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In harrowing detail, NYT reports on weaponization of rape, sexual violence on Oct. 7 – The Times of Israel


In harrowing detail, NYT reports on weaponization of rape, sexual violence on Oct. 7  The Times of Israel

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‘Palace coup’: Putin’s days are numbered – Jack Devine of the CIA


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A former veteran chief of American’s Central Intelligence Agency has declared Vladimir Putin’s days are numbered, predicting the Russian president will be overthrown in a ‘Black Swan’ palace coup.

And the ousting of one of modern history’s most divisive and ruthless leaders is only a matter of time.

Jack Devine (GS) served for three decades with the US spy agency and told The Sun newspaper in an exclusive interview that he wouldn’t be surprised if Putin “disappeared tomorrow”.

Speculation about the future of Russia’s leadership has been festering for some time, with the country’s bruising performance in its war with Ukraine intensifying talk.

So too have endless reports about Putin’s ill health, with rumours emerging from inside the Kremlin that he has at various points been close to death.

Then he faced an armed uprising led by war lord Yevgeny Prigozhin, who rallied his Wagner Group mercenaries in a bizarre and short-lived plot.

Prigozhin died for his disloyalty.

But Devine, 83, who led thousands of spies on covert and classified missions across the globe for 32 years, believes Putin’s demise will be at the hands of those closest to him.

“Putin could disappear tomorrow, and I wouldn’t be surprised if some element in the government had decided they were going to take executive action,” Devine told The Sun.

Devine believes Putin has becoming increasingly unpredictable and dangerous – and his invasion of Ukraine has “sowed his political demise”.

The Russian president is continuing to throw his troops into meat-grinder assaults to try to secure a winter victory.

The devastated city of Avdiivka – the gateway to the major city of Donetsk that lies 12 miles to the east – has become the deadliest flashpoint of the war as Putin attempts to break a painful stalemate.

Devine believes the tyrant’s popularity will continue to drop as the war goes on – but it won’t stop his gruesome grind.

The Russian leader will plough on with his fight “no matter what it takes”, Devine said.

“The more losses and the more violence that is visible to the Russian citizens, the less people want to be involved,” he explained.

“He will have a hard time recruiting, but it is Russia after all. He will find a way to strong arm, entice.

“He will come up with the army at the end of the day, but the war will become increasingly less popular.”

The “standstill” in Ukraine will likely see Putin toppled in a ‘Black Swan’ palace coup, particularly if it looks as though Russia’s efforts are resulting in a “permanent stalemate”.

“It’ll be a surprise. There’s always what we call a ‘Black Swan’ that appears from nowhere.

“But failing a ‘Black Swan’ I believe his troubles begin when there’s a stalemate and that’s right now. I don’t think it’ll be an uprising. I think it’ll be a what we might call a palace coup.”

A growing number of military analysts agree Putin’s power cannot last much longer and the end of his reign is near, whether by coup, assassination, regime collapse or his failing health.

Devine said Putin’s behaviour in recent times suggests the president has become increasingly unpredictable and dangerous, and he likely realises that he has “sowed his political demise” with the Ukraine war.

Russia continues to send countless troops into battle, facing severe casualties and embarrassing military defeats.

As the war goes on and the country’s humiliation worsens, Devine believes Putin’s popularity will tank.

“The more losses and the more violence that is visible to the Russian citizens, the less people want to be involved,” he explained.

“He will have a hard time recruiting, but it is Russia after all. He will find a way to strong arm, entice. He will come up with the army at the end of the day, but the war will become increasingly less popular.”

Ukraine remains determined to defeat Russia’s attempts at invasion and continues to rally strong support from the West.

On top of that, the European Union’s efforts to sign up Ukraine, which would offer it NATO protection, represent a significant strategic loss for Putin.

Devine fears it’s not going to “get any better” any time soon, with both sides unwilling to flinch despite the mounting costs.

