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U.S. Intel Says 315K Russian Casualties in Ukraine – Congress Source

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Some 315,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded in Ukraine since the war began in February 2022, nearly 90% of its pre-war force, a congressional source said Tuesday.

The Russian military has also lost some 2,200 of the 3,500 tanks it had before the start of the conflict, the source said, citing a declassified U.S. intelligence assessment shared with Congress.

The document emerged as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was in Washington seeking to convince an increasingly skeptical Congress that the war with Russia could be won with continued U.S. funding.

Zelensky met with congressional leaders on Tuesday before scheduled talks at the White House with President Joe Biden.

The latest casualty assessment marks a big leap from that provided in July 2022 when CIA director Bill Burns said U.S. intelligence estimated that Russian losses were “in the vicinity of 15,000 killed and maybe three times that wounded.”

Both Russia and Ukraine have been deeply reticent about providing casualty figures from the war.

Russian casualties of 315,000 killed or wounded would amount to 87% of the country’s pre-war military force of 360,000.

The Wall Street Journal, citing the declassified U.S. intelligence assessment, said the conflict in Ukraine “has sharply set back 15 years of Russian effort to modernize its ground force.”

To make up for the heavy losses, Russia has resorted to “extraordinary measures” such as conscripting released prisoners and sending them to the front, it added.

Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson insisted after the meeting with Zelensky that his party would not approve Biden’s request for $60 billion in fresh assistance for Kyiv unless Democrats meet their demands on immigration.

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Análisis: El Mossad sigue luchando contra Irán en las sombras mientras se prolonga la guerra en Gaza

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Agencia AJN.- La noticia del éxito del Mossad al ayudar a Chipre a desbaratar un complot de Irán para asesinar a israelíes y judíos es, en cierto modo, una pequeña nota a pie de página de una historia mucho mayor.

La semana pasada, el Consejo de Seguridad Nacional emitió una advertencia sin precedentes a los israelíes que viajan a más de 80 países, incluidos los europeos que normalmente se consideran bastante seguros.

El NSC emitió el aviso, pero la información procedía del Mossad, según ha podido confirmar The Jerusalem Post.

De hecho, bajo el radar, es probable que la agencia de inteligencia esté ahora operando en un punto álgido en cuanto a su actividad en todo el mundo para proteger a israelíes y judíos.

Aquí y allá, Israel filtra la participación de la agencia de espionaje en ayudar a un servicio de inteligencia extranjero, como en Chipre, pero el Post entiende que la mayor parte del trabajo del Mossad para salvar vidas en todo el mundo se mantiene en silencio.

Hace tres meses hubo una rara inmersión más profunda en las actividades globales del Mossad para proteger a los judíos.

En un inusual discurso público el 10 de septiembre en la Universidad Reichman, el director del Mossad, David Barnea, dijo que su agencia y otras agencias de inteligencia en Israel y entre los aliados extranjeros habían frustrado 27 complots terroristas iraníes en el transcurso de 2023 contra israelíes en todo el mundo en casi todos los continentes.

Barnea mostró vídeos de agentes terroristas iraníes que el Mossad había capturado e interrogado en Tanzania y Chipre. Añadió que quienquiera que envíe terroristas contra israelíes y judíos «será llevado ante la justicia. Elevaremos nuestro nivel de acción contra ustedes».

Enumeró Tanzania, Georgia, Chipre, Grecia y Alemania como algunos ejemplos, nombrando a Yousef Shahbazi Abbasalilo como operativo iraní en la operación terrorista de Chipre y a Hamidreza Abraheh como operativo iraní en la de Tanzania.

Pero eso fue antes del 7 de octubre. Desde que comenzó la guerra de Gaza, el Post entiende que los esfuerzos del Mossad se han disparado.

Esto significa que desde aquel desastroso día, la agencia está desplegada por todo el mundo en un grado sin precedentes, y posiblemente con mayor inversión en diversas capacidades que nunca.

La guerra de las IDF contra Hamás y su disuasión armada de Hezbolá pueden ser la historia principal en los titulares diarios, pero el Mossad no está menos comprometido con Irán, y ha llamado igualmente a sus «reservistas» (algunos retirados hace tiempo) en gran número para ayudar a aumentar su alcance y capacidad.

Todo ello requiere sin duda un mayor presupuesto dentro del mayor presupuesto de defensa.

En 2020, el Post informó sobre un informe del Contralor del Estado, en su mayor parte ignorado, sobre el crecimiento explosivo del Mossad -mucho más allá de su presupuesto aprobado en los últimos años en comparación con el presupuesto cada vez menor de la IDF en ese momento.

El informe era una revelación extremadamente rara y detallada de procedimientos y debates internos del Mossad, normalmente clasificados, sobre el futuro a largo plazo de la organización, incluido un debate sobre el traslado de su sede desde Glilot, al norte de Tel Aviv, que tuvo lugar en 2011.

De hecho, el primer gran informe de seguridad del interventor estatal Matanyahu Englman afirmaba que la agencia de espionaje había dilapidado su presupuesto de 1.500 millones de NIS hasta los 2.600 millones en los últimos años.

Esto ocurría mientras el IDF se enfrentaba a recortes generales y tenía que tomar decisiones difíciles sobre la interrupción de importantes programas o fuerzas armamentísticas.

