohen’s contact changed and he began to use a range of tactics, including “threats and manipulation”, an individual briefed on the meetings said. This prompted Bensouda to inform a small group of senior ICC officials about his behaviour.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In December 2019, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/2019/dec/20/icc-to-investigate-alleged-israeli-and-palestinian-war-crimes">the prosecutor announced</a> that she had grounds to open a full criminal investigation into allegations of war crimes in Gaza, the West Bank and East Jerusalem. However, she held off launching it, deciding first to request a ruling from the ICC’s pre-trial chamber to confirm the court did indeed have jurisdiction over Palestine.</strong></p>
<div><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/5658e661b52f962fe43e896e2db47f61a69c4778/0_0_5472_3648/master/5472.jpg?width=445&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none" alt="Demonstrators carry banners outside the ICC" width="445" /></strong></div>
<p><strong>Protesters gather outside the ICC to call for the court to prosecute Israel for war crimes. Photograph: Peter Dejong/AP</strong></p>
<p><strong>Multiple sources said it was at this stage, as the judges considered the case, that Cohen escalated his attempts to persuade Bensouda not to pursue a full investigation in the event the judges gave her the green light.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Between late 2019 and early 2021, the sources said, there were at least three encounters between Cohen and Bensouda, all initiated by the spy chief. His behaviour is said to have become increasingly concerning to ICC officials.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A source familiar with Bensouda’s accounts of the final two meetings with Cohen said he had raised questions about her security, and that of her family, in a manner that led her to believe he was threatening her.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On one occasion, Cohen is said to have shown Bensouda copies of photographs of her husband, which were taken covertly when the couple were visiting London. On another, according to sources, Cohen suggested to the prosecutor that a decision to open a full investigation would be detrimental to her career.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Four sources familiar with the situation said it was around the same time that Bensouda and other ICC officials discovered that information was circulating among diplomatic channels relating to her husband, who worked as an international affairs consultant.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Between 2019 and 2020, the Mossad had been actively seeking compromising information on the prosecutor and took an interest in her family members.</strong></p>
<div><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/b8515f60a8bb747a9f7fa17cf04d6beba47ef03d/0_0_5472_3283/master/5472.jpg?width=445&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none" alt="The international criminal court in The Hague" width="445" /></strong></div>
<p><strong>In February 2021, it was confirmed that the ICC had jurisdiction in occupied Palestinian territories. Photograph: Peter Dejong/AP</strong></p>
<p><strong>The spy agency obtained a cache of material, including transcripts of an apparent sting operation against her husband.</strong></p>
<p><strong>It is unclear who conducted the operation, or precisely what he is alleged to have said in the recordings. One possibility is that he had been targeted by the intelligence agency or by private actors of another country that wanted leverage over the ICC. Another possibility is the information was fabricated.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Once in the possession of Israel, however, the material was used by its diplomats in an unsuccessful attempt to undermine the chief prosecutor. But according to multiple sources, Israel failed to convince its allies of the significance of the material.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Three sources briefed on the information shared by Israel at a diplomatic level described the efforts as part of an unsuccessful “smear campaign” against Bensouda. “They went after Fatou,” one source said, but it had “no impact” on the prosecutor’s work.</strong></p>
<div><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/7973a9020306ba61a7e04d84e716e69db290cfb7/0_95_2465_1480/master/2465.jpg?width=445&amp;dpr=1&amp;s=none" alt="Trump and Netanyahu shake hands" width="445" /></strong></div>
<p><strong>Trump and Netanyahu. The Trump administration imposed visa restrictions and sanctions on Bensouda in 2019-20. Photograph: Ronen Zvulun/Reuters</strong></p>
<p><strong>The diplomatic efforts were part of a coordinated effort by the governments of Netanyahu and <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/donaldtrump">Donald Trump</a> in the US to place public and private pressure on the prosecutor and her staff.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Between 2019 and 2020, in an unprecedented decision, the Trump administration imposed visa restrictions and sanctions <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/2020/sep/02/us-sanctions-international-criminal-court-fatou-bensouda">on the chief prosecutor</a>. The move was in retaliation to Bensouda’s pursuit of a separate investigation into war crimes in Afghanistan, allegedly committed by the Taliban and both Afghan and US military personnel.</strong></p>
<p><strong>However, Mike Pompeo, then US secretary of state, linked the sanctions package to the Palestine case. “It’s clear the ICC is only putting Israel in [its] crosshairs for nakedly political purposes,” he said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Months later, he accused Bensouda, without citing any evidence, of having “engaged in corrupt acts for her personal benefit”.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/2021/apr/02/us-lifts-sanctions-icc-prosecutor-fatou-bensouda-pompeo-blinken">US sanctions were rescinded</a> after President Joe Biden entered the White House.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In February 2021, the ICC’s pre-trial chamber issued a ruling <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/2021/feb/05/icc-rules-it-can-investigate-war-crimes-in-palestine-despite-israeli-objections">confirming the ICC had jurisdiction</a> in occupied Palestinian territories. The following month, Bensouda <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/2021/mar/03/icc-open-formal-investigation-war-crimes-palestine">announced the opening</a> of the criminal investigation.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“In the end, our central concern must be for the victims of crimes, both Palestinian and Israeli, arising from the long cycle of violence and insecurity that has caused deep suffering and despair on all sides,” she said at the time.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Bensouda completed her nine-year term at the ICC three months later, leaving it to her successor, Khan, to take up the investigation. It was only after the Hamas attacks on Israel on 7 October and the ensuing war on Gaza that the ICC’s investigation gained renewed urgency, culminating in last week’s request for arrest warrants.</strong></p>
<p><strong>It was the conclusion Israel’s political, military and intelligence establishment had feared. “The fact they chose the head of Mossad to be the prime minister’s unofficial messenger to [Bensouda] was to intimidate, by definition,” said a source briefed on Cohen’s operation. “It failed.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Original: <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/28/israeli-spy-chief-icc-prosecutor-war-crimes-inquiry?CMP=twt_b-gdnnews" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/28/israeli-spy-chief-icc-prosecutor-war-crimes-inquiry?CMP=twt_b-gdnnews</a></strong><br />
&#8211;</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">Audio Post: Revealed: Israeli spy chief ‘threatened’ ICC prosecutor over war crimes inquiry <a href="https://t.co/Gh8Dc2tht7">https://t.co/Gh8Dc2tht7</a><br />
IMHO, this is only one of the many possible illustrations (some of them mentioned in my earlier tweets) of the Yossi Cohen&#8217;s style: aggressive, brasen, and, to… <a href="https://t.co/BYwLBnYhpx">pic.twitter.com/BYwLBnYhpx</a></p>
<p>— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) <a href="https://twitter.com/mikenov/status/1795458774225899919?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">May 28, 2024</a></p></blockquote>
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		<title>To Fix the FBI, Abolish It</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/to-fix-the-fbi-abolish-it/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=to-fix-the-fbi-abolish-it</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 May 2024 10:07:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[FBI]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Big Intel: How the CIA and FBI Went from Cold War Heroes to Deep State Villains, by J. Michael Waller, Regnery, 256 pages Your perspective on the FBI depends a lot on when you grew up. If you are a reader of The American Conservative today and old enough to remember the classic television series [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/to-fix-the-fbi-abolish-it/">To Fix the FBI, Abolish It</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://www.theamericanconservative.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/shutterstock_612694196-scaled-e1716496115452.jpg" alt="shutterstock_612694196-scaled-e171649611" /></strong></p>
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<p><strong><a href="https://www.amazon.com/Big-Intel-Heroes-State-Villains/dp/1684513537">Big Intel: How the CIA and FBI Went from Cold War Heroes to Deep State Villains</a>, <em>by J. Michael Waller, Regnery, 256 pages</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Your perspective on the FBI depends a lot on when you grew up. If you are a reader of <em>The American Conservative </em>today and old enough to remember the classic television series <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GlK1sLZKKxY&amp;t=66s"><em>The FBI</em></a> starring the memorable actor <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/04/arts/television/efrem-zimbalist-jr-star-of-77-sunset-strip-and-the-fbi-is-dead-at-95.html">Efrem Zimbalist Jr.</a>, you almost certainly still hold, somewhere hidden deep inside, a positive image of J. Edgar Hoover and the bureau.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The 1965–74 TV series was one of Hoover’s most brilliant PR successes. It burnished the FBI’s reputation in turbulent times, putting the bureau squarely on the side of millions of law-and-order Americans (many of us kids), who believed, rightly, that many radicals of that era were at war with our country.</strong></p>
<p><strong>As <a href="https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/remembering-left-wing-terrorism-1970s/">violent political insurgency</a> and <a href="https://time.com/4501670/bombings-of-america-burrough/">thousands of random bombings</a> rocked the nation, we were reassured that a professional and patriotic FBI, personified by Zimbalist, was out there working the cases. It was always only a question of time, we believed, before Hoover’s G-men nailed dangerous radicals like the notorious Weather Underground, who planted bombs in public buildings, and the Symbionese Liberation Army (SLA), who could ruthlessly kidnap prominent citizens like Patty Hearst. </strong></p>
<p><strong>We had no way of anticipating that the FBI’s failure to close down these violent radicals shrouded an even greater weakness: the bureau’s inability to protect American institutions from the Fabian revolutionaries who were subverting them from inside.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In an open society, it is a classically difficult mission for any undercover police or counter-intelligence service to counter a dedicated, home-grown enemy. The Weimar republic famously failed to prevent a repackaged Hitler from emerging as a “democrat.” In <em>The Open Society and Its Enemies, </em>Karl Popper should have added a chapter on the deviousness of Weathermen Bill Ayers and Bernardine Dohrn, who papered over their Marxist–Leninist past to reappear as counselors to a young politician named Barack Obama.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In his ambitious new book <em>Big Intel</em>, J. Michael Waller takes on these large questions, examining the historic performance of U.S. federal law enforcement and intelligence agencies, most significantly the FBI and CIA, in battling the subtle forces that have for decades eaten away at the country’s institutions and traditional values.  </strong></p>
<p><strong>Waller’s central thesis—no surprise—is that the subversives won out. The book argues that the revolutionary left not only outlasted the FBI and CIA, but ultimately unleashed the same destructive ideology inside the federal security agencies themselves. <em>Big Intel</em> is the disturbing story of how Marxist-inspired “critical theory” turned Zimbalist’s noble G-man into the infamous Peter Strzok. </strong></p>
<p><strong>Waller knows his stuff. He is not only an academic with more than 40 years examining intelligence matters, but he also dabbled in espionage tradecraft himself back in the early 1980s Central America wars. The author argues that today’s problems inside the FBI and CIA are more fundamental than these agencies have become highly politicized. He believes the left has succeeded in remaking the core professional values that motivate today’s career FBI agents, CIA case officers, and the analysts who support their work. </strong></p>
<p><strong>Waller argues that critical theory priorities, such as embracing identity politics and social justice activism, have remade the “institutional culture” in the national security agencies. Reshaped by their university experiences and today’s prevailing norms, today’s young FBI agent and CIA officer are self-absorbed and disinclined to sacrifice for their country. Their idea of patriotism is to think globally and fight climate change. Their sworn oath to the Constitution is about protecting the government from conservatives who challenge a woke agenda.  </strong></p>
<p><strong>A skeptic might accuse Waller of having interviewed too many grumpy old federal agents with nostalgia for the higher standards of a bygone era. But the argument of <em>Big Intel</em> is that America’s enemies intentionally sowed, a century ago, the seeds of Marxist-inspired critical theory radicalism in universities and influential intellectual circles in America and Europe. It was a long-term strategy of subversion. Waller writes: </strong></p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Marxism’s permanent warfare would ravage the [West’s] culture, starting with education and family and spreading through the arts, deeply held religious beliefs and values, ethnicity, sexuality, patriotism, and law. We can trace the rise of cultural Marxism from its beginnings in early Soviet Russia, through interwar Germany, during World War II when it first penetrated American foreign intelligence, through the Cold War when the FBI led the country against such subversion, right up to the present when the CIA and then the FBI embraced it, wrapped it in lovely packaging called diversity, equity, and inclusion, and placed it at the core of their missions. The term “cultural Marxism” was too inflammatory to use in government and always denied. But the agencies internalized the train of thought to induce people to think and behave as cultural Marxists, usually without even realizing it. That intellectual construct or thought process is called critical theory.</strong></p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Waller makes his case by examining the history of the FBI and the CIA, starting with Langley’s Second World War predecessor, the Office of Strategic Services (OSS). These compelling historical narratives alone make the book worth the read.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Before the 20th century, Washington had no significant federal law enforcement or civilian intelligence service. As foreign threats emerged, presidents turned to the Department of Justice, which responded with a hybrid of federal police and proto-intelligence activities. One early milestone was the 1919–20 Palmer Raids, carried out against revolutionary foreign radicals who were a genuine peril. Washington’s handling of the raids would set a pattern: federal authorities overreaching in a necessary crackdown, while rounding up many innocents. </strong></p>
<p><strong>The key DOJ official to emerge in this early period is, of course, a young John Edgar Hoover, who would stay on to run the FBI an incredible 48 years. The fact that, in such an ad hoc manner, a security service developed and would keep the same man in charge for almost half a century indicated the difficulty for Washington policymakers of finding the formula for running a professional and non-political federal police. That challenge is still largely unmet today.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Nevertheless, <em>Big Intel</em> provides an even-handed assessment of the controversial Hoover, who today is routinely vilified by liberal historians and rarely defended by modern conservatives. No apologist for the FBI director, the author still makes a convincing case that, on balance over his (too) long career, Hoover undertook a professional approach that realistically perceived the <em>sub rosa</em> dangers America faced. Today, it is hard to assert that Hoover did more good than harm, but there is a case to be made. </strong></p>
<p><strong>The author writes,</strong></p>
<blockquote><p><strong>[Hoover] was right in identifying the institutional, individual, and ideological drivers of destructive change in America. He fairly predicted the social trends at work to fundamentally transform the country. History may have reviled him. So has the FBI itself. But the twenty-first-century FBI, as with the CIA, became a greater threat to the constitutional system and American society than the surprisingly restrained Hoover ever could have been.</strong></p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Waller contrasts the record of the FBI and Hoover with that of the OSS, the CIA’s forerunner, and its director “Wild Bill” Donovan. For the author, Donovan represents the dominant liberal forces in the American establishment that crucially overlooked or downplayed the cultural Marxist threat. </strong></p>
<p><strong>Waller argues that the OSS, and later the CIA, would never fully comprehend the subtle, termite-like ideological dangers loose in American society. While Langley would go on to play an important role, perhaps even a crucial one, in countering Soviet political power and conventional espionage, the CIA never grappled, according to the author, with the forces of cultural Marxism, the more subtle enemies of open American society. </strong></p>
<p><strong>The book devotes considerable space to the Institute for Social Research, examining its role in nurturing and spreading cultural Marxism in Europe and America. Launched in 1923 by the Comintern in Frankfurt, Germany, the institute was, as Dr. Waller clearly documents, a Soviet-funded influence project. Today, commonly remembered as the Frankfurt School, the institute’s Marxist academics would escape Nazi Germany and establish themselves in the United States, several ending up in Donovan’s OSS.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The Frankfurt School became a phenomenally successful Soviet intelligence operation with much more long-term significance than, say, Moscow’s espionage networks in Western countries. The Frankfurt School’s academic Marxists, like Franz Neumann, Otto Kirchheimer, and Herbert Marcuse, not only served in the OSS, but more importantly were crucial in advancing critical theory into the modern university mainstream.  </strong></p>
<p><strong>Particularly influential, Herbert Marcuse (1898–1979) motivated a generation of university students who went revolutionary <em>en masse</em> in the 1960s, giving us everything from Tom Hayden’s New Left to terrorists like the Weather Underground and Germany’s Baader–Meinhof fanatics. Marcuse and his colleagues were so <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1989/10/25/us/education-the-mainstreaming-of-marxism-in-us-colleges.html?searchResultPosition=3">successful</a> that the tens of thousands of intellectual Marxists on American and European universities became, decades ago, the dominant intellectual force in Western social sciences. The FBI could root out deep-cover Soviet agents like Alger Hiss, but proved useless against Marcuse and his Marxist academics. </strong></p>
<p><strong><em>Big Intel</em> is not just about how things went wrong. The author does suggest ways to fight back, starting by disbanding today’s FBI. Waller argues that a domestic intelligence service like the FBI that also exercises federal police powers is “incompatible with our constitutional form of government.” In point of fact, the bureau was never established in U.S. law by an act of Congress. It was created by bureaucratic legerdemain: a one-page DOJ memo from the year 1908. </strong></p>
<p><strong>“Since the FBI,” Waller writes, “was founded with a short memo by an attorney general, it can be dissolved with a short memo from a future attorney general.” The author recommends as a first step transferring and dividing the FBI’s functions to other, already existing, national security and law enforcement federal agencies. Waller writes: “[The FBI] has serially abused its authority and the public trust. It has become too politicized to function legally. It is a rogue organization that resists congressional oversight. And it is populating itself with a new, politicized cadre who will make tomorrow’s FBI far worse.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Indeed, conservatives of all stripes must admit our memory of the patriotic and professional FBI agent is never coming back; some may even argue that he never even existed, but I would join Waller in demurring on that. In any event, our national challenge today is to keep the very real, flesh and blood, Peter Strzok and his ilk out of federal service. It is time for the FBI to go the way of the OSS.  </strong></p>
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		<title>Secret Hamas Files Show How It Spied on Everyday Palestinians &#8211; NYTimes</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 May 2024 12:32:32 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Hamas monitored political activity, online posts, and apparently even love lives. Palestinians were stuck between an Israeli blockade and a repressive security force. A rally in support of Hamas in Gaza City in 2022. A secret police force overseen by Hamas’s leader in the enclave utilizes an extensive network of informants.Credit&#8230;Fatima Shbair/Associated Press May 13, [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/secret-hamas-files-palestinians-html/">Secret Hamas Files Show How It Spied on Everyday Palestinians – NYTimes</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong>Hamas monitored political activity, online posts, and apparently even love lives. Palestinians were stuck between an Israeli blockade and a repressive security force.</strong></p>
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<div><strong><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter" src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2024/05/09/multimedia/00hamas-surveillance-01-wvzb/00hamas-surveillance-01-wvzb-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&amp;auto=webp&amp;disable=upscale" alt="A crowd with green banners, a Palestinian flag streaming above them." width="1133" height="756" /></strong></div>
<p><strong>A rally in support of Hamas in Gaza City in 2022. A secret police force overseen by Hamas’s leader in the enclave utilizes an extensive network of informants.Credit&#8230;Fatima Shbair/Associated Press</strong></p>
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<div><strong>May 13, 2024, 5:03 a.m. ET</strong></div>
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<p><strong>The Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar has for years overseen a secret police force in Gaza that conducted surveillance on everyday Palestinians and built files on young people, journalists and those who questioned the government, according to intelligence officials and a trove of internal documents reviewed by The New York Times.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The unit, known as the General Security Service, relied on a network of Gaza informants, some of whom reported their own neighbors to the police. People landed in security files for attending protests or publicly criticizing Hamas. In some cases, the records suggest that the authorities followed people to determine if they were carrying on romantic relationships outside marriage.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Hamas has long run an oppressive system of governance in Gaza, and many Palestinians there know that security officials watch them closely. But a 62-slide presentation on the activities of the General Security Service, delivered only weeks before the Oct. 7 attack on Israel, reveals the degree to which the largely unknown unit penetrated the lives of Palestinians.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The documents show that Hamas leaders, despite claiming to represent the people of Gaza, would not tolerate even a whiff of dissent. Security officials trailed journalists and people they suspected of immoral behavior. Agents got criticism removed from social media and discussed ways to defame political adversaries. Political protests were viewed as threats to be undermined.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Everyday Gazans were stuck — behind the wall of Israel’s crippling blockade and under the thumb and constant watch of a security force. That dilemma continues today, with the added threat of Israeli ground troops and airstrikes.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“We’re facing bombardment by the occupation and thuggery by the local authorities,” Ehab Fasfous, a journalist in the Gaza Strip who appeared in the files of the General Security Service, said in a phone interview from Gaza.</strong></p>
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<div><strong>Damaged and destroyed buildings last month in Khan Younis, in the southern Gaza Strip.Credit&#8230;Fatima Shbair/Associated Press</strong></div>
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<p><strong>Mr. Fasfous, 51, is labeled in one report as among “the major haters of the Hamas movement.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>The documents were provided to The Times by officials in Israel’s military intelligence directorate, who said they had been seized in raids in Gaza.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Reporters then interviewed people who were named in the files. Those people recounted key events, confirmed biographical information and, in Mr. Fasfous’s case, described interactions with the authorities that aligned with the secret files. The documents reviewed by The Times include seven intelligence files ranging from October 2016 to August 2023. The military intelligence directorate said it was aware of files containing information on at least 10,000 Palestinians in Gaza.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>The General Security Service is formally part of the Hamas political party but functions like part of the government. One Palestinian individual familiar with the inner workings of Hamas, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter, confirmed that the service was one of three powerful internal security bodies in Gaza. The others were Military Intelligence, which typically focuses on Israel, and the Internal Security Service, an arm of the Interior Ministry.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Basem Naim, a spokesman for Hamas, said the people responsible for the General Security Service were unreachable during the war.</strong></p>