“The Ukrainians aren’t going to give them territory. Putin’s not going to withdraw.

“But you can take the temperature down. They have to wind down, when everybody realises there’s no hope for Putin to win.

“He’s not going to lose in the technical sense. He’s not going to be driven back into Russia. Anybody waiting for that has false hopes.

“But I don’t think it’s too far off. I think next year we’ll see almost a permanent stalemate.”

Whatever happens to Putin, Devine said the person who replaces him is unlikely to be dramatically different.

And that makes keeping an eye on the so-called ‘Axis of Evil’ of China, Iran and Russia even more important.

“They are trying to pull their allies into an alliance and an axis,” he said.

“And I think we can see it being demonstrated with the Hamas attack in Israel and how Russia is playing that.

“The expansionist abilities of Putin are psychological and political right now, and I think it’s in the non-European world where he’s making some progress.”


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White House, Congress scramble on last-minute deals on Ukraine and US immigration


A framed flag signed by front-line Ukrainian fighters in Bakhmut and presented to the U.S. Congress in 2022, sits at one end of the table the U.S. Capitol, in Washington

A framed flag signed by front-line Ukrainian fighters in Bakhmut and presented to the U.S. Congress in 2022, sits at one end of the table where Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will meet privately with U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and other congressional leaders on a visit to the U.S. Capitol in Washington,… Acquire Licensing Rights Read more

WASHINGTON, Dec 11 (Reuters) – Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will make his case for more U.S. aid for the war against Russia during meetings in Washington this week, as lawmakers struggle for a deal that would link funding for Kyiv with domestic immigration controls.

Zelenskiy has been invited to meetings at the White House and with members of Congress on Tuesday. Many Republican lawmakers have questioned continued aid to Ukraine.

His arrival in Washington comes as Congress is under a tight – if not impossible – deadline for acting, as it is scheduled to go into recess for the year by Friday.

The next round of Ukraine aid has been held up by a demand from House of Representatives Speaker Mike Johnson and other Republicans that no more funds be dispatched unless steps are first taken to harden the U.S. border with Mexico.

President Joe Biden has urged Congress to act by year’s end and Democrats in Congress were trying to win approval of about $50 billion in new security assistance for Ukraine. Also included in Senate Democrats’ measure is humanitarian and economic aid for the government in Kyiv, as well as $14 billion for Israel as it wages war against Hamas in Gaza.

On Sunday, a senior administration official said the White House has been working with House Republican leaders to find common ground, but the talks have not developed to a point where Biden’s direct intervention could close the deal.

However, the White House is open to making it harder to obtain U.S. asylum as a way to reduce the number of migrants attempting to cross the U.S.-Mexico border, according to a source familiar with bipartisan Senate negotiations.

Meanwhile, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has pushed for some type of pro-immigrant provision, such as expedited work permits for migrants or better access to legal representation, the source also said.

Congress has been warned that a failure to renew U.S. military assistance to Ukraine could tip the war in Russia’s favor, creating national security threats for the West.

By mid-November, the U.S. Defense Department had used 97% of $62.3 billion in supplemental funding it had received and the State Department had used all of the $4.7 billion in military assistance funding for Ukraine it had been allocated, U.S. budget director Shalanda Young said last week.

A bipartisan group of senators was trying to break the deadlock. Much of their work focused on tightening U.S. asylum law for migrants.

Democratic Senator Chris Murphy told NBC’s “Meet the Press” show on Sunday that the latest proposal from Republican Senator James Lankford was “unreasonable.” He also said the White House was intensifying its efforts with Congress to reach a deal.

There has been hope among Senate leaders that Murphy and Lankford could cobble together a border security compromise, having struck up a friendship this year during a congressional fact-finding trip to the southwest U.S. border.

Lankford’s office did not respond to a request for comment. During a CBS News interview on Sunday, he pushed back against news reports about his proposals.