En cuanto al crecimiento del Mossad, el informe reveló que en junio de 2017, el entonces director Yossi Cohen dijo en una reunión del Alto Mando del Mossad que «está reflexionando sobre el dilema de la necesidad de hacer más con respecto a la voluntad del Estado de facilitar el crecimiento». Como recordatorio, estamos alcanzando cifras mucho mayores [que nuestro presupuesto] en contraste con (una agencia de seguridad diferente) [el contralor eliminó el nombre] que detuvo su crecimiento, y las IDF que también se espera que lo reduzcan [su crecimiento].»

Cohen prosiguió: «Vamos en la dirección opuesta y en contraste con la tendencia global en la que se necesitan menos empleados; con el Mossad es lo contrario».

Si el Mossad estaba gastando su presupuesto antes del 7 de octubre, cuando se presionaba a la IDF para que hiciera recortes, parece inevitable que ahora la agencia vaya mucho más allá de su presupuesto de 2.600 millones de NIS.

El Mossad también está recurriendo en un grado sin precedentes a agencias de inteligencia extranjeras aliadas para mantener a salvo a israelíes y judíos en todo el mundo en el actual entorno de mayor amenaza posterior al 7 de octubre.

Todo esto está ocurriendo al mismo tiempo que la agencia sigue necesitando ser el actor principal del mundo para evitar que Irán cruce la línea hacia un arma nuclear.

Al menos por un momento el domingo, el anuncio de Chipre trajo un recordatorio de la vigilancia constante de los guerreros de Israel en las sombras.

Agencia AJN.- El primer ministro dijo que «no será Hamas-tan ni ‘Fatah-stan’».

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Agencia AJN.- Israel disfruta del apoyo de Estados Unidos para sus objetivos de destruir a la organización terrorista palestina Hamás y recuperar a los rehenes retenidos por el grupo, pero ambos aliados difieren sobre lo que podría seguir a la guerra de Gaza, dijo el martes el primer ministro israelí, Benjamín Netanyahu.

Reiterando su negativa a tolerar un retorno a la Franja de Gaza de la Autoridad Palestina respaldada por Occidente bajo Mahmoud Abbas, Netanyahu dijo en una declaración que Gaza «no será ni Hamas-tan ni ‘Fatah-stan’». Fatah es la facción de Abbas.

«La diferencia entre Hamás y la Autoridad Palestina es solo que Hamás quiere destruirnos aquí y ahora y la Autoridad Palestina quiere hacerlo por etapas», dijo Netanyahu durante una discusión en la reunión del Comité de Asuntos Exteriores y Seguridad el lunes.

Netanyahu reiteró la semana pasada su insistencia en que a Mahmoud Abbas no se le dará el control de la Franja de Gaza, en respuesta a un informe de Sky News Arabia de que Abbas había expresado interés en tenerlo.

Netanyahu respondió al informe afirmando que «mientras sea primer ministro de Israel, eso no sucederá».

«Aquellos que educan a sus hijos para el terrorismo, financian el terrorismo y apoyan a familias terroristas no podrán gobernar Gaza después de eliminar a Hamás», dijo Netanyahu.

Desde la masacre cometida por miembros de Hamás en Israel, que llevó a la guerra que ya lleva dos meses en curso, se ejerció una fuerte presión internacional sobre Israel para que permita a la AP que reciba el control del enclave costero.

La visión futura presentada por Egipto para Gaza se basa en una «fusión del movimiento Hamás dentro de la Autoridad y su ingreso al servicio de seguridad palestino, manteniendo al presidente Abu Mazen, y esto para encontrar una fórmula de coexistencia que no afecte la seguridad nacional egipcia, palestina y la israelí, según varias fuentes de El Cairo».

No obstante, Netanyahu ya se opuso varias veces. «Creo que la Autoridad Palestina en su forma actual no es capaz de cargar con la responsabilidad en Gaza», dijo.

Y añadió: «Después de que luchamos e hicimos todo lo posible para entregárselo a Abu Mazen después de la más terrible masacre de judíos desde (la Shoá), que él todavía se niega a condenar, altos ministros lo celebran y su autoridad les paga a los asesinos y a sus familias».

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Agencia AJN.- Un grupo de ejecutivos israelíes del sector tecnológico, encabezado por el empresario Izhar Shay, que perdió a su hijo Yaron el primer día de los combates con el grupo terrorista Hamás, se reunirá el jueves en Londres con inversores privados e institucionales con sede en el Reino Unido para ayudarles a conseguir capital para nuevas empresas locales tras las atrocidades del 7 de octubre.

Con Israel inmerso en una guerra con Hamás que dura ya más de dos meses, y muchos ejecutivos y empleados del sector tecnológico en la reserva, las nuevas empresas locales luchan por atraer la financiación esencial, en particular de inversores extranjeros, mientras que los grandes acuerdos probablemente no se produzcan. El ejército israelí llamó a filas a más de 350.000 reservistas tras el brutal asalto de Hamás al sur de Israel el 7 de octubre, en el que murieron 1.200 personas, la mayoría civiles, y al menos 240 fueron secuestradas y enviadas a Gaza. Israel declaró rápidamente la guerra con la intención de derrocar el régimen del grupo terrorista en Gaza y conseguir la liberación de los rehenes.