<p><strong>With monthly expenses of $120,000 before the war with Israel, the unit comprised 856 people, records show. Of those, more than 160 were paid to spread Hamas propaganda and launch online attacks against opponents at home and abroad. The status of the unit today is unknown because Israel has dealt a significant blow to Hamas’s military and governing abilities.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The Israeli intelligence authorities believe that Mr. Sinwar directly oversaw the General Security Service, according to three Israeli intelligence officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss the matter publicly. They said the slide show was prepared for Mr. Sinwar personally, though they did not say how they knew that.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The presentation said that the General Security Service works to protect Hamas’s people, property and information, and to support its leadership’s decision-making.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Some slides focused on the personal security of Hamas leaders. Others discussed ways to stamp out protests, including the “We Want to Live” demonstrations last year that criticized power shortages and the cost of living. Security officials also tracked operatives from Palestinian Islamic Jihad, an ideologically aligned militant group that often partners with Hamas.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Some tactics, like amplifying Hamas’s own message, appeared to be routine politicking. In other instances, officials suggested using intelligence to undermine opponents and distort their reputations, though the files were vague about how that was to be done.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“Undertaking a number of offensive and defensive media campaigns to confuse and influence adversaries by using private and exclusive information,” the document read.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Security officers stopped Mr. Fasfous on his way to a protest last August, seized his phone and ordered him to leave, a report says. Mr. Fasfous confirmed that two plainclothes officers had approached him. The authorities searched his recent calls, and wrote that he was communicating with “suspicious people” in Israel.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>“We advise that closing in on him is necessary because he’s a negative person who is full of hatred, and only brings forth the Strip’s shortcomings,” the document said.</strong></p>
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<div><strong>The documents discussed ways to stamp out protests last year over power outages and difficult living conditions.Credit&#8230;Associated Press</strong></div>
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<p><strong>The most frustrating thing, Mr. Fasfous said, was that the officers used his phone to send flirtatious messages to a colleague. “They wanted to pin a moral violation on me,” he said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The report does not include that detail but does describe ways to “deal with” Mr. Fasfous. “Defame him,” the report said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“If you’re not with them, you become an atheist, an infidel and a sinner,” Mr. Fasfous said. He acknowledged supporting protests and criticizing Hamas online, but said the people he was in touch with in Israel were Palestinians who owned food and clothing companies. He said he helped run their social media accounts.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The General Security Service’s goals are similar to those of security services in countries like Syria that have used secret units to quell dissent. The files of the General Security Service, though, mention tactics like censorship, intimidation and surveillance rather than physical violence.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>“This General Security Service is just like the Stasi of East Germany,” said Michael Milshtein, a former Israeli military intelligence officer specializing in Palestinian affairs. “You always have an eye on the street.”</strong></p>
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<div><strong>Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas in Gaza, last year at a rally in Gaza City.Credit&#8230;Samar Abu Elouf for The New York Times</strong></div>
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<p><strong>Palestinians in Gaza live in fear and hesitate to express dissent, analysts said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“There are a lot of people practicing self-censorship,” said Mkhaimar Abusada, a professor of political science from Gaza City. “They just don’t want problems with the Hamas government.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>That view clashes with the most strident comments of Israel’s leaders, like President Isaac Herzog, who blamed Gazans for not toppling Hamas before the Oct. 7 attacks.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“There’s an entire nation that is responsible,” <a href="https://www.itv.com/news/2023-10-12/israel-targets-network-of-tunnels-in-gaza-as-death-toll-rises">he said</a>. “This rhetoric about civilians were not aware, not involved, it’s absolutely not true. They could have risen up.”</strong></p>
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<p><strong>The General Security Service, the files show, also tried to enforce a conservative social order.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In December 2017, for example, the authorities investigated a tip that a woman was acting immorally with a man who owned a clothing shop. A security report noted that she visited the shop for an hour on one day, then more than two hours the next. The report presented no evidence of wrongdoing, but proposed that “relevant parties” address the matter.</strong></p>
<p><strong>An October 2016 report described young men and women performing unspecified “immoral acts” at a Palestine Liberation Organization office in Khan Younis at night. Hamas sees the Palestine Liberation Organization as a compromised entity, whose leader too often favors Israeli interests. The report offered no evidence of misdeeds but recommended summoning a man who claimed to be in possession of videos and pictures.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The files also show that Hamas was suspicious of foreign organizations and journalists.</strong></p>
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<div><strong>Fishermen in the Port of Gaza in 2022. Even though many of the reports contain nothing more than notes on daily lives of Gazans, many people in the strip “think four times before doing any small thing,” said Michael Milshtein, a former Israeli intelligence officer specializing in Palestinian affairs.Credit&#8230;Samar Abu Elouf for The New York Times</strong></div>
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<p><strong>When Monique van Hoogstraten, a Dutch reporter, visited a protest encampment along the border with Israel in April 2018, the authorities noted the most banal of details. They noted the make and model of her car and her license plate number. They said she took pictures of children and tried to interview an elderly woman Ms. van Hoogstraten confirmed the reporting trip in an interview with The Times.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The file recommended further “reconnaissance” on journalists.</strong></p>
<p><strong>None of the files reviewed by The Times were dated after the start of the war. But Mr. Fasfous said the government remained interested in him.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Early in the war, he said he took images of security forces hitting people who fought over spots in line outside a bakery. The authorities confiscated his camera.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Fasfous complained to a government official in Khan Younis, who told him to stop reporting and “destabilizing the internal front,” Mr. Fasfous recalled.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“I told him I was reporting on the truth and that the truth won’t hurt him, but that fell on deaf ears,” he said. “We can’t have a life here as long as these criminals remain in control.”</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/world/europe/secret-hamas-files-palestinians.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/world/europe/secret-hamas-files-palestinians.html</a></strong></p>
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		<title>Putin and October 7 attack on Israel &#8211; News Review Links</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Mar 2024 14:47:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p> Putin and October 7 attack on Israel &#8211; RSS Page EV = 20 &#8211; EV=100 &#8211; EV = 200 &#8211; Review = 100  Putin and October 7 attack on Israel from Michael Novakhov on Inoreader The News And Times Information Network &#8211; Blogs By Michael Novakhov &#8211; thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/putin-and-october-7-attack-on-israel_9-html/">Putin and October 7 attack on Israel – News Review Links</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p> <a style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #f31c1c; font-family: Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 30px; font-weight: bold; outline: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" href="https://www.inoreader.com/stream/user/1006407045/tag/Putin%20and%20October%207%20attack%20on%20Israel/view/html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Putin and October 7 attack on Israel &#8211; RSS Page</a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="https://www.inoreader.com/stream/user/1006407045/tag/Putin%20and%20October%207%20attack%20on%20Israel/view/html?c=f4acUG33muMn" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EV = 20</a> &#8211; <a href="https://www.inoreader.com/stream/user/1006407045/tag/Putin%20and%20October%207%20attack%20on%20Israel/view/html?l=-&amp;n=100&amp;sb=y&amp;c=SGSt5FkKXFGo" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EV=100</a> &#8211; <a href="https://www.inoreader.com/stream/user/1006407045/tag/Putin%20and%20October%207%20attack%20on%20Israel/view/html?l=-&amp;n=201&amp;sb=y" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EV = 200</a> &#8211; <a href="https://www.inoreader.com/stream/user/1006407045/tag/Putin%20and%20October%207%20attack%20on%20Israel/view/html?l=-&amp;cs=m&amp;n=101&amp;sb=y" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Review = 100</a> </b></span></p>
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<div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.inoreader.com/stream/user/1006407045/tag/Putin%20and%20October%207%20attack%20on%20Israel/view/html?l=-&amp;cs=m&amp;n=101&amp;sb=y" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Putin and October 7 attack on Israel</span></a></div>
<p><span style="color: #828d9d; display: block; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal; margin-top: 4px;">from Michael Novakhov on <a style="color: #296bcc; text-decoration-line: none;" href="https://www.inoreader.com/?utm_source=html_export&amp;utm_campaign=u1006407045&amp;utm_medium=html_export" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Inoreader</a></span></p>
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		<title>Major Texas newspaper endorses Joe Biden</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/houston-chronicle-endorse-biden-texas-trump-maga-1871423/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=houston-chronicle-endorse-biden-texas-trump-maga-1871423</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Feb 2024 12:25:09 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/houston-chronicle-endorse-biden-texas-trump-maga-1871423/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>A number of Republican and MAGA figures have reacted angrily after The Houston Chronicle, one of the biggest newspapers in Texas, endorsed President Joe Biden. The Houston Chronicle&#8216;s editorial board said they would be backing Biden in the Democratic primary and for re-election so he can &#8220;make life better&#8221; for the American people as well [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/houston-chronicle-endorse-biden-texas-trump-maga-1871423/">Major Texas newspaper endorses Joe Biden</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong>A number of Republican and MAGA figures have reacted angrily after <em>The Houston Chronicle</em>, one of the biggest newspapers in Texas, endorsed President <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/topic/joe-biden">Joe Biden</a>.</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>The Houston Chronicle</em>&#8216;s editorial board said they would be backing Biden in the Democratic primary and for re-election so he can &#8220;make life better&#8221; for the American people as well as prevent the &#8220;chaos, corruption and danger to the nation&#8221; that would accompany his presumed 2024 Republican challenger <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/topic/donald-trump">Donald Trump</a> returning to the White House.</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>The Houston Chronicle</em>&#8216;s praise for Biden will be a boost for the Democrat as he <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/trump-biden-polling-2024-presidential-election-1866971">seeks re-election in November</a>. It remains to be seen how much of a difference the endorsement will make, seeing as Texas has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate for nearly 50 years, with Trump beating Biden in 2020 by six points in the red state.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In their editorial, the paper&#8217;s board admit that Biden &#8220;has his shortcomings,&#8221; but what his administration has achieved during his time in office is a &#8220;potent reminder to his fellow <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/topic/democrats">Democrats</a>, to independents and to those <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/topic/republicans">Republicans</a> who have somehow resisted Trump&#8217;s cultish appeal that the nation has a viable alternative.&#8221;</strong></p>
<div><strong><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter" src="https://d.newsweek.com/en/full/2351175/joe-biden-white-house.jpg?w=1200&amp;f=79ee18fa3e024310fbe14cfd20b6fe88" alt="Joe Biden at The White House" width="848" height="566" /></strong></div>
<p><strong>President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the reported death of Alexei Navalny from the Roosevelt Room of the White House on February 16, 2024 in Washington, D.C. The Houston Chronicle, one of the largest newspapers&#8230;</strong><br />
<strong>President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the reported death of Alexei Navalny from the Roosevelt Room of the White House on February 16, 2024 in Washington, D.C. The Houston Chronicle, one of the largest newspapers in Texas, has endorsed Biden for re-election.Anna Moneymaker</strong></p>
<p><strong>The editorial <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/bidenomics-working-battleground-states-1865405">notes how the U.S. economy</a> is now &#8220;healthier&#8221; than any other advanced nation having recovered from the pandemic, unemployment is approaching a 50-year low and that inflation is falling.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The board cites other achievements from Biden&#8217;s presidency, such as seeking a &#8220;modest effort&#8221; to address gun safety,<a href="https://www.newsweek.com/fortythree-republicans-voted-against-capping-insulin-costs-1731670"> introducing a price cap on insulin</a>, leading an allied response to Russian President <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/topic/vladimir-putin">Vladimir Putin</a>&#8216;s &#8220;brutish&#8221; invasion of Ukraine as well as seeking a &#8220;path to peace and stability in the post-October 7 conflagration involving Gaza, Iran and Israel and the desperate Palestinian people.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><strong>&#8220;We are well aware that the Biden administration has not been successful on every front,&#8221; the board wrote.</strong></p>
<p><strong>&#8220;The <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/biden-makes-no-apologies-afghanistan-withdrawal-regrets-taliban-rule-isis-k-attack-1671006">calamitous withdrawal from Afghanistan </a>was the most obvious failure. The administration&#8217;s inability to quell chaos at the border is another, although blame primarily belongs to caviling and cynical MAGA Republicans in the House.</strong></p>
<p><strong>&#8220;In servility to Trump, they torpedoed a bipartisan border-security plan painstakingly crafted in the <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/topic/senate">Senate</a>. Biden can&#8217;t solve the crisis by executive order; he needs <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/topic/congress">Congress</a> to act.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><strong>In response, a number of Trump supporters lashed out at the paper for their endorsement of Biden on social media.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Steve Guest, a former spokesperson for Texas Senator <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/topic/ted-cruz">Ted Cruz</a>, posted on X, formerly Twitter: &#8220;Untethered from reality. REMINDER: the economy is a mess, our country is being invaded and the border is wide open, and the world is on fire from the Middle East to a ground war in Europe due to Joe Biden&#8217;s policies.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><strong>Talk show host Joe Pagliarulo wrote: &#8220;O M G—I just LOVE this parody account for the <em>Houston Chronicle</em>. Kudos!!&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><strong>Comedian and political commentator Tim Young posted: &#8220;Fill the <em>Houston Chronicle</em> office with illegal immigrants. They endorse it, they can house it.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><strong>Robert Bowlin, who frequently supports Trump on social media, added: &#8220;So, do you just not care about the fact that he can barely speak and he appears to be on the verge of tears in every press hearing?&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>The Houston Chronicle</em> board did <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/president-joe-biden-jokes-about-age-memory-after-robert-hur-doj-report-1869229">note the concerns about the age</a> and cognitive ability of Biden, who will be 82 by the start of his potential second term in office, and said that he may not be the &#8220;energetic, garrulous, occasionally even eloquent&#8221; public speaker of previous years.</strong></p>
<p><strong>However, the board suggested the president has &#8220;forgotten more than his presumed Republican rival will ever know. That&#8217;s not saying much, and at the same time, it says it all.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><strong>Trump&#8217;s office has been contacted for comment via email.</strong></p>
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		<title>Russian spies are back—and more dangerous than ever</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/russian-spies-are-back-and-more-dangerous-than-ever/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=russian-spies-are-back-and-more-dangerous-than-ever</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Feb 2024 01:38:01 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>IT IS UNUSUAL for spymasters to taunt their rivals openly. But last month Bill Burns, the director of the CIA, could not resist observing that the war in Ukraine had been a boon for his agency. “The undercurrent of disaffection [among Russians] is creating a once-in-a-generation recruiting opportunity for the CIA,” he wrote in Foreign [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/russian-spies-are-back-and-more-dangerous-than-ever/">Russian spies are back—and more dangerous than ever</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter" src="https://www.economist.com/img/b/1280/720/90/media-assets/image/20240224_IRD001.jpg" alt="20240224_IRD001.jpg" width="1028" height="578" /></strong></p>
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<p><strong>I<small>T IS UNUSUAL</small> for spymasters to taunt their rivals openly. But last month Bill Burns, the director of the <small>CIA</small>, could not resist observing that the war in Ukraine had been a boon for his agency. “The undercurrent of <a href="https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/02/19/vladimir-putin-has-been-fighting-not-just-ukraine-but-his-own-people">disaffection</a> [among Russians] is creating a once-in-a-generation recruiting opportunity for the <small>CIA</small>,” he wrote in <i>Foreign Affairs</i>. “We’re not letting it go to waste.” The remark might well have touched a nerve in Russia’s “special services”, as the country describes its intelligence agencies. Russian spies botched preparations for the war and were then expelled from Europe en masse. But evidence gathered by the Royal United Services Institute (<small>RUSI</small>), a think-tank in London, and published exclusively by <i>The Economist</i> today, shows that they are learning from their errors, adjusting their tradecraft and embarking on a new phase of political warfare against the West.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The past few years were torrid for Russian spies. In 2020 operatives from the <small>FSB</small>, Russia’s security service, botched the poisoning of <a href="https://www.economist.com/leaders/2024/02/16/how-alexei-navalny-robbed-putin-of-his-power">Alexei Navalny</a>, the recently deceased opposition activist. He mocked them for spreading Novichok on his underwear. Then the <small>FSB </small>gave the Kremlin a rosy view of how the war would go, exaggerating Ukraine’s internal weaknesses. It failed to prevent Western agencies from stealing and publicising Russia’s plans to invade Ukraine. And it was unwilling or unable to halt a brief mutiny by Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of the Wagner mercenary group, last year. The <small>SVR</small>, Russia’s foreign intelligence agency, saw its presence in Europe eviscerated, with some 600 officers expelled from embassies across the continent. At least eight “illegals”—intelligence officers operating without diplomatic cover, often posing as non-Russians—were exposed.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The study by <small>RUSI</small>, written by Jack Watling and Nick Reynolds, a pair of the organisation’s analysts, and Oleksandr Danylyuk, a former adviser to both Ukraine’s defence minister and foreign intelligence chief, draws on documents “obtained from the Russian special services” and on interviews with “relevant official bodies”—presumably intelligence agencies—in Ukraine and Europe. In late 2022, the study says, Russia realised that it needed more honest reporting from its agencies. It put Sergei Kiriyenko, the Kremlin’s deputy chief of staff, in charge of “committees of special influence”. These co-ordinate operations against the West and then measure their effect.</strong></p>
<p><strong>That personnel change appears to have produced more coherent propaganda campaigns. In Moldova, for instance, a once-scattershot disinformation effort against the country’s bid for European Union membership grew more consistent and focused last year. It tied the accession bid to the president personally, all the while blaming her for Moldova’s economic woes. Campaigns aimed at undermining European support for Ukraine have also picked up. In January German experts published details of bots spreading hundreds of thousands of German-language posts a day from a network of 50,000 accounts over a single month on <small>X</small> (Twitter as was). On February 12th France exposed a large network of Russian sites spreading disinformation in France, Germany and Poland.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Meanwhile the <small>GRU</small>, Russia’s military intelligence agency, has also been re-evaluating its tradecraft. In recent years its Unit 29155—which had attempted to assassinate Sergei Skripal, a former <small>GRU</small> officer, in Salisbury, Britain in 2018—saw many of its personnel, activities and facilities exposed by Bellingcat. The investigative group draws on publicly available information and leaked Russian databases for its exposés.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The <small>GRU</small> concluded that its personnel were leaving too many digital breadcrumbs, in particular by carrying their mobile phones to and from sensitive sites associated with Russian intelligence. It also realised that the expulsion of Russian intelligence officers in Europe had made it harder to mount operations and control agents abroad—one reason why the invasion of Ukraine went awry.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The result was wholesale reform, which began in 2020 but sped up after the war began. General Andrei Averyanov, the head of Unit 29155, was, despite his litany of cock-ups, promoted to deputy head of the <small>GRU</small> and established a new “Service for Special Activities”. Unit 29155’s personnel—once exemplified by Alexander Mishkin and Anatoly Chepiga, Mr Skripal’s hapless poisoners, who insisted that they had travelled to Salisbury to see its cathedral’s famous spire—no longer carry their personal or work phones to its facility, using landlines instead. Training is done in a variety of safe houses rather than onsite. Whereas half of personnel once came from the <i>Spetsnaz</i>, Russia’s special forces, most new recruits no longer have military experience, making it harder for Western security services to identify them through old photographs or leaked databases.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A separate branch of the Service for Special Activities, Unit 54654, is designed to build a network of illegals operating under what Russia calls “full legalisation”—the ability to pass muster even under close scrutiny from a foreign spy agency. It recruits contractors through front companies, keeping their names and details out of government  records, and embeds its officers in ministries unrelated to defence or in private companies. The <small>GRU</small> has also targeted foreign students studying at Russian universities, paying stipends to students from the Balkans, Africa and elsewhere in the developing world.</strong></p>
<p><strong>For another example of how Russian spies have turned disaster into opportunity, consider the case of the Wagner Group, a series of front companies overseen by Mr Prigozhin. Wagner initially served as a deniable arm of Russian influence, providing muscle and firepower to local autocrats in Syria, Libya and other African countries. In June 2023 Mr Prigozhin, angered by the mismanagement of the war by Russia’s defence minister and army chief, marched on Moscow. The mutiny was halted; two months later Mr Prigozhin was killed when his plane exploded midair.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Russia’s special services quickly divided Mr Prigozhin’s sprawling military-criminal enterprise among themselves. The<small> FSB </small>would keep domestic businesses, and the <small>SVR</small> the media arms, such as the troll farms which interfered in America’s presidential election in 2016. The <small>GRU</small> got the foreign military bits, split into a Volunteer Corps for Ukraine and an Expeditionary Corps, managed by General Averyanov, for the rest of the world. The latter missed its target of recruiting 20,000 troops by the end of last year, says <small>RUSI</small>, though its strength is “steadily rising”. There have been hiccups: Mr Prigozhin’s son, who mystifyingly remains alive and at liberty, offered Wagner troops to the <i>Rosgvardia</i>, Russia’s national guard, prompting a bidding war between the guard and the <small>GRU</small>, according to the authors.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The net result of this consolidation is a revitalised Russian threat in Africa. Shortly after Mr Prigozhin’s death General Averyanov visited various African capitals to offer what <small>RUSI</small> describes as a “regime survival package”. In theory the proposals involve the <small>GRU</small> providing local elites with military muscle and propaganda against local rivals. In Mali, they observe, the <small>GRU</small>-created Lengo Songo radio station is one of the most popular in the country. In return Russia would get economic concessions, such as lithium mines and gold refineries, and so leverage over enemies, perhaps including the ability to sever France from uranium mines in Niger (France needs uranium for its nuclear power stations). Mr Prigozhin is dead; his malevolent influence lives on.</strong></p>
<h2><strong>Mission possible </strong></h2>
