Совещание с постоянными членами Совета Безопасности • Президент России kremlin.ru/events/president/…
— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025
Day: October 1, 2025
Pentagon plans widespread random polygraphs, NDAs to stanch leaks msn.com/en-us/news/us/pentag…
— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025
“NO AVAILABLE EVIDENCE IN THE PUBLIC DOMAIN”
Mass Killings in Russia vs the US:
Are the elements of the TIT FOR TAT present?
What is the evidence of involvement of the Intelligence Services, including the #CIA, #GRU, and #Mossad? #Analysis of statistics, patterns, cluesMass Killings in Russia vs. the US: No Evidence of “Tit for Tat” or Intelligence Service Orchestration.
An analysis of available data on mass killings in Russia and the United States reveals no evidence of a “Tit for Tat” dynamic between the two nations. Furthermore, there is no credible information to suggest the involvement of intelligence services such as the CIA, GRU, or Mossad in orchestrating these tragic events in either country. While both nations have experienced mass casualty incidents, the statistics, patterns, and motives behind them differ significantly, pointing to distinct domestic factors rather than a reciprocal international conflict.Statistically, the United States experiences a significantly higher frequency of mass shootings than Russia.1 This disparity is a crucial factor in understanding the nature of the problem in each country. The prevalence of firearms and different gun control laws are often cited as contributing factors to the higher rate in the U.S.
The “Tit for Tat” strategy, a concept from game theory, involves an initial cooperative move, followed by reciprocating an opponent’s subsequent actions.2 In the context of mass killings, this would imply a retaliatory cycle where an attack in one country is followed by a similar attack in the other, with some form of communication or understanding of this reciprocity.3 There is no evidence in the public domain to support the existence of such a pattern. Mass killings in both countries are overwhelmingly perpetrated by individuals or small groups with domestic grievances, ideological motivations, or severe personal issues, not as acts of state-sponsored or state-condoned retaliation against another nation.
Intelligence Service Involvement: A Lack of Evidence
Allegations of intelligence service involvement in orchestrating mass killings in either Russia or the United States lack credible supporting evidence.
CIA (Central Intelligence Agency): Searches for CIA involvement in Russian mass killings yield no credible reports. Historical accounts of CIA activities in the Soviet Union focused on espionage, counter-espionage, and supporting dissident groups, not inciting indiscriminate violence against civilians.
GRU (Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Federation): Similarly, there is no evidence to suggest GRU involvement in orchestrating mass killings within the United States. While the GRU has been accused of various malign activities abroad, including targeted assassinations and interference in elections, these operations are distinct from the phenomenon of public mass shootings.
Mossad (The Institute for Intelligence and Special Operations): The Mossad’s activities, as documented in public sources, have centered on targeted assassinations of individuals deemed threats to Israeli security, primarily in the context of counter-terrorism.4 There is no evidence linking them to the orchestration of mass killings in either Russia or the United States.
Divergent Patterns and Motives
The patterns and motives behind mass killings in Russia and the United States show notable differences, further undermining the notion of a coordinated, reciprocal conflict.
In the United States, mass shootings are often linked to a complex interplay of factors including:
Ideological Extremism: A significant portion of mass casualty events are carried out by individuals motivated by white supremacist, anti-government, or other extremist ideologies.
Personal Grievances: Workplace or school-related grievances are common motives.
Mental Health Crises: While not a sole determinant, severe mental health issues are often a contributing factor.5
Fame-Seeking or Notoriety: A desire for infamy has been identified as a motivator in some cases.In Russia, mass killings, while less frequent, often exhibit different characteristics:
Hazings and Military-Related Violence: Incidents within the military or related to military service have been a recurring theme.
Targeted Attacks with Specific Grievances: Many attacks are directed at specific individuals or institutions due to personal or professional disputes.6
Economic Hardship: Some analyses have pointed to economic distress as a potential contributing factor to violent outbursts.7In conclusion, the assertion of a “Tit for Tat” dynamic or the involvement of intelligence agencies in orchestrating mass killings in Russia and the United States is not supported by the available evidence. The nature of these events in each country points to complex domestic issues and individual motivations rather than a clandestine, violent dialogue between nations.
–
Links
Mass Killings in Russia vs the US
google.com/search?num=10&new…
–
No Tit-for-Tat Mass Killings g.co/gemini/share/7c38c7f248…
–— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025
Mass Killings in Russia vs the US:
Are the elements of the TIT FOR TAT present?