La delegación israelí, de la que forma parte el veterano Dov Moran, participará en la cumbre ReStartIL, que se celebrará en Londres el 14 de diciembre para tratar de renovar la confianza entre los inversores y reactivar el panorama de las empresas emergentes israelíes.

En la cumbre londinense, 30 startups y emprendedores israelíes presentarán su tecnología a 200 inversores privados e institucionales y líderes empresariales británicos. Las presentaciones incluirán sesiones que abarcarán tres áreas de captación de capital para invertir en tecnologías de doble uso para despliegue civil y de seguridad; agricultura, agritech y foodtech; e IA y cibernética.

Las sesiones incluirán un estudio de las tendencias y oportunidades en Israel, así como reuniones y contactos entre inversores y empresarios.

Entre los ponentes de la cumbre figuran Moran; Yossi Matias, de Google Israel; Guy Cherni, cofundador de Climate First; Hilla Haddad Chmelnik, fundadora de Safe Dome VC y ex directora general del Ministerio de Innovación, Ciencia y Tecnología; y el viceprimer ministro británico Oliver Dowden y la embajadora israelí Tzipi Hotovely.

En el marco de la conferencia, Shay, ex ministro israelí de Ciencia y Tecnología, lanzará oficialmente un proyecto denominado «Next October», una iniciativa que pretende crear 1.200 nuevas startups israelíes, una en memoria de cada soldado caído y cada civil asesinado en la masacre del 7 de octubre. El proyecto pretende ayudar a reactivar el sector tecnológico y crear miles de puestos de trabajo.

A lo largo del próximo año, la iniciativa tiene previsto ayudar a crear más de 500 nuevas empresas, cada una dedicada a una de las víctimas del 7 de octubre, y para 2025, más de 1.200 nuevas empresas.

Shay puso en marcha el proyecto después de que su hijo, el sargento Yaron Oree Shay, soldado de combate de la Brigada Nahal de las Fuerzas de Defensa de Israel, muriera el 7 de octubre durante feroces enfrentamientos con terroristas de Hamás en la zona del kibutz Kerem Shalom, cerca de la frontera con la Franja de Gaza.

«El próximo octubre es la respuesta correcta del mundo civilizado occidental al mal representado por los asesinos de Hamás que iniciaron una guerra contra Israel y, de hecho, también contra el mundo occidental», dijo Shay. «Las empresas que crecerán bajo los auspicios de esta iniciativa emplearán a trabajadores y construirán productos y servicios innovadores que se desplegarán por todo el mundo y contribuirán a crear un mundo mejor».

Entre los socios que se han unido al proyecto hay más de 100 empresas y firmas de capital riesgo, entre ellas Meta, OurCrowd y Pitango.

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Putin’s spy chief tells U.S: Ukraine will become your Vietnam

Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) Director Sergey Naryshkin attends a meeting of members of Security Council and the government and the heads of law enforcement agencies, outside Moscow

Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) Director Sergey Naryshkin attends a meeting of President Vladimir Putin with members of Security Council and the government and the heads of law enforcement agencies, at the Novo-Ogaryovo state residence outside Moscow, Russia October 30, 2023. Sputnik/Gavriil Grigorov/Pool via… Acquire Licensing Rights Read more

MOSCOW, Dec 7 (Reuters) – Russian President Vladimir Putin’s foreign intelligence chief told the United States on Thursday that Western support for Ukraine would turn the conflict into a “second Vietnam” haunting Washington for years to come.

Putin sent troops into Ukraine early last year, triggering a war that has killed or wounded hundreds of thousands and led to the biggest confrontation between Russia and the West in six decades.

The West has given Ukraine more than $246 billion in aid and weapons, but a Ukrainian counteroffensive has failed and Russia remains in control of just under a fifth of Ukrainian territory.

“Ukraine will turn into a ‘black hole’ absorbing more and more resources and people,” Sergei Naryshkin, head of Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), said in an article in the SVR’s house journal, “The Intelligence Operative”.

“Ultimately, the U.S. risks creating a ‘second Vietnam’ for itself, and every new American administration will have to try to deal with it.”

U.S. President Joe Biden has warned that a direct NATO-Russia confrontation could trigger World War Three and repeatedly ruled out sending American soldiers to Ukraine.

The Vietnam War was in effect an East-West Cold War conflict in which the United States fought alongside the forces of South Vietnam against a north supported by the communist powers of China and the Soviet Union.

The war, in which several million were killed, ended in 1975 with victory for North Vietnam and ignominious defeat for the United States, which had lost more than 58,000 of its own combatants and kindled a powerful anti-war movement at home.

Biden pleaded with Republicans on Wednesday for a fresh infusion of military aid for Ukraine.

“If Putin takes Ukraine, he won’t stop there,” Biden said, predicting that Putin would go on to attack a NATO ally.

Then, Biden added, “we’ll have something that we don’t seek and that we don’t have today: American troops fighting Russian troops”.