<p><strong>Russian intelligence, though bruised, is firmly back on its feet after its recent humiliations. In recent weeks the Insider, a Riga-based investigative website, has published a series of stories documenting Russian espionage and influence across Europe. They include details of how a <small>GRU</small> officer in Brussels continues to provide European equipment to Russian arms-makers, and the revelation that a top aide in the Bundestag and a Latvian member of the European Parliament were both Russian agents, the latter for perhaps more than 20 years.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“It’s not as bad for them as we think it is,” says Andrei Soldatov, an investigative journalist, who reckons that the Russian services are “back with a vengeance” and increasingly inventive. Vladimir Putin, Russia’s president, and once a (mediocre) <small>KGB </small>officer, is “trying to restore the glory of Stalin’s formidable secret service”, explains Mr Soldatov. He points to a case in April 2023 when Artem Uss, a Russian businessman arrested in Milan on suspicion of smuggling American military technology to Russia, was spirited back to Russia with the help of a Serbian criminal gang—a common intermediary for the Russian services.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In the past, says Mr Soldatov, the <small>FSB</small>, <small>SVR</small> and <small>GRU</small> had a clearer division of labour. No longer. All three agencies have been particularly active in recruiting among the flood of exiles who left Russia after the war. It is easy to hide agents in a large group and simple to threaten those with family still in Russia. Germany is of particular concern, given that the many Russians who have moved there could make up a recruiting pool for Russian spy bodies. The flood of new arrivals is thanks in part to Baltic countries having grown more hostile to Russian emigres.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Moreover, Russian cyber-activity goes from strength to strength. In December America and Britain issued public warnings over “Star Blizzard”, an elite <small>FSB</small> hacking group which has been targeting <small>NATO </small>countries for years. The following month Microsoft said that “Cosy Bear”, a group linked to the <small>SVR</small>, had penetrated email accounts belonging to some of the company’s most senior executives. That came on top of a sophisticated <small>GRU </small>cyber-attack against Ukraine’s power grid, causing a power outage apparently co-ordinated with Russian missile strikes in the same city.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The renewal of Russia’s intelligence apparatus comes at a crucial moment in east-west competition. An annual report by Norway’s intelligence service, published on February 12th, warned that, in Ukraine, Russia was “seizing the initiative and gaining the upper hand militarily”. Estonia’s equivalent report, released a day later, said that the Kremlin was “anticipating a possible conflict with<small> NATO</small> within the next decade”.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The priority for Russian spies is to prepare for that conflict not just by stealing secrets, but by widening cracks within <small>NATO</small>, undermining support for Ukraine in America and Europe and eroding Western influence in the global south. By contrast there has been precious little Russian sabotage against Ukraine-bound supplies in Europe. One reason for that is the Kremlin’s fear of escalation. Another is that the Russians cannot do everything, everywhere all at once.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In the meantime, spies will continue to battle against their peers. In their report, Estonia’s foreign intelligence services published the identities of Russians working on behalf of the country’s intelligence services. “For those who prefer not to find their names and images alongside those of <small>FSB</small> or other Russian intelligence officers in our publications, potentially affecting their associations with the West, we extend an invitation to get in touch,” noted the Estonian spooks. “We are confident that mutually advantageous arrangements can be negotiated!”■</strong></p>
<p><strong>Source: </strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.economist.com/international/2024/02/20/russian-spies-are-back-and-more-dangerous-than-ever" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://www.economist.com/international/2024/02/20/russian-spies-are-back-and-more-dangerous-than-ever</a></p>
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		<title>U.S. Rejects Putin’s Latest Call for Ukraine Negotiations</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/biden-putin-tucker-carlson-peace-html/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=biden-putin-tucker-carlson-peace-html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Feb 2024 17:43:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/biden-putin-tucker-carlson-peace-html/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Skepticism remains high about the Russian leader’s intentions after he told Tucker Carlson that the war in Ukraine could be settled with a peace deal.  “Despite Mr. Putin’s words, we have seen no actions to indicate he is interested in ending this war,” a National Security Council spokesman said of President Vladimir V. Putin of [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/biden-putin-tucker-carlson-peace-html/">U.S. Rejects Putin’s Latest Call for Ukraine Negotiations</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong>Skepticism remains high about the Russian leader’s intentions after he told Tucker Carlson that the war in Ukraine could be settled with a peace deal.  <img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="" style="font-family: 'Inter var', -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: -0.015em;" src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2024/02/09/multimedia/09dc-diplo-russia-01-bfpv/09dc-diplo-russia-01-bfpv-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&amp;auto=webp&amp;disable=upscale" alt="President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia sitting at a table in a dark suit. He is holding papers." width="812" height="542" /></strong></p>
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<p><strong>“Despite Mr. Putin’s words, we have seen no actions to indicate he is interested in ending this war,” a National Security Council spokesman said of President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.Credit&#8230;Alexander Kazakov/Sputnik</strong></p>
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<div><strong><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/by/michael-crowley"><img decoding="async" src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2019/10/25/reader-center/author-michael-crowley/author-michael-crowley-thumbLarge-v2.png" alt="Michael Crowley" /></a></strong></div>
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<p><strong>By <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/by/michael-crowley">Michael Crowley</a></strong></p>
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<p><strong>The Biden administration dismissed on Friday a call by President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia for negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, showing no sign that flagging political support for American military aid to Kyiv had made President Biden more inclined to make concessions to Moscow.</strong></p>
<p><strong>During his <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/08/world/europe/putin-tucker-carlson-interview.html">two-hour interview</a> at the Kremlin with the former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, who now broadcasts independently online, Mr. Putin offered long defenses of his invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 but said he was prepared to settle the conflict diplomatically.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“We are willing to negotiate,” Mr. Putin told Mr. Carlson in the interview, which was released on Thursday. “You should tell the current Ukrainian leadership to stop and come to the negotiating table,” he added, referring to the U.S. government.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The Russian leader spoke at a moment of apparent leverage, following the failure of a vaunted Ukrainian summer counteroffensive to achieve substantial gains and as the Biden administration is struggling to win congressional approval for desperately needed additional military aid for Kyiv.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>It is not the first time Mr. Putin has expressed willingness to negotiate over the fate of Ukraine, and Western officials have long been skeptical of his intentions. But because it was his first interview with an American media figure since the invasion, his call for talks has extra resonance, analysts said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>U.S. and Ukrainian officials say that the best Ukraine’s military can hope for in the coming year, especially without more American aid, is to defend its current positions. Even so, Biden officials say they are not entertaining the idea of pressing Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, to negotiate with Mr. Putin.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“Both we and President Zelensky have said numerous times that we believe this war will end through negotiations,” a National Security Council spokesman said in a statement. “Despite Mr. Putin’s words, we have seen no actions to indicate he is interested in ending this war. If he was, he would pull back his forces and stop his ceaseless attacks on Ukraine.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>U.S. officials had previously assessed that Mr. Putin had no intention of negotiating seriously until after the U.S. presidential election in November. Mr. Putin, they say, wants to wait to see whether former President Donald J. Trump might return to the White House and offer him more favorable terms.</strong></p>
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<div><strong>Mr. Putin’s interview with Tucker Carlson was the Russian president’s first with an American journalist since the invasion of Ukraine.Credit&#8230;Rebecca Noble for The New York Times</strong></div>
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<p><strong>In an interview last spring, Mr. Trump said the “horrible” conflict in Ukraine must come to an immediate end and that if re-elected, he would broker a deal to “end that war in one day.”</strong></p>
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<p><strong>The Biden administration has supported Ukraine’s stated desire to reclaim territory that Russia has occupied since its invasion. Russia now occupies around 18 percent of Ukrainian land.</strong></p>
<p><strong>U.S. officials have also long insisted that, despite the more than $75 billion in aid the United States has supplied to Ukraine, it is not for Washington to dictate whether Kyiv engages in peace talks and what on terms. “Ultimately, it’s up to Ukraine to decide its path on negotiations,” the National Security Council statement said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Many analysts were also skeptical of Mr. Putin’s intentions. Sergey Radchenko, a Russia historian at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, said Mr. Putin should not be trusted.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Radchenko said Mr. Putin might be engaging in what during Soviet times was known as a “peace offensive” — an insincere tactical feint whose goal, he said, was “to present a reasonable face to the outside world: ‘Oh yeah, of course we want peace — it’s just the other side that doesn’t want to talk.’”</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Some Western officials believe Mr. Putin may also have his domestic audience in mind when he talks about a negotiated end to the war. Polls in Russia have shown that Russian citizens would welcome a settlement to end the conflict that has shaken their economy and produced <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/18/us/politics/ukraine-russia-war-casualties.html">tens of thousands of casualties</a>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Talk of peace could also win Mr. Putin favor among nations in the so-called global south — nations in South America, Asia and Africa, including India and South Africa, that are unaligned in the Ukraine conflict. Most of those countries have suffered from higher energy and food prices caused by the war.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Putin seemed to be exploiting Republican opposition to Mr. Biden’s funding request for Ukraine, echoing critiques made in recent weeks by some conservative members of Congress. “You have issues on the border, issues with migration, issues with the national debt — more than $33 trillion. You have nothing better to do, so you should fight in Ukraine?” Mr. Putin asked.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Alternatively, Mr. Radchenko said, Mr. Putin might be willing to make some unexpected concessions for a peace deal that leaves Russia with a foothold in eastern Ukraine, “and then use that as a basis for either further aggression against Ukraine, or as leverage to force a preferred government on Ukraine.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Samuel Charap, a Russia analyst at the RAND Corporation, said it was possible that Mr. Putin had been bluffing all along about talks. But he said it was worth engaging the Kremlin in private to determine Mr. Putin’s actual demands.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>“Nobody knows for sure — and nobody can know for sure unless they try,” Mr. Charap said. He added that it was notable that Mr. Putin had not told Mr. Carlson that he had preconditions for talks, such as the removal of Mr. Zelensky’s government.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Charap also noted that Russia and Ukraine were already negotiating on a number of matters, including prisoner-of-war swaps and Ukrainian exports from its Black Sea ports.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Regardless of Mr. Putin’s intentions, analysts and Western officials say that a major obstacle to potential talks is the unwillingness of Ukraine’s public to compromise with an invader that has committed atrocities in their country.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“Zelensky is worried about the domestic political consequences of pursuing a different tactic,” Mr. Charap said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“Barring a Ukrainian demand signal” for peace talks, “there’s unlikely to be a push from Washington,” he said.</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/by/michael-crowley">Michael Crowley</a> covers the State Department and U.S. foreign policy for The Times. He has reported from nearly three dozen countries and often travels with the secretary of state. <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/by/michael-crowley">More about Michael Crowley</a></strong></p>
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<div><strong>A version of this article appears in print on  , Section A, Page 9 of the New York edition with the headline: U.S. Rejects Russia’s Latest Request for Talks on War. <a href="https://www.parsintl.com/publication/the-new-york-times/">Order Reprints</a> | <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/section/todayspaper">Today’s Paper</a> | <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/subscriptions/Multiproduct/lp8HYKU.html?campaignId=48JQY">Subscribe</a></strong></div>
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		<title>Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/essential-questions-about-russia-hamas-link-evidence-and-its-implications/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=essential-questions-about-russia-hamas-link-evidence-and-its-implications</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Feb 2024 10:35:52 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>As the war in Gaza continues to unfold, essential questions about Russian and Iranian support for Hamas remain. They include whether Russia played any role in providing support to Hamas ahead of its Oct. 7 attack on Israel. Evidence available from foreign-language publications in Russian, Persian, Arabic, and Hebrew, as well as those in English, [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/essential-questions-about-russia-hamas-link-evidence-and-its-implications/">Essential questions about the Russia-Hamas link: The evidence and its implications</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter" src="https://www.mei.edu/sites/default/files/2023-11/Hamas%20visit%20to%20Moscow%2C%20March%202006_cropped.jpg" alt="Hamas%20visit%20to%20Moscow%2C%20March%2" width="1037" height="554" /></strong></p>
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<p><strong>As the war in Gaza continues to unfold, essential questions about Russian and Iranian support for Hamas remain. They include whether Russia played any role in providing support to Hamas ahead of its Oct. 7 attack on Israel. Evidence available from foreign-language publications in Russian, Persian, Arabic, and Hebrew, as well as those in English, provides provocative leads, which, if accurate, have serious potential implications. </strong></p>
<p><strong>A long courtship</strong></p>
<p><strong>Russia has maintained a relationship with Hamas for more than 17 years, since the group’s leaders visited Moscow in <a href="https://mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/1668054/">March 2006</a>, just weeks after taking power in the Gaza Strip. </strong></p>
<p><strong>In the ensuing years, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2006/2/9/putin-to-invite-hamas-to-moscow">President Vladimir Putin</a> repeatedly invited Hamas’ political and military leadership back to the Russian capital. Hamas officials and commanders secured high-level meetings with then-Russian President <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/meast/05/13/israel.russia.hamas/index.html">Dmitry Medvedev</a>, Foreign Minister <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/russias-lavrov-meets-with-hamas-politburo-chief-haniyeh-in-moscow/">Sergey Lavrov</a>, and Russia’s special envoy for the Middle East, Deputy Foreign Minister <a href="https://english.palinfo.com/news/2020/10/10/Top-Hamas-delegation-meets-Bogdanov-in-Moscow">Mikhail Bogdanov</a>, among others. </strong></p>
<p><strong>Bogdanov’s role in the link between Russia-Hamas is central. He has been in charge of the relationship on a day-to-day basis for many years, regularly meeting its leaders in <a href="https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20210206-senior-hamas-leaders-meet-russia-official-in-moscow/">Moscow</a> and <a href="https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2020/02/hamas-meets-russia-doha-palestinian-us-peace-plan.html">Qatar</a>. Bogdanov has also been entrusted by Putin to undertake <a href="https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2018/12/russia-china-cooperation-syria-middle-east.html">sensitive diplomatic missions</a> with China, among <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/deputy-foreign-ministers-of-russia-syria-iran-turkey-to-hold-summit/">other major actors</a>, to support Russia’s Mideast policies.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Russian talks with terrorists and Hamas political leaders </strong></p>
<p><strong>Hamas officials who have met regularly with Bogdanov over the years include its political leaders, such as former longtime head Khaled Meshaal; his successor, <a href="https://il.usembassy.gov/state-department-terrorist-designations-ismail-haniyeh-harakat-al-sabireen-liwa-al-thawra-harakat-sawad-misr-hasm/">Ismail Haniyeh</a>, a U.S. Specially Designated Global Terrorist; and Moussa Mohammed Abu Marzouk, a senior member of Hamas’ political bureau who previously served as its deputy chair under Meshaal. They also include senior members of Hamas’ military leadership, such as <a href="https://english.palinfo.com/news/2020/10/10/Top-Hamas-delegation-meets-Bogdanov-in-Moscow">Husam Badran</a> and <a href="https://ecfr.eu/special/mapping_palestinian_politics/saleh_al_arouri/">Saleh al-Arouri</a>. Badran formerly led Hamas’ military wing in the West Bank, where he planned suicide bombings during the Second Intifada, including the infamous 2001 <a href="https://www.jpost.com/diplomacy-and-politics/planners-of-park-hotel-bombing-attack-set-to-go-free">Dolphinarium discotheque massacre</a> in Tel Aviv, which killed 21 young Israelis. Al-Arouri, characterized by the Israeli government’s public intelligence center as number two in Hamas overall, founded its military wing and directs the group’s <a href="https://www.terrorism-info.org.il/en/profile-of-saleh-al-arouri-a-senior-hamas-terrorist/">military and terrorist activities</a>. He also notably has close, <a href="https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2019/07/israel-hamas-iran-ismail-haniyeh-saleh-al-arouri-arrangment.html">long-standing ties with Iran</a>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The U.S. Treasury Department first listed al-Arouri as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist in September 2015, after he took responsibility for a June 12, 2014, terrorist attack that kidnapped and killed three Israeli teenagers in the West Bank, including dual U.S.-Israeli citizen Naftali Fraenkel. In 2018, the U.S. State Department offered to pay <a href="https://2017-2021.state.gov/rewards-for-justice-reward-offer-for-information-on-hamas-and-hizballah-key-leaders/">a $5 million reward</a> to anyone who brought him to justice to face trial for his crimes, including several terrorist attacks, hijackings, and kidnappings.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Thus Russia has not limited itself to building a relationship with Hamas’ political leaders. Its lengthy diplomatic courtship of Hamas has included regular contacts with military leaders who have long histories directing terrorist attacks that have killed civilians.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Tighter Russian-Iranian operational relations</strong></p>
<p><strong>Russia has simultaneously built a close working relationship with Iran and its military and terrorist arm, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), with increasingly tight financial, military, as well as political ties. Since the launch of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022, Iran and Russia have responded to U.S. sanctions with a program to “dump the dollar” and to connect bank-to-bank using SPRS, the Russian counterpart of the financial messaging system SWIFT, utilized by the rest of the world, with the goal of <a href="https://new.thecradle.co/articles/the-big-stiff-russia-iran-dump-the-dollar-and-bust-us-sanctions">sanctions busting</a> and intensifying their mutual economic ties. By January 2023, Russia had become <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/c43f7f85-87c3-49f6-85cb-446d1de2bfc6">the largest foreign investor in Iran</a>, putting $2.7 billion into Iranian manufacturing, mining, and transport sectors, according to Ehsan Khandouzi, the country’s finance minister.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On the military side, two weeks before Hamas carried out its brutal Oct. 7 terrorist attack on Israel, Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu traveled to Tehran to meet with Iran’s top security official, Ali Akbar Ahmadian, as well as the head of the IRGC air force, Amirali Hajizadeh, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-iran-ties-have-reached-new-level-russian-defence-minister-2023-09-20/">to inspect Iranian-built drones and missile- and air-defense systems</a>. During his visit, Shoigu stated that Tehran and Moscow had worked for months on long-term military cooperation, with “serious military and defense dimensions” and “<a href="https://www.interfax-russia.ru/rossiya-i-mir/shoygu-rossiysko-iranskoe-vzaimodeystvie-vyhodit-na-novyy-uroven">an entire range of planned activities</a>, despite opposition from the United States and its Western allies.” </strong></p>
<p><strong>Iran’s pre-attack meeting with Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad</strong></p>
<p><strong>Just as conspicuously, on Sept. 1, 2023, five weeks before Hamas’ Oct. 7 terrorist attack, the group’s military leader, al-Arouri, traveled to Beirut to meet with Iranian Foreign Minister Hussein Amirabdollahian and <a href="https://www.dni.gov/nctc/ftos/pij_fto.html#:~:text=The%2520Palestine%2520Islamic%2520Jihad%2520(PIJ,the%2520Muslim%2520Brotherhood%2520in%2520Egypt.">Palestinian Islamic Jihad</a> (PIJ) Secretary-General Ziyad al-Nakhalah, another long-time Specially Designated Global Terrorist. The PIJ’s longtime openly stated goal is the destruction of Israel.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Since its inception, the PIJ has carried out numerous terrorist attacks, including large-scale suicide bombings against Israeli civilian and military targets. According to the website maintained by the Iranian foreign ministry, at the Beirut meeting, the Iranian foreign minister and the two terrorist leaders agreed to <a href="https://en.mfa.ir/portal/newsview/728555">work together on joint action to carry out what they called</a> “the complete defeat of the Zionist regime” with “the formation of a single Palestinian state in all of historical Palestine.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Critical Hamas-Russian meetings in Moscow</strong></p>
<p><strong>Against this backdrop, it becomes easier to decode the possible substance of important meetings that took place between Russian and Hamas leaders on <a href="https://new.thecradle.co/articles-id/988">March 16, 2023, in Moscow</a>, held just days after<a href="https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/2023-03-14/ty-article/.premium/russia-invites-hamas-leaders-for-kremlin-visit/00000186-df39-dc06-afdf-ff3fd16c0000"> Hamas received an invitation from Russia</a>. The timing of those meetings is significant, coming one year after the re-invasion of Ukraine and the burgeoning imposition of Western sanctions on Russia and six and a half months before Hamas’ attack on Israel. So why did Russia decide to convene it there and then?</strong></p>
<p><strong>At those meetings, first Lavrov and then Bogdanov met with two of Hamas’ most significant leaders, political head Marzouk and military commander al-Arouri. Coming out of the talks, the top Hamas officials made statements consistent with Russia promising to support Hamas in changing the status quo with Israel. Al-Arouri was <a href="https://new.thecradle.co/articles/hamas-delegation-on-official-visit-to-moscow">quoted stating</a> the Moscow trip “was an important visit [for Hamas] that highlights the role of the movement with many global actors,” in which the Hamas “delegation <em><a href="https://new.thecradle.co/articles/hamas-delegation-on-official-visit-to-moscow">affirmed its legitimate right to armed resistance</a></em> [emphasis added] in order to confront the Israeli occupation and continued Israeli violence and oppression of Palestinians.” In response, Bogdanov reportedly emphasized Russia’s “<a href="https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20230318-hamas-delegation-meets-with-russia-deputy-foreign-minister-in-moscow/">unwavering support</a>” for the rights of the Palestinian people.</strong></p>
<p><strong>After the meeting with Deputy Foreign Minister Bogdanov, Marzouk described the visit on Hamas’ website as “<a href="https://www.memri.org.il/cgi-webaxy/item?5798">different from its predecessors</a>” since the “[special] military operation in Ukraine [the Russian regime’s term for the war] caused special confusion in the world and in the international system.” </strong></p>
<p><strong>One possible explanation: this time was different because, in the context of its stalled invasion of Ukraine, Russia had agreed to help Hamas, with the strategic purpose of opening up a costly second front for Western states supporting Ukraine. Now, the West would simultaneously have to support Israel at both military and political cost, especially vis-à-vis the Western countries’ relations with the Global South.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The evidence not only documents Russia’s long-term political support of Hamas, which it does not recognize as a <a href="https://www.mei.edu/publications/what-do-russia-and-hamas-see-each-other">terrorist group</a>, but the meetings with Hamas and Iran also offer circumstantial evidence of engagement on the military side, as reflected by the suggestive timing of the March 16 Moscow meetings with Hamas convened by the Kremlin, and Shoigu’s meeting with Iran just ahead of the Hamas attack. </strong></p>
<p><strong>The possible use of Russian proxies to assist Hamas </strong></p>
<p><strong>Did the Russian government directly, or indirectly, through proxies — Iran, Syria, or others — provide weapons, military training, financial support, terrorist finance facilitation, or the provision of intelligence and/or strategic or tactical advice to Hamas ahead of its brutal Oct. 7 terrorist attack on Israel? Could the Russian government even have provided Hamas implicit or explicit approval for the attack before it occurred?</strong></p>