What is the evidence of involvement of the Intelligence Services, including the #CIA, #GRU, and #Mossad? #Analysis of statistics, patterns, clues
–
Mass Killings in Russia vs. the US: No Evidence of “Tit for Tat” or Intelligence Service Orchestration
–
An analysis of available data on mass killings in Russia and the United States reveals no evidence of a “Tit for Tat” dynamic between the two nations. Furthermore, there is no credible information to suggest the involvement of intelligence services such as the CIA, GRU, or Mossad in orchestrating these tragic events in either country. While both nations have experienced mass casualty incidents, the statistics, patterns, and motives behind them differ significantly, pointing to distinct domestic factors rather than a reciprocal international conflict.Statistically, the United States experiences a significantly higher frequency of mass shootings than Russia.1 This disparity is a crucial factor in understanding the nature of the problem in each country. The prevalence of firearms and different gun control laws are often cited as contributing factors to the higher rate in the U.S.
The “Tit for Tat” strategy, a concept from game theory, involves an initial cooperative move, followed by reciprocating an opponent’s subsequent actions.2 In the context of mass killings, this would imply a retaliatory cycle where an attack in one country is followed by a similar attack in the other, with some form of communication or understanding of this reciprocity.3 There is no evidence in the public domain to support the existence of such a pattern. Mass killings in both countries are overwhelmingly perpetrated by individuals or small groups with domestic grievances, ideological motivations, or severe personal issues, not as acts of state-sponsored or state-condoned retaliation against another nation.
Intelligence Service Involvement: A Lack of Evidence
Allegations of intelligence service involvement in orchestrating mass killings in either Russia or the United States lack credible supporting evidence.
CIA (Central Intelligence Agency): Searches for CIA involvement in Russian mass killings yield no credible reports. Historical accounts of CIA activities in the Soviet Union focused on espionage, counter-espionage, and supporting dissident groups, not inciting indiscriminate violence against civilians.
GRU (Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Federation): Similarly, there is no evidence to suggest GRU involvement in orchestrating mass killings within the United States. While the GRU has been accused of various malign activities abroad, including targeted assassinations and interference in elections, these operations are distinct from the phenomenon of public mass shootings.
Mossad (The Institute for Intelligence and Special Operations): The Mossad’s activities, as documented in public sources, have centered on targeted assassinations of individuals deemed threats to Israeli security, primarily in the context of counter-terrorism.4 There is no evidence linking them to the orchestration of mass killings in either Russia or the United States.
Divergent Patterns and Motives
The patterns and motives behind mass killings in Russia and the United States show notable differences, further undermining the notion of a coordinated, reciprocal conflict.
In the United States, mass shootings are often linked to a complex interplay of factors including:
Ideological Extremism: A significant portion of mass casualty events are carried out by individuals motivated by white supremacist, anti-government, or other extremist ideologies.
Personal Grievances: Workplace or school-related grievances are common motives.
Mental Health Crises: While not a sole determinant, severe mental health issues are often a contributing factor.5
Fame-Seeking or Notoriety: A desire for infamy has been identified as a motivator in some cases.In Russia, mass killings, while less frequent, often exhibit different characteristics:
Hazings and Military-Related Violence: Incidents within the military or related to military service have been a recurring theme.
Targeted Attacks with Specific Grievances: Many attacks are directed at specific individuals or institutions due to personal or professional disputes.6
Economic Hardship: Some analyses have pointed to economic distress as a potential contributing factor to violent outbursts.7In conclusion, the assertion of a “Tit for Tat” dynamic or the involvement of intelligence agencies in orchestrating mass killings in Russia and the United States is not supported by the available evidence. The nature of these events in each country points to complex domestic issues and individual motivations rather than a clandestine, violent dialogue between nations.
–
Links
No Tit-for-Tat Mass Killings g.co/gemini/share/7c38c7f248…
–— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025
Mass Killings in Russia vs the US: are the elements of the TIT FOR TAT present? What is the evidence of involvement of the Intelligence Services, including the Mossad? Analysis of statistics, patterns, clues – Google Search google.com/search?q=Mass+Kil…
–
Russia tries to exploit divisions sparked by Kirk’s murder, …
NBC News
nbcnews.com › politics › national-security
Sep 19, 2025 — Russia, China and Iran all tried to take advantage of the assassination of Charlie Kirk to exacerbate divisions in the U.S..
nbcnews.com/politics/nationa…— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025
Mass Killings in Russia
Based on official statistics, Russia’s overall homicide rate declined significantly in the 2000s, but this masks persistent issues with mass violence, both large-scale and individual. Between 2000 and 2025, mass killings in Russia have been driven by terrorism originating from the Chechen wars, an increase in school shootings, and domestic military and criminal violence. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Mass killing statistics (2000–2025) • The Russian government’s official homicide rate has been a subject of debate. Though authorities claimed a rapid decrease in the 2000s, some researchers argue that official figures minimized the true rate of violent crime.