Reporting by Guy Faulconbridge; Editing by Kevin Liffey

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Historic humiliation of Shah of Iran by Churchill, Roosevelt and Stalin

Even in the area of safeguarding our territorial integrity and independence of our governments, we witnessed and experienced shameful weakness over the 200-year period. It was during the same period that the two disgraceful treaties – the Treaty of Torkmenchay and the Treaty of Gulistan – were signed and 17 Caucasian cities broke away from Iran. It was during the same period that they came and occupied Bushehr without facing the slightest resistance from our government and government officials. It was during the same period that a foreign government established a military base in Qazvin and threatened our central government with military invasion. They ordered our government to do certain things and to remove certain people from official positions, and they threatened that they would attack Tehran if their orders were not carried out. That is to say, they came as close as Qazvin and threatened Tehran with military invasion, and the central government in Tehran was trembling with fear.

If it were not for a few competent people, our central government would have definitely complied with the orders of that foreign government. It was during the same period that the English government established the Pahlavi regime in Iran. They chose Reza Khan and crowned him. They legalized his rule and put him in charge of everything while they had full control over him. It was during the same period that the disgraceful Anglo-Persian Agreement of 1919 was signed, which would hand our national economy over to foreigners and would put the enemies of Iran in charge of our economy and politics. It was during this period that the Allied leaders of three countries came to Tehran and held a meeting without asking our central government for permission. They completely ignored our central government. Roosevelt, Churchill, and Stalin traveled to Tehran and held a meeting. They did not ask anybody for permission and they did not show any passports. Mohammad Reza Shah, who was the king of Iran at that time, was completely ignored. They did not go to see him. He was the one who went to see them and when he entered the room, they did not stand up. They ignored him. Notice the consequences of a central government’s weakness, which affects the people. This is the worst kind of humiliation and weakness that a government and a nation can suffer. These things happened during the 200-year period.

Imam Khamenei, Jun 3, 2012

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Russia warns US that Ukraine will be its ‘second Vietnam’

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The Kremlin’s spy chief Sergei Naryshkin warned the U.S. that Ukraine will turn into its “second Vietnam,” amid disagreement in Congress over funding for Kyiv.

“Ukraine will turn into a ‘black hole’ absorbing more and more resources and people,” Russian foreign intelligence chief Naryshkin said Thursday in a written statement published by his agency’s house journal, the Intelligence Operative.

“Ultimately, the U.S. risks creating a ‘second Vietnam’ for itself, and every new American administration will have to deal with it,” he added.

The warning comes after U.S. President Joe Biden on Wednesday urged Congress to further support Ukraine with funding. “We can’t let Putin win,” Biden said.

Biden is trying to push through a $61.4 billion emergency funding request for Kyiv, but opposition against further aid to Ukraine has grown among Republicans in the House of Representatives.

The U.S. was engaged in the Vietnam War — fought between South Vietnam and the U.S. on one side and communist North Vietnam backed by the Soviet Union and China on the other — for nearly two decades. The conflict claimed more than a million lives, including tens of thousands from the U.S., and ended with a comprehensive victory for the North Vietnamese forces.

According to a recent poll, 59 percent of Americans still support sending military aid to Ukraine.

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White House, Congress scramble on last-minute deals on Ukraine and US immigration

A framed flag signed by front-line Ukrainian fighters in Bakhmut and presented to the U.S. Congress in 2022, sits at one end of the table the U.S. Capitol, in Washington

A framed flag signed by front-line Ukrainian fighters in Bakhmut and presented to the U.S. Congress in 2022, sits at one end of the table where Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will meet privately with U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and other congressional leaders on a visit to the U.S. Capitol in Washington,… Acquire Licensing Rights Read more

WASHINGTON, Dec 11 (Reuters) – Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will make his case for more U.S. aid for the war against Russia during meetings in Washington this week, as lawmakers struggle for a deal that would link funding for Kyiv with domestic immigration controls.

Zelenskiy has been invited to meetings at the White House and with members of Congress on Tuesday. Many Republican lawmakers have questioned continued aid to Ukraine.

His arrival in Washington comes as Congress is under a tight – if not impossible – deadline for acting, as it is scheduled to go into recess for the year by Friday.

The next round of Ukraine aid has been held up by a demand from House of Representatives Speaker Mike Johnson and other Republicans that no more funds be dispatched unless steps are first taken to harden the U.S. border with Mexico.

President Joe Biden has urged Congress to act by year’s end and Democrats in Congress were trying to win approval of about $50 billion in new security assistance for Ukraine. Also included in Senate Democrats’ measure is humanitarian and economic aid for the government in Kyiv, as well as $14 billion for Israel as it wages war against Hamas in Gaza.

On Sunday, a senior administration official said the White House has been working with House Republican leaders to find common ground, but the talks have not developed to a point where Biden’s direct intervention could close the deal.

However, the White House is open to making it harder to obtain U.S. asylum as a way to reduce the number of migrants attempting to cross the U.S.-Mexico border, according to a source familiar with bipartisan Senate negotiations.

Meanwhile, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has pushed for some type of pro-immigrant provision, such as expedited work permits for migrants or better access to legal representation, the source also said.

Congress has been warned that a failure to renew U.S. military assistance to Ukraine could tip the war in Russia’s favor, creating national security threats for the West.

By mid-November, the U.S. Defense Department had used 97% of $62.3 billion in supplemental funding it had received and the State Department had used all of the $4.7 billion in military assistance funding for Ukraine it had been allocated, U.S. budget director Shalanda Young said last week.

A bipartisan group of senators was trying to break the deadlock. Much of their work focused on tightening U.S. asylum law for migrants.