<p><strong>Below is some of what is known to date. Taken together, the datapoints command attention.</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>Evidence of Hamas’ access to Russian-origin weapons and technology</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>For years, Hamas fighters have relied on Russian weapons, for example Kornet anti-tank missiles, to attack Israeli targets <a href="https://apnews.com/article/9977b51fc0754009b932c860daef579e">such as buses carrying Israeli soldiers</a>. Hamas has contended the weapons are made locally — that is, inside Gaza — but the laser-targeting technology used to precisely guide them is not likely to be readily manufactured there. Iran has long been believed to be the supplier. But there is growing evidence that more of Hamas’ weapons originated from <a href="https://apnews.com/article/9977b51fc0754009b932c860daef579e">Russia as well</a>. </strong></p>
<p><strong>On July 1, Hamas’ military arm undertook an open-to-the-Palestinian-public, Soviet-style show of its military inventory. Among the Hamas weapons on display were locally made missiles and launchers, Shihab drones, grenade launchers, and <a href="https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/bkfs7apo3">Russian-built Kornet anti-tank missiles</a>. One Palestinian publication <a href="https://www.palestinechronicle.com/made-in-gaza-and-also-russia-gaza-resistance-put-weapons-on-display-for-first-time-photos/">described the weapons</a> displayed at the show as “Made in Gaza” and “Made in Russia.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>On March 14, just ahead of the Hamas visit to Moscow, <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2023/03/10/politics/russia-iran-ukraine-weapons/index.html"><em>CNN</em> cited four unspecified sources</a> who stated that Russia had been sending to Iran weapons and equipment lost on the battlefield in Ukraine that the United States and other North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) states had provided to the Ukrainian military. These reportedly included Javelin anti-tank and Stinger anti-aircraft systems, which could then be reverse-engineered and used by Hamas. In June, a senior Israeli official stated directly that he was concerned the weapons Moscow sent to Tehran would go straight <a href="https://www.ynetnews.com/article/bj7tgfow2">from Iran to Hamas and Hezbollah</a>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On Sept. 10, Mossad chief David Barnea declared that the Israeli government was concerned Russia was seeking <a href="https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2023-09-10/ty-article/.premium/israel-concerned-about-russian-supply-of-weapons-to-iran-mossad-chief-says/0000018a-7f6e-d16e-a78f-ff7ea1890000">to sell advanced weapons to Iran</a> in a barter arrangement. Barnea expressed worry that Iran would provide Russia with short- and long-range missiles in addition to the drones it was already selling to Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, and in turn, Russia would transfer advanced weapons to Iran that could threaten Israeli security “and maybe even our existence.”</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>Allegations of training by Russian “private” military companies</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Using proxies to provide weapons to Hamas and, when possible, to have those weapons manufactured originally in other countries, such as China, or North Korea, fits the Kremlin’s usual <em>modus operandi</em>. Using proxies would enable President Putin to stir up conflict in the Middle East at lower risk than having its forces directly involved in a military action killing civilians. It would also be unsurprising for Russia to use “non-governmental” outfits, such as the so-called private military companies (PMCs), to train foreign fighters or to supply them with weapons, to provide some deniability if outsiders found out. </strong></p>
<p><strong>The day after the Oct. 7 attack, an official Ukrainian source claimed, “Some of the fighters of the Wagner [Group] PMC, who left Belarus in the direction of African countries, were involved in the training and transfer of combat experience to Hamas militants.” According to the <a href="https://sprotyv.mod.gov.ua/instruktory-pvk-vagner-gotuvaly-hamas-do-ataky-na-izrayil/">Ukrainian Center for National Resistance</a>, a Ukrainian government news and information agency formed after the Russian re-invasion of Ukraine, Hamas fighters had been training to use small unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to drop explosive material as part of their attack. The center stated, “Only the Russians, among the allies of Hamas, have experience using drones with reset mechanisms on enemy equipment.” The center further asserted that Wagner provided Hamas fighters this training in an unspecified African country and that its information had come from “the Belarusian underground,” another country where the Wagner Group had carried out activities in 2023. On Oct. 10, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy <a href="https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20231010-%25F0%259F%2594%25B4-live-zelensky-visits-romania-for-talks-on-black-sea-regional-security">stated</a>, without providing further specifics, “We are certain that Russia is supporting, in one way or another, Hamas operations”; Zelensky <a href="https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/af915ef8-87cc-11ee-b411-d7778fd6fa75?shareToken=c38dfa783e2e39aae38cdf6244d8a282">reiterated the charge</a>, again without specifics, on Nov. 20.</strong></p>
<p><strong>To date, there has been no non-Ukrainian confirmation of the allegations that the Wagner Group offered training to Hamas. Some have suggested this support was provided in whole or in part by other lesser-known Russian “private” military companies, such as Vegacy Strategic Services or the “Vega Network” with offices in Moscow and <a href="https://citeam.org/pmc-vega/?lang=R">complex links to one another</a>, previously alleged to have carried out such training <a href="https://medium.com/dfrlab/a-deeper-look-into-vegacy-strategic-services-ltd-8985ba3eac52">for Palestinian fighters in Syria</a>; another possibility floated was <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20230826051119/https:/inews.co.uk/news/world/wagner-mercenaries-rival-redut-prigozhin-death-2573376">PMC Redut</a>, also active in Syria. </strong></p>
<p><strong>Whatever the case, someone trained the Hamas fighters to undertake their sophisticated attack on Israel, as well as to behave as they did. In contrast with previous attacks by Hamas, the <a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2023/10/18/israel/palestine-videos-hamas-led-attacks-verified">verified atrocities</a> documented on Oct. 7, seen in footage recorded by body cameras worn by Hamas fighters, resemble the tactics used by Russian PMCs to intimidate and terrify local populations. Gunmen shooting the dead bodies of civilians in cars, beheading a body with a hoe, throwing burnt corpses in a dumpster, and committing <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Z_YHdUh-Yg">heinous acts</a> on the living — these are tactics used by Russian PMC fighters, not only in <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/apr/18/wagner-mercenary-admits-tossing-grenades-at-injured-ukrainian-pows">Ukraine</a> but in the <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-wagner-group-central-african-republic-bambari-massacre-rape-mass-murder/">Central African Republic</a>, <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/massacres-executions-and-falsified-graves-wagner-groups-mounting-humanitarian-cost-mali">Mali</a>, <a href="https://theintercept.com/2023/02/02/wagner-group-violence-sledgehammer/">Syria</a>, and <a href="https://www.npr.org/2023/07/31/1191034016/libyan-man-who-says-he-was-tortured-wants-to-hold-wagner-group-accountable">Libya</a>. </strong></p>
<p><strong>The Ukrainian account provides one theory of who trained Hamas. Further <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/21/politics/white-house-wagner-group-intelligence/index.html">independent</a> reporting is needed to determine the truth. Of potential relevance is the release of <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/21/politics/white-house-wagner-group-intelligence/index.html">declassified intelligence</a> by U.S. officials on Nov. 21 that the Wagner Group has been recently preparing to provide an air-defense system “to either Hezbollah or Iran” at the direction of the Russian government.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The cryptocurrency connection</strong></p>
<p><strong>At the same time, there is separate evidence of Russian support for terrorist financing for Hamas. The Russian cryptocurrency exchange Garantex, currently under investigation by the U.S. Justice Department, has reportedly served not only wealthy Russians, various criminal groups, and Iran but also provided a means to help Hamas — and the PIJ — fund their terrorist operations prior to Oct. 7.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Major intelligence questions</strong></p>
<p><strong>Taken as a whole, the circumstantial evidence raises serious questions about what Russia and Iran knew and how much they may have helped Hamas to carry out its Oct. 7 attack on Israel. U.S., Israeli, and other Western intelligence agencies must work intensively to reach assessments on an array of key questions. With its invasion of Ukraine stalling out, did Russia decide to work to open up a second front in the Middle East as a means of dividing and distracting its adversaries? Did Russia promise Hamas assistance in its meetings with the group’s political and military leadership last March? If so, what did such pledges include: arms and technology, military training, financial support, assistance in money laundering, information warfare, and which types of assistance were provided in practice? Did Russia and Iran agree together to help Hamas, PIJ, Hezbollah or others in the region take on Israel as a means of weakening their respective enemies in the West as well as Israel itself? Did Russia and Iran know that the attack was going to take place? Did they agree on its timing? </strong></p>
<p><strong>The information that is public does not provide definitive answers to these questions. But there is one more data point that is especially relevant. It is one that took place soon after the Oct. 7 attack and the start of Israel’s retaliatory military campaign in Gaza.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The post-Oct. 7 Moscow meetings with Iran and Hamas and Russia’s current disinformation campaign</strong></p>
<p><strong>On Oct. 26, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Bagheri Kani met with Russia’s Bogdanov and Hamas’ Marzouk for a trilateral meeting in Moscow. Officially, the three gathered to discuss dual-national Russians who were being held hostage by Hamas. Little more than that was said publicly, besides Marzouk praising Moscow’s position on the conflict and the active efforts of Russian diplomacy. <em>The New York Times</em> presented the meeting <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/26/world/middleeast/hamas-russia-moscow.html">as a belated effort at diplomatic catch-up by Russia</a> to demonstrate its diplomatic engagement in the crisis, after <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/10/world/europe/israel-hamas-russia-putin.html">initially seeking to “keep its distance</a>” from the conflict.</strong></p>
<p><strong>If one draws a straight line from the Oct. 26 meeting back to the successive series of Russian-Iranian, Russian-Hamas, and Iranian-Hamas meetings that occurred in the months prior to Oct. 7, it is plausible to suggest there was more on the agenda than diplomacy. The growing evidence of the ongoing systematic Russian effort to disseminate <a href="https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/security-aviation/2023-11-20/ty-article/.premium/deep-faked-soldiers-and-spoofed-websites-russian-campaign-pushes-gaza-disinformation/0000018b-ed5c-d36e-a3cb-fd5fadd90000">pro-Hamas disinformation</a>, including <a href="https://www.lemonde.fr/en/france/article/2023/11/07/stars-of-david-graffiti-in-paris-russian-interference-suspected_6235378_7.html">the retention of Moldovan agents</a> by a Russian national to carry out destabilization efforts in France, provides a further clue of Russia’s continuing efforts to help Hamas and stoke conflict over the Israeli-Hamas conflict in the West.</strong></p>
<p><strong>There is a pressing need for Western intelligence agencies to gather enough information to reach solid conclusions about the extent of Russian involvement in the Hamas attack, and to make those conclusions public. The findings will be an essential element of managing as well as containing the conflict going forward. Any such findings could also have legal implications. Under U.S. law, countries designated as state-sponsors of terrorism have no immunity to civil suits by their U.S. victims. It is thus squarely in the public interest for the truth to come out.</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>Jonathan M. Winer, a Non-Resident Scholar at the Middle East Institute, was the U.S. Special Envoy and Special Coordinator for Libya from 2014 to 2016 as well as the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for International Law Enforcement.</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Photo by YURI KADOBNOV/AFP via Getty Images</strong></p>
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<p><strong><em>The Middle East Institute (MEI) is an independent, non-partisan, non-for-profit, educational organization. It does not engage in advocacy and its scholars’ opinions are their own. MEI welcomes financial donations, but retains sole editorial control over its work and its publications reflect only the authors’ views. For a listing of MEI donors, please click </em><a href="https://www.mei.edu/disclosure-and-funding"><em>her</em>e</a>.</strong></p>
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		<title>Israel Didn’t Predict the October 7 Massacre. The Reasons Why Are Important.</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/israel-didnt-predict-the-october-7-massacre-the-reasons-why-are-important/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=israel-didnt-predict-the-october-7-massacre-the-reasons-why-are-important</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Feb 2024 15:08:15 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>On October 7, 2023 (7/10), some 3,000 thousand Hamas terrorists invaded Israeli communities and army bases near Gaza. They killed around 1,200 people — most of them civilians — took some 240 persons hostage to Gaza. Since the day of the massacre, many fragments of information have come to the surface, revealing that for years [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/israel-didnt-predict-the-october-7-massacre-the-reasons-why-are-important/">Israel Didn’t Predict the October 7 Massacre. The Reasons Why Are Important.</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong>On October 7, 2023 (7/10), some 3,000 thousand Hamas terrorists invaded Israeli communities and army bases near Gaza. They killed around <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/hamas-planned-oct-7-from-before-2014-with-final-decision-made-by-5-leaders-report/#:~:text=Some%201%2C200%20people%20were%20slaughtered%20and%20around%20240%20others%20dragged%20to%20Gaza%20as%20hostages">1,200</a> people — most of them civilians — took some 240 persons hostage to Gaza.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Since the day of the massacre, many fragments of information have come to the surface, revealing that for years the political and military leadership at all levels have erred in recognizing the upcoming threat — sometimes by miscalculation, sometimes by sheer mistake. Although there is a lot of information available, it is all bits and pieces, without any line of thought or direction. My aim is to give them order and thus gain insight into where and when things went wrong in military and civilian policy circles.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Currently, two state inquiries into Israel’s policy and intelligence failures regarding 7/10 are underway. At the end of December 2023, Israel’s State Comptroller, Matanyahu Englman, <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/state-comptroller-well-turn-over-every-stone-to-reveal-failures-before-during-and-after-oct-7/#:~:text=in%20examining%20%E2%80%9Cpersonal%20responsibility%E2%80%9D%20for%20the%20%E2%80%9Cfailures%20on%20all%20levels%20%E2%80%93%20policy%2C%20military%20and%20civilian">announced</a> that he will look into all aspects of the failures including examining those with “personal responsibility” for the “failures on all levels — policy, military and civilian.” He stated that his investigation will take up the larger part of 2024. Englman is unwilling to wait for a formal state inquiry committee or for the end of the war. In January 2024, he already <a href="https://www.ynetnews.com/article/hyzwuzaut#:~:text=The%20Chief%20of%20Staff%20receives%20document%20containing%2033%20matters%20that%20to%20be%20investigated">submitted</a> a long list of questions to the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF). </strong></p>
<p><strong>Subsequently, in January 2024, Lieutenant General Herzi Halevi, the IDF Chief of Staff and Israel’s highest military actor, <a href="https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-780864#:~:text=team%20to%20investigate%20the%20events%20leading%20up%20to%20Israel%20being%20surprised%20on%20October%207">formed</a> a team to probe the 7/10 massacre. Though the right-wing part of the coalition government heavily criticized the decision, it seems wise since having an evaluation now could help Israel make correct operational decisions in the current war. Israel is currently fighting Hamas in Gaza and may soon be fighting the terrorist organization <a href="https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-771582#:~:text=Netanyahu%20spoke%20as%20concern%20has%20grown%20that%20Israel%20could%20be%20forced%20to%20fight%20Hezbollah%20along%20its%20northern%20border%20even%20as%20it%20engages%20in%20a%20military%20campaign%20in%20the%20south%20to%20oust%20the%20Iranian%20proxy%20group%20Hamas%20from%20Gaza.">Hezbollah</a> in Lebanon, at Israel’s northern border.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Conversely, on the political side, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/the-idf-should-have-opened-a-probe-into-the-events-of-october-7-a-long-time-ago/#:~:text=Since%20the%20first%20month%20of%20the%20conflict%2C%20Netanyahu%20has%20claimed%20that%20a%20state%20commission%20of%20inquiry%20will%20be%20established%20at%20the%20end%20of%20the%20war">stated</a> that an investigation on the decision-making before and during the Hamas War will only be conducted after the end of the conflict. However, it is unclear when the war against Hamas will end; it may well last the whole year of 2024. Even if the fighting with Hamas were concluded, Israel might still be fighting Hezbollah. Besides, the outcomes of such a state investigation could take years.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In the current absence of results of state inquiry commissions, I will deliver a preliminary analysis of the Israeli policy and intelligence failings. Why preliminary? First of all, because the Hamas War is ongoing. Secondly, because as a private Israeli citizen, I do not have access to governmental documents; I will have to base my conclusions upon media reports.</strong></p>
<p><strong>I will apply the “levels of warfare” (or “levels of <a href="https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/157126/Netherlands-2005.pdf">military operation</a>”) analysis. Scholars of military studies commonly use this schema to describe how national interests are translated into national objectives. States generally use hard military power only in the case of a serious violation of national interests. We examine the way in which they use military power at four descending levels: political strategy, military strategy, operations and tactics. The division into these four levels is not strict; they influence each other, and there is overlap.</strong></p>
<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://www.fairobserver.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/Screenshot-15.jpg" alt="" width="507" />The levels of warfare in Israel.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The highest level, political strategy or “grand strategy,” involves the coordinated use of all the economic, diplomatic, psychological, military and other political instruments the state has at its disposal to achieve its objectives. The actor at this level is the government of the State of Israel. </strong></p>
<p><strong>At the level of military strategy, we see the use of military means of power to guarantee the security of the state. The actors at this level are the IDF Chief of Staff and the commanders of the different services, i.e. the army, air force and navy.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Operational strategy comprises the execution of particular joint campaigns (conducted by the army, air force and navy) in order to achieve a military-strategic objective. In the current situation, the war against Hamas in Gaza is called Operation Swords of Iron. This operation serves the military strategic objective of the destruction of Hamas.</strong></p>
<p><strong>At the tactical level, individual military units are deployed and operate in combat to achieve the operational aim of a campaign. For example, within Operation Swords of Iron, the 7th Armored Brigade <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/anticipating-long-war-idf-pulls-one-of-four-divisions-out-of-gaza-for-rr-training/#:~:text=Also%20in%20Khan%20Younis%2C%20the%20IDF%20said%20troops%20of%20the%207th%20Armored%20Brigade%20raided%20a%20Hamas%20command%20center%2C%20locating%20a%20cache%20of%20weapons.%20The%20IDF%20said%20the%20troops%20seized%20assault%20rifles%2C%20handguns%2C%20grenades%2C%20RPGs%2C%20and%20diving%20equipment%20belonging%20to%20Hamas%E2%80%99s%20naval%20forces.">raided</a> a Hamas command center in Gaza.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On the eve of 7/10, the Israeli government was <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-771806#:~:text=One%20of%20the,deterrence%20even%20further.">convinced</a> that Hamas was deterred from starting a war with Israel. Political and military <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-765254#:~:text=Then%20there%20was%20a%20lack%20of%20understanding%3A%20IDF%20intelligence%20has%20many%20debates%20about%20many%20security%20issues%2C%20but%20every%20official%20who%20briefed%20the%20Jerusalem%20Post%20made%20it%20clear%20that%20Hamas%20was%20broadly%20deterred%20from%20a%20big%20conflict%20with%20Israel.">officials</a> of Israel had frequently stated that Hamas was discouraged from a large conflict with Israel. Aryeh Deri, Member of Knesset and political leader of the ruling coalition party Shas, has <a href="https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/379918#:~:text=Shas%20chairman%20MK%20Aryeh%20Deri%20spoke%20about%20the%20war%20in%20an%20interview%20with%20Channel%2012%20News%20on%20Tuesday%20evening%20and%20stated%20that%2C%20in%20his%20opinion%2C%20the%20government%20and%20the%20defense%20establishment%20both%20failed.">admitted</a> that the Israeli political and military leadership failed by not recognizing the Hamas threat. According to Deri, Israel underestimated Hamas’ strength and overestimated the IDF’s military power.</strong></p>
<p><strong>This belief was based upon the fact, among others, that Hamas kept aside from several rounds of conflict between Israel and the terrorist organization Palestinian Islamic Jihad in 2022 and 2023. Hamas had ostensibly learned its lesson from its 2014 and 2021 conflicts with Israel.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Hamas intentionally encouraged Israel to believe it was interested in a quiet situation. They gave the impression that they were focusing on economic build-up and avoiding conflict with Israel. Allegedly, Hamas even <a href="https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/381552#:~:text=group%20was%20able,interested%20in%20collaboration.">provided</a> Israel with intelligence on Palestinian Islamic Jihad to reinforce the impression that they were willing to cooperate with Israel.</strong></p>
<p><strong>At least a year before 7/10, the IDF <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/reports-senior-idf-officer-dismissed-pre-oct-7-intel-on-hamas-invasion-as-fantasy/#:~:text=The%20manual%20also,the%20border%20fence.">had</a><a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-obtained-ignored-hamas-document-laying-out-oct-7-attack-plan-report-alleges/#:~:text=A%20document%20obtained%20by%20Israeli%20authorities%20at%20least%20a%20year%20before%20the%20attack">acquired</a> a Hamas manual that described how to take control of the Israeli area near Gaza. It explained how the operation was to be conducted (see the operational level below). The manual also described the objective to deceive Israel into inactivity, creating a low threat perception by holding negotiations for some form of long-term arrangement to create a false sense of security while at the same time conducting regular exercises and carrying out small security incidents on the border. The details of the manual were forwarded to senior IDF officers. Their reason for <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/28/israeli-military-had-warning-of-hamas-training-for-attack-reports-say#:~:text=Those%20emails%20revealed%20that%20a%20senior%20officer%20who%20reviewed%20the%20intelligence%20considered%20the%20danger%20of%20a%20massive%20surprise%20attack%20by%20Hamas%20across%20the%20Gaza%20border%20to%20be%20%E2%80%9Can%20imaginary%20scenario%E2%80%9D.">dismissing</a> this threat was that Hamas would not be capable of carrying out such a large-scale attack.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Besides the Hamas attack manual, in spring 2022 Hamas TV <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/more-details-unveiled-of-idf-intel-on-oct-7-plans-consults-hours-before-hamas-attack/#:~:text=TV%20drama%20series%20broadcast%20last%20year%20on%20Hamas%20TV%20that%20featured%20terrorists%20infiltrating%20Israel">broadcasted</a> a series which dramatized a huge assault on Israel with pickup trucks, deactivating IDF communications, kidnapping soldiers and civilians and attacking <em>kibbutzim </em>(rural settlements) and IDF bases, among them the location of the Gaza Division. Presumably, neither news of Hamas’s intent to create a false sense of security (as mentioned in the manual) nor of the attack scenario (as mentioned in the series) ever reached the political decision-makers.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In the summer of 2023, a human source from Gaza <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/report-shin-bet-dismissed-tip-on-hamas-plans-timing-for-major-attack/#:~:text=The%20Shin%20Bet%20got%20the%20tip%20during%20the%20summer%20from%20a%20human%20source%20in%20the%20Gaza%20Strip%20who%20warned%20Hamas%20was%20planning%20to%20attack%20during%20the%20week%20after%20the%20Jewish%20fast%20day%20of%20Yom%20Kippur%2C">informed</a> Israel’s internal security agency, Shin Bet, that Hamas was planning a large attack on Israel soon after Yom Kippur. The information was regarded as irrelevant: Hamas simply could not operate on such a large scale. Consequently, the information did not reach Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar. Obviously, the upper political and military echelons did not hear about it either. </strong></p>