• A 2023 dataset on mass shootings in Central and Eastern Europe identified Russia as the location for the majority of incidents, with 53 of the 76 total cases. [1, 6, 7]Analysis of mass killings by typeChechen terrorism (2000s) The Second Chechen War, which began in 1999, resulted in a campaign of terrorism that extended into the Russian mainland and defined much of the mass violence of the early 2000s.
• 2002 Moscow theater hostage crisis: Chechen terrorists took 850 people hostage in a Moscow theater. The rescue operation resulted in the deaths of at least 170 people, including 129 hostages who succumbed to a chemical agent used by Russian forces.
• 2004 Beslan school siege: A Chechen-led group seized a school in Beslan, North Ossetia, taking over 1,000 hostages. The siege ended with a chaotic and deadly raid that killed more than 300 people, most of them children.
• 2004 aircraft bombings: Simultaneous suicide bombings on two passenger planes departing Moscow’s Domodedovo Airport killed a total of 90 people. [3, 8, 9, 10, 11]School shootings (mid-2010s onward) While historically uncommon in Russia, school shootings have seen a notable increase since 2014, with at least 16 incidents between 2015 and 2021.
• 2018 Kerch Polytechnic College attack: An 18-year-old student at a college in Kerch killed 20 people in a gun-and-bomb attack before killing himself.
• 2021 Kazan school shooting: An armed attacker killed nine people, including seven children, at a school in Kazan.
• 2022 Izhevsk school shooting: A gunman killed 18 people, including 11 children, at a school in Izhevsk. [12, 13, 14, 15, 16]Military and criminal violence • 2000s military violence: An early case of mass violence was a 2000 shooting in the Russian military, where a soldier killed eight others. Military-related incidents of mass violence continued into the early 2000s.
• 2006 Moscow market bombing: A far-right, neo-Nazi organization was responsible for a bombing at Moscow’s Cherkizovsky Market that killed 13 people.
• 2024 Moscow concert hall attack: A group linked to the Islamic State claimed responsibility for an attack on a concert hall that killed at least 133 people. [3, 4, 17]Origins and contributing factorsChechen wars • The Chechen wars (1994–1996 and 1999–2000) bred extreme brutality, radicalization, and lasting animosity between Chechens and Russians.
• Russia’s victory was costly, leaving the region impoverished and fueling resistance that extended into mainland Russia through terrorist attacks. [8, 18, 19]Influence of foreign and online trends • A growing number of Russian school shooters have drawn inspiration from foreign attacks, notably the 1999 Columbine High School massacre in the U.S..
• Online social networks have facilitated the radicalization of Russian teenagers, providing platforms to express grievances and plan attacks. In some cases, officials failed to respond to online threats made by future shooters. [5, 20, 21, 22, 23]Socioeconomic and psychosocial factors • Studies comparing Russian and U.S. school shooters found similar underlying motivations, including social isolation, bullying, and difficult family relationships.
• Russian shooters, in particular, showed a strong association with economic hardship and exhibited self-aggressive behaviors.
• Bullying is a significant problem in Russian schools, with studies showing 16% of students report being victims. [5, 20, 24]State violence and repression • The Russian state’s response to mass violence, particularly terrorism from the Chechen wars, resulted in a crackdown on civil liberties and the media.
• Experts suggest that the rise of militarism and authoritarian state practices may contribute to the culture of violence.
• Since the rise of school shootings, the Federal Security Service (FSB) has adopted invasive surveillance of teenagers deemed at risk, and there have been reports of fabricating cases against potential shooters. [5, 8, 25, 26, 27]AI responses may include mistakes.