Democratic Senator Chris Murphy told NBC’s “Meet the Press” show on Sunday that the latest proposal from Republican Senator James Lankford was “unreasonable.” He also said the White House was intensifying its efforts with Congress to reach a deal.

There has been hope among Senate leaders that Murphy and Lankford could cobble together a border security compromise, having struck up a friendship this year during a congressional fact-finding trip to the southwest U.S. border.

Lankford’s office did not respond to a request for comment. During a CBS News interview on Sunday, he pushed back against news reports about his proposals.

Meanwhile, Republican Senator Lindsey Graham told participants at an annual Doha Forum conference on Sunday: “I’m sad to report we are far away” from any bipartisan deal. He added that he hoped legislation could be enacted “by early next year,” possibly beyond the time frame Biden sought.

Even if a bipartisan deal was struck, several Democrats have voiced concerns that former President Donald Trump, who is seen as the leading candidate for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, could stand in the way.

“There’s a question on the Republican side – would they accept significant progress, or is Trump going to make the final call,” said Democratic Senator Peter Welch in an interview on Thursday.

Reporting by Ted Hesson and Richard Cowan in Washington, Jarrett Renshaw in Los Angeles and Andrew Mills in Doha; Editing by Gerry Doyle

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Ted Hesson is an immigration reporter for Reuters, based in Washington, D.C. His work focuses on the policy and politics of immigration, asylum and border security. Prior to joining Reuters in 2019, Ted worked for the news outlet POLITICO, where he also covered immigration. His articles have appeared in POLITICO Magazine, The Atlantic and VICE News, among other publications. Ted holds a master’s degree from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and bachelor’s degree from Boston College.

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White House to intensify push for Ukraine aid and border security deal

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WASHINGTON, Dec 10 (Reuters) – The White House will step up its engagement with U.S. lawmakers trying to strike a bipartisan deal that would provide military aid for Ukraine and Israel while tightening U.S. border security, a Democratic senator said on Sunday.

Republicans have insisted that additional funding for Ukraine must be paired with major U.S. border security changes but a bipartisan group of senators trying to broker a compromise have made little progress with less than a week before the U.S. Congress leaves for a Christmas break.

“The White House is going to get more engaged this week,” Senator Chris Murphy, the lead Democratic negotiator, said on NBC News’ “Meet the Press.”

Murphy said it was important to know if Democratic President Joe Biden would sign any prospective deal.

The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Biden, who is seeking reelection in 2024, has struggled with record numbers of migrants attempting to cross the U.S.-Mexico border illegally. Republicans have criticized Biden for rolling back some restrictive policies of former President Donald Trump, currently the leading candidate for his party’s nomination.

Reuters reported last week that the Biden administration was open to new limits on U.S. asylum as part of a deal to secure funding for allies Ukraine and Israel.

Murphy said the current border security demands by Republicans were “unreasonable” and that they were “playing games with the security of the world” by linking the military aid to U.S. border security measures.

Some Republicans have pushed for border provisions that would allow migrants crossing the border illegally to be quickly deported without the chance to seek U.S. asylum. They have also called for greatly scaling back Biden programs that have allowed hundreds of thousands of migrants to enter lawfully.

Senator James Lankford, a Republican member of the group working on a border compromise, said the U.S. border was “literally spiraling out of control” with 12,000 migrants crossing illegally in a single day last week.

Speaking on CBS News’ “Face the Nation,” Lankford declined to detail what policy changes he had proposed but said Congress needed to take steps “to actually begin to control the border.”

Republican Senator J.D. Vance told CNN’s “State of the Union” program that he opposes aid to Ukraine, saying it is “functionally destroyed as a country” that needs to end the war through negotiations with Russia.

“What’s in America’s best interest is to accept Ukraine is going to have to cede some territory to the Russians, and we need to bring this war to a close,” Vance said.

Shalanda Young, director of the White House budget office, said on CBS News that failing to aid Ukraine could encourage Russia to expand the conflict to other U.S. allies in Europe.

Reporting by Ted Hesson in Washington; Additional reporting by David Morgan in Washington; Editing by Marguerita Choy and Don Durfee

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Ted Hesson is an immigration reporter for Reuters, based in Washington, D.C. His work focuses on the policy and politics of immigration, asylum and border security. Prior to joining Reuters in 2019, Ted worked for the news outlet POLITICO, where he also covered immigration. His articles have appeared in POLITICO Magazine, The Atlantic and VICE News, among other publications. Ted holds a master’s degree from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and bachelor’s degree from Boston College.

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Iran accuses jailed Swedish EU diplomat of conspiring with Israel

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Iranian authorities have accused a Swedish EU diplomat, held in a Tehran prison for more than 600 days, of conspiring with Iran’s arch-enemy Israel, the judiciary said Sunday (10 December).

“Johan Floderus is accused of extensive measures against the security of the country, extensive intelligence cooperation with the Zionist regime and corruption on earth,” the judiciary’s Mizan Online news agency said.

Corruption on earth is one of Iran’s most serious offences and carries a maximum penalty of death.

Floderus, 33, was arrested on 17 April 2022 at Tehran airport as he was returning to Iran from a trip with friends.

The Swede, who works for the European Union diplomatic service, is being held in Tehran’s Evin prison.

His arrest came while an Iranian national, Hamid Noury, was being tried in Sweden over the mass executions of dissidents in Tehran in 1988 – ultimately receiving a life sentence in July 2022.