<p><strong>In order to shore up intelligence weaknesses discovered during the Yom Kippur War of 1973, the IDF maintains an intelligence unit of different thinking. The task of Ipcha Mistabra, or the “Devil’s Advocate Unit,” is to doubt intelligence assessments and offer alternative conclusions. In the weeks before 7/10, the head of the Devil’s Advocate Unit <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/head-of-idf-devils-advocate-unit-tried-repeatedly-in-september-to-warn-of-possible-hamas-attack/#:~:text=warned%20four%20times%20in%20the%20three%20weeks%20before%20Hamas%E2%80%99s%20October%207%20onslaught%20that%20the%20Gaza%20ruling%20terror%20group%20could%20soon%20launch%20a%20confrontation">sent</a> out a number of warnings to all senior decision-makers in the army and the political echelons, assessing an impending attack by Hamas. The unit thus succeeded in its primary task, contradicting the conventional view shared by intelligence, military and political officials. Senior leadership dismissed the assessment, and Netanyahu has <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/security-chiefs-got-wind-of-something-amiss-in-gaza-thought-it-was-a-drill-reports/#:~:text=Netanyahu%20has%20been%20adamant%20that%20he%20had%20no%20prior%20knowledge%20of%20any%20security%20assessments%20predicting%20an%20attack.">denied</a> receiving the warning.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The IDF leadership assumed that Hamas was deterred because of the impact of the losses they suffered in the 11-day conflict of May 2021, <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-771806#:~:text=But%20a%20fundamental%20premise%20in%20believing%20that%20Hamas%20was%20deterred%20was%20also%20the%20exaggerated%20impact%20that%20the%20IDF%20thought%20its%20May%202021%20attacks%20had%20on%20the%20Gaza-based%20terrorist%20group%20during%20that%2011-day%20conflict%20(Operation%20Guardian%20of%20the%20Walls).">dubbed</a> by IDF “Operation Guardian of the Walls.” Furthermore, the IDF was convinced that, in that operation, they had destroyed the larger part of Hamas’ underground tunnel network. On 7/10, both assumptions proved to be totally wrong.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On October 6, 2023, some hours before the Hamas attack, the IDF’s most senior officers were <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/28/israeli-military-had-warning-of-hamas-training-for-attack-reports-say#:~:text=The%20Yedioth%20Ahronoth%20newspaper%20reported%20that%20on%206%20October%2C%20hours%20before%20Hamas%20launched%20its%20assault%2C%20the%20IDF%E2%80%99s%20most%20senior%20officers%20were%20alerted%20to%20%E2%80%9Cweak%20signs%E2%80%9D%20that%20something%20was%20happening%20on%20the%20Gaza%20border%20and%20that%20Hamas%20was%20preparing%20for%20an%20offensive.">alerted</a> to some irregular activities on the Gaza border and that Hamas was preparing to launch an offensive. On the night between October 6 and 7, Herzi Halevi held an encrypted telephone call with the head of the Operations Directorate, Major General Oded Basyuk, and the head of Southern Command, Major General Yaron Finkelman. They <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-775611#:~:text=On%20the%20night,Israel%20Security%20Agency).">discussed</a> reports from military intelligence and from Shin Bet on irregular activities by Hamas.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The head of the IDF’s military intelligence directorate, Aharon Haliva, was not invited for the talk. But even if Haliva had participated in the meeting, his military intelligence would have given no indication of an imminent wide-scale attack by Hamas. Military intelligence estimated that the detected activities by Hamas were likely to be routine exercises, similar to previous months.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Consequently, the nightly meeting only resulted in limited action. Halevi ordered that the reported information be <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/more-details-unveiled-of-idf-intel-on-oct-7-plans-consults-hours-before-hamas-attack/#:~:text=Halevi%20asked%20for%20more%20information%20and%20ordered%20that%20the%20Israel%20Air%20Force%20be%20updated.%20He%20also%20ordered%20that%20the%20intelligence%20information%20be%20checked%20%E2%80%94%20including%20from%20a%20perspective%20skeptical%20of%20the%20prevailing%20assumption%20that%20Hamas%20was%20not%20interested%20in%20war.">checked</a>. He entertained the possibility that the prevailing assessment may have been wrong. Nevertheless, these doubts did not convince Halevi to prepare for a major Hamas assault.</strong></p>
<p><strong>For the intel check-up, three drones and a combat helicopter were activated. In addition to this, Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar decided to dispatch Tequila teams to the Gaza border. <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-775611#:~:text=dispatch%20%22Tequila%22%20teams%20to%20the%20Gaza%20border%20to%20analyze%20the%20emerging%20intelligence%20and%20dismiss%20the%20possibility%20of%20a%20single%20infiltration%20attack.">Tequila</a> is an elite undercover unit of Shin Bet, seen as a last resort in stopping one or a few individual terrorists who are already preparing to launch an attack. The use of Tequila teams, thus, confirms that Shin Bet also did not have the impression that a large Hamas offensive was looming.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The IDF thus prepared their defenses around Gaza for <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/years-of-subterfuge-high-tech-barrier-paralyzed-how-hamas-busted-israels-defenses/#:~:text=Yud%20said%20the%20army%20had%20prepared%20for%20scenarios%20where%20the%20fence%20might%20be%20penetrated%20by%20a%20handful%20of%20armed%20invaders%2C%20or%20even%2020%20or%20so%2C%20but%20the%20idea%20that%20%E2%80%9Cthey%20would%20overtake%20an%20army%20base%2C%20that%20is%20something%20that%20I%20never%20dreamed%20would%20happen.%E2%80%9D">limited incursions</a> by small groups of terrorists, not a <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-765254#:~:text=At%20the%20same%20time%2C%20Hamas%20did%20not%20come%20into%20Israel%20on%20land%20with%20dozens%2C%20but%20with%20hundreds%20of%20soldiers%2C%20a%20volume%20the%20IDF%20never%20expected.">large-scale</a> invasion by thousands of Hamas operatives. As a result, when 7/10 came the IDF were <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-had-no-plan-for-a-hamas-attack-of-october-7s-magnitude-ny-times-reports/#:~:text=lackluster%20and%20sluggish%20response%20to%20the%20attack%20once%20it%20began%20in%20the%20early%20hours%20of%20October%207%2C%20with%20multiple%20failures%20of%20defensive%20strategies%20and%20command%20and%20control%20systems%20enabling%20terrorists%20to%20rampage%20through%20communities%20for%20long%20hours%2C%20murdering%20and%20pillaging.">unprepared</a> to counter such a massive attack. According to standard procedures, battalions are expected to deploy within 24 hours in the event of an invasion, after being forewarned by military intelligence. Clearly, no such warning had gone out before 7/10. </strong></p>
<p><strong>The IDF’s response was slow and disorganized. It took considerable time to comprehend the size of the attack; hence, the initial units deployed were ill-equipped to counter the assault.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The Israeli Air Force (IAF) also <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-781015#:~:text=Amongst%20the%20numerous%20security%20failures%20by%20Israel%20that%20potentially%20could%20have%20prevented%20the%20October%207%20massacre%2C%20one%20aspect%20of%20Israel%27s%20security%20that%20hasn%27t%20been%20discussed%20at%20length%20is%20the%20Israel%20Air%20Force.">missed out</a> on 7/10. Only a pair of combat helicopters was on standby, but they were located in northern Israel. Some unmanned aerial vehicles were quickly deployed in the Gaza area, but they could not cope with the scale of the attack. IAF fighter jets arrived shortly after, but they did not understand what was going on and returned to base without taking any action.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The terror manual mentioned above can be considered as Hamas’s operational plan. It mentioned conquering IDF army bases and posts, capturing communities, killing and abducting Israelis and taking hold of the cities of Sderot, Ofakim and Netivot. The vehicles to carry out these tasks would be pickup trucks, motorbikes and hang gliders. Large-scale rocket fire from Gaza was to give cover. The manual accurately described what would happen on 7/10.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Israeli intelligence had further knowledge of Hamas’s operational plans. Allegedly, Aharon Haliva visited Unit 8200, a unit of the IDF Intelligence Corps responsible for signal intelligence. They had signaled an upcoming Hamas attack (see “The tactical level,” below). But the warning was <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/28/israeli-military-had-warning-of-hamas-training-for-attack-reports-say#:~:text=One%20report%20suggested,to%20show%20restraint%E2%80%9D.">not passed</a> on to Haliva. On the contrary, the assessment that he received suggested that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar had no intention of causing the situation to deteriorate.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Already in July 2022, an unnamed intelligence officer belonging to the IDF’s Gaza Division <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/more-details-unveiled-of-idf-intel-on-oct-7-plans-consults-hours-before-hamas-attack/#:~:text=the%20intelligence%20officer,defense%20%5Bof%20Israel%5D.%E2%80%9D">gave</a> a briefing on “The Mass Invasion Plan of Hamas.” It described Hamas terror squads invading southern Israel from Gaza, together with engineering teams to breach the border fence on multiple spots. The presentation warned that this invasion constituted a very serious threat to the defense of Israel.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Subsequently, in October 2022, a document drafted in the Gaza Division <a href="https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/383096#:~:text=The%20document%20shows%20evidence%20of%20the%20depth%20of%20Israel%27s%20understanding%20of%20the%20Hamas%20plan%20and%20its%20failure%20in%20the%20field%20of%20assessing%20Hamas%E2%80%99%20intentions.">described</a> in detail the Hamas attack that would take place a year later. This document listed details of the impending Hamas operation, concurrent with those mentioned in the aforementioned Hamas manual in possession of the IDF: invading army bases and <em>kibbutzim</em>, killing, destruction and hostage-taking. This was to be preceded by breaching the fence at several spots, neutralizing the IDF technological warning, communications and remote weapon systems. Hamas would penetrate Israel with pickups, jeeps, motorcycles and paragliders, as well as with boats.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Allegedly, the document was sent to the top of the Military Intelligence Directorate. Its head, Aharon Haliva, was also aware of the contents of the report. Nevertheless, no conclusions were apparently drawn nor any action taken.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On October 1, 2023, the commander of the same Gaza Division <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/more-details-unveiled-of-idf-intel-on-oct-7-plans-consults-hours-before-hamas-attack/#:~:text=On%20October%201,of%20the%20disturbances.%E2%80%9D">ordered</a> a situational assessment, which noted a sharp increase in Hamas drills — six battalions were exercising once or twice a week. The division’s intelligence officer described, on the one hand, the economic benefits for Hamas for absence of violence and, on the other hand, a continuation of disturbances at the Gaza border. However, he assessed that there was a development towards détente and a decrease in disturbances.</strong></p>
<p><strong>How could this intelligence officer come to such a conclusion in the light of a sharp increase in exercise activity by Hamas? What happened with the July 2022 briefing on “The Mass Invasion Plan of Hamas”? Considering the fundamental opposite views, the intel officers most likely of July 2022 and of October 1, 2023 were not the same. Nevertheless, how could such divergent views be held in the same division?</strong></p>
<p><strong>On different occasions, Unit 8200 presented warnings about Hamas preparing for a major assault. In July 2023, they <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/reports-senior-idf-officer-dismissed-pre-oct-7-intel-on-hamas-invasion-as-fantasy/#:~:text=Soldiers%20in%20the%20IDF%E2%80%99s%20prestigious%208200%20signal%20intelligence%20unit%20reportedly%20warned%20senior%20officers%20before%20the%20October%207%20atrocities%20that%20Hamas%20was%20preparing%20a%20highly%20organized%20and%20meticulously%20planned%20mass%20invasion%20of%20Israel%20but%20were%20told%20their%20concerns%20were%20%E2%80%9Cfantasies.%E2%80%9D">warned</a> that Hamas was conducting large-scale exercises aiming at <a href="https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/defense-news/article-775570#:~:text=Hamas%20was%20conducting,at%20all%20Costs%2C%22">invading</a><em>kibbutzim </em>and several Israeli towns near Gaza. In September 2023, personnel from this unit <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/reports-senior-idf-officer-dismissed-pre-oct-7-intel-on-hamas-invasion-as-fantasy/#:~:text=She%2C%20together%20with%20the%20junior%20officer%2C%20also%20pointed%20to%20a%20Hamas%20drill%20a%20month%20before%20the%20Hamas%20attack%2C%20noting%20that%20it%20included%20preparations%20for%20a%20mass%20invasion%20with%20multiple%20entry%20points%20into%20Israel.">noticed</a> a Hamas military exercise which included preparations for a mass invasion with multiple entry points into Israel. The exercise included the use of vehicles to carry out the attack and practiced taking over Israeli towns. Subsequently, Unit 8200 warned a senior officer that Hamas was preparing a well-organized and planned invasion. However, their warnings were met with disbelief, and the senior officer failed to act on the information.</strong></p>
<p><strong>For at least three months before 7/10, lookouts from the Combat Intelligence Corps had <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-israeli-intel-unit-wasnt-operational-on-october-7-due-to-personnel-decision/#:~:text=surveillance%20soldiers%20from,chain%20of%20command.">reported</a> on training, unusual <a href="https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/380538#:~:text=they%20warned%20their,kind%20of%20activity.">activity</a> and preparations near the border. They warned about a number of peculiar activities. For instance, more people who had not been previously observed in the area were arriving; the usual Palestinian farmers had been replaced by others; Hamas members were frequently conducting training sessions, digging holes and placing explosives along the border, et cetera. The lookouts saw furthermore that Hamas operatives had models of a tank and weapons on the Israeli fence; the operatives showed how to blow them up. The lookouts also noticed that the Hamas operatives observed the cameras on the fence and were taking pictures of them.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The lookouts passed information about what they were seeing to intelligence and higher-ranking officers, but were <a href="https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/383643#:~:text=It%20was%20clear%20to%20some%20of%20these%20women%20that%20Hamas%20was%20planning%20something%20big">powerless</a> to do more. As with Unit 8200’s findings, the lookouts from the Combat Intelligence Corps too had to experience their senior officers disregarding their warnings and consequently declining to forward them up the chain of command. Beyond this, the lookouts were <a href="https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/380538#:~:text=%E2%80%9CI%20don%27t%20want%20to%20hear%20about%20this%20foolishness%20even%20one%20more%20time.%20If%20you%20annoy%20me%20again%20with%20these%20things%2C%20I%20will%20have%20you%20brought%20up%20on%20charges.%E2%80%9D">threatened</a> with legal action if they continued bringing up such alarming reports.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The policy and intelligence failures demonstrate shortcomings throughout the system. Intelligence warnings of a looming assault by Hamas were disregarded at all levels of warfare: warnings by Unit 8200 and lookouts of the Combat Intelligence Corps at the tactical level; Gaza Division intelligence at the operational level; warnings by the Devil’s Advocate Unit at the military and political strategic levels. Leaders were convinced Hamas was sufficiently deterred and interested in maintaining the status quo.</strong></p>
<p><strong>With these policy and intelligence deficiencies in view, we cannot help comparing 7/10 to the 1973 Yom Kippur War, the other war that took Israel by surprise. The big difference, of course, is that in 1973 regular armed forces of neighboring states (Egypt and Syria) attacked Israel, whereas in the current war, paramilitary troops (Hamas) did so.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Nevertheless, similar failures occurred. In 1973, the Israeli government was wary of starting a war. The US government exercised political pressure on Israel to remain the status quo. This likely also played a role in Israel’s reluctance to prepare for war or to launch a pre-emptive strike in spite of several intelligence warnings. Equally, in 2023 the Israeli Government was convinced that Hamas was aimed at a calm relationship with Israel. Thus, the government neglected intelligence warnings on a threat by Hamas and was unprepared for warfare. As in 1973, in 2023 the US government under President Joe Biden was putting pressure on Israel to avoid conflict. In this case, Biden hoped to improve the circumstances of the Palestinians.</strong></p>
<p><strong>After the Six-Day War of 1967, in 1973 Israel considered itself invincible; any enemy would stay far away from IDF’s superior military power. Likewise, after 2014 and 2021, Israel considered itself as having soundly defeated Hamas. As Aryeh Deri has admitted, Israel misjudged the threat.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In the months preceding the Yom Kippur War, Israel received a number of warnings about a potential attack by Syria and Egypt. In the same way, over a year before 7/10, Israel received intelligence reports on a forthcoming assault by Hamas and did not act on them.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In 1973 Israel felt safe and secure behind the Bar Lev Line, a fortified set of defenses along the eastern bank of the Suez Canal, built shortly after the 1967 Six-Day War. But on Yom Kippur, Egypt quickly seized all the fortresses except for one. Similarly, before 7/10 Israel was sure that its high-tech sophisticated barrier with Gaza (consisting of remote controlled electronic signaling, camera surveillance and weapon systems) would be a reliable defense against Hamas. In December 2021, Minister of Defense Benny Gantz had <a href="https://apnews.com/article/middle-east-israel-militant-groups-gaza-strip-hamas-f1e2a12119da7b34c1553c3ca0821612#:~:text=Defense%20Minister%20Benny%20Gantz%20announced%20the%20completion%20of%20the%20barrier%20after%20more%20than%20three%20years%20of%20construction%2C%20saying%20it%20places%20an%20%E2%80%9Ciron%20wall%E2%80%9D%20between%20Hamas%20and%20residents%20of%20southern%20Israel.">ensured</a> that an expensive, state-of-the-art upgrade to the wall would <a href="https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/380532#:~:text=In%20December%202021,years%20to%20complete.">protect</a> the bordering Israeli communities from terror attacks by Hamas. The fence was supplemented by a number of army bases surrounding Gaza. As with the Bar Lev Line, the fence around Gaza was also sparsely guarded, because the IDF relied on its high-tech capabilities. On 7/10, Hamas rapidly breached the fence at multiple locations and overran most of the army bases.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The inquiry committees of the State Comptroller, the IDF and of the State of Israel will have to deal with the question of why all these intelligence warnings were ignored. Was it out of sheer arrogance — Israel considering itself invincible? Or did the political and military leadership regard all the intelligence warnings that came from below as insignificant because it did not concur with the rosy outlook coming from above? Or were policymakers and senior officers afraid that setting off a false alarm might affect their careers?</strong></p>
<p><strong>Did careers outweigh the security of the nation and the lives of its citizens? Why did Israel not learn from similar failures 50 years earlier in the Yom Kippur War? These questions can only be satisfactorily answered if the political and military leadership of Israel is willing to do some deep soul-searching. Without such an introspection, Israel is likely to make the same mistakes again.</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>[</em><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/anton-schauble"><em>Anton Schauble</em></a><em> edited this piece.]</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Fair Observer’s editorial policy. </strong></p>
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		<title>Russia makes first convictions for ‘LGBT extremism’ following ban</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/russia-makes-first-convictions-lgbt-extremism-ban-rcna136753/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=russia-makes-first-convictions-lgbt-extremism-ban-rcna136753</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Feb 2024 15:48:15 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Two Russian courts have meted out the first convictions in connection with what the government calls the “international LGBT social movement” and which was designated as extremist last year. On Thursday, a court in the southern region of Volgograd found a man guilty of “displaying the symbols of an extremist organization” after he posted a [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/russia-makes-first-convictions-lgbt-extremism-ban-rcna136753/">Russia makes first convictions for ‘LGBT extremism’ following ban</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong>Two Russian courts have meted out the first convictions in connection with what the government calls the “international LGBT social movement” and which was designated as extremist last year.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On Thursday, a court in the southern region of Volgograd found a man guilty of “displaying the symbols of an extremist organization” after he posted a photograph of an LGBTQ flag online, according to the court’s press service.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Artyom P., who was ordered to pay a fine of 1,000 rubles, admitted guilt and repented, saying he had posted the image “out of stupidity,” the court said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On Monday, a court in Nizhny Novgorod, east of Moscow, sentenced to five days in administrative detention a woman who had been in a cafe when a man approached her and demanded she remove her frog-shaped earrings displaying an image of a rainbow, said Aegis, an LGBTQ rights group.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The woman was called to the police station after the man, who filmed the encounter, posted it online.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A trial is set to resume next week in Saratov in southwestern Russian against a photographer who posted images of rainbow flags on Instagram, independent Russian news outlet Mediazona reported.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The rainbow flag represents the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender and queer community. Russian law prohibits anyone in the country “displaying the symbols” of organizations it considers extremist, a list that includes social network Meta.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Russia’s Supreme Court <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/top-russian-court-bans-lgbt-movement-extremist-2023-11-30/">banned</a> the “LGBT movement” last November, continuing a pattern of increasing restrictions in Russia on expressions of sexual orientation and gender identity.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A law passed last July <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-duma-completes-passage-bill-banning-gender-change-2023-07-14/">outlawed</a> legal or medical changes of gender for transgender Russians, and a law banning the promotion of “nontraditional” sexual relations has been on the books for over a decade. </strong></p>
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<p><a id="article_title_link_40023295424" class="article_title_link" tabindex="-1" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/nbc-out/out-news/russia-makes-first-convictions-lgbt-extremism-ban-rcna136753" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Russia makes first convictions for ‘LGBT extremism’ following ban</a></p>
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		<title>Zelensky explains why he won’t negotiate with Putin</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/zelensky-explains-why-he-wont-negotiate-with-putin/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=zelensky-explains-why-he-wont-negotiate-with-putin</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jan 2024 17:42:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/zelensky-explains-why-he-wont-negotiate-with-putin/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>As 2024 begins President Volodymyr Zelensky speaks to The Economist’s Editor-in-chief, Zanny Minton Beddoes, about his political and military goals for the coming year and why he won’t compromise with Vladimir Putin.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/zelensky-explains-why-he-wont-negotiate-with-putin/">Zelensky explains why he won’t negotiate with Putin</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/I4ZRw96TP8Q?enablejsapi=1" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></p>
<p>A<small>s 2024 </small>begins President Volodymyr Zelensky speaks to <i>The Economist</i>’s Editor-in-chief, Zanny Minton Beddoes, about his political and military goals for the coming year and why he won’t compromise with Vladimir Putin.</p>
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<div class='heateor_sss_sharing_container heateor_sss_vertical_sharing heateor_sss_bottom_sharing' style='width:44px;left: -10px;top: 300px;-webkit-box-shadow:none;box-shadow:none;' data-heateor-sss-href='https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/'><div class="heateor_sss_sharing_ul"><a aria-label="Facebook" class="heateor_sss_facebook" href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fcategory%2Ffeatured-posts%2Ffeed%2F" title="Facebook" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#0765FE;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg style="display:block;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="100%" height="100%" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M28 16c0-6.627-5.373-12-12-12S4 9.373 4 16c0 5.628 3.875 10.35 9.101 11.647v-7.98h-2.474V16H13.1v-1.58c0-4.085 1.849-5.978 5.859-5.978.76 0 2.072.15 2.608.298v3.325c-.283-.03-.775-.045-1.386-.045-1.967 0-2.728.745-2.728 2.683V16h3.92l-.673 3.667h-3.247v8.245C23.395 27.195 28 22.135 28 16Z"></path></svg></span></a><a aria-label="X" class="heateor_sss_button_x" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Featured%20Posts&url=https%3A%2F%2Fnewsandtimes.org%2Fcategory%2Ffeatured-posts%2Ffeed%2F" title="X" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" style="font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle"><span class="heateor_sss_svg heateor_sss_s__default heateor_sss_s_x" style="background-color:#2a2a2a;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box"><svg width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 32 32"><path fill="#fff" d="M21.751 7h3.067l-6.7 7.658L26 25.078h-6.172l-4.833-6.32-5.531 6.32h-3.07l7.167-8.19L6 7h6.328l4.37 5.777L21.75 7Zm-1.076 16.242h1.7L11.404 8.74H9.58l11.094 14.503Z"></path></svg></span></a><a class="heateor_sss_more" aria-label="More" title="More" rel="nofollow noopener" style="font-size: 32px!important;border:0;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block!important;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align: middle;display:inline;" href="https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/" onclick="event.preventDefault()"><span class="heateor_sss_svg" style="background-color:#ee8e2d;width:40px;height:40px;margin:0;display:inline-block!important;opacity:1;float:left;font-size:32px!important;box-shadow:none;display:inline-block;font-size:16px;padding:0 4px;vertical-align:middle;display:inline;background-repeat:repeat;overflow:hidden;padding:0;cursor:pointer;box-sizing:content-box;" onclick="heateorSssMoreSharingPopup(this, 'https://newsandtimes.org/category/featured-posts/feed/', 'Featured%20Posts', '' )"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" viewBox="-.3 0 32 32" version="1.1" width="100%" height="100%" style="display:block;" xml:space="preserve"><g><path fill="#fff" d="M18 14V8h-4v6H8v4h6v6h4v-6h6v-4h-6z" fill-rule="evenodd"></path></g></svg></span></a></div><div class="heateorSssClear"></div></div><p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/zelensky-explains-why-he-wont-negotiate-with-putin/">Zelensky explains why he won’t negotiate with Putin</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<title>Ramaswamy Set To Tee Up a Plan To &#8216;Eviscerate&#8217; the Administrative State &#8211; The New York Sun</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/cbmiy2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lm55c3vulmnvbs9hcnrpy2xll3jhbwfzd2ftes1zzxqtdg8tdgvllxvwlwetcgxhbi10by1ldmlzy2vyyxrllxrozs1hzg1pbmlzdhjhdgl2zs1zdgf0zdibaa/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=cbmiy2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lm55c3vulmnvbs9hcnrpy2xll3jhbwfzd2ftes1zzxqtdg8tdgvllxvwlwetcgxhbi10by1ldmlzy2vyyxrllxrozs1hzg1pbmlzdhjhdgl2zs1zdgf0zdibaa</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jan 2024 11:46:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Selected Articles]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://newsandtimes.org/cbmiy2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lm55c3vulmnvbs9hcnrpy2xll3jhbwfzd2ftes1zzxqtdg8tdgvllxvwlwetcgxhbi10by1ldmlzy2vyyxrllxrozs1hzg1pbmlzdhjhdgl2zs1zdgf0zdibaa/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The New York Sun Michael Novakhov&#8217;s favorite articles on Inoreader Ramaswamy Set To Tee Up a Plan To ‘Eviscerate’ the Administrative State posted at 13:21:37 UTC via nysun.com A businessman who is seeking the Republican presidential nomination, Vivek Ramaswamy, says he will lay out a “legal and constitutional basis” for shutting down federal agencies with executive power during [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/cbmiy2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lm55c3vulmnvbs9hcnrpy2xll3jhbwfzd2ftes1zzxqtdg8tdgvllxvwlwetcgxhbi10by1ldmlzy2vyyxrllxrozs1hzg1pbmlzdhjhdgl2zs1zdgf0zdibaa/">Ramaswamy Set To Tee Up a Plan To ‘Eviscerate’ the Administrative State – The New York Sun</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://wp.nysun.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/vivek-scaled.jpg?w=1200&amp;h=630&amp;fit=fill&amp;fm=jpg&amp;fl=progressive" alt="vivek-scaled.jpg?w=1200&amp;h=630&amp;fit=fill&amp;f" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>The New York Sun</strong></p>
