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Month: March 2024
A Russian Sukhoi Su-35 fighter jet purportedly “disappeared from the radars” near Mariupol on Friday, just after Ukraine claimed to have taken out 13 Russian aircraft in just under two weeks.
Multiple Russia-Ukraine war monitoring channels reported that the fighter jet went missing near the Russian-occupied Donetsk city on the northern coast of the Sea of Azov. While the status of the jet was unconfirmed, if its disappearance was the result of a Ukrainian attack, it would be the 14th aircraft purportedly destroyed by Kyiv in 14 days.
“Some monitoring channels report that the Russian Su-35 fighter jet disappeared from the radars in the Mariupol area,” Ukrainian Front blog account wrote on X, formerly Twitter. “It may have been shot down. We are waiting for information from the Air Force of Ukraine.”
⚡️Some monitoring channels report that the 🇷🇺Russian Su-35 fighter jet disappeared from the radars in the Mariupol area. It may have been shot down. We are waiting for information from the Air Force of 🇺🇦Ukraine pic.twitter.com/qt6A3KE95C
— 🇺🇦Ukrainian Front (@front_ukrainian) March 1, 2024
Newsweek reached out for comment to the Ukrainian military via email on Friday.
On Thursday, Ukraine’s Defense Ministry claimed to have downed two Su-35s, 10 Su-34 fighter-bombers and one A-50 long-range radar detection and control aircraft over the previous 13 days.
A Sukhoi Su-35 fighter jet is pictured during a demonstration at the Paris Air Show on June 22, 2013. Russia-Ukraine war monitoring channels claimed that one of the jets went missing from radar over occupied…
A Sukhoi Su-35 fighter jet is pictured during a demonstration at the Paris Air Show on June 22, 2013. Russia-Ukraine war monitoring channels claimed that one of the jets went missing from radar over occupied Mariupol on Friday. ERIC FEFERBERG/AFP
“The impact of losing 13 aircraft in almost as many days, and possibly some of their highly trained pilots, is not negligible for the Russian military,” U.S.-based think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW) wrote in a report published on Thursday.
The A-50 was only the second aircraft of its type that Ukraine has claimed to destroy during the entire war, with just six more of the surveillance jets purportedly still in service.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine claims that 345 Russian aircraft were taken out since the beginning of the invasion on February 24, 2022. The recent claimed average of one aircraft destroyed per day suggests that Ukraine’s air defenses have become more effective as the war begins its third year.
Additionally, Ukraine claims to have eliminated at least 414,680 Russian military personnel from the battlefield, including deaths and service-ending injuries. Newsweek cannot independently verify any of Kyiv’s figures.
The Oryx open-source intelligence tracker listed a total of 240 Russian airplanes and helicopters destroyed during the Ukraine war as of Thursday, including seven Su-35 jets.
Michael Bohnert, engineer at the RAND Corporation think tank, wrote in an opinion article published by Defense News in August that “overuse” of aircraft was “costing Russia as the war drags on.”
“In a protracted war, where one force tries to exhaust the other, it’s the total longevity of the military force that matters,” he wrote. “And that’s where the VKS [Russian Air Force] finds itself now.”
Bohnert also pointed out that Russia would soon have to contend with the “very different Ukrainian threat” of F-16 fighter jets. Ukrainian pilots are currently training on the jets, which are expected to enter the war later this year.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
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- Russia’s War Calculus
- Waiting for Serhiy’s Release
Skepticism remains high about the Russian leader’s intentions after he told Tucker Carlson that the war in Ukraine could be settled with a peace deal.
“Despite Mr. Putin’s words, we have seen no actions to indicate he is interested in ending this war,” a National Security Council spokesman said of President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.Credit…Alexander Kazakov/Sputnik
The Biden administration dismissed on Friday a call by President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia for negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, showing no sign that flagging political support for American military aid to Kyiv had made President Biden more inclined to make concessions to Moscow.
During his two-hour interview at the Kremlin with the former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, who now broadcasts independently online, Mr. Putin offered long defenses of his invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 but said he was prepared to settle the conflict diplomatically.
“We are willing to negotiate,” Mr. Putin told Mr. Carlson in the interview, which was released on Thursday. “You should tell the current Ukrainian leadership to stop and come to the negotiating table,” he added, referring to the U.S. government.
The Russian leader spoke at a moment of apparent leverage, following the failure of a vaunted Ukrainian summer counteroffensive to achieve substantial gains and as the Biden administration is struggling to win congressional approval for desperately needed additional military aid for Kyiv.
It is not the first time Mr. Putin has expressed willingness to negotiate over the fate of Ukraine, and Western officials have long been skeptical of his intentions. But because it was his first interview with an American media figure since the invasion, his call for talks has extra resonance, analysts said.