The Court of Appeals in Sweden is expected to announce a verdict in the case on 19 December.

Mizan published photos of a handcuffed Floderus, who is being held in Tehran’s Evin Prison, appearing before judges in a pale blue prison uniform as the charges were read.

The prosecution claimed Floderus had gathered information on Iran’s “nuclear and enrichment programmes”, carried out “subversive projects” for the benefit of Israel and established a network of “agents of the Swedish

intelligence service”.

It further claimed he was involved in “intelligence cooperation and communication with the European Union” and exiled opposition group, the People’s Mujahedin (MEK), according to Mizan.

The next date of the trial was not yet known.

EU’s top foreign policy chief Josep Borrell called Sunday for his immediate release, saying “there are absolutely no grounds for keeping Johan Floderus in detention.”

Sweden’s Foreign Minister Tobias Billstrom added: “There is no basis whatsoever for keeping Johan Floderus in detention, let alone bringing him to trial.”

Other prisoners

Tehran-Stockholm ties soured after the execution in May of Iranian-Swedish dissident Habib Chaab, convicted of “corruption on earth” after being vanished during a visit to Turkey in 2020.

Academic Ahmadreza Djalali, another Iranian-Swede, was arrested in Iran in 2016 and sentenced to death on espionage charges. He remains under threat of execution.

Several other Europeans are detained in Iran, including four French citizens.

One of them, Louis Arnaud, was sentenced in November to five years in prison for propaganda and endangering the security of the Iranian state.

Iran’s relations with the EU improved after a nuclear deal in 2015 that lifted sanctions and looked set to boost trade.

But they have worsened considerably since the US effectively scrapped the deal in 2018.

The EU has imposed new sanctions on Iran after accusing it of providing Russia with drones for use in the Ukraine war, which Tehran denies.

It also sanctioned Iran over its response to nationwide protests last year triggered by the death in custody of Mahsa Amini, a young Iranian-Kurdish woman arrested in September 2022 for allegedly violating the Islamic Republic’s strict dress code for women.

Read more with Euractiv

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America’s response to the Global South

The vast grouping of less-developed nations is experiencing a revival today. India, China and Russia are generally more engaged with them than the United States and Europe.

Globe showing South America.Many nations of Latin America, Asia, Africa and Oceania are considered to be part of the Global South. © Getty Images

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  • Russia’s influence over the nominally nonaligned nations remains from the Cold War
  • China and India consider themselves leaders and members of the Global South
  • The U.S. will likely pursue less active diplomacy unless vital interests are at stake

The Global South refers broadly to nations in Latin America, Africa, Asia and Oceania that are less developed than richer, mostly northern, countries.

It is also considered a geopolitical alignment, with associations such as BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) formed as alternative structures to groups such as the British Commonwealth, European Union, G7 and G20, or the Russian-led Commonwealth of Independent States.

Many of these countries have a legacy of oppression under colonialism, racism and imperialism. They lack the benefits of more industrialized nations and some of them claim they are suffering the brunt of global warming. In the United States, the Global South commands greater attention but little consensus over policy.

In part, the concept draws from the legacy of the nonaligned movement during the Cold War. In retrospect, the movement was anything but nonaligned. Moscow supported the idea and used it as a tool for expanding its influence and marginalizing the West, all under the false flag of neutrality and sympathy for the developing world. In practice, even nations that committed to the movement as foundational to their foreign relations did plenty of aligning, out of necessity. The Soviet Union encouraged the themes of combating the legacies of imperialism and colonialism.

The term Global South became commonly used, particularly in the latter stages of the Cold War.

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While the nonaligned movement was rooted in the power struggles of great power competition, the Soviets also sought to infuse Marxist-Leninist ideology. Many nonaligned nations, for instance, took advantage of the opportunities to send their children and professionals to Moscow for undergraduate, graduate and postdoctoral education and technical training. National elites for decades were trained in the Soviet system.

Post-1989, the movement largely drifted into irrelevance, reflecting the fact that much of the energy keeping it going came from the Soviet bloc. But it did not disappear. Generations of politicians, professionals and academics were suffused in the ideas and the teachings of the movement. Most notable was India, whose nonalignment policy and stubbornly pro-Russian stance persisted for decades.

While the Global South has historical roots, its revival reflects contemporary geopolitics. Hence the debate in the West about whether to view the movement through its historical foundations or interpret as a fresh development.

The West still misunderstands the Global South

In another major challenge for Washington, several major powers have significant interest and activity in the Global South. None of them directly align with the U.S.

China. Beijing has made engaging with these nations as integral to its soft-power diplomacy. China fashions itself as part of the group. “China is identifying itself as a member of the Global South family,” argues Dr. Lina Benabdallah, an assistant professor of politics and international affairs at Wake Forest University. “This makes them more appealing to countries in the Global South, as well as a model for countries aspiring to be great nations.”

Beijing routinely asserts that the country should be considered a developing nation in international organizations and treaties. China uses its status as a developing country to benefit from provisions and special treatment in treaties and international organizations intended to help poor nations.

China has also reinvigorated the Marxist constructs of the nonalignment movement asserting that the West is imperialist and exploitive of developing nations. China’s agenda pairs well with Beijing’s interest in developing economic, diplomatic and political relationships with countries in the Indo-Pacific, Africa and Latin America. China routinely asserts solidarity with the developing nations, often attempting to challenge, supplant or undermine other powers.