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<div class="header_text"><strong>Michael Novakhov&#8217;s favorite articles on <a href="https://www.inoreader.com/?utm_source=html_export&amp;utm_campaign=u1006407045&amp;utm_medium=html_export" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Inoreader</a></strong></div>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://www.nysun.com/article/ramaswamy-set-to-tee-up-a-plan-to-eviscerate-the-administrative-state" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ramaswamy Set To Tee Up a Plan To ‘Eviscerate’ the Administrative State</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 13:21:37 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://www.nysun.com/article/ramaswamy-set-to-tee-up-a-plan-to-eviscerate-the-administrative-state" target="_blank" rel="noopener">nysun.com</a></strong></div>
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<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://wp.nysun.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/vivek-scaled.jpg?w=1200&amp;h=630&amp;fit=fill&amp;fm=jpg&amp;fl=progressive" alt="vivek-scaled.jpg?w=1200&amp;h=630&amp;fit=fill&amp;f" /></strong></p>
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<p><strong>A businessman who is seeking the Republican presidential nomination, Vivek Ramaswamy, says he will lay out a “legal and constitutional basis” for shutting down federal agencies with executive power during a speech Wednesday at the America First Policy Institute at Washington, D.C.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Shutting down the Department of Education has long been a Republican talking point, but Mr. Ramaswamy and much of the New Right — a constellation of mostly young thinkers and activists unburdened by conservative orthodoxy — want to go further, promising to shut down a host of alphabet agencies, like the FBI, the IRS, and the ATF. Mr. Ramaswamy says if elected president, he will reduce the workforce of the federal bureaucracy “swamp” by 75 percent.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Ramaswamy calls the unelected bureaucrats at Washington “collecting a paycheck from taxpayers” through Republican and Democrat administrations the “fourth branch of government” — and he wants it gone. His pledge sounds a lot like President Trump’s 2016 “drain the swamp” campaign promise, but Mr. Ramaswamy’s pitch is that he is the smart, adept one who can actually get it done.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“They duped presidents from Reagan to Trump by telling them they couldn’t do it. And on solid legal authority we are, on Wednesday, going to lay out exactly how we will get that done in a way that goes far beyond any historical GOP talking points,” Mr. Ramaswamy told reporters Sunday at an event at New Hampshire. “It takes the America First movement to the next level.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>At a barbecue at New Hampshire Sunday hosted by a cryptocurrency millionaire and former Republican U.S. Senate candidate, <a href="https://www.nysun.com/article/a-libertarian-leaning-crypto-celebrity-seeks-to-shake-up-new-hampshires-senate-primary">Bruce Fenton</a>, Mr. Ramaswamy articulated his vision in revolutionary terms. The tables were adorned with Gadsden flags, tricorn hats, and faux-aged copies of the U.S. Constitution. Mr. Fenton is part of the <a href="https://www.nysun.com/article/porc-fest-libertarians-gone-wild">Free State Project</a>, a movement to get “liberty lovers” to move to New Hampshire, influence state politics, and create a libertarian homeland.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“Do you want incremental reform, or do you want revolution?” Mr. Ramaswamy asked the crowd of about 150 people. “I think that’s the real choice we face in the GOP primary.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>A 38-year-old biotech entrepreneur, Mr. Ramaswamy favors revolution, and the crowd ate it up. He painted a dark vision of the state of the country, saying that Americans are “starved for purpose and meaning and identity.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>“At a time in our national history, with the things that used to fill the void — faith, patriotism, hard work, family — these things have disappeared,” Mr. Ramaswamy said. “And when you have a black hole in your heart that runs that deep, that is when the poison fills the void: woke-ism, transgenderism, climate-ism, Covid-ism, globalism. As I sometimes joke around now, Zelensky-ism.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>This “American carnage” articulation recalls Mr. Trump and runs in direct contrast to the Reaganite optimism of Republican presidential candidates such as Ambassador Nikki Haley and Vice President Pence. “We’re not looking for a new national identity,” Mr. Pence argued with Mr. Ramaswamy at the Republican presidential debate. “The American people are the most faith-filled, freedom-loving, idealistic, hard-working people the world has ever known.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>“It’s not morning in America,” Mr. Ramaswamy shot back.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Ramaswamy’s opposition to funding the war in Ukraine is another point of departure from traditional Republicanism. These divisions reflect a larger split within the conservative movement between the Nikki Haleys of the world and the younger, über-online right that is attracted to Messrs. Ramaswamy and DeSantis and their scorched-earth vision of dismantling the administrative state, or as Mr. DeSantis <a href="https://www.nysun.com/article/in-campaign-reboot-struggling-desantis-pitches-himself-in-new-hampshire-as-a-trump-who-can-get-things-done">said last month</a>, when referring to reducing the federal workforce, “slitting throats on day one.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Ramaswamy says he used to identify as libertarian and didn’t vote in his 20s because he was “jaded.” His message about shutting down government agencies, pardoning Julian Assange of Wikileaks, and freeing the founder of the dark web drug sales site Silk Road, Ross Ulbricht, has earned him praise from many of the young, online right.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Several libertarian-leaning guests on Tim Pool’s YouTube show recently praised Mr. Ramaswamy for these promises. Mr. Ramaswamy is making the rounds of podcasts, YouTube shows, and other new media to attract this younger “jaded” crowd.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Ramaswamy shares the techno-libertarian origins of many in the New Right, and his diagnosis of America’s maladies aligns him with the Curtis Yarvin “democracy has failed” acolytes and “national divorce” proponents like the Libertarian Party, but his prescription is more optimistic and grounded in a unified constitutional republic. Mr. Ramaswamy opposes national divorce, embraces “one person, one vote,” and calls this a “1776 moment.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Yet he also throws red meat to this crowd, imagining himself as a more capable Mr. Trump, the embodiment of “America First 2.0” that can successfully knee-cap birthright citizenship for offspring of illegal immigrants, secure the southern border, and speak “truth” — Mr. Ramaswamy’s campaign slogan — on culture war issues. The campaign posted signs around the Fenton property that articulated these so-called truths according to Ramaswamy: “Reverse racism is racism,” “There are two genders,” and, “Human flourishing requires fossil fuels.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>“We have to speak truth,” Mr. Fenton tells the Sun. “I have definitely been talking to a lot of liberty people and Free Staters about why I think Vivek is the guy.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Trump is leading in Republican polls by large margins, but Mr. Ramaswamy’s rise indicates there is a hunger for this direct, “revolutionary” messaging. The main stalwarts of libertarianism, like Reason Magazine, may not be endorsing Mr. Ramaswamy’s agenda, which deviates significantly from libertarian orthodoxy, but a significant portion of the online New Right is.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Mr. Ramaswamy says the drive among Republicans to compromise in their beliefs is misguided. “I reject ‘show up in the middle and compromise,’ hold hands, sing Kumbaya,” Mr. Ramaswamy said. “We’re not going to tinker around the edges, we’re going to get in there and shut it down. That’s how you revive a constitutional republic.”</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Business Insider</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Fox News</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiY2h0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm55c3VuLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlL3JhbWFzd2FteS1zZXQtdG8tdGVlLXVwLWEtcGxhbi10by1ldmlzY2VyYXRlLXRoZS1hZG1pbmlzdHJhdGl2ZS1zdGF0ZdIBAA?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ramaswamy Set To Tee Up a Plan To &#8216;Eviscerate&#8217; the Administrative State &#8211; The New York Sun</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://wp.nysun.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/vivek-scaled.jpg?w=1200&amp;h=630&amp;fit=fill&amp;fm=jpg&amp;fl=progressive" alt="vivek-scaled.jpg?w=1200&amp;h=630&amp;fit=fill&amp;f" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>The New York Sun</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMicmh0dHBzOi8vYXBuZXdzLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlL3JhbWFzd2FteS0yMDI0LWdvcC1zbGFzaC1mZWRlcmFsLXdvcmtmb3JjZS1sYXlvZmZzLWZiaS0xODBlZjk1OTlhNjg4ZWY2OGQ2ZTUxNDQ2YmFlZjRhN9IBAA?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vivek Ramaswamy proposes mass federal layoffs as more GOP hopefuls look to slash US government &#8211; The Associated Press</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://dims.apnews.com/dims4/default/7186c18/2147483647/strip/true/crop/7959x4477+0+415/resize/1440x810!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F04%2Fc1%2Fa545b293a121af202d1ba358153f%2F13227c2becf4475280b3c21ecd0bcea1" alt="?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F0" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>The Associated Press</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWGh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm55dGltZXMuY29tLzIwMjMvMDkvMTMvdXMvcG9saXRpY3Mvdml2ZWstcmFtYXN3YW15LWRpc21hbnRsZS1nb3Zlcm5tZW50Lmh0bWzSAQA?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ramaswamy Says He Would Fire Most of the Federal Work Force if Elected &#8211; The New York Times</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<div id="article_contents_inner_39689250557" class="article_content">
<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2023/09/13/multimedia/00pol-vivek-domestic-3-kwmp/00pol-vivek-domestic-3-kwmp-facebookJumbo.jpg" alt="00pol-vivek-domestic-3-kwmp-facebookJumb" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>The New York Times</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWmh0dHBzOi8vdGhlaGlsbC5jb20vaG9tZW5ld3MvY2FtcGFpZ24vNDIwMTcyMi1yYW1hc3dhbXktd2FudHMtdG8tY3V0LTFtLWZlZGVyYWwtZW1wbG95ZWVzL9IBXmh0dHBzOi8vdGhlaGlsbC5jb20vaG9tZW5ld3MvY2FtcGFpZ24vNDIwMTcyMi1yYW1hc3dhbXktd2FudHMtdG8tY3V0LTFtLWZlZGVyYWwtZW1wbG95ZWVzL2FtcC8?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ramaswamy says he wants to cut 1M civilian federal employees &#8211; The Hill</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<div id="article_contents_inner_39689250553" class="article_content">
<p><strong><a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWmh0dHBzOi8vdGhlaGlsbC5jb20vaG9tZW5ld3MvY2FtcGFpZ24vNDIwMTcyMi1yYW1hc3dhbXktd2FudHMtdG8tY3V0LTFtLWZlZGVyYWwtZW1wbG95ZWVzL9IBXmh0dHBzOi8vdGhlaGlsbC5jb20vaG9tZW5ld3MvY2FtcGFpZ24vNDIwMTcyMi1yYW1hc3dhbXktd2FudHMtdG8tY3V0LTFtLWZlZGVyYWwtZW1wbG95ZWVzL2FtcC8?oc=5">Ramaswamy says he wants to cut 1M civilian federal employees</a>  The Hill</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVmh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm5ld3Nlci5jb20vc3RvcnkvMzQwMTIyL3JhbWFzd2FteS13YW50cy10by1maXJlLTc1LW9mLWZlZGVyYWwtd29ya2Vycy5odG1s0gEA?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ramaswamy: I&#8217;ll Eliminate FBI, Fire 75% of Federal Workers &#8211; Newser</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<div id="article_contents_inner_39689250552" class="article_content">
<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://img2-azrcdn.newser.com/image/1492035-12-20231011012355.jpeg" alt="1492035-12-20231011012355.jpeg" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>Newser</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/russian-has-lost-almost-90-of-its-prewar-army-u-s-intelligence-says-2e0372ab" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Russia Has Lost Almost 90% of Its Prewar Army, U.S. Intelligence Says</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:41:13 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/russian-has-lost-almost-90-of-its-prewar-army-u-s-intelligence-says-2e0372ab" target="_blank" rel="noopener">wsj.com</a></strong></div>
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<p><strong>Russia Has Lost Almost 90% of Its Prewar Army, U.S. Intelligence Says</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiRGh0dHBzOi8vbmV3cy55YWhvby5jb20vdml2ZWstcmFtYXN3YW15LXZvd3Mtc2h1dC1kb3duLTIwMzY0MTQ4Ny5odG1s0gEA?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vivek Ramaswamy vows to shut down FBI, IRS and more if elected president &#8211; Yahoo News</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<div id="article_contents_inner_39689250540" class="article_content">
<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://media.zenfs.com/en/nextshark_articles_509/9d7d0cb91da5da52a886108c81b45709" alt="9d7d0cb91da5da52a886108c81b45709" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>Yahoo News</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikQFodHRwczovL3d3dy5pbmRpYXRvZGF5LmluL3dvcmxkL3N0b3J5L3ZpdmVrLXJhbWFzd2FteS1zYXlzLWhlLXdhbnRzLXRvLXRha2UtYW1lcmljYS1maXJzdC1hZ2VuZGEtZnVydGhlci10aGFuLWRvbmFsZC10cnVtcC1kaWQtMjQzNzU0Ni0yMDIzLTA5LTE50gGVAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmluZGlhdG9kYXkuaW4vYW1wL3dvcmxkL3N0b3J5L3ZpdmVrLXJhbWFzd2FteS1zYXlzLWhlLXdhbnRzLXRvLXRha2UtYW1lcmljYS1maXJzdC1hZ2VuZGEtZnVydGhlci10aGFuLWRvbmFsZC10cnVtcC1kaWQtMjQzNzU0Ni0yMDIzLTA5LTE5?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vivek Ramaswamy says &#8216;want to take America First agenda further than Trump&#8217; &#8211; India Today</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://akm-img-a-in.tosshub.com/indiatoday/images/media_bank/202309/vivek-ramaswamy-191841206-16x9.jpg?VersionId=mpU8P6IAgukVADyPQHXHX1nBr8nDejXt" alt="vivek-ramaswamy-191841206-16x9.jpg?Versi" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>India Today</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiYmh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LnBvbGl0aWZhY3QuY29tL2FydGljbGUvMjAyMy9zZXAvMjYvY291bGQtdml2ZWstcmFtYXN3YW15LWxheS1vZmYtdGhyZWUtcXVhcnRlcnMtb2YtZmUv0gEA?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Could a President Vivek Ramaswamy lay off 75% of federal workers by himself? &#8211; PolitiFact</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://static.politifact.com/CACHE/images/politifact/photos/vivek_lewctern_9_26_2023/21a2f3380e7e417527b12cb1c4d18843.jpg" alt="21a2f3380e7e417527b12cb1c4d18843.jpg" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>PolitiFact</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiZmh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmZveGxhLmNvbS9uZXdzL3ZpdmVrLXJhbWFzd2FteS13YW50cy10by1zaHV0LWRvd24tZmJpLWlycy1kZXBhcnRtZW50LW9mLWVkdWNhdGlvbi1hbmQtbW9yZdIBamh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmZveGxhLmNvbS9uZXdzL3ZpdmVrLXJhbWFzd2FteS13YW50cy10by1zaHV0LWRvd24tZmJpLWlycy1kZXBhcnRtZW50LW9mLWVkdWNhdGlvbi1hbmQtbW9yZS5hbXA?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vivek Ramaswamy wants to shut down FBI, IRS, Department of Education and more &#8211; FOX 11 Los Angeles</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<div id="article_contents_inner_39689250542" class="article_content">
<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://images.foxtv.com/static.foxla.com/www.foxla.com/content/uploads/2023/09/1280/720/GettyImages-1705282856.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1" alt="GettyImages-1705282856.jpg?ve=1&amp;tl=1" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>FOX 11 Los Angeles</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibmh0dHBzOi8vdGhlcG9zdG1pbGxlbm5pYWwuY29tL3JldGlyZWQtZmJpLWFnZW50LXdhcm5zLXZpdmVrLXJhbWFzd2FteS10by1iZS12ZXJ5LWNhcmVmdWwtb24tdGhlLWNhbXBhaWduLXRyYWls0gEA?oc=5" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Retired FBI agent warns Vivek Ramaswamy to be &#8216;very careful&#8217; on the campaign trail &#8211; The Post Millennial</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 11:06:21 UTC</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="https://news.google.com/search?q=Vivek+wants+to+shut+down+FBI&amp;hl=en-US&amp;gl=US&amp;ceid=US:en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">&#8220;Vivek wants to shut down FBI&#8221; &#8211; Google News</a></strong></div>
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<div id="article_contents_inner_39689250538" class="article_content">
<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://mr.cdn.ignitecdn.com/client_assets/thepostmillennial_com/media/picture/6569/6c19/ec1d/490f/2fac/ccd6/original_Screen_Shot_2023-12-01_at_12.10.47_AM.jpg?1701407769" alt="original_Screen_Shot_2023-12-01_at_12.10" /></strong></p>
<p><strong>The Post Millennial</strong></p>
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<p><strong><a class="title_link bluelink" href="https://24tv.ua/ru/massirovannaja-ataka-po-ukraine-kakie-zadachi-stavit-vladimir_n2463668" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Массированные атаки по Украине: военный эксперт объяснил, какие задачи ставит Путин</a></strong></p>
<div class="article_author"><strong><span class="au1">posted at 10:38:34 UTC (updated on Mon Jan 1, 2024 13:04) by 24 Канал</span> <span class="au1">via</span> <a class="feed_link" href="http://24tv.ua/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">24 Канал &#8211; Все новости</a></strong></div>
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<div id="article_contents_inner_39689089944" class="article_content"><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://24tv.ua/resources/photos/news/640_DIR/202401/2463668.jpg" alt="2463668.jpg" />Российские оккупанты массированно атакуют Украину ракетами и &#8220;Шахедами&#8221;. Кремлевский диктатор Владимир Путин ставит своим войскам определенные задачи. <a href="https://24tv.ua/ru/massirovannaja-ataka-po-ukraine-kakie-zadachi-stavit-vladimir_n2463668">Полный текст новости</a></strong><br />
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		<title>Ex-Russian GRU officer Salikov exposes Russia’s proxy Ukraine “republics” (full translation)</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/ex-russian-gru-officer-salikov-exposes-russias-proxy-ukraine-republics-full-translation/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=ex-russian-gru-officer-salikov-exposes-russias-proxy-ukraine-republics-full-translation</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Dec 2023 13:25:35 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Igor Salikov was a Russian GRU officer and former Wagner PMC fighter who defected after witnessing war crimes in Ukraine. Since 2014, he participated in Russia’s covert takeover of eastern Ukraine under the direction of Vladislav Surkov. In a bombshell interview with Russian human rights activist, Gulagu.net founder Vladimir Osechkin, Salikov described how Surkov carefully [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/ex-russian-gru-officer-salikov-exposes-russias-proxy-ukraine-republics-full-translation/">Ex-Russian GRU officer Salikov exposes Russia’s proxy Ukraine “republics” (full translation)</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<div>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov was a Russian GRU officer and former Wagner PMC fighter who defected after witnessing war crimes in Ukraine. Since 2014, he participated in Russia’s covert takeover of eastern Ukraine under the direction of Vladislav Surkov.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In a bombshell <a href="https://youtu.be/GMpl2TPNqW8?si=raQapTB8_e-nU2-4">interview</a> with Russian human rights activist, Gulagu.net founder Vladimir Osechkin, Salikov described how Surkov carefully crafted the narrative of a separatist uprising led by locals.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Russian proxies like Salikov were restricted to Soviet-era equipment to mask their involvement. Salikov even witnessed how forces under Aleksandr Zakharchenko deliberately shelled Russian-held areas like Donetsk cemetery, blaming Ukraine to manufacture pretexts for escalation.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Salikov realized no true “liberation” was underway – residents were pawns in a larger geopolitical scheme. Through propaganda, isolated incidents were exaggerated into fables of Ukrainian brutality used to justify further bloodshed. But on the ground, most citizens prioritized stability over external manipulation sold as “liberation.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Salikov’s insider perspectives expose the lies and hybrid warfare tactics that enabled Russia’s long-term campaign. The interview will likely be used within the framework of an international investigation, and in the work of the Office of the Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court, which has issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin.</strong></p>
<p><strong>We found this interview so important that, after <a href="https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/12/24/wagner-defector-exposes-russias-donbas-ruse-false-flag-ops-in-bombshell-interview/">writing its short overview,</a> we created the <a href="https://youtu.be/rVzgJ1vo83g">English subtitles for the entire 2 hours of the video.</a> Below is their shortened text version, adapted for clarity.</strong></p>
<div><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/rVzgJ1vo83g?enablejsapi=1&amp;origin=https://euromaidanpress.com&amp;autoplay=0&amp;cc_load_policy=1&amp;cc_lang_pref=&amp;iv_load_policy=3&amp;loop=0&amp;modestbranding=1&amp;rel=0&amp;fs=1&amp;playsinline=0&amp;autohide=1&amp;theme=light&amp;color=red&amp;controls=1&amp;" width="1200" height="675" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></div>
<h3><strong>How Russian army officer Igor Salikov ended up in private military companies </strong></h3>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>I present to you for the first time on our channel Igor Salikov, an officer of the Russian armed forces and Russian special forces. We have been in touch behind the scenes for almost a year. I welcome you and thank you for agreeing to speak on video for the channel. Please tell us about yourself, your service record, your experience.</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: I enrolled in military school, then was expelled and later went to serve in the army. I took part in military operations in the territory of the Democratic Republic of Afghanistan and the Turkestan Military District. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, I finished my service already on the territory of the Russian Federation. And then, I went rogue, became a mercenary. I also went through the criminal structures. Because at that time, the beginning of the mid-90s, where could a poor peasant go.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin<em>: </em><em>When did you take part in military operations in Ukraine, what was your relationship with the so-called Wagner PMC, and when did you personally meet Dmitry Utkin, what brigade did you serve in, what brigade did he serve in, and when did you find out that there is such a person?</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: I met Dmitry Utkin somewhere around in 2010 or 2011. He was interested specifically in working in such private military structures, and we were already doing this, we were working in Iraq at the time. Dmitry Utkin was from the second brigade, and I was from the 15<sup>th</sup>. After I had already gone on to officer positions, after compulsory service when I served then in an airborne assault brigade, I ended up in the 15th brigade, which was based in the Turkestan Military District, not far from Tashkent.</strong></p>
<p><strong>I met Dmitry Utkin from the second brigade through our mutual acquaintance, with whom they served in Chechnya together. So we started communicating with him, and then we had one joint operation there related to returning property to a businessman… I think he was a foreign citizen, bandits in the Moscow Oblast took away his plane, and some other assets, and the man needed help with this issue. The difference here is working for money, and Utkin was recommended to me. He he conflicted with my colleagues from Alpha, and our mutual work ended.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>How Russian special services created PMC Wagner to fight in Ukraine</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>When you mentioned Alpha, are you referring to the </em><em>Alpha Group</em><em>, the FSB spetsnaz unit?</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: Yes, that’s how Group A of the FSB of Russia is called now. So that was our first meeting, then our paths diverged. In 2013, Utikin signed up for detachments to guard towers in Syria a project led by Gusev and Evgeny Sidorov from the airborne special designation regiment of the 45<sup>th</sup> brigade. It was a scandalous project, they were deceived and after two combat encounters were evacuated and flown into St. Petersburg by charter.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Gusev and Sidorov were arrested and the others went through a filtration process, their passports were taken away, the FSB interrogated them, compiled all the data, assigned personal numbers to the cases. Gusev and Sidorov were convicted, initially charged with Article 358, 359 and served three years each, and then everyone went and started fighting in Ukraine.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>what was the name of this group deployed in Syria and which returned and was arrested?</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: It was the Slavic Corps, it was a legal entity registered in Singapore. They operated, according to our scheme, because Gusev was there, an experienced guy.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The precursor was the Moran group, a structure working for several years before. Moran, then the Slavic Corps, then detention by FSB officers upon returning to Russia, filtration and then formation under control.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In February 2014, the Revolution of Dignity was happening in Kyiv. [Russian media] presented it as a witch’s sabbath. I contacted my long-time friend in the field, a public figure appearing on TV who was invited to give interviews everywhere, because private military companies were discussed in media since 2007 when there was a Kremlin order to study them.</strong></p>