[1] researchgate.net/publication…‘
[2] researchgate.net/publication…‘
[3] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terror…
[4] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o…
[5] globalpsychiatry.co.uk/artic…
[6] jmvr.org/2023/02/do-mass-sho…
[7] france24.com/en/europe/20230…
[8] ebsco.com/research-starters/…
[9] daviscenter.fas.harvard.edu/…
[10] jerseyeveningpost.com/morene…
[11] wftv.com/news/trending/mosco…
[12] rferl.org/a/russian-teenager…
[13] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Izhevs…
[14] operationalsupport.un.org/en…
[15] aljazeera.com/news/2023/12/7…
[16] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_s…
[17] npr.org/2024/03/23/124047296…
[18] media.defense.gov/2024/Jul/2…
[19] usip.org/publications/2025/0…
[20] researchgate.net/publication…
[21] scholarsarchive.byu.edu/ball…
[22] sci-result.de/journal/articl…
[23] openscreensjournal.com/artic…
[24] pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/article…
[25] themoscowtimes.com/2021/05/2…
[26] fairplanet.org/editors-pick/…
[27] css.ethz.ch/content/dam/ethz…
–
Mass Killings in Russia 2000 – 2025: Statistics, Analysis, and origins – Google Search google.com/search?q=Mass+Kil…
–
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o…
–
Moscow concert hall attack: Russia says many killed, over 100 wounded | AP News
apnews.com/article/russia-mo…— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025
Mass Killings in Russia
Based on official statistics, Russia’s overall homicide rate declined significantly in the 2000s, but this masks persistent issues with mass violence, both large-scale and individual. Between 2000 and 2025, mass killings in Russia have been driven by terrorism originating from the Chechen wars, an increase in school shootings, and domestic military and criminal violence. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Mass killing statistics (2000–2025) • The Russian government’s official homicide rate has been a subject of debate. Though authorities claimed a rapid decrease in the 2000s, some researchers argue that official figures minimized the true rate of violent crime.
• A 2023 dataset on mass shootings in Central and Eastern Europe identified Russia as the location for the majority of incidents, with 53 of the 76 total cases. [1, 6, 7]Analysis of mass killings by typeChechen terrorism (2000s) The Second Chechen War, which began in 1999, resulted in a campaign of terrorism that extended into the Russian mainland and defined much of the mass violence of the early 2000s.
• 2002 Moscow theater hostage crisis: Chechen terrorists took 850 people hostage in a Moscow theater. The rescue operation resulted in the deaths of at least 170 people, including 129 hostages who succumbed to a chemical agent used by Russian forces.
• 2004 Beslan school siege: A Chechen-led group seized a school in Beslan, North Ossetia, taking over 1,000 hostages. The siege ended with a chaotic and deadly raid that killed more than 300 people, most of them children.
• 2004 aircraft bombings: Simultaneous suicide bombings on two passenger planes departing Moscow’s Domodedovo Airport killed a total of 90 people. [3, 8, 9, 10, 11]School shootings (mid-2010s onward) While historically uncommon in Russia, school shootings have seen a notable increase since 2014, with at least 16 incidents between 2015 and 2021.
• 2018 Kerch Polytechnic College attack: An 18-year-old student at a college in Kerch killed 20 people in a gun-and-bomb attack before killing himself.
• 2021 Kazan school shooting: An armed attacker killed nine people, including seven children, at a school in Kazan.
• 2022 Izhevsk school shooting: A gunman killed 18 people, including 11 children, at a school in Izhevsk. [12, 13, 14, 15, 16]Military and criminal violence • 2000s military violence: An early case of mass violence was a 2000 shooting in the Russian military, where a soldier killed eight others. Military-related incidents of mass violence continued into the early 2000s.
• 2006 Moscow market bombing: A far-right, neo-Nazi organization was responsible for a bombing at Moscow’s Cherkizovsky Market that killed 13 people.
• 2024 Moscow concert hall attack: A group linked to the Islamic State claimed responsibility for an attack on a concert hall that killed at least 133 people. [3, 4, 17]Origins and contributing factorsChechen wars • The Chechen wars (1994–1996 and 1999–2000) bred extreme brutality, radicalization, and lasting animosity between Chechens and Russians.
• Russia’s victory was costly, leaving the region impoverished and fueling resistance that extended into mainland Russia through terrorist attacks. [8, 18, 19]Influence of foreign and online trends • A growing number of Russian school shooters have drawn inspiration from foreign attacks, notably the 1999 Columbine High School massacre in the U.S..
• Online social networks have facilitated the radicalization of Russian teenagers, providing platforms to express grievances and plan attacks. In some cases, officials failed to respond to online threats made by future shooters. [5, 20, 21, 22, 23]Socioeconomic and psychosocial factors • Studies comparing Russian and U.S. school shooters found similar underlying motivations, including social isolation, bullying, and difficult family relationships.