Russia. Moscow has long had a policy of engaging countries in Africa and Latin America. Russian influence in the Global South is clearly reflected in policies responding to Moscow’s war against Ukraine. Many nations in the Global South adopt positions sympathetic to Russia. In part, these policies reflect not just pro-Russian stances, but complaints about “hypocrisy” in the West lavishing assistance on Ukraine and attention to the needs of its refugees and demonstrating far less generosity to similar crises in developing nations.

Russia routinely uses its influence in Latin America and Africa to undermine U.S. interests, such as supporting authoritarian regimes like Venezuela.

India. New Delhi has made outreach foundational to its foreign policy. For example, it has highlighted engagement with the Global South during its turn in the G20 presidency. This may reflect India’s history as a leader in the nonaligned movement. Still, much more is at play. India in some respects still sees itself as a developing nation, sharing solidarity with countries that face similar challenges of “food, fertilizer and fuel security.” India also sees itself as a bridge between the developed and developing worlds.

Finally, India sees these nations as a field to gain influence in its rivalry with China in developing countries, the broader Indo-Pacific and global institutions.

While India is developing much stronger bilateral ties with the U.S., particularly in countering China, Global South diplomacy is mostly firewalled from aligning with Washington. New Delhi emphasizes its role in the Global South to remind that it is not aligned with any great power.

Europe. The European Union, and several European states including France, Italy and Spain, see outreach and cooperation with parts of the Global South as part of their historical legacy, cultural affinity and geopolitical interests. Spain, for example, actively engages with Latin America. Both France and Italy are active in North Africa.

Europeans do not have a comprehensive or integrated response or engagement in the Global South. While they sometimes cooperate with the U.S. in these areas, their activities are largely viewed as independent prerogatives outside the context of transatlantic relations.

Leaders sit at a tableAzerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev delivers a speech during the Summit of Non-Aligned Movement Contact Group in Baku, Azerbaijan, on March 2, 2023. © Getty Images

There are several issues that also complicate American policies.

Climate. Environment and energy are issues of common concern across the Global South. Yet, engagement on this issue is complicated in two ways. On the one hand, developing nations believe they suffer most from the consequences of climate change while developed nations are responsible for most of the emissions and should pay for most of the mitigation. On the other, the West supports and insists on rapid transformation to green technologies, which are often too expensive and unsuited to developing nations that lack widespread availability of abundant, reliable and affordable electricity. The imposition of Western solutions on developing nations grates as another form of external imperialism.

De-dollarization. Another challenge for Washington is the growing campaign to establish alternatives to the U.S. dollar as a global reserve currency. This would reduce the U.S.’s role and influence in international trade and foreign direct investments, as well degrade the influence of U.S. sanctions. Among both BRICS and Global South nations, this has been championed by countries like Brazil and South Africa, encouraged by China and Russia.

History and race. Although the U.S. does not have the expansive legacy of European imperialist powers, Americans do have a history of slavery and racism. During the Cold War and post-Cold War, Washington has been accused of meddling in the sovereignty of developing nations and imposing political, economic and cultural influences. This past is used to question the intentions and legitimacy of U.S. engagement in the Global South.

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The most likely scenario is that the U.S. will not develop a comprehensive response or engagement strategy for the Global South.

Vital Interests. U.S. foreign policy under Republicans or Democrats tends to be dominated by vital geopolitical interests. The U.S. response in Ukraine, for instance, was disproportionate to other conflicts, not because of racism, but because stability in Europe is among the top vital U.S. interests. The Global South as an entity is not a vital U.S. interest. By the same token, many of the individual nations in the Global South are not core to U.S. interests.

Strategy. No matter how the U.S. defines a Global South policy, it will be shaped by inherent contradictions. The U.S. cannot legitimately claim solidarity with the Global South. Any effort to comprehensively address the Global South would appear patronizing (distasteful in those countries or contrite and repentant – controversial in the U.S.). Nor can the U.S. attempt to delegitimize the concept of the Global South as beholden to Russia or China. This challenges the agency of the member nations and triggers resentment. Since America’s close partner India champions the Global South and is seeking a leadership role, such a strategy would both undermine and antagonize a key U.S. strategic partner.

Economics. Direct economic competition with the developing world to combat de-dollarization would likely trigger unintended and potentially debilitating economic disruption. The key factors that the U.S. controls are the strength of the U.S. dollar through decisions made on debt, economic growth and trade policy – not a policy toward the Global South per se.

Energy. Republicans and Democrats endorse virtually opposite policies on climate. The American left favor a rapid transition to green energy and major investments in global mitigation. In contrast, the American right is less interested in underwriting global mitigation and far more supportive of an “all of the above” approach to energy development, including traditional fossil fuels and nuclear power. Therefore, a consistent, coherent partnership with the Global South is unlikely.

Alliances. If a Global South policy could be framed as an “anti-Russia and China” policy, Washington might be able to forge a united approach with friends and allies. In the near term that appears unlikely. There is no consensus on a global response.