<p><strong>We were still working in Northern Iraq, correspondents came to interview us about private military work. And there was a certain Sladkov who was a pro-government person with his own program on Rossiya-2. He had a list of questions that interested the official structures. This surprised me because we essentially worked for Russia but were at risk of being considered a mercenary. We worked legally under state structures like Northern Iraq government, Kurdistan, in Afghanistan escorting convoys for ISAF. Internationally legal but in Russia we were illegal as mercenaries so people kept away from media.</strong></p>
<blockquote><p><strong><a href="https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/12/24/wagner-defector-exposes-russias-donbas-ruse-false-flag-ops-in-bombshell-interview/">Wagner defector exposes Russia’s Donbas ruse, false-flag ops in bombshell interview</a></strong></p></blockquote>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/12/24/wagner-defector-exposes-russias-donbas-ruse-false-flag-ops-in-bombshell-interview/embed/#?secret=02Gb6cs6hj%23?secret=OVk7CrFvRD" width="600" height="338" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></p>
<h3><strong>Prigozhin liked Utkin’s excessive cruelty; Wagner captures Luhansk and Donetsk airports</strong></h3>
<p><strong>From him, I learned that a meeting in St. Petersburg addressed forming units according to a similar plan and who would be in charge. I first heard the surname of Prigozhin and his nickname “cook.” I learned that Dmitry Utkin was offered to form a group and show himself in some real action, and then decisions will be made from there.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Based on 50% of my own analytics and 50% of data I have from various sources, meetings took place during April-May when the powers of the future [Wagner] PMC were transferred to a certain person who financed them, then the question arose of who will head it from the military standpoint, and of course, the [FSB] agency reviewed all these lists, called people in and told them that Prigozhin himself will not go to capture the airport in Luhansk.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Utkin was called in given an offer. Knowing him, he didn’t need to be blackmailed, he agreed: this was his line of work. But some were indeed blackmailed and had second thoughts but ended up there in such a spectrum on the edge. A group was formed, there were about 30-40 people who entered Luhansk, and their main task was to crush the units that were defending the airport.</strong></p>
<p><strong>At that time, both in Donetsk and Luhansk, the [Ukrainian] special forces remained in these key [airfields], which provided air logistics. Capturing them was significant in every respect, in military and political terms. And Utkin successfully coped with this, especially while decisions on who would be the military commander of this structure had not been made.</strong></p>
<p><strong>And I have such insider information from a person who communicated with Prigozhin. He said that what Prigozhin especially liked about Dmitry Utkin was excessive cruelty, the execution of all these things without sentimentality. That is, practically no one was taken prisoner, everything was destroyed, and Utkin himself gave the order.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Core of Wagner made from GRU officers; criminals involved</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>Summarizing what you talked about, it turns out that the very creation of this Wagner group, the tactical battalion group, was de facto under the control of the special services, who had dossiers on former GRU officers, and whom the state itself, the FSB, assembled, formed, and connected with the person who was entrusted, through whom the financing of this activity and the execution of such geopolitical and military special tasks, assignments on the territory of Ukraine.</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: In general, as you put it, yes, absolutely correct. The core of the entire unit consisted of GRU officers, but there were also paratrooper guys. The core, which was part of the Slavic corps, fell into this dossier conducted by FSB upon the arrival of the charter flight. Tt was then analyzed, there were special instructions, these people were selected, and everyone was made an offer. Someone accepted with joy, someone, probably, had second thoughts but could no longer refuse.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin<em>:</em><em> I will just make a small factual insertion here. That is, on the well-known photograph, which can be easily found on the internet, where Vladimir Putin stands with a whole row of people, who have Heroes of Russia on their chests, on the left hand from Vladimir Putin. </em></strong></p>
<p><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://euromaidanpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Putin-with-Utkin-and-other-Vagner-mercenaries-circa-December-2016.jpg" alt="Russian president Vladimir Putin pictured with Dmitry Utkin (&quot;Wagner&quot;) on the far right and other commanders of the Wagner private military company that fights on orders of the Russian military in Ukraine and Syria, but is not a part of it formally. This image is believed to date from December 2016." width="619" />Russian president Vladimir Putin (C) pictured with head of PMC “Wagner” Dmitry Utkin (L). This image is believed to date from December 2016.</strong></p>
<p><strong><em>This is none other than Kuznetsov Alexander Sergeevich, now known under the call sign Rotibor, commander of the first assault unit, respectively, personal number M-0271. In 2008, Alexander Kuznetsov, as a major, served in the special forces, later he was arrested on suspicion of kidnapping and robbery. In 2010, he was convicted and served a sentence in the correctional colony in the Nizhny Novgorod Oblast. By the decision of the Borsky City Court, his sentence was reduced, and in April 2013, he was released on parole. Shortly after, he took command of the first reconnaissance-assault company in Dmitry Utkin’s group, known as the Wagner PMC. </em></strong></p>
<p><strong>T<em>his is one of the small sketches to what we talked about. The person was in the special forces, then was arrested and convicted for committed crimes, then the authorities released him in 2013. And already in 2014, we see that this person who should have still been in a penal colony becomes a commander of the Wagner group. I just mention this so that those who will watch and analyze us understand how the military machine, which gained worldwide notoriety as the Wagner PMC, was formed.</em></strong></p>
<p><strong><em>Let’s then turn to the question of how you ended up in Ukraine in 2014. Under what circumstances did this happen? Who controlled it? Whose orders or instructions were you following? </em></strong></p>
<h3><strong>Salikov supports Russia’s sham “referendum” as part of Borodai’s group</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: Despite living and working abroad, I belong to the Soviet generation of people. The spirit of passionarity — compassion for your own and others, international assistance, no matter what kind – was instilled in me from family relations and school. While much proved false, it remained with my generation.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Witnessing events unfold in Russia from 2000-2010, over time it became clear the state leaders and authorities had failed and betrayed the people, as too many villains and corrupt figures had risen up the ranks. However, I believed the core institutions that prevent total villainous rule were still intact. I naively hoped that eventually some hero will stand up and say “enough,” call the warriors into his army and say, come on, comrades, let’s bring order, after all, this is our home there. I also fell for this bait.</strong></p>
<p><strong>[So when the Ukrainian crisis first erupted, I will admit I retained some of that inherent sympathetic mindset. During the Euromaidan revolution, the idea spread that] “our Ukrainian brothers are heading the wrong way.” In particular, the city of Donetsk ]holds a personal connection because] a cousin of mine who had fought all the way to Berlin in WW2 is buried there. All the propaganda portrayed the shocking events, such as the 2 May 2014 clashes in Odesa, in a negative light.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Then, the Crimean Spring [occupation of Crimea, 2014] influenced me in a historical sense; my memories of childhood days joyfully spent with grandparents in Crimea by the seaside still lingered.</strong></p>
<p><strong>And so I ended up in a unit that entered [Ukraine] under the leadership of <a href="https://euromaidanpress.com/2017/10/26/donetsk-peoples-republic-ex-pm-inadvertently-admits-he-carried-out-kremlin-plans/">Aleksandr Borodai</a> [Russian national appointed as the first “Prime Minister of the “Donetsk People’s Republic -ed]. We initially went to Sloviansk to assist a friend from Iraq, who ended up surrounded there as part of Strelkov’s unit.</strong></p>
<blockquote><p><strong><a href="https://euromaidanpress.com/2017/10/26/donetsk-peoples-republic-ex-pm-inadvertently-admits-he-carried-out-kremlin-plans/">“Donetsk People’s Republic” ex-PM inadvertently admits he carried out Kremlin plans</a></strong></p></blockquote>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://euromaidanpress.com/2017/10/26/donetsk-peoples-republic-ex-pm-inadvertently-admits-he-carried-out-kremlin-plans/embed/#?secret=RqiTUcbOyq%23?secret=3eCjzyFQXO" width="600" height="338" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></p>
<p><strong>But after that, I was assigned to lead a reconnaissance squad in a unit under Borodai who had a task from Strelkov and Russian special services.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Throughout this period, the FSB and counterintelligence were managing numerous operational aspects on the Donetsk side, while the GRU conducted similar functions on the Luhansk side. Putin’s aide Surkov supervised through the FSB line, with the orthodox oligarch Malofeev, who funded Borodai.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Our first major operation was providing armed support for the “referendum,” followed by the founding of the so-called DNR.</strong></p>
<p><strong>My first entry into Donetsk was to support the referendum by force. The second time I entered as the commander of a reconnaissance unit to prevent the Ukrainian-Russian border along the Mius river from being cut off.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>To talk in chronological order, let’s devote time to the “referendum” and this special operation and then move on to the military part, where you were the commander of reconnaissance. You mentioned the word “curator.” Am I right in understanding that for such professional fighters, special forces officers, having experience in the GRU, other special units, participating in many combat operations in many countries of the world, an institution of curatorship existed in Russia, when the FSB controlled, supervised and formed them for some specific state task?</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: Of course. How else could we move armed around Russia, with ammunition, grenade launchers, in combat vehicles, escorted by police?</strong></p>
<p><strong>In Moscow I saw the rotten side of officers, unlike the honorable ones in Soviet movies. Defending someone legally, they framed me with planted bullets and grenades, even tried to pin two corpses on me. The city police ruined my life and career. But for this operation, such charges disappeared and ammunition appeared.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin<em>:</em><em> Let’s discuss the formation of the initial group in chronological order, starting with the referendum operation. Which service formed this group? How and where did the physical grouping and arming take place? Can you provide dates or timeframes for your first entry into Ukraine?</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: So, a complex composite question.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The FSB’s second counterintelligence service supervised. They operated through the FSB border service’s reconnaissance office. I don’t recall if it was during the border troops or border services. These details aren’t important. Like the GRU, the specifics aren’t significant. It was through the border service’s intelligence and counterintelligence formations, training, and arming. Weapons came from warehouses, the newest models. In the FSB, the storage facilities were more or less from the army. The machine guns were in good condition, greased, boxes and all. The grenade launchers fired properly. Everything was managed well, with documentation and signatures. But still, it was for for free, nobody really cared about the paperwork. So even machine guns disappeared. Nobody really bothered about it.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The military structure handled operations, while the special services remained curators. In training camps, officer groups resolved all issues – equipment, ammunition, supplies, communication procedures, primary and secondary tasks. We had contact agents and avoided others. There was a lepton, a laptop with secret communication, which connected directly to the operational department that supervised our tasks.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Surkov’s role in creating the “DNR” and “LNR”</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>So, in essence, there was direct management of these special operations?</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: Absolutely correct. Surkov supervised all of Borodai’s group.</strong></p>
<p><strong>At that time, he headed the presidential administration and Putin’s personal aide. He decided all issues, who lives, who doesn’t, what to do. Even in these training camps, everything was coordinated with him. Even all the operational officers were coordinated by Surkov.</strong></p>
<div><strong><img decoding="async" src="https://euromaidanpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Vladislav-Surkov-talking-to-Oleksandr-Zakharchenko-the-assassinated-head-of-so-called-DNR-Image-video-capture-FB.jpg" alt="Vladimir Putin's personal advisor Vladislav Surkov (R) photographed talking to Oleksandr Zakharchenko, the assassinated head of the so-called &quot;DNR&quot; in 2017. Ex-PM of the &quot;DNR&quot; Alexandr Boroday stands to the left of Zakharchenko closer to the camera. (Photo: 161.ru)" width="1008" />Vladimir Putin’s personal advisor Vladislav Surkov (R) photographed talking to Aleksandr Zakharchenko, the assassinated head of the so-called “DNR” in 2017. Ex-PM of the “DNR” Aleksandr Borodai stands to the left of Zakharchenko closer to the camera. (Photo: 161.ru)</strong></div>
<div><strong><em>Vladislav Surkov<br />
</em><em>Head of the Government Office of the Russian Federation: 2012-2013<br />
</em><em>First deputy head of the presidential administration of the Russian Federation: 2008-2011.<br />
</em><em>20 September 2013 – 18 February 2020: assistant to the President of the Russian Federation.</em></strong></div>
<p><strong>He supervised Russian affairs in Abkhazia, South Ossetia, the “DNR,” “LNR.” Surkov remained Putin’s assistant until February 2020. He had constant contact with Putin, the administration head, FSB Director, overseeing Putin’s geopolitical projects.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>Please elaborate on the role of Putin’s administration, about Vladislav Surkov, and about the structure they built to control what was happening in the occupied territories that later began to be called the so-called “DNR” and “LNR.” Did you have any official status in those events? If yes, what was your position called and within which structure? And what can you tell about the interrelation of these structures with the administration of the President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin, who is subject to arrest based on the warrant of the International Criminal Court? </em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: Initially I had no official status. Parallel units were being formed from soldiers discharged retroactively from their previous units. This was to avoid directly involving personnel from army or special services at that time.</strong></p>
<p><strong>In April-May 2014, groups were recruited this way. After units were pre-formed, they were then “legitimized” by the May 11 referendum. Structures were then established based on the newly declared republics, including law enforcement agencies modeled after Russia.</strong></p>
<p><strong>I entered the Special Operations Management under the General Prosecutor’s Office of the Donetsk People’s Republic. Previously this unit worked directly with Borodai under Surkov’s direct leadership. Officials who directly entered the territory of Ukraine starting in May were appointed to head these new structures, including the Attorney General, the military prosecutor, and all the authorities. In June, they started creating some additional structures.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Our unit re-entered in early June after these events, when combat participation was needed to prevent border isolation and the “Voentorg” [military trade] from being cut off. At this stage we were directly managed by the Russian FSB. I have described how units were pre-formed under Surkov and the entry process – people appointed to leadership knew their positions in advance.</strong></p>
<div><strong>Read more about Surkov’s role in establishing the Donbas proxy “republics” in a RUSI report coauthored by Euromaidan Press’ editor-in-chief Alya Shandra: <a href="https://euromaidanpress.com/2019/07/16/surkov-leaks-report-on-russias-hybrid-war-in-ukraine-published-at-rusi-institute/"><em>The Surkov Leaks: the inner workings of Russia’s hybrid war in Ukraine</em></a><em>; </em><a href="https://euromaidanpress.com/2019/11/12/what-surkovs-hacked-emails-tell-about-russias-hybrid-war-against-ukraine/"><em>What Surkov’s hacked emails tell about Russia’s hybrid war against Ukraine</em></a><em>.</em></strong></div>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/1Ukz0G-D5zA?feature=oembed&amp;enablejsapi=1&amp;origin=https://euromaidanpress.com" width="1200" height="675" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></p>
<h3><strong>How Russia maintained plausible deniability in occupied Donbas</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>What was your role, position, how much was it connected to the presidential administration? What was the relationship, if any, with Surkov, with those who work in the presidential administration, with those who were in the occupied territories? </em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: I already told that Donbas was taken into Russian “embraces” directly under the presidential administration, or Surkov. At least I myself heard, it was all secret, but [there were] people who managed the units who already knew they would be appointed to some positions. A unit was formed in Russia’s Rostov Oblast, then it split: a part went to Sloviansk and another to Donetsk.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Some entered Luhansk, others Donetsk. These appointed people received operational commands and clarifications directly from Surkov by phone. Before entering, Surkov worked directly with Borodai and Sergey, a young man with a Georgian surname, to coordinate actions and formations.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Surkov then managed the administration of all appointed officials. For example, he appointed the Attorney General position. Surkov approved the Vostok battalion and communicated directly with [its leader] Khodakovsky in my presence. I heard Khodakovsky speaking to Surkov on the phone.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Borodai as well – he was appointed Prime Minister, holding the role until July/August 2014. This is what I know from personal experience of the structured coordination. Complete consistency was impossible because Donbas was a living organism with many independent currents.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Orders came directly from Moscow to Borodai’s team, who were responsible for coordination. Some like [current “DNR” head] Pushilin got involved, others resisted or served [Ukrainian oligarch] Akhmetov’s interests – many complex dynamics.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Moscow orders to capture Donetsk airport</strong></h3>
<p><strong>By 26 May 2014, when the Ukrainian presidential [post-Euromaidan] elections were confirmed, the decision came to capture Donetsk airport, staged for victims and evidence of rebellion.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Then, clashes were taking place on the outskirts, mainly in Sloviansk and Donetsk. The Ukrainian side was building up there, military planes were landing at the airport, it was operational, civilian planes flew from there.</strong></p>
<p><strong>By the end of May, Moscow decided to put an end to all this, signaled to “come on guys, earn your money” as nothing was progressing. It was decided to stage a battle at the Donetsk airport involving Vostok, Oplot and Borodai’s unit and an “Interbrigade number one” created as fodder. Victims were needed, evidence that people were fighting for their freedom, to show that protest sentiments grew to such a degree that fights began. All this was disguised as internal problems of Donbas, with no supposed Russian intervention. Everything was disguised. Weaponry and personnel were meant to appear Ukrainian. The group that entered there should not have been distinguishable from Ukrainians. That was being monitored at the time. Because it was ordered from above.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Everything had to appear organic. Surkov is such a pragmatist, a man of forms. He demanded precision – old Ukrainian weapons and equipment, no visible Russian intervention. The ammunition and rifles had to be from within Ukraine.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Only Ukrainian equipment was used to disguise Russian intervention </strong></h3>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>What kind of equipment was supposed to be used? What kind of ammunition was needed? What was all this for, how was it organized?</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: I don’t know specifics, only that Surkov organized purchases in Russia using financing from Malofeev. They chose groups knowledgeably, as in Chechnya. Surkov still supported Strelkov in Sloviansk then, sending vehicles and ammunition.</strong></p>
<p><strong>When units were being formed at bases in Russia’s Rostov Oblast like at Kazachyi Lageri based on the 22<sup>nd</sup> brigade, a roster was made and weapons selected. Everything had to be old Soviet models common in Ukraine, like machine guns. Newer weapons unavailable in Ukraine at the time were not used.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin<em>:</em><em> In your understanding, why was this done? And possibly any instructions that were given from Surkov and subordinates. In what moments did you hear this being discussed?</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: So that this particular regulation was followed – at first, to use a limited amount of weapons that are also available to the Ukrainian side. But I was not privy to insider information during the formation of units that entered. One could only guess and then analyze.</strong></p>
<p><strong>During the “people’s referendum,” last minute issues nearly disrupted the orchestrated plans. Roman Lyalin, the savings bank director, demanded higher pay for his role. Failure loomed without urgent coordination. I witnessed a phone call to the boss while sitting in a car. From the tones and phrases, I realized it was Surkov, though he was not named explicitly. With a good connection and in sufficient silence, you can hear what is being said on the phone.</strong></p>
<p><strong>But nobody introduced me to Surkov, I didn’t have the authority, it’s not done that way there. Everyone was in their place: Borodai received tasks, assigned them to us, if something didn’t work out, reported it below and up.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Credit must be given to Borodai, and his assistants. They adhered to all these laws of theater. Apparently, that was the directive from Surkov, and the presidential administration, to play by the rules, down the smallest details. They really were meticulous in following them.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The initial attempt was to simulate acting forces as supposedly Ukrainian with Ukrainian weapons, without direct Russian invasion from the Russian special services, soldiers, officers, mercenaries. Everything was disguised as rebel patriot self-defense groups opposing Euromaidan who expressed their civil position, took up arms found locally in response to Ukrainian government pressure and the ATO [anti-terrorist operation] declaration. It was like that the people, having the right to revolt, took up arms which they scavenged in warehouses, in mines, etc. But this obscured the real supply line (“Voentorg”) opened from Russia transporting equipment unavailable in Ukraine.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Voentorg: flow of Russian weapons to its proxies over the Ukrainian border</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>What do you mean by the term Voentorg?</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: Briefly, “Voentorg” referred to the covert military assistance in weapons and materiel established between Russia and the groups in southeast Ukraine. It’s slang invented as convenient shorthand in conversations for cross-border arms transfers, like call signs for units. Local people who lived there were used for Voentorg, with FSB and GRU. Some eventually received assignments. Particularly, Bezler [Lieutenant Colonel of the FSB of the Russian Federation who headed a “self defense” group in the “DNR” accused of war crimes]. He was pumped up with weapons. Voentorg went to Girkin and to him, to Horlivka. And they were told to do whatever they want. There was no accountability for them. They were like bandits. The groups were independent. That’s why later there were killings, showdowns. Petty criminal elements.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>A new system to pocket Russian money after Minsk-2, “Russian world” enthusiasts discarded</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: Were any special operations carried out under a false flag — terrorist acts, sabotage, attacks while pretending to be representatives of the Ukrainian Armed Forces? Or</strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: Yes, but in 2015, not 2014. It was after the battles for Debaltseve ended and the formation of the Debaltseve pocket [of Ukrainian troops surrounded in 2015 during the signing of the Minsk-2 agreement].</strong></p>
<p><strong>An era of economic uncertainty and confusion began at this time. Many volunteers from units that had entered from Russia started being expelled, even those who had endured the entire conflict up to this point and through whose resources much of the campaign was resourced.</strong></p>
<p><strong>After 2012-2013, a large number of former military personnel who were left without purpose or excluded from service made up a sizable part of the fighting forces in Donbas. These included many patriotic individuals who were no longer needed by the Russian armed forces since the conflict in Chechnya ended in an unclear manner under the leadership of Ramzan Kadyrov. Additionally, many were pushed out of the military due to the reforms instituted by Russian Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov, which dismantled many existing structures. As a result, a significant population of marginalized and dissatisfied former soldiers remained.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Events like the [2014 Sochi] Olympics also played a role, everyone saw how they were stealing the Olympics. All of these marginalized groups urgently needed direction, which is part of what made the events in Crimea and Donbas so appealing to them. And all this marginal crowd which I belonged to turned out to be in demand. There was a patriotic boom at last. The boss began to put things in order. The cookies that were distributed by America and the West [referring to the alleged American backing of the Euromaidan revolution, epitomized by snacks distributed by Victoria Nuland in Kyiv] played a role. And we finally rose up to recreate [the Russian world] anew.</strong></p>
