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FirstFT: Biden offers harshest criticism yet of Netanyahu government


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Good morning. Joe Biden said Benjamin Netanyahu must change tack, warning that Israel’s “indiscriminate bombing” in Gaza risked leaving the country isolated.

Offering his harshest criticism of the Israeli prime minister’s far-right coalition since Israel began its military offensive in response to Hamas’s October 7 attack, the US president said Israel is “starting to lose . . . support” around the world.

Speaking to donors at a political fundraiser, Biden described Netanyahu’s coalition as “the most conservative government in Israel’s history . . . [that] doesn’t want a two-state solution”, adding: “I think he has to change, and with this government, this government in Israel is making it very difficult for him to move.”

Biden until now had largely resisted publicly pressuring Netanyahu even as US officials said they have had tough conversations in private.

Earlier yesterday, Netanyahu acknowledged that his government and the Biden administration disagreed over how Gaza should be run once Israel’s war with Hamas ends. Here’s more on the emerging differences between the two leaders.

  • Related: Washington expects the most intensive phase of Israel’s war on Hamas in southern Gaza to be scaled back and become more targeted as soon as early January, US officials said.

Here’s what else I’m keeping tabs on today:

  • Economic data: EU reports monthly industrial production figures, while the UK releases its monthly GDP estimate for October.

  • Monetary policy: The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady when it announces its latest monetary policy decision.

  • Reports: Opec publishes its monthly Oil Market Report.

Five more top stories

1. China’s President Xi Jinping lauded Beijing’s security and commercial ties with Vietnam yesterday as he kicked off a state visit to the south-east Asian country. Vietnam has become a critical global supply hub not only for western companies diversifying out of China but also for Chinese manufacturers. Xi’s trip also sought to counter growing ties between the US and Vietnam.

  • US-China news: The Federal Reserve should be required to stress test US banks’ ability to “withstand a potential sudden loss of market access to China”, according to a congressional committee.

2. The UN climate summit was headed towards eleventh-hour negotiations yesterday as the majority of countries present clashed with Saudi Arabia and other oil-producing nations over whether to commit to the phaseout of fossil fuels. Diplomats said Riyadh was the key obstacle to a stronger declaration and was backed by other Opec and Opec+ countries such as Iraq and Russia.

3. The US has hit companies in Turkey, the UAE and China with sanctions as part of a sweeping effort to stop the Russian defence industry easily obtaining sensitive technologies for Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine. More than 250 entities were covered by the measures, which also reached deep into Russia’s war economy, even targeting a provincial bakery refitted to make drones.

4. Indian authorities have stepped up efforts to control domestic supplies and prices of agricultural commodities such as sugar, onions and wheat ahead of next year’s general election. The moves came on top of existing restrictions on exports of rice, wheat and sugar that have sent shockwaves through global markets.

5. UK businesses in China see 2024 as a “pivotal year” for Beijing to address growing concerns over its flagging economy and investment environment, the British Chambers of Commerce said yesterday. A survey of UK companies across China showed sentiment had improved from record levels of pessimism last year, but 60 per cent of respondents still believed business was more challenging than in 2022.

News in-depth

A mobile phone assembly line in Tamil Nadu, IndiaA mobile phone assembly line in Tamil Nadu, India. Manufacturers such as Foxconn have shifted some production to the country © Karen Dias/Bloomberg

India’s appeal as a “China plus one” manufacturing hub may depend on how the country and foreign investors resolve one glaring issue: how and where to get enough workers in the right place. As the likes of Apple and Foxconn shift more production to India, executives hope staff will be willing to leave their homes and families to live on site at factories — with a dormitory bed as their only private space.

We’re also reading . . . 

  • Iran’s ‘first lady’: It is highly unusual for the wife of an Iranian leader to promote her own views. But Jamileh-Sadat Alamolhoda has broken with tradition to speak to the FT.

  • Kishore Mahbubani: The west is losing the respect of the rest of the world, writes The Asian 21st Century author, who calls for the west and the global south to talk to each other as equals.

  • China’s deflation challenge: The country should stimulate consumption with spending on education, healthcare and public housing, writes Morgan Stanley’s chief Asia economist Chetan Ahya.

Chart of the day

A boom in private equity helped turn Kirkland & Ellis into the world’s most profitable law firm. But as dealmaking slows amid rising interest rates, the Chicago firm faces a reckoning, its fortunes entwined with those of the $13tn private capital industry.

Four years after it was razed in a bushfire, Australia’s Southern Ocean Lodge has risen from the ashes and welcomed its first guests last week. The FT’s Maria Shollenbarger recounts the emotional reopening of the celebrated wilderness lodge on Kangaroo Island.

The new ‘Ocean Pavilion’, a private four-bedroom residence set on a dune above the main hotelThe new ‘Ocean Pavilion’, a private four-bedroom residence set on a dune above the main hotel

Additional contributions from Tee Zhuo and Gordon Smith

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Zelensky Makes Last-Ditch Plea for U.S. Aid as Russia Claims Advances


347Q339-highres.jpg Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (C), accompanied by US Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (R) and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (L), arrives to meet with members of the U.S. Senate on Capitol Hill on Dec. 12. Andrew Caballero-Reynolds / AFP

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky held last-ditch talks in Washington to plead for continued U.S. aid Tuesday, as Russia claimed advances on the battlefront and scornfully dismissed the impact of Western help for Kyiv.