International organizations. Due to their large number, it would not be in the U.S.’s interests to see the Global South voting as a coherent bloc in international organizations, particularly under the leadership of China. This development would be disadvantageous to the U.S. and other powers. The U.S. is also likely to invest more in groupings such as the G7, the Quad and NATO as instruments to influence global leadership.

Given these significant challenges, the U.S. is unlikely to develop any general response to the Global South beyond palliative rhetoric. More likely is that the U.S. will largely eschew engaging the Global South as a coherent body. Rather, the U.S. will continue to engage with regions, addressing the concerns and challenges through a variety of economic, security, energy, diplomatic, political and foreign assistance strategies. The U.S. is more likely to address the underlying challenges such as de-dollarization and competition with China and Russia through mechanisms other than the Global South structure.

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US Lawmakers Running Out of Time to Pass Ukraine Aid, Border Security Funding

With just four working days left before its holiday recess, the U.S. Congress is no closer to passing the White House’s $60 billion request for aid to Ukraine.

Lawmakers are running out of time to negotiate a deal on border security that Republicans say must be included to overcome their concerns about funding foreign conflicts while leaving domestic priorities unaddressed.

“This is about securing our border so we can then help our allies,” Republican Senator Lindsey Graham told reporters Thursday.

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Graham called on President Joe Biden to enforce existing immigration laws, saying he would not return to his home state of South Carolina to “try to explain why I helped Ukraine, Taiwan and Israel and did nothing to secure our own border. I will help all of our allies, but we have got to help ourselves first.”

The Ukraine aid request is part of a larger $106 billion emergency supplemental request that includes military assistance to Israel and Indo-Pacific partners as well as Democratic priorities for border security funding.

“Republicans in Congress are willing to give Putin a gift, the greatest gift that Putin could … hope for,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters Thursday.

Migrants seeking asylum wait to be processed by the U.S. Border Patrol after having crossed the Rio Grande River from Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, on Dec. 5, 2023.


Migrants seeking asylum wait to be processed by the U.S. Border Patrol after having crossed the Rio Grande River from Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, on Dec. 5, 2023.

Senators resumed negotiations Thursday after failing to open debate on the supplemental request by a 49-51 vote late Wednesday.

“I think the vote yesterday convinced them [Democrats] that we are serious about it, and something needs to be done,” Senator Jim Risch, the top Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, told VOA. “And I’m convinced that we’ll get there. That’s just democracy.”

Democrats object to Republicans’ proposals to change asylum rules at the U.S. border and argue the White House request must be considered all together as part of a broader national security strategy.

“It was Republicans who threw an unnecessary wrench into Ukraine funding by tying it to the extraneous issue of the border,” Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said on the Senate floor Thursday.

“We all agree that border security is important,” he said. “President Biden included strong border provisions in the proposal he sent us. But we also know it’s a complicated issue — very complex — that’s escaped bipartisan solution for years.”

Earlier this week, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had been expected to address a classified briefing for U.S. senators via videoconference but canceled unexpectedly. The meeting ultimately grew tense as Republicans accused Democrats and Biden administration briefers of not addressing their concerns about the border.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, a strong supporter of aid to Ukraine, emphasized Thursday that Republican border security proposals must be included to win Republican votes.

“It is profoundly unserious to pretend that national security priorities don’t include securing our nation’s borders,” McConnell said on the Senate floor Thursday.

“To warn about borders in jeopardy and not start with the one that’s being overrun here at home,” he said. “To invoke threats facing sovereign nations without a clear plan to uphold America’s own sovereignty.”

Brigadier General Pat Ryder, the Pentagon press secretary, said Tuesday that there is $1.1 billion left to replenish U.S. military stockpiles for weapons and equipment sent to Ukraine.

The White House also warned earlier this week that the United States has about $4.8 billion left to supply Ukraine with aid, an amount that would run out by the end of this year.

Any compromise passed in the Democratic-majority Senate would also need to pass the Republican-majority House of Representatives, where support for Ukraine has diminished this year.

House Speaker Mike Johnson has indicated he does not plan to extend the House schedule past its last scheduled day in session on December 14. Earlier this week, he told reporters several key questions about accountability and the longer-term strategy for victory in Ukraine remain.

A man inspects damage at an oil depot hit by recent shelling in the course of the Russia-Ukraine war in Donetsk, Russian-controlled Ukraine, on Dec. 7, 2023.


A man inspects damage at an oil depot hit by recent shelling in the course of the Russia-Ukraine war in Donetsk, Russian-controlled Ukraine, on Dec. 7, 2023.

Many Republicans recognize that aid to Ukraine is important for deterrence but argue for more oversight.

Republican Representative Michelle Steel told VOA on Thursday, “We’ve been spending so much — billions and billions of dollars. We have to see transparency, that exactly where these monies are going and how they’re spending it.”

According to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, aid commitments to Ukraine are at their lowest since the beginning of the war in February 2022.

“Between August and October 2023 saw a stark drop in the amount of newly committed aid, with the value of new packages totaling just EUR 2.11 billion,” the report said.

Biden has worked to shore up the support of allies amid uncertainty over passage of the funding on Capitol Hill.

“Great Britain and the European countries will keep on supporting Ukraine,” David Cameron, British foreign secretary and former prime minister, told VOA.

“But clearly America is an essential partner in this,” he said. “They are the world’s biggest economy, the biggest defense player, absolutely vital. So, let’s keep going on making the argument about what a difference the resources will make.”