U.S. and Ukrainian officials say that the best Ukraine’s military can hope for in the coming year, especially without more American aid, is to defend its current positions. Even so, Biden officials say they are not entertaining the idea of pressing Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, to negotiate with Mr. Putin.
“Both we and President Zelensky have said numerous times that we believe this war will end through negotiations,” a National Security Council spokesman said in a statement. “Despite Mr. Putin’s words, we have seen no actions to indicate he is interested in ending this war. If he was, he would pull back his forces and stop his ceaseless attacks on Ukraine.”
U.S. officials had previously assessed that Mr. Putin had no intention of negotiating seriously until after the U.S. presidential election in November. Mr. Putin, they say, wants to wait to see whether former President Donald J. Trump might return to the White House and offer him more favorable terms.
Mr. Putin’s interview with Tucker Carlson was the Russian president’s first with an American journalist since the invasion of Ukraine.Credit…Rebecca Noble for The New York Times
In an interview last spring, Mr. Trump said the “horrible” conflict in Ukraine must come to an immediate end and that if re-elected, he would broker a deal to “end that war in one day.”
The Biden administration has supported Ukraine’s stated desire to reclaim territory that Russia has occupied since its invasion. Russia now occupies around 18 percent of Ukrainian land.
U.S. officials have also long insisted that, despite the more than $75 billion in aid the United States has supplied to Ukraine, it is not for Washington to dictate whether Kyiv engages in peace talks and what on terms. “Ultimately, it’s up to Ukraine to decide its path on negotiations,” the National Security Council statement said.
Many analysts were also skeptical of Mr. Putin’s intentions. Sergey Radchenko, a Russia historian at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, said Mr. Putin should not be trusted.
Mr. Radchenko said Mr. Putin might be engaging in what during Soviet times was known as a “peace offensive” — an insincere tactical feint whose goal, he said, was “to present a reasonable face to the outside world: ‘Oh yeah, of course we want peace — it’s just the other side that doesn’t want to talk.’”
Some Western officials believe Mr. Putin may also have his domestic audience in mind when he talks about a negotiated end to the war. Polls in Russia have shown that Russian citizens would welcome a settlement to end the conflict that has shaken their economy and produced tens of thousands of casualties.
Talk of peace could also win Mr. Putin favor among nations in the so-called global south — nations in South America, Asia and Africa, including India and South Africa, that are unaligned in the Ukraine conflict. Most of those countries have suffered from higher energy and food prices caused by the war.
Mr. Putin seemed to be exploiting Republican opposition to Mr. Biden’s funding request for Ukraine, echoing critiques made in recent weeks by some conservative members of Congress. “You have issues on the border, issues with migration, issues with the national debt — more than $33 trillion. You have nothing better to do, so you should fight in Ukraine?” Mr. Putin asked.
Alternatively, Mr. Radchenko said, Mr. Putin might be willing to make some unexpected concessions for a peace deal that leaves Russia with a foothold in eastern Ukraine, “and then use that as a basis for either further aggression against Ukraine, or as leverage to force a preferred government on Ukraine.”
Samuel Charap, a Russia analyst at the RAND Corporation, said it was possible that Mr. Putin had been bluffing all along about talks. But he said it was worth engaging the Kremlin in private to determine Mr. Putin’s actual demands.
“Nobody knows for sure — and nobody can know for sure unless they try,” Mr. Charap said. He added that it was notable that Mr. Putin had not told Mr. Carlson that he had preconditions for talks, such as the removal of Mr. Zelensky’s government.
Mr. Charap also noted that Russia and Ukraine were already negotiating on a number of matters, including prisoner-of-war swaps and Ukrainian exports from its Black Sea ports.
Regardless of Mr. Putin’s intentions, analysts and Western officials say that a major obstacle to potential talks is the unwillingness of Ukraine’s public to compromise with an invader that has committed atrocities in their country.
“Zelensky is worried about the domestic political consequences of pursuing a different tactic,” Mr. Charap said.
“Barring a Ukrainian demand signal” for peace talks, “there’s unlikely to be a push from Washington,” he said.
Michael Crowley covers the State Department and U.S. foreign policy for The Times. He has reported from nearly three dozen countries and often travels with the secretary of state. More about Michael Crowley
A version of this article appears in print on , Section A, Page 9 of the New York edition with the headline: U.S. Rejects Russia’s Latest Request for Talks on War. Order Reprints | Today’s Paper | Subscribe
- Photos
- Maps
- A Secret Spy War
- Russia’s War Calculus
- Waiting for Serhiy’s Release
Skepticism remains high about the Russian leader’s intentions after he told Tucker Carlson that the war in Ukraine could be settled with a peace deal.
