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The US Violent Crime Rate Dynamics 1980 – 2025 compared with other countries
US violent crime rate dynamics: 1980-2025 and international comparisons
US violent crime trends (1980-2025)
The United States has experienced dynamic shifts in violent crime rates over the past few decades.
1980s-Early 1990s: Violent crime rates peaked in the late 1980s and early 1990s. The homicide rate, in particular, reached a high of 10.2 per 100,000 in 1980 and 9.8 in 1991.
Mid-1990s – 2014: A substantial decline occurred in violent and property crime rates during this period. The homicide rate reached a low in 2014, comparable to levels seen in the mid-1960s.
2015-2022: An upward trend in the homicide rate began in 2015, culminating in a 30% increase from 2019 to 2020, the largest single-year jump since 1960. The rate reached 6.4 per 100,000 in 2022.
2023-2025 (Projected): Preliminary data suggests a decrease in the homicide rate, falling to 5.7 in 2023. The Council on Criminal Justice reported a 9% decrease in the homicide rate between 2021 and 2022, from 6.8 to 6.3 homicides per 100,000. Analysis of data through June 2025 shows homicide and other violent crimes continuing to decline, falling below pre-pandemic levels in some cities, although domestic violence was reported to have increased during this period.
International comparisons
The US stands out among developed nations in terms of its violent crime rates, particularly homicide:
Significantly Higher Rates: US violent crime rates, especially homicide, have been several times higher than those in reporting European countries between 1980 and 1984.
Homicide as an Outlier: The US has consistently had the highest homicide rate among G7 countries from 2000 to 2023.
Gun Violence as a Major Factor: The dramatically higher homicide rate in the US compared to other high-income countries is largely due to a significantly higher firearm homicide rate. The US firearm homicide rate is reported to be 26 times that of other high-income countries. Even states within the US with lower gun ownership rates still have firearm homicide rates exceeding those in other high-income countries.
Differences in Data Reporting: Comparing crime rates across countries can be complex due to differences in how crimes are defined and reported. However, even considering these differences, the US homicide rate remains notably higher than in many other developed nations.
Contributing Factors: The US’s high homicide rate compared to other affluent nations is likely attributed to various factors, including prevalent feelings of instability, alienation, and dissatisfaction within society, as well as the widespread availability of firearms.
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