• Russian shooters, in particular, showed a strong association with economic hardship and exhibited self-aggressive behaviors.
• Bullying is a significant problem in Russian schools, with studies showing 16% of students report being victims. [5, 20, 24]State violence and repression • The Russian state’s response to mass violence, particularly terrorism from the Chechen wars, resulted in a crackdown on civil liberties and the media.
• Experts suggest that the rise of militarism and authoritarian state practices may contribute to the culture of violence.
• Since the rise of school shootings, the Federal Security Service (FSB) has adopted invasive surveillance of teenagers deemed at risk, and there have been reports of fabricating cases against potential shooters. [5, 8, 25, 26, 27]AI responses may include mistakes.
[1] researchgate.net/publication…‘
[2] researchgate.net/publication…‘
[3] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terror…
[4] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o…
[5] globalpsychiatry.co.uk/artic…
[6] jmvr.org/2023/02/do-mass-sho…
[7] france24.com/en/europe/20230…
[8] ebsco.com/research-starters/…
[9] daviscenter.fas.harvard.edu/…
[10] jerseyeveningpost.com/morene…
[11] wftv.com/news/trending/mosco…
[12] rferl.org/a/russian-teenager…
[13] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Izhevs…
[14] operationalsupport.un.org/en…
[15] aljazeera.com/news/2023/12/7…
[16] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_s…
[17] npr.org/2024/03/23/124047296…
[18] media.defense.gov/2024/Jul/2…
[19] usip.org/publications/2025/0…
[20] researchgate.net/publication…
[21] scholarsarchive.byu.edu/ball…
[22] sci-result.de/journal/articl…
[23] openscreensjournal.com/artic…
[24] pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/article…
[25] themoscowtimes.com/2021/05/2…
[26] fairplanet.org/editors-pick/…
[27] css.ethz.ch/content/dam/ethz…
–
Mass Killings in Russia 2000 – 2025: Statistics, Analysis, and origins – Google Search google.com/search?q=Mass+Kil…— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025
Kremlin critics say Russia is targeting its foes abroad with killings, poisonings and harassment | AP News apnews.com/article/russia-at…
— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025
#CIA #FBI #MassKillings
Western intelligence involvement:
Russian officials have also made claims, without presenting evidence, that Western intelligence agencies are involved in orchestrating attacks on Russian targets.
Mass killings were planned in five cities of Russia
While the claim of five specific cities was not independently verified, multiple incidents have been reported in various locations. The Russian government often links these plots to Islamic extremist groups or Ukrainian special services.
Based on reports from Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB), several plots for terrorist attacks and mass killings have been thwarted in Russian cities in recent years.
Reported plots and attacks in 2024–2025
December 2024:
Target: Senior Russian military officers in Moscow.
Summary: The FSB announced it had thwarted a series of assassination attempts, reportedly by Ukrainian special services. The plots involved car bombs and explosives hidden in envelopes.
Context: This came after the killing of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov in Moscow, an attack Ukraine later claimed responsibility for.
April–May 2025:
Target: A police station and other officials in Dagestan, a region that has seen previous attacks.
Summary: The FSB killed four alleged Islamic State (IS) fighters who were plotting an attack. A separate attack in May killed three police officers.
Context: These events followed a series of attacks in the region in 2024, including the killing of 20 people in June.
Other recent incidents:
September 2025: Russia’s FSB claimed to have thwarted a massive Ukrainian drone massacre plot in the Donbas region.
March 2024: The FSB reported that it had thwarted an IS plot to attack a Moscow synagogue.
Russian government’s narrative
Russia’s security agencies often provide information on foiled plots and claim they were planned by terrorist groups or Ukraine. Some key elements of this narrative include:
Islamic extremist ties: Many of the foiled plots are attributed to militants affiliated with Islamic State (IS) or other groups.
Ukrainian special services: Following the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia began attributing a number of attacks and assassination plots to Ukrainian intelligence.
Western intelligence involvement: Russian officials have also made claims, without presenting evidence, that Western intelligence agencies are involved in orchestrating attacks on Russian targets.
Challenges in independent verification
It can be difficult to independently verify the details of these foiled plots, as the information is released primarily by Russian state security services. The details provided often align with the government’s official narrative regarding internal security threats and the conflict with Ukraine.
–
Links
share.google/aimode/C2AGJMKw…
Pic.:
At least 115 killed and scores wounded in Moscow concert hall attack | Moscow concert hall attack— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Oct 1, 2025