“Despite Mr. Putin’s words, we have seen no actions to indicate he is interested in ending this war,” a National Security Council spokesman said of President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia.Credit…Alexander Kazakov/Sputnik
The Biden administration dismissed on Friday a call by President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia for negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, showing no sign that flagging political support for American military aid to Kyiv had made President Biden more inclined to make concessions to Moscow.
During his two-hour interview at the Kremlin with the former Fox News host Tucker Carlson, who now broadcasts independently online, Mr. Putin offered long defenses of his invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 but said he was prepared to settle the conflict diplomatically.
“We are willing to negotiate,” Mr. Putin told Mr. Carlson in the interview, which was released on Thursday. “You should tell the current Ukrainian leadership to stop and come to the negotiating table,” he added, referring to the U.S. government.
The Russian leader spoke at a moment of apparent leverage, following the failure of a vaunted Ukrainian summer counteroffensive to achieve substantial gains and as the Biden administration is struggling to win congressional approval for desperately needed additional military aid for Kyiv.
It is not the first time Mr. Putin has expressed willingness to negotiate over the fate of Ukraine, and Western officials have long been skeptical of his intentions. But because it was his first interview with an American media figure since the invasion, his call for talks has extra resonance, analysts said.
U.S. and Ukrainian officials say that the best Ukraine’s military can hope for in the coming year, especially without more American aid, is to defend its current positions. Even so, Biden officials say they are not entertaining the idea of pressing Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, to negotiate with Mr. Putin.
“Both we and President Zelensky have said numerous times that we believe this war will end through negotiations,” a National Security Council spokesman said in a statement. “Despite Mr. Putin’s words, we have seen no actions to indicate he is interested in ending this war. If he was, he would pull back his forces and stop his ceaseless attacks on Ukraine.”
U.S. officials had previously assessed that Mr. Putin had no intention of negotiating seriously until after the U.S. presidential election in November. Mr. Putin, they say, wants to wait to see whether former President Donald J. Trump might return to the White House and offer him more favorable terms.
Mr. Putin’s interview with Tucker Carlson was the Russian president’s first with an American journalist since the invasion of Ukraine.Credit…Rebecca Noble for The New York Times
In an interview last spring, Mr. Trump said the “horrible” conflict in Ukraine must come to an immediate end and that if re-elected, he would broker a deal to “end that war in one day.”
The Biden administration has supported Ukraine’s stated desire to reclaim territory that Russia has occupied since its invasion. Russia now occupies around 18 percent of Ukrainian land.
U.S. officials have also long insisted that, despite the more than $75 billion in aid the United States has supplied to Ukraine, it is not for Washington to dictate whether Kyiv engages in peace talks and what on terms. “Ultimately, it’s up to Ukraine to decide its path on negotiations,” the National Security Council statement said.
Many analysts were also skeptical of Mr. Putin’s intentions. Sergey Radchenko, a Russia historian at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, said Mr. Putin should not be trusted.
Mr. Radchenko said Mr. Putin might be engaging in what during Soviet times was known as a “peace offensive” — an insincere tactical feint whose goal, he said, was “to present a reasonable face to the outside world: ‘Oh yeah, of course we want peace — it’s just the other side that doesn’t want to talk.’”
Some Western officials believe Mr. Putin may also have his domestic audience in mind when he talks about a negotiated end to the war. Polls in Russia have shown that Russian citizens would welcome a settlement to end the conflict that has shaken their economy and produced tens of thousands of casualties.
Talk of peace could also win Mr. Putin favor among nations in the so-called global south — nations in South America, Asia and Africa, including India and South Africa, that are unaligned in the Ukraine conflict. Most of those countries have suffered from higher energy and food prices caused by the war.
Mr. Putin seemed to be exploiting Republican opposition to Mr. Biden’s funding request for Ukraine, echoing critiques made in recent weeks by some conservative members of Congress. “You have issues on the border, issues with migration, issues with the national debt — more than $33 trillion. You have nothing better to do, so you should fight in Ukraine?” Mr. Putin asked.
Alternatively, Mr. Radchenko said, Mr. Putin might be willing to make some unexpected concessions for a peace deal that leaves Russia with a foothold in eastern Ukraine, “and then use that as a basis for either further aggression against Ukraine, or as leverage to force a preferred government on Ukraine.”
Samuel Charap, a Russia analyst at the RAND Corporation, said it was possible that Mr. Putin had been bluffing all along about talks. But he said it was worth engaging the Kremlin in private to determine Mr. Putin’s actual demands.
“Nobody knows for sure — and nobody can know for sure unless they try,” Mr. Charap said. He added that it was notable that Mr. Putin had not told Mr. Carlson that he had preconditions for talks, such as the removal of Mr. Zelensky’s government.