<p><strong>After the massive “northern wind” Russian troop offensives, when they again led [Russian] troops to break frontline Ukrainian army units during the Debaltseve cauldron [in 2015], downsizing and removal of resistors began. Some committed suicide. Units started being renamed as corps.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Zakharchenko had been appointed prime minister before this, returning as hero of all cauldrons. A combative officer with experience and saber at his side, he began establishing order by dispersing volunteers who led the “revolution.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Killings, disappearances and departures occurred, leaving those who could serve the formed system. The new system relied on large cash flows from Russia. Zakharchenko in particular was said to pocket $2-3 millions of dollars each week from some undisclosed funding source. This generated conflicts as figures like Khodakovsky challenged how the spoils were divided up locally.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Conflicts arose over dividing it, like Khodakovsky and him. Money goes where there is ongoing low-level war with results, needing victims and shelling. When Minsk-2 was concluded, everyone was withdrawn for some reason, and now they want to use the same scheme. At the time, we were already in Novoazovsk near Mariupol, and at that moment it was possible to reach Odesa. Realistically in Ukrainian cities at the time, no one knew where the situation was heading. In Mariupol, Ukrainian forces were no longer present – we could have entered the city unimpeded and continued on to Kherson. But political and economic motives prevented this.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The authorities thought about their [bank] accounts, they thought [the West’s anger] would pass quickly, the West would wipe itself again and that the frog had to be boiled slowly. Therefore, they decided: now we will not anger the elder brother [the West], look, we’re conceding, so don’t block anything please; they portrayed the separatist movement as a local uprising by residents rebelling against the new Kyiv government. Foreign Minister Lavrov [skillfully framed Russia’s role as non-involvement in the conflict]. And then Minsk-2 appeared, such a harmful thing.</strong></p>
<p><strong>After over a year fighting to purportedly “liberate” the Donbas region, I came to realize that there [is nothing] to liberate and it is unclear who we were liberating. The local population was being used as pawns by outside forces. The situation on the ground grew increasingly tragic, though the crisis had not yet escalated to a global scale.</strong></p>
<h3><strong>Russian proxies shelled their own to keep money flowing for a protracted war</strong></h3>
<p><strong>Vladimir Osechkin: <em>In your role in 2014-2015, did you directly witness any examples of foreign proxies, sabotage or other covert activities? Because many people write that [the Ukrainians] for 8 years “bombed Donbas,” and when the war started, one of the main slogans of those who justify the full-scale war was that for eight years before that [Ukrainians] allegedly arranged genocide in Donbas and tortured the local population. Russian propaganda then concealed, covered, hid, kept secret the reasons behind Russia’s involvement, Russian special services, Russian soldiers, officers, mercenaries, security forces in what happened there. If you can, at least one, two, three specific examples, about which you are ready to testify.</em></strong></p>
<p><strong>Igor Salikov: Well, the “foreign flags” are conditional, at the time there was no need to change uniforms, Then I was called to one committee, where they asked whether I know a comrade with the callsign “Spear.” I was reluctant to disclose information as a rule, though in this case I couldn’t deny knowing the person from the photos shown since we served together in 2014.</strong></p>
<p><strong>By this point, I held the position of head of the special operations department. They disclosed that mortars shelling areas of Donetsk like Petrovsky and Kyiv districts were connected to military forces shifting under Zakharchenko’s control through various designations like Guard, Army Corps, and National Guard.</strong></p>
<p><strong>During this time, even our own units found themselves accidentally shelled near the Trudovska mine, believing the fire originated from Ukrainians on the opposite riverbank. However, analysis of munition evidence and blast trajectories indicated the mortars actually emerged from within our territory practically in Donetsk, launched from Petrovsky cemetery and striking buildings housing mine workers – five-story apartments and rooftops.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Vehicles departed openly from the launch site, with an obligatory observation post also stationed near the road as required, though an undetected disguised post in the area covertly monitored and provided my colleagues information that vehicles from the site proceeded to a location housing one battalion under the command of “Spear.” Further intelligence work confirmed these incidents entailed internal affairs conducted according to Zakharchenko’s directives.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Why? I’ll explain. First, it’s money. Maintaining the war generates constant financing flows needed for social welfare and military expenditures. Here, you didn’t need to shoot by yourself. You could just place a mortar, say, in such, in neutral zones and such unclear areas that nobody controlled, or were ostensibly under the control of the “DNR,” but neither Ukrainians nor our people went there.</strong></p>
<div><strong>The text not include the final part where Salikov tells about his thoughts on modern Russia and motivation for leaving the system; you can view this on the video with the subtitles.</strong></div>
<p><strong>Related: </strong></p>
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		<title>In harrowing detail, NYT reports on weaponization of rape, sexual violence on Oct. 7 &#8211; The Times of Israel</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/cbmib2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lnrpbwvzb2zpc3jhzwwuy29tl2lulwhhcnjvd2luzy1kzxrhawwtbnl0lxnob3dzlxdlyxbvbml6yxrpb24tb2ytcmfwzs1zzxh1ywwtdmlvbgvuy2utzhvyaw5nlw9jdc03l9ibc2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lnrpbwvzb2zpc3jhzwwuy29tl2lu/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=cbmib2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lnrpbwvzb2zpc3jhzwwuy29tl2lulwhhcnjvd2luzy1kzxrhawwtbnl0lxnob3dzlxdlyxbvbml6yxrpb24tb2ytcmfwzs1zzxh1ywwtdmlvbgvuy2utzhvyaw5nlw9jdc03l9ibc2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lnrpbwvzb2zpc3jhzwwuy29tl2lu</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 29 Dec 2023 07:41:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>In harrowing detail, NYT reports on weaponization of rape, sexual violence on Oct. 7  The Times of Israel</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/cbmib2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lnrpbwvzb2zpc3jhzwwuy29tl2lulwhhcnjvd2luzy1kzxrhawwtbnl0lxnob3dzlxdlyxbvbml6yxrpb24tb2ytcmfwzs1zzxh1ywwtdmlvbgvuy2utzhvyaw5nlw9jdc03l9ibc2h0dhbzoi8vd3d3lnrpbwvzb2zpc3jhzwwuy29tl2lu/">In harrowing detail, NYT reports on weaponization of rape, sexual violence on Oct. 7 – The Times of Israel</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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		<title>‘Palace coup’: Putin’s days are numbered &#8211; Jack Devine of the CIA</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Dec 2023 12:23:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Novakhov - SharedNewsLinks℠]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Michael_Novakhov shared this story from news.com.au — Australia’s leading news site. A former veteran chief of American’s Central Intelligence Agency has declared Vladimir Putin’s days are numbered, predicting the Russian president will be overthrown in a ‘Black Swan’ palace coup. And the ousting of one of modern history’s most divisive and ruthless leaders is only [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/9487df70a21d89db52c84806dfdc1dd0/">‘Palace coup’: Putin’s days are numbered – Jack Devine of the CIA</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<td style="padding-top: 6px;" width="100%"><strong><br />
Michael_Novakhov<br />
<a href="https://michael_novakhov.newsblur.com/story/palace-coup-putins-d/9211203:a12fae">shared this story</a><br />
from <img decoding="async" style="vertical-align: middle; width: 16px; height: 16px;" src="https://s3.amazonaws.com/icons.newsblur.com/9211203.png" /> news.com.au — Australia’s leading news site.</strong></td>
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<p><strong>A former veteran chief of American’s Central Intelligence Agency has declared Vladimir Putin’s days are numbered, predicting the Russian president will be overthrown in a ‘Black Swan’ palace coup.</strong></p>
<p><strong>And the ousting of one of modern history’s most divisive and ruthless leaders is only a matter of time.</strong></p>
<p><strong><a href="https://www.google.com/search?q=Jack+Devine+of+CIA&amp;rlz=1C1ONGR_enUS949US949&amp;oq=Jack+Devine+of+CIA&amp;gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIICAEQABgWGB4yCAgCEAAYFhge0gEIMjY2MmowajeoAgCwAgA&amp;sourceid=chrome&amp;ie=UTF-8" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jack Devine (GS)</a> served for three decades with the US spy agency and told <em>The Sun</em> newspaper in an exclusive interview that he wouldn’t be surprised if Putin “disappeared tomorrow”.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Speculation about the future of Russia’s leadership has been festering for some time, with the country’s bruising performance in its war with Ukraine intensifying talk.</strong></p>
<p><strong>So too have endless reports about Putin’s ill health, with rumours emerging from inside the Kremlin that he has at various points been close to death.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Then he faced an armed uprising led by war lord Yevgeny Prigozhin, who rallied his Wagner Group mercenaries in a bizarre and short-lived plot.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Prigozhin died for his disloyalty.</strong></p>
<p><strong>But Devine, 83, who led thousands of spies on covert and classified missions across the globe for 32 years, believes Putin’s demise will be at the hands of those closest to him.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“Putin could disappear tomorrow, and I wouldn’t be surprised if some element in the government had decided they were going to take executive action,” Devine told <em>The Sun</em>.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Devine believes Putin has becoming increasingly unpredictable and dangerous – and his invasion of Ukraine has “sowed his political demise”.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The Russian president is continuing to throw his troops into meat-grinder assaults to try to secure a winter victory.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The devastated city of Avdiivka – the gateway to the major city of Donetsk that lies 12 miles to the east – has become the deadliest flashpoint of the war as Putin attempts to break a painful stalemate.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Devine believes the tyrant’s popularity will continue to drop as the war goes on – but it won’t stop his gruesome grind.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The Russian leader will plough on with his fight “no matter what it takes”, Devine said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“The more losses and the more violence that is visible to the Russian citizens, the less people want to be involved,” he explained.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“He will have a hard time recruiting, but it is Russia after all. He will find a way to strong arm, entice.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“He will come up with the army at the end of the day, but the war will become increasingly less popular.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>The “standstill” in Ukraine will likely see Putin toppled in a ‘Black Swan’ palace coup, particularly if it looks as though Russia’s efforts are resulting in a “permanent stalemate”.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“It’ll be a surprise. There’s always what we call a ‘Black Swan’ that appears from nowhere.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“But failing a ‘Black Swan’ I believe his troubles begin when there’s a stalemate and that’s right now. I don’t think it’ll be an uprising. I think it’ll be a what we might call a palace coup.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>A growing number of military analysts agree Putin’s power cannot last much longer and the end of his reign is near, whether by coup, assassination, regime collapse or his failing health.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Devine said Putin’s behaviour in recent times suggests the president has become increasingly unpredictable and dangerous, and he likely realises that he has “sowed his political demise” with the Ukraine war.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Russia continues to send countless troops into battle, facing severe casualties and embarrassing military defeats.</strong></p>
<p><strong>As the war goes on and the country’s humiliation worsens, Devine believes Putin’s popularity will tank.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“The more losses and the more violence that is visible to the Russian citizens, the less people want to be involved,” he explained.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“He will have a hard time recruiting, but it is Russia after all. He will find a way to strong arm, entice. He will come up with the army at the end of the day, but the war will become increasingly less popular.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Ukraine remains determined to defeat Russia’s attempts at invasion and continues to rally strong support from the West.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On top of that, the European Union’s efforts to sign up Ukraine, which would offer it NATO protection, represent a significant strategic loss for Putin.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Devine fears it’s not going to “get any better” any time soon, with both sides unwilling to flinch despite the mounting costs.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“The Ukrainians aren’t going to give them territory. Putin’s not going to withdraw.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“But you can take the temperature down. They have to wind down, when everybody realises there’s no hope for Putin to win.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“He’s not going to lose in the technical sense. He’s not going to be driven back into Russia. Anybody waiting for that has false hopes.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“But I don’t think it’s too far off. I think next year we’ll see almost a permanent stalemate.”</strong></p>
<p><strong>Whatever happens to Putin, Devine said the person who replaces him is unlikely to be dramatically different.</strong></p>
<p><strong>And that makes keeping an eye on the so-called ‘Axis of Evil’ of China, Iran and Russia even more important.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“They are trying to pull their allies into an alliance and an axis,” he said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“And I think we can see it being demonstrated with the Hamas attack in Israel and how Russia is playing that.</strong></p>
<p><strong>“The expansionist abilities of Putin are psychological and political right now, and I think it’s in the non-European world where he’s making some progress.”</strong></p>
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		<title>White House, Congress scramble on last-minute deals on Ukraine and US immigration</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/white-house-congress-scramble-last-minute-deals-ukraine-us-immigration-2023-12-11/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=white-house-congress-scramble-last-minute-deals-ukraine-us-immigration-2023-12-11</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Dec 2023 15:07:09 +0000</pubDate>
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<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/white-house-congress-scramble-last-minute-deals-ukraine-us-immigration-2023-12-11/">White House, Congress scramble on last-minute deals on Ukraine and US immigration</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<div><strong><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="" src="https://cloudfront-us-east-2.images.arcpublishing.com/reuters/C7CEYTVJVFJFXEG2EJERZKFJUA.jpg" alt="A framed flag signed by front-line Ukrainian fighters in Bakhmut and presented to the U.S. Congress in 2022, sits at one end of the table the U.S. Capitol, in Washington" width="880" height="587" /></strong></div>
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<p><strong>A framed flag signed by front-line Ukrainian fighters in Bakhmut and presented to the U.S. Congress in 2022, sits at one end of the table where Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will meet privately with U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and other congressional leaders on a visit to the U.S. Capitol in Washington,&#8230; <a href="https://www.reutersagency.com/en/licensereuterscontent/?utm_medium=rcom-article-media&amp;utm_campaign=rcom-rcp-lead"> Acquire Licensing Rights</a> Read more</strong></p>
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<p><strong>WASHINGTON, Dec 11 (Reuters) &#8211; Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will make his case for more U.S. aid for the war against Russia during meetings in Washington this week, as lawmakers struggle for a deal that would link funding for Kyiv with domestic immigration controls.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Zelenskiy has been invited to meetings at the White House and with members of Congress on Tuesday. Many Republican lawmakers have questioned continued aid to Ukraine.</strong></p>
<p><strong>His arrival in Washington comes as Congress is under a tight &#8211; if not impossible &#8211; deadline for acting, as it is scheduled to go into recess for the year by Friday.</strong></p>
<p><strong>The next round of Ukraine aid has been held up by a demand from House of Representatives Speaker Mike Johnson and other Republicans that no more funds be dispatched unless steps are first taken to harden the U.S. border with Mexico.</strong></p>
<p><strong>President Joe Biden has urged Congress to act by year&#8217;s end and Democrats in Congress were trying to win approval of about $50 billion in new security assistance for Ukraine. Also included in Senate Democrats&#8217; measure is humanitarian and economic aid for the government in Kyiv, as well as $14 billion for Israel as it wages war against Hamas in Gaza.</strong></p>
<p><strong>On Sunday, a senior administration official said the White House has been working with House Republican leaders to find common ground, but the talks have not developed to a point where Biden’s direct intervention could close the deal.</strong></p>
<p><strong>However, the White House is open to making it <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/white-house-open-new-asylum-limits-ukraine-aid-source-2023-12-07/">harder to obtain U.S. asylum</a> as a way to reduce the number of migrants attempting to cross the U.S.-Mexico border, according to a source familiar with bipartisan Senate negotiations.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Meanwhile, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has pushed for some type of pro-immigrant provision, such as expedited work permits for migrants or better access to legal representation, the source also said.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Congress has been warned that a failure to renew U.S. military assistance to Ukraine could tip the war in Russia&#8217;s favor, creating national security threats for the West.</strong></p>
<p><strong>By mid-November, the U.S. Defense Department had used 97% of $62.3 billion in supplemental funding it had received and the State Department had used all of the $4.7 billion in military assistance funding for Ukraine it had been allocated, U.S. budget director Shalanda Young said last week.</strong></p>
<p><strong>A bipartisan group of senators was trying to break the deadlock. Much of their work focused on tightening U.S. asylum law for migrants.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Democratic Senator Chris Murphy told NBC&#8217;s &#8220;Meet the Press&#8221; show on Sunday that the latest proposal from Republican Senator James Lankford was &#8220;unreasonable.&#8221; He also said the White House was <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/democratic-us-senator-says-republican-border-security-demands-are-currently-2023-12-10/">intensifying its efforts</a> with Congress to reach a deal.</strong></p>
<p><strong>There has been hope among Senate leaders that Murphy and Lankford could cobble together a border security compromise, having struck up a friendship this year during a congressional fact-finding trip to the southwest U.S. border.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Lankford’s office did not respond to a request for comment. During a CBS News interview on Sunday, he pushed back against news reports about his proposals.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Meanwhile, Republican Senator Lindsey Graham told participants at an annual Doha Forum conference on Sunday: &#8220;I’m sad to report we are far away&#8221; from any bipartisan deal. He added that he hoped legislation could be enacted &#8220;by early next year,&#8221; possibly beyond the time frame Biden sought.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Even if a bipartisan deal was struck, several Democrats have voiced concerns that former President Donald Trump, who is seen as the leading candidate for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, could stand in the way.</strong></p>
<p><strong>&#8220;There&#8217;s a question on the Republican side &#8211; would they accept significant progress, or is Trump going to make the final call,&#8221; said Democratic Senator Peter Welch in an interview on Thursday.</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Reporting by Ted Hesson and Richard Cowan in Washington, Jarrett Renshaw in Los Angeles and Andrew Mills in Doha; Editing by Gerry Doyle</strong></p>
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<p><strong>Our Standards: <a href="https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/about-us/trust-principles.html">The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.</a></strong></p>
<address><strong>Ted Hesson is an immigration reporter for Reuters, based in Washington, D.C. His work focuses on the policy and politics of immigration, asylum and border security. Prior to joining Reuters in 2019, Ted worked for the news outlet POLITICO, where he also covered immigration. His articles have appeared in POLITICO Magazine, The Atlantic and VICE News, among other publications. Ted holds a master&#8217;s degree from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and bachelor&#8217;s degree from Boston College.</strong></p>
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		<title>White House to intensify push for Ukraine aid and border security deal</title>
		<link>https://newsandtimes.org/democratic-us-senator-says-republican-border-security-demands-are-currently-2023-12-10/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=democratic-us-senator-says-republican-border-security-demands-are-currently-2023-12-10</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mike Nova]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Dec 2023 15:02:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured Posts]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>WASHINGTON, Dec 10 (Reuters) &#8211; The White House will step up its engagement with U.S. lawmakers trying to strike a bipartisan deal that would provide military aid for Ukraine and Israel while tightening U.S. border security, a Democratic senator said on Sunday. Republicans have insisted that additional funding for Ukraine must be paired with major [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://newsandtimes.org/democratic-us-senator-says-republican-border-security-demands-are-currently-2023-12-10/">White House to intensify push for Ukraine aid and border security deal</a> first appeared on <a href="https://newsandtimes.org">The News And Times Review - NewsAndTimes.org</a>.</p>]]></description>
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<p><img decoding="async" src="https://www.reuters.com/resizer/WZIz1E71-c0yddbKa8JSa_K8cEk=/1200x628/smart/filters:quality(80)/cloudfront-us-east-2.images.arcpublishing.com/reuters/UK7XFAG7XBPKNJWKGVFX5TDIZU.jpg" alt="UK7XFAG7XBPKNJWKGVFX5TDIZU.jpg" /></p>
<div>
<p>WASHINGTON, Dec 10 (Reuters) &#8211; The White House will step up its engagement with U.S. lawmakers trying to strike a bipartisan deal that would provide military aid for Ukraine and Israel while tightening U.S. border security, a Democratic senator said on Sunday.</p>
<p>Republicans have insisted that additional funding for Ukraine must be paired with major U.S. border security changes but a bipartisan group of senators trying to broker a compromise have made little progress with less than a week before the U.S. Congress leaves for a Christmas break.</p>
<p>&#8220;The White House is going to get more engaged this week,&#8221; Senator Chris Murphy, the lead Democratic negotiator, said on NBC News&#8217; &#8220;Meet the Press.&#8221;</p>
<p>Murphy said it was important to know if Democratic President Joe Biden would sign any prospective deal.</p>
<p>The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>
<p>Biden, who is seeking reelection in 2024, has struggled with record numbers of migrants attempting to cross the U.S.-Mexico border illegally. Republicans have criticized Biden for rolling back some restrictive policies of former President Donald Trump, currently the leading candidate for his party&#8217;s nomination.</p>
<p>Reuters <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/white-house-open-new-asylum-limits-ukraine-aid-source-2023-12-07/">reported last week</a> that the Biden administration was open to new limits on U.S. asylum as part of a deal to secure funding for allies Ukraine and Israel.</p>
<p>Murphy said the current border security demands by Republicans were &#8220;unreasonable&#8221; and that they were &#8220;playing games with the security of the world&#8221; by linking the military aid to U.S. border security measures.</p>
<p>Some Republicans have pushed for border provisions that would allow migrants crossing the border illegally to be quickly deported without the chance to seek U.S. asylum. They have also called for greatly scaling back Biden programs that have allowed hundreds of thousands of migrants to enter lawfully.</p>
<p>Senator James Lankford, a Republican member of the group working on a border compromise, said the U.S. border was &#8220;literally spiraling out of control&#8221; with 12,000 migrants crossing illegally in a single day last week.</p>
<p>Speaking on CBS News&#8217; &#8220;Face the Nation,&#8221; Lankford declined to detail what policy changes he had proposed but said Congress needed to take steps &#8220;to actually begin to control the border.&#8221;</p>
<p>Republican Senator J.D. Vance told CNN’s &#8220;State of the Union&#8221; program that he opposes aid to Ukraine, saying it is &#8220;functionally destroyed as a country&#8221; that needs to end the war through negotiations with Russia.</p>
<p>&#8220;What&#8217;s in America&#8217;s best interest is to accept Ukraine is going to have to cede some territory to the Russians, and we need to bring this war to a close,&#8221; Vance said.</p>
<p>Shalanda Young, director of the White House budget office, said on CBS News that failing to aid Ukraine could encourage Russia to expand the conflict to other U.S. allies in Europe.</p>
<div>
<p>Reporting by Ted Hesson in Washington; Additional reporting by David Morgan in Washington; Editing by Marguerita Choy and Don Durfee</p>
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<p>Our Standards: <a href="https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en/about-us/trust-principles.html">The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.</a></p>
<address>Ted Hesson is an immigration reporter for Reuters, based in Washington, D.C. His work focuses on the policy and politics of immigration, asylum and border security. Prior to joining Reuters in 2019, Ted worked for the news outlet POLITICO, where he also covered immigration. His articles have appeared in POLITICO Magazine, The Atlantic and VICE News, among other publications. Ted holds a master&#8217;s degree from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and bachelor&#8217;s degree from Boston College.</p>
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