After Zelensky met the leaders of both parties in the U.S. Senate, Democratic Majority leader Chuck Schumer warned that Ukraine needed the aid quickly to prevent Russian President Vladimir Putin claiming victory.

Zelensky then went on to the House of Representatives to confer with the Republican speaker, Mike Johnson, and was later set to move to the White House for one-on-one talks with President Joe Biden and a joint press conference.

“He made it clear and we all made it clear that if we lose, Putin wins,” Schumer said after the talks with Zelensky, who wore a black sweater with a small Ukrainian trident symbol, and olive-green military trousers.

Watch: Zelensky just finished meeting with senators and exited.Schumer: “very good and productive meeting”

Zelensky did not stop. pic.twitter.com/Vleb3K5wdy

The trip — coming as Ukraine’s main phone operator suffered what it said was a massive hacking attack — represents a desperate bid by Zelensky to keep Ukraine’s key international backer from drifting away.

But while Zelensky won a round of applause from senators, Republicans are increasingly lukewarm about the need to support Ukraine.

They are blocking Biden’s request for $60 billion in new military aid unless he agrees to measures on U.S.-Mexico border security and immigration reform — one of the most intractable issues in U.S. politics.

The White House has warned that money for Ukraine will run out by the end of the year without a deal with Congress.

In a speech Monday to U.S. military officials, Zelensky said that politics should not “betray” Ukraine’s soldiers and he echoed Biden’s frequent warning that the Ukrainian struggle against invasion has global implications.

‘Deadlock’

The Kremlin scoffed at the impact of U.S. support, echoing the arguments made by some senior Republicans who say that continuing the flood of weaponry to Ukraine would be futile after Kyiv’s summer counteroffensive stalled.

“It is important for everyone to understand: the tens of billions of dollars pumped into Ukraine did not help it gain success on the battlefield,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Tuesday.

Putin said on Sunday that Ukraine was “running out” of arms because its defense industry was not able to produce enough.

Putin, with champagne: “Our military production is surging, we are making multiple times more weapons. Their (Ukraine’s) resources are dwindling.”

The West has to get its act together ASAP, otherwise there will be much greater celebrations in Moscow soon. pic.twitter.com/yThCZsLTRm

— Janis Kluge (@jakluge) December 10, 2023

Russia said it was pressing ahead on the ground, just as Ukraine’s freezing winter deepens.

“Our units have advanced significantly forward northeast of Novopokrovka,” said the Moscow-installed head of the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia region, Yevgeny Balitsky.

Ukraine said Russia had launched a “massive offensive” with armored vehicles in another part of the front near Avdiivka in the east.

In a blow felt by civilians behind the frontlines, Ukraine’s main mobile operator said it had been paralyzed by a “powerful hacker attack.”

The disruptions make it impossible to send out air raid alerts, just as Ukraine is dealing with nightly Russian bombing.

But the White House said Russia was paying a heavy price for small gains, with more than 13,000 dead and wounded in the east since it started its offensive in October.

“Russia seems to believe that a military deadlock through the winter will drain Western support for Ukraine and ultimately give Russia the advantage despite Russian losses,” National Security Council spokeswoman Adrienne Watson said.

‘Full mobilization’

Even as the United States ponders its future Ukraine policy, Kyiv’s main European ally Poland urged global support.

Polish prime minister-designate Donald Tusk called for the “full mobilization on the part of the free world, the West in support of Ukraine in this war.”

The message will likely be echoed loudly by Biden at the White House.

Republican senators last week blocked Biden’s request for $106 billion in emergency aid primarily for Ukraine and Israel.

Talks are ongoing behind the scenes on a deal that would make concessions to Republican demands for tough measures against illegal immigration in return for the Ukraine package.

However, Biden, who is seeking re-election next year, needs to thread a narrow passage between giving Republicans what they want and not alienating the left of his own party.


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U.S. Intel Says 315K Russian Casualties in Ukraine – Congress Source


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Some 315,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded in Ukraine since the war began in February 2022, nearly 90% of its pre-war force, a congressional source said Tuesday.

The Russian military has also lost some 2,200 of the 3,500 tanks it had before the start of the conflict, the source said, citing a declassified U.S. intelligence assessment shared with Congress.

The document emerged as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was in Washington seeking to convince an increasingly skeptical Congress that the war with Russia could be won with continued U.S. funding.

Zelensky met with congressional leaders on Tuesday before scheduled talks at the White House with President Joe Biden.

The latest casualty assessment marks a big leap from that provided in July 2022 when CIA director Bill Burns said U.S. intelligence estimated that Russian losses were “in the vicinity of 15,000 killed and maybe three times that wounded.”

Both Russia and Ukraine have been deeply reticent about providing casualty figures from the war.

Russian casualties of 315,000 killed or wounded would amount to 87% of the country’s pre-war military force of 360,000.

The Wall Street Journal, citing the declassified U.S. intelligence assessment, said the conflict in Ukraine “has sharply set back 15 years of Russian effort to modernize its ground force.”

To make up for the heavy losses, Russia has resorted to “extraordinary measures” such as conscripting released prisoners and sending them to the front, it added.

Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson insisted after the meeting with Zelensky that his party would not approve Biden’s request for $60 billion in fresh assistance for Kyiv unless Democrats meet their demands on immigration.


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