Meanwhile, Republican Senator Lindsey Graham told participants at an annual Doha Forum conference on Sunday: “I’m sad to report we are far away” from any bipartisan deal. He added that he hoped legislation could be enacted “by early next year,” possibly beyond the time frame Biden sought.

Even if a bipartisan deal was struck, several Democrats have voiced concerns that former President Donald Trump, who is seen as the leading candidate for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, could stand in the way.

“There’s a question on the Republican side – would they accept significant progress, or is Trump going to make the final call,” said Democratic Senator Peter Welch in an interview on Thursday.

Reporting by Ted Hesson and Richard Cowan in Washington, Jarrett Renshaw in Los Angeles and Andrew Mills in Doha; Editing by Gerry Doyle

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Ted Hesson is an immigration reporter for Reuters, based in Washington, D.C. His work focuses on the policy and politics of immigration, asylum and border security. Prior to joining Reuters in 2019, Ted worked for the news outlet POLITICO, where he also covered immigration. His articles have appeared in POLITICO Magazine, The Atlantic and VICE News, among other publications. Ted holds a master’s degree from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and bachelor’s degree from Boston College.


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White House to intensify push for Ukraine aid and border security deal


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WASHINGTON, Dec 10 (Reuters) – The White House will step up its engagement with U.S. lawmakers trying to strike a bipartisan deal that would provide military aid for Ukraine and Israel while tightening U.S. border security, a Democratic senator said on Sunday.

Republicans have insisted that additional funding for Ukraine must be paired with major U.S. border security changes but a bipartisan group of senators trying to broker a compromise have made little progress with less than a week before the U.S. Congress leaves for a Christmas break.

“The White House is going to get more engaged this week,” Senator Chris Murphy, the lead Democratic negotiator, said on NBC News’ “Meet the Press.”

Murphy said it was important to know if Democratic President Joe Biden would sign any prospective deal.

The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Biden, who is seeking reelection in 2024, has struggled with record numbers of migrants attempting to cross the U.S.-Mexico border illegally. Republicans have criticized Biden for rolling back some restrictive policies of former President Donald Trump, currently the leading candidate for his party’s nomination.

Reuters reported last week that the Biden administration was open to new limits on U.S. asylum as part of a deal to secure funding for allies Ukraine and Israel.

Murphy said the current border security demands by Republicans were “unreasonable” and that they were “playing games with the security of the world” by linking the military aid to U.S. border security measures.

Some Republicans have pushed for border provisions that would allow migrants crossing the border illegally to be quickly deported without the chance to seek U.S. asylum. They have also called for greatly scaling back Biden programs that have allowed hundreds of thousands of migrants to enter lawfully.

Senator James Lankford, a Republican member of the group working on a border compromise, said the U.S. border was “literally spiraling out of control” with 12,000 migrants crossing illegally in a single day last week.

Speaking on CBS News’ “Face the Nation,” Lankford declined to detail what policy changes he had proposed but said Congress needed to take steps “to actually begin to control the border.”

Republican Senator J.D. Vance told CNN’s “State of the Union” program that he opposes aid to Ukraine, saying it is “functionally destroyed as a country” that needs to end the war through negotiations with Russia.

“What’s in America’s best interest is to accept Ukraine is going to have to cede some territory to the Russians, and we need to bring this war to a close,” Vance said.

Shalanda Young, director of the White House budget office, said on CBS News that failing to aid Ukraine could encourage Russia to expand the conflict to other U.S. allies in Europe.

Reporting by Ted Hesson in Washington; Additional reporting by David Morgan in Washington; Editing by Marguerita Choy and Don Durfee

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Ted Hesson is an immigration reporter for Reuters, based in Washington, D.C. His work focuses on the policy and politics of immigration, asylum and border security. Prior to joining Reuters in 2019, Ted worked for the news outlet POLITICO, where he also covered immigration. His articles have appeared in POLITICO Magazine, The Atlantic and VICE News, among other publications. Ted holds a master’s degree from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and bachelor’s degree from Boston College.