Mr. Charap also noted that Russia and Ukraine were already negotiating on a number of matters, including prisoner-of-war swaps and Ukrainian exports from its Black Sea ports.
Regardless of Mr. Putin’s intentions, analysts and Western officials say that a major obstacle to potential talks is the unwillingness of Ukraine’s public to compromise with an invader that has committed atrocities in their country.
“Zelensky is worried about the domestic political consequences of pursuing a different tactic,” Mr. Charap said.
“Barring a Ukrainian demand signal” for peace talks, “there’s unlikely to be a push from Washington,” he said.
Michael Crowley covers the State Department and U.S. foreign policy for The Times. He has reported from nearly three dozen countries and often travels with the secretary of state. More about Michael Crowley
A version of this article appears in print on , Section A, Page 9 of the New York edition with the headline: U.S. Rejects Russia’s Latest Request for Talks on War. Order Reprints | Today’s Paper | Subscribe
U.S. Rejects Putin’s Latest Call for Ukraine Negotiations – The New York Times https://t.co/DwW8k9avw7
— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) March 2, 2024
Russian Su-35 jet “disappears from radars” https://t.co/lR2pepfhCY pic.twitter.com/39MCWMN33J
— Newsweek (@Newsweek) March 1, 2024
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— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) March 2, 2024
Russian President Vladimir Putin is uninterested in holding “good-faith” peace negotiations with Ukraine, according to U.S.-based think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW). The last direct talks between Russian and Ukrainian officials began in Turkey in March 2022. – 11… pic.twitter.com/mFZJUx7B8u
— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) March 2, 2024
Russian President Vladimir Putin is uninterested in holding “good-faith” peace negotiations with Ukraine, according to U.S.-based think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
The last direct talks between Russian and Ukrainian officials began in Turkey in March 2022. Details of a draft treaty that emerged from those negotiations in April 2022 were reported by The Wall Street Journal on Friday, revealing that Kyiv would have been required to enshrine Russian control of Crimea and become a “permanently neutral state that doesn’t participate in military blocs” in exchange for peace.
While the agreement was ultimately abandoned, Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky have both since suggested uncompromising terms for ending the war that have made the prospect of any further negotiations doubtful. Putin suggested during his interview with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson in early February that Russia’s attempts to negotiate were being blocked by Zelensky.
An ISW report published on Friday evening argued that the reported details of the 2022 draft treaty showed that Putin was hoping for Kyiv’s permanent “demilitarization,” which would allow him to “enforce his will upon Ukraine without any substantial resistance.”
Russian President Vladimir Putin is pictured arriving to deliver a speech in Moscow on Thursday. U.S. think tank Institute for the Study of War asserted on Friday that Putin is not interested in “good-faith peace…
Russian President Vladimir Putin is pictured arriving to deliver a speech in Moscow on Thursday. U.S. think tank Institute for the Study of War asserted on Friday that Putin is not interested in “good-faith peace negotiations with Ukraine.” Contributor
The think tank noted that Putin’s press secretary, Dmitry Peskov, had responded to The Wall Street Journal report by saying that the draft was “no longer relevant” because “conditions have changed,” maintaining that his remarks indicated “the Kremlin has likely adopted a more extensive set of goals regarding Ukraine.”
“Reported details of the draft treaty suggest that Russia intended to use the treaty to set conditions for future attacks against Ukraine while also prompting the West to make concessions on Ukraine’s sovereignty,” the ISW report says.
“ISW continues to assess that Russian President Vladimir Putin maintains his maximalist objectives in Ukraine, which are tantamount to complete Ukrainian and Western capitulation, and that Russia has no interest in good-faith negotiations with Ukraine,” it continues.
Newsweek reached out for comment to Putin’s office via email on Friday night.
Putin argued during his interview with Carlson that Zelensky had the power to end the war but had signed “a ban on negotiating with Russia,” referring to a document that banned direct talks with Putin but not all Russian officials, which Zelensky signed after Russia announced the illegal annexation of four Ukrainian territories in fall 2022.
The Russian president then told the former Fox News host that Ukraine was refusing to negotiate “under the instruction from Washington,” while arguing that the U.S. and NATO could help bring the war to an end by recognizing all of the annexed parts of Ukraine as Russian territory “with dignity.”
Earlier this week, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan offered to host a new round of Russia-Ukraine negotiations to establish the “general parameters of peace,” while stressing that his country supports “Ukraine’s independence, sovereignty, security and territorial integrity.”
Erdoğan also said that Turkey supports Zelensky’s “10 step peace formula,” which includes demands that the Kremlin has repeatedly deemed unacceptable, including the immediate withdrawal of all Russian troops from Ukraine and returning control of the territories that Moscow claimed to annex.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
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— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) March 2, 2024