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Sharm-El-Sheikh Accords 2025: Background, analysis, significance, predictions
AI Overview
In October 2025, a peace deal and accompanying summit took place in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt, to finalize an agreement aimed at ending the war in Gaza. Though not formally named the “Sharm-El-Sheikh Accords,” the event and its outcomes have been described as the “Sharm El-Sheikh Agreement” or “Gaza Accord”. The agreement, mediated by the United States, Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey, brought a fragile cessation of hostilities and a major hostage-prisoner exchange. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Background • Two-year war: The accord concluded a two-year conflict following Hamas’s October 7, 2023, attack on Israel, which had led to significant destruction and a humanitarian crisis in Gaza.
• U.S.-brokered proposal: The path to the 2025 agreement began with a U.S. proposal, led by the administration of Donald Trump, who re-entered the White House in January 2025. The multi-phased plan included:• An initial ceasefire and Israeli withdrawal from populated areas of Gaza.
• A prisoner exchange involving Hamas releasing Israeli hostages and Israel releasing Palestinian prisoners.
• The eventual transfer of Gaza’s governance from Hamas to a reformed Palestinian Authority.
• Ambitious reconstruction and development projects for the Gaza Strip.• Summit in Egypt: The deal culminated in a summit on October 13, 2025, co-hosted by U.S. President Donald Trump and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi. More than 20 world leaders attended, though Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and representatives from Hamas were absent. [1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11]
Analysis • Trump’s “Peace Plan”: The 20-point plan promoted by Trump is the foundation of the accord. It calls for the complete demilitarization of Hamas, amnesty for militants who renounce violence, and a pathway toward Palestinian “self-determination and statehood”. However, the plan lacks specifics on a final political solution, leaving many details for future negotiations.
• Fragile truce: The initial optimism surrounding the ceasefire is tempered by the deep-seated animosity and mistrust between the two sides. Observers have noted that many contentious issues remain unresolved, including:• Hamas’s disarmament, a red line for the militant group.
• A firm commitment from Israel to a future Palestinian state.
• Long-term security arrangements and governance for Gaza.• Humanitarian situation: While the deal aims to facilitate aid and reconstruction, the dire humanitarian situation in Gaza remains a major concern. The potential for long-term economic and social instability is significant. [7, 9, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18]
Significance • End of major hostilities: The agreement marks a critical turning point by ending the most intense period of fighting in the Gaza war. It has stopped the immediate loss of life and facilitated a major prisoner and hostage exchange.
• Shift in regional dynamics: The deal represents a renewal of U.S. engagement in the Israeli-Palestinian issue and highlights the critical role of mediators like Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey. It has also created a new dynamic, with a push from the Trump administration to expand the Abraham Accords framework to include more countries.
• Path to reconstruction: A major focus of the summit was coordinating the massive international effort required for Gaza’s reconstruction. An early recovery conference is planned for November 2025 to advance this effort. [1, 4, 8, 11, 19, 20]Predictions • Future of the peace plan: The success of the accord hinges on the implementation of subsequent phases, which address the more difficult issues of governance, security, and a lasting political settlement. Progress will likely be slow and fraught with obstacles.
• Palestinian governance: The plan’s call for a reformed Palestinian Authority to govern Gaza is complex and faces opposition from Israel. The Palestinian Authority’s ability to take control and win public trust will be a significant factor in future stability.
• Demilitarization of Hamas: The demilitarization of Hamas is a key component of the plan but is also a major sticking point. It is uncertain how this will be achieved, especially with Hamas’s refusal to disarm, and whether the U.S. and Arab allies can establish effective international oversight.
• Role of international community: The international community’s continued engagement and financial support will be crucial for the success of the reconstruction efforts and the long-term stability of the region. Failure to sustain this commitment could lead to renewed instability. [7, 9, 15, 17]AI responses may include mistakes.
[1] jpost.com/middle-east/articl…
[2] egypttoday.com/Article/1/142…
[3] reuters.com/world/middle-eas…
[4] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sharm_…
[5] dailynewsegypt.com/2025/10/1…
[6] brookings.edu/articles/what-…
[7] facebook.com/WGXA.TV/posts/o…
[8] dailynewsegypt.com/2025/10/1…
[9] nytimes.com/2025/10/13/world…
[10] foxnews.com/politics/netanya…
[11] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Januar…
[12] cnbc.com/2025/10/14/trump-sa…
[13] facebook.com/KFDMNews/posts/…
[14] dailynewsegypt.com/2025/10/0…
[15] news.cgtn.com/news/2025-10-1…
[16] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_p…
[17] abcnews.go.com/US/trump-decl…
[18] newarab.com/news/what-we-kno…
[19] sis.gov.eg/en/media-center/e…
[20] aol.com/articles/trump-promo…
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– Google Search google.com/search?q=Sharm-El…dailynewsegypt.com/2025/10/1….
— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 